New England 300 Betting News and Notes

New Hampshire - Driver Tale of the Tape

1 - Martin Truex Jr (No. 78 Furniture Row Racing Toyota Camry)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 88.6
2016 Rundown
· Two wins, five top fives, 12 top 10s,
· Led 1234 laps
· Average Finish of 13.1

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Three top fives, seven top 10s
· Average finish of 14.048, 13th-best
· Average Running Position of 13.793, 12th-best
· Driver Rating of 88.6, 14th-best
· 3889 Laps in the Top 15 (61.9), 13th-most
· 512 Quality Passes, 13th-most

2 - Brad Keselowski (No. 2 Team Penske Ford Fusion)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 99.8
2016 Rundown
· Four wins, 12 top fives, 17 top 10s,
· Led 442 laps
· Average Finish of 9.7

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· One win, five top fives, eight top 10s; three poles
· Average finish of 10.714, third-best
· Average Running Position of 11.263, fourth-best
· Driver Rating of 99.8, fifth-best
· 2987 Laps in the Top 15 (71.3), sixth-most
· 421 Quality Passes, 17th-most

3 - Kyle Busch (No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 97.2
2016 Rundown
· Four wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10s,
· Led 1244 laps
· Average Finish of 13.1

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Two wins, eight top fives, 12 top 10s; two poles
· Average finish of 14.217, 14th-best
· Average Running Position of 12.868, ninth-best
· Driver Rating of 97.2, seventh-best
· 4719 Laps in the Top 15 (68.6), 10th-most
· 598 Quality Passes, eighth-most

4 - Denny Hamlin (No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 103.3
2016 Rundown
· Three wins, ten top fives, 15 top 10s,
· Led 404 laps
· Average Finish of 12.2

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Two wins, eight top fives, 13 top 10s
· Average finish of 10.190, series-best
· Average Running Position of 11.093, third-best
· Driver Rating of 103.3, second-best
· 4720 Laps in the Top 15 (75.2), fifth-most
· 665 Quality Passes, fourth-most

5 - Joey Logano (No. 22 Team Penske Ford Fusion)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 82.3
2016 Rundown
· One win, ten top fives, 18 top 10s,
· Led 389 laps
· Average Finish of 11.7

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Two wins, six top fives, eight top 10s
· Average finish of 15.188, 16th-best
· Average Running Position of 17.685, 20th-best
· Driver Rating of 82.3, 18th-best
· 2420 Laps in the Top 15 (50.5), 18th-most
· 252 Quality Passes, 20th-most

6 - Chase Elliott (No. 24 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)
· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 79.4
2016 Rundown
· Seven top fives, 13 top 10s,
· Led 163 laps
· Average Finish of 15.2

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Average finish of 34.000, 42nd-best
· Average Running Position of 10.206, second-best
· Driver Rating of 79.4, 21st-best
· 267 Laps in the Top 15 (88.7), series-most
· 24 Quality Passes, 37th-most

7 - Matt Kenseth (No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 90.3
2016 Rundown
· Two wins, four top fives, 11 top 10s,
· Led 490 laps
· Average Finish of 15.4

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Three wins, nine top fives, 18 top 10s
· Average finish of 12.696, seventh-best
· Average Running Position of 14.195, 16th-best
· Driver Rating of 90.3, 11th-best
· 4183 Laps in the Top 15 (60.8 ), 14th-most
· 578 Quality Passes, ninth-most

8 - Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 100.8
2016 Rundown
· Two wins, seven top fives, ten top 10s,
· Led 266 laps
· Average Finish of 15.3

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Three wins, ten top fives, 19 top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 11.261, fifth-best
· Average Running Position of 11.392, seventh-best
· Driver Rating of 100.8, fourth-best
· 5344 Laps in the Top 15 (77.7), third-most
· 678 Quality Passes, third-most

9 - Carl Edwards (No. 19 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 87.6
2016 Rundown
· Two wins, seven top fives, 15 top 10s,
· Led 742 laps
· Average Finish of 12.7

