Any Value in Free Sports Betting Picks?
The average sports betting fan knows the games, whether it is football, basketball, baseball, hockey or any number of sporting events. They also know the favorites and underdogs that will play the game.
Most recreational sports bettors can figure out which team can covers the spread, go over or under the total line and win the straight-up bet in the money line odds. They can also flip a coin to determine the right side of the betting lines and odds.
The professional sports handicappers analyze the game, the teams and the matchup to determine which side is going to cover the spread, go over of under the total and win the straight-up game. They cannot predict the outcome 100% of the time, but they will play the odds on the right side of the game.
The pro sports handicapper is 53% or better in the combined picks for the games they play under the guidelines of a 10 percent commission (or juice) charged by sportsbooks or private bookies. Also, a professional handicapper sells their sports betting picks as part of a daily, weekly and monthly package.
Related : Finding the Right Professional Sports Handicapping Service
If there is any value on free sports betting picks, the pro handicapper will pick the particular game as a promotional advertisement. There are many free sports picks from handicappers both pros and recreational sports bettors. The main trick is finding out which one is the real deal.
The pro handicapper backs their sports pick with an outcome that makes sense for any sports betting fans following the particular game. They know the probability of such an outcome and make choices of playing the game or sitting things out.
The pro handicapper also has a betting system that equates units with a confidence factor. The higher the units, the more confidence in the probability.
The Primary Aspect of Being a Pro Sports Handicapper
The pro handicapper has stats, facts and recent betting trend to back up the sports picks they release. The pro has a keen understanding of both teams, the stadium, arena or ball park holding the matchup, the health of key players and all the factors revolving at the particular game. There are a number of categories that a pro handicapper wants to take a closer look at before making a selection of point spreads, total lines and money line odds for the game.
Finding the basis of the teams, the game and the situation are just the beginning step. The most important factor is to discover individual matchups that will take place in a game. The one-and-one matchup of players, the coaching staff and even general team personnel can be compared.
As part of a football game, the wide receivers and tight ends are compared to the defensive secondary, the running backs are compared to the linebackers, the offensive line are compared to the defensive line and the quarterback is compared to the whole defensive team. A head coach and their coaching staff are also compared in the matchup.
Another aspect of being a pro sports handicapper is the familiarity of the two teams. Divisional rivels in professional leagues have more history between the teams. In-state rivals in college football and basketball have more skin in the game. The statistical point spread for a favorite and an underdog does not consider the feelings the two teams have for each other.
All the stats, facts and recent betting trends are just a piece of the puzzle that goes into a matchup of any two teams in any sports games. The pro sports handicapper has to sift through the details of what is a priority for the particular matchup.
The Spread : Save time and follow trusted, expert handicapper plays
Every stat, fact and recent betting trend comes down to a simple math equation. To have a pro handicapper’s mentality, you need a strict and disciplined approach. The probability that things are going to work out equals that approach.
The professional sports handicapper must be 100% sure if the game is played as planned. The 54% to 58% probability happens when most things go as planned. They are counting on a combined total of the games going the prescribed way whether it is football, basketball, baseball, hockey or any sporting event.
A Professional Handicapper’s Free Sports Picks vs. Paid Selections
Even free sports picks are not right 100% of the time. Pro handicappers are right about 54% to 58% for all their combined sports selections. These are free picks as well as paid selections for the daily, weekly and monthly plans. The professional handicappers go with sports picks that are most probable in the betting lines and odds. The free sports picks are popular selections that promote the handicapping site. The paid selections are more detailed with a unit value that corresponds to the confidence they place in the particular game.
The professional sports bettors often deal with finite edges. They need to count on being right 54% to 58% of the time. It is all about the long-term value of their combined picks, either a free pick or paid selection that is part a package.
The pro handicapper’s free picks are a drawing card for a paid sports betting package. They are hoping the free picks pan out for a win, but they are expecting a loss 42% to 46% of the time.
Sports Handicapping Industry Standards
You are a professional handicapper if you are 53% or higher in your combined sports betting picks. The sports handicapping industry standard suggests that 54% to 58% on your picks be correct along with -110 commission by the sportsbook or private bookie.
There are other sports handicapping standards such as documenting your released picks, selling your sports selections in a respectable betting system and tracking/monitoring your short-term and long-term selection. Most of all, you have to stand accountable for your success and failure.
The difference between being a professional sports handicapper and being a heavy sports gambler is accountability for your success and failure. The pro handicapper has the general sports betting public depending on the picks. Whether it is a free pick or a paid selection, the pro handicappers have to be accountable for their actions.
