Louisiana Tech vs. SMU Bowl Pick
Will the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs upset the SMU Mustangs tonight in the DXL Frisco Bowl at 8:00 p.m. ET? Or is the favorite the play for bettors?
Game Info
Who: Louisiana Tech (6-6) at SMU (7-5)
When: ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET
Where: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
ODDSMAKERS LIKE: SMU. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mustangs are 3.5-point favorites to knock off the Bulldogs, who opened as 5-point underdogs before the line was bet down. As for the total, the number hit the board at 68 but has been bet up to 71.
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THE PUBLIC LIKES: As of Wednesday afternoon, 59% of the betting tickets are on the Mustangs to cover the spread but 56% of the money is actually on the Bulldogs.
INJURY REPORT: Linebacker Brandon Durman and receiver Marcus Gianes are both questionable for the Bulldogs, while Ephraim Kitchen and Alfred Smith are both out for the year. For the Mustangs, Jordan Wyatt is out with a leg injury while James Proche, Mikial Onu and Nick Natour are all questionable.
WHO WE LIKE: Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five bowl games and have covered the spread in four of their last five games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. They’re also 8-3 at the betting window in their last 11 games coming off an ATS win.
On the other side, the Mustangs are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games coming off an ATS loss. I also don’t trust SMU’s defense. The Mustangs rank 113th in points allowed, allowing 35.5 points per game this season. They’re 113th in rushing yards allowed, 121st in passing yards allowed, and are surrendering 486.7 yards per contest, which ranks 122nd in the nation. And you want me to lay points with a team that plays horrendous defense? No thanks.
DXL FRISCO BOWL PREDICTION: LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS +3.5