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Three top fives, seven top 10s; two poles
· Average finish of 13.261, ninth-best
· Average Running Position of 13.825, 13th-best
· Driver Rating of 87.6, 15th-best
· 3907 Laps in the Top 15 (56.8 ), 16th-most
· 506 Quality Passes, 14th-most

10 - Kurt Busch (No. 41 Stewart-Haas Racing Chevrolet SS)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 89.6
2016 Rundown
· One win, six top fives, 17 top 10s,
· Led 237 laps
· Average Finish of 12.1

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Three wins, seven top fives, 12 top 10s
· Average finish of 17.435, 20th-best
· Average Running Position of 13.337, 10th-best
· Driver Rating of 89.6, 12th-best
· 4366 Laps in the Top 15 (63.5), 12th-most
· 623 Quality Passes, sixth-most

11 - Jamie McMurray (No. 1 Chip Ganassi Racing Chevrolet SS)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 72.2
2016 Rundown
· One top five, nine top 10s,
· Led 0 laps
· Average Finish of 15

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Four top fives, seven top 10s
· Average finish of 20.696, 22nd-best
· Average Running Position of 20.459, 24th-best
· Driver Rating of 72.2, 23rd-best
· 2541 Laps in the Top 15 (36.9), 22nd-most
· 317 Quality Passes, 18th-most

12 - Tony Stewart (No. 14 Stewart-Haas Racing Chevrolet SS)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 103.0
2016 Rundown
· One win, five top fives, seven top 10s,
· Led 35 laps
· Average Finish of 17.2

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Three wins, 15 top fives, 19 top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 10.955, fourth-best
· Average Running Position of 11.371, sixth-best
· Driver Rating of 103.0, third-best
· 4637 Laps in the Top 15 (70.5), eighth-most
· 608 Quality Passes, seventh-most

13 - Austin Dillon (No. 3 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet SS)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 73.9
2016 Rundown
· Four top fives, ten top 10s,
· Led 8 laps
· Average Finish of 14.7

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· One top 10
· Average finish of 13.600, 11th-best
· Average Running Position of 18.995, 21st-best
· Driver Rating of 73.9, 22nd-best
· 346 Laps in the Top 15 (22.9), 25th-most
· 91 Quality Passes, 27th-most

14 - Kevin Harvick (No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing Chevrolet SS)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 96.7
2016 Rundown
· Two wins, 13 top fives, 21 top 10s,
· Led 1211 laps
· Average Finish of 8.5

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· One win, eight top fives, 16 top 10s; one pole
· Average finish of 13.174, eighth-best
· Average Running Position of 11.292, fifth-best
· Driver Rating of 96.7, eighth-best
· 4893 Laps in the Top 15 (71.1), seventh-most
· 568 Quality Passes, 11th-most

15 - Kyle Larson (No. 42 Chip Ganassi Racing Chevrolet SS)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 82.0
2016 Rundown
· One win, seven top fives, ten top 10s,
· Led 241 laps
· Average Finish of 15.5

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Two top fives, two top 10s
· Average finish of 14.000, 12th-best
· Average Running Position of 16.917, 19th-best
· Driver Rating of 82.0, 19th-best
· 655 Laps in the Top 15 (43.4), 20th-most
· 82 Quality Passes, 29th-most

16 - Chris Buescher (No. 34 Front Row Motorsports Ford Fusion)

· Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 45.0
2016 Rundown
· One win, two top fives, two top 10s,
· Led 12 laps
· Average Finish of 26.7

New Hampshire Motor Speedway Outlook:
· Average finish of 29.000, 35th-best
· Average Running Position of 30.146, 37th-best
· Driver Rating of 45.0, 39th-best
· 2 Fastest Laps Run, 18th-best
· Average Green Flag Speed of 123.748, 34th-fastest

New England 300 Preview
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com

Okay NASCAR fans, we're off and running with the Chase underway and nine more to race go until a champion is crowned.

Martin Truex Jr. got it all started with thrilling win Sunday at Chicagoland Speedway that gives him an automatic entry into the next round, and he might be someone to a a look at this week at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

It was Truex's third win of the season and second in the past three races. He's got the momentum going for him and he also gets equipment from Joe Gibbs Racing which has been stellar on these type of tracks this season. He's now 6/1 at the Westgate Las Vegas Super Book to win the Sprint Cup title with Kevin Harvick still the 5/1 favorite.