Hiring Qualified Professional Sports Handicappers to Make Betting Picks
Are you a professional sports handicapper looking for a place to make a substantial living out of what you do? For candidates who already have the professional aspect to the sports betting picks they produce, there is a marketplace for you.
A qualified professional sports handicapper needs to be right just 53% of the time (win and losses). There is a law for averages at sets that figure at 53%. The main objective is going over that figure for all your sports picks combined. You can make the claim that you are a professional sports handicapper if the total winning picks are at less 53%, but documentation will prove you wrong. The more, the better. If you can reach into the mid-to-upper 50’s with your picks, you can be a great sports handicapper.
An average sports betting fan does not believe the false claims of 70% winners or higher. Do not used the word “lock” if you want to be a professional because there is no such thing. A highly-trained professional handicapper knows that there is a probability of things going a certain way in games. They seek out the highest probability of a particular game that has success.
A qualified pro handicapper also needs to be right in how they set betting units for particular games. An average play of three to four units is not that important as a seven to eight-unit play. The pro handicapper has more confidence than a seven or eight-unit pick will have the highest probability of being right. The confidence factor dictates how you might set the units from an average play to a highly confident betting pick.
All this thought process goes into the making of professional handicappers and the betting picks they release. You can be a pro handicapper that makes a substantial living releasing betting picks if you subscribe to the following guidelines on a step by step basis.
Do You Sell Your Sports Betting Picks?
The first aspect of being a professional sports handicapper is selling your betting picks. If you are on your own, you need to have a blog that details your picks. If you are posting your picks on a sports handicapping site, you would need a selling guide to detail your accomplishments.
All sports handicappers do not sell their betting picks. Only a professional handicapper sells their picks to the general sports betting public. Also, the pro handicapper set unit bets for all the their picks. If you are posting your picks for the game, a betting system that measure confidence along with units is crucial to your profession.
Do You Have Samples of Your Professional Analysis?
Professional sports handicappers has a professional analysis with the betting picks they produce. Proper spelling and grammar is a must for the all analysis of your picks for the professional aspect of the game. The professional analysis has to be readable to get your point across to the average sport betting fan.
The analysis must be thorough and exact in your description of the game. You have to post your handicapping analysis in a clear and concise manner, so even a new sports fan can read and understand it.
Are Your Sports Betting Picks Documented?
Documentation is a key aspect of selling your sports betting picks. You can post your betting picks from a respected forum or monitor. However, the betting picks and analysis must be documented from a leading sports betting source.
Handicapping for your family and friends is not documentation. Sending in an organized spreadsheet does not count as a documented source. Your sports betting picks must be written down and analyzed to have the professional state of approval from respected handicapper sites
Follow the Guidelines for a Professional Sports Handicapper
There are set guidelines for sports betting on a professional handicappers site. Consistency and reliability are probably two of the primary guidelines.
You must be consistent with your sports betting picks on a weekly basis. Most sports betting fans like to have their picks early so they can choose to get their action in. Consistency is a key trait for a professional handicapper posting the picks on the sports betting site
Reliability goes hand-to-hand with consistency. The professional sports handicapper has to post reliable betting picks on the sports betting site. A pro handicapper can decline a pick if the probability is not there, but they need to dictate that in their analysis.
A professional sports handicapper should make betting an individual pick as part of a package. You can sell individual games as part of the daily, weekly or monthly package of betting picks. If you only sell individual games, you will not get much exposure.
A 100% transparency cause is part of the professional sports handicapper team. You display betting picks after the game starts and you track those picks as part of your selection. The professional handicapping team will keep accurate short-term and long-term game records as a monitor of this documentation.
Matching Your Bookie Business With The Best Pay Per Head Site
As part of selling daily, weekly and monthly packages and subscriptions, the professional sports handicapper team will increase the exposure as you proceed. Rest assure, you will pick the sports games that you are most familiar with.
Lastly, a good professional sports hub handicapper should model some of the good players in professional sports. Eat right and get some exercise. Take care of your physical and mental health. It has some rewards and risks associated with picking the games, so you want to stay sharp in your analysis. Lack of sleep, an unhealthy diet and staying out all night is detrimental to you profession.
If you are already winning at picks sports games and writing about the results, you have what it takes to be a successful professional sports handicapper. There is a marketplace for you if you are trying to fill the need for the winning team.
Remember, a professional sports handicapper only needs to be right a combined 53% or better of the games. You work on percentages for your overall sports betting picks.