New Hampshire is a flat one-mile layout and the set-up requirements make it similar to Phoenix and Richmond. Between the three tracks we have four races of data to review and a Gibbs driver has won the last three, including two weeks ago at Richmond when Denny Hamlin won and Truex finished third while leading a race-high 193 laps. Let's face it, Gibbs is good everywhere winning 14 of the 27 races this season, but these type of tracks might be their best.

The Gibbs gang also won the first New Hampshire race this season in July with Matt Kenseth and Kyle Busch led the most laps with 133. In April, Carl Edwards led a race-high 151 laps in a win at Richmond with Busch finishing second and leading 78 laps. That's pure dominance and you can pick almost any one of them to win and feel good about it because they're all somewhat equal.

The only race on these types they didn't win at was Phoenix just because Harvick always wins there, but the margin of victory was the closest of the season over runner-up Edwards. Hamlin was third, Busch was fourth and Kenseth seventh. You kind of get the idea. They're going to be the cars to beat and it's been that way for some time at New Hampshire as they've won the last three races there and five of the last eight.

Chevrolet had been on a six race win streak at New Hampshire beginning in the fall of 2009, but they're winless there in the last eight. The best hope they have this week is with Harvick who last won there in 2006, a season when won four times between the six races on these type of tracks.

Jimmie Johnson hasn't won a race anywhere since March at Fontana, but he's got three wins with a 10.5 average finish in 29 NHMS starts. Tony Stewart is a three-time winner and finished second there in July. Kurt Busch has three wins there over his career, the last coming in 2008. Maybe you can make a case for Kyle Larson or Chase Elliott to win, but that's it for the top Chevy contenders to win.

Team Penske swept the 2014 season for Ford with Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano. For Logano it was his second win on the track, the first coming in 2009 which was his first career Cup win. Logano was third at NHMS in July.

There's no reason to look anywhere else but Joe Gibbs racing, so pick a driver, any driver from that stable and you should fare well at the bet window.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #20 Matt Kenseth (8/1)
2) #11 Denny Hamlin (8/1)
3) #18 Kyle Busch (6/1)
4) #19 Carl Edwards (8/1)
5) #78 Martin Truex Jr. (7/1)

New Hampshire Fantasy Racing Preview
By: Jeff Wackerlin
Racingone.com

Detailed driver notes and statistics to help set your fantasy racing lineup for Sunday's Bad Boy Off Road 300 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

Who's HOT at New Hampshire

• Matt Kenseth has won three of the last six races, including the last two.
• Kyle Busch, who led 133 laps in July, has finished in the top 10 in six of the last seven races, including a win in the 2015 July race.
• Joey Logano has finished in the top five in his last four starts, including a win in the 2014 fall race.
• Kevin Harvick has finished in the top five in three of his last four starts and has combined to lead 379 laps in that span.
• Brad Keselowski has posted a 7.4 average finish and has combined to lead 322 laps in the last five races.

Who to Keep an Eye On at New Hampshire

• Martin Truex Jr. led 123 laps in July at New Hampshire before a broken shifter relegated him to a 16th-place finish.
• Denny Hamlin, Ryan Newman and Greg Biffle have each finished in the top 10 in the last two races at New Hampshire. Each have won at the track with Newman leading the way with three victories.
• Carl Edwards has two poles and an average finish of 10.7 in three New Hampshire starts with Joe Gibbs Racing.
• Jimmie Johnson has posted a 4.3 average finish in the last four races in the fall at New Hampshire.
• Tony Stewart, who finished second in July, has posted a 12.9 average finish in his last nine New Hampshire starts, including a win in 2011.
• Jamie McMurray and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. finished sixth and 10th, respectively, in July at New Hampshire. The same tire combination will be used this weekend that debuted in the July race.
• Kasey Kahne (9.4), Kyle Larson (9.6), Chase Elliott (9.8 ) and Austin Dillon (11.8 ) each rank in the top 10 in average finish in the last five races of the season.

MRN.com Staff Picks

Jeff Wackerlin: Kyle Busch
Pete Pistone: Kevin Harvick
Robbie Mays: Joey Logano
John Singler: Matt Kenseth

Driver Notes - Ordered by Average Finish in the Last Five Races at New Hampshire

Matt Kenseth is coming off his second consecutive win and third overall at New Hampshire in seven track starts with Joe Gibbs Racing.

Brad Keselowski won the 2014 July race and leads all drivers with a 6.5 average finish in the last 10 races at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. He also ranks second in laps led (322) in the last five races.

Ryan Newman has posted a 10.2 average finish in five starts at New Hampshire with Richard Childress Racing. Newman finished seventh in July for his second consecutive, and third overall, top 10 with RCR at NHMS. This weekend, Newman will debut chassis No. 479 in the Bad Boy Off Road 300.

Joey Logano has finished in the top five in his last four starts at New Hampshire, including a win in the 2014 fall race. He's finished third in the last two races, but has yet to lead a lap.

Kyle Busch is coming off his 12th top 10 (eighth) in 23 starts at New Hampshire after leading 133 laps in July. Busch won for the second time at NHMS in the 2015 July race. The win extended a streak of five consecutive finishes of eighth or better, including three runner-up performances and a 3.0 average finish in that span. That streak of finishes was snapped last year in this event when he finished 37th after he had a right-front tire go down in the middle of the corner.

Martin Truex Jr. led 123 laps at New Hampshire in July, but finished 16th due to a broken shifter. Last year in this event, Truex scored his only top 10 (eighth) in five track starts with Furniture Row Racing.

Kevin Harvick leads all drivers with 379 laps led in the last four races at New Hampshire. He finished in the top five in three of those races, including a fourth-place run in July. Last year in this event, Harvick led 216 laps finished 21st last fall after running out of gas at the end of the race.

Carl Edwards won the pole for both races last season and finished seventh and fifth, respectively, in his first track starts with Joe Gibbs Racing. Edwards started 13th and finished 20th in July.

Jamie McMurray has finished in the top six in three of the last six races at New Hampshire, including a sixth-place run in July. The other two top 10s in that span came in this event in 2013 and 2014.

Greg Biffle is coming off his second consecutive top five at New Hampshire, and third in the last six races. He won the fall race in 2008.

Austin Dillon has posted a 13.6 average finish in five starts at New Hampshire. He finished 13th in July for his fourth top-15 finish at the track. This weekend, Dillon will pilot chassis No. 485, a car that has previously been utilized by his teammate Paul Menard.

Denny Hamlin has finished in the top 10 in his last two starts at New Hampshire, including a runner-up finish in this event last year. Hamlin's last of two wins came in this event in 2012.

Tony Stewart is coming off his 15th top five in 34 starts at New Hampshire, which includes three wins. His last victory came in this event in 2011. This weekend, Stewart will return in the same car (chassis No. 825) that he finished second with at NHMS in July.

Kyle Larson posted at 2.5 average finish at New Hampshire during his rookie season in 2014. He's finished 17th in the last two races. In the last four races of the season, Larson ranks third in average finish (6.0).

Ryan Blaney is coming off his best finish in two starts at New Hampshire, in 11th. This will be his first start in the fall race at the track.

Jimmie Johnson won the pole and finished 12th at New Hampshire in July. Johnson has finished sixth or better in the last four fall races at NHMS and is a three-time winner - last coming in the 2010 June race.

Kasey Kahne finished ninth last year in this event for his ninth top 10 in 25 New Hampshire starts. Kahne won the 2012 July race in his first track start with Hendrick Motorsports and has recorded a 15.7 average finish in nine overall track starts with HMS.

AJ Allmendinger has posted a 17.6 average finish in five starts with JTG Daugherty Racing at New Hampshire. His lone top 10 in 15 overall starts came in the 2010 June race with Richard Petty Motorsports.

Paul Menard has yet to post a top 10 in 19 starts at New Hampshire. His best finish in 11 track starts with Richard Childress Racing came in this event in 2012, 12th. This weekend, Menard will pilot the same car (chassis No. 547) that teammate Ryan Newman drove to a 10th-place finish at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Kurt Busch has posted a 20.8 average finish in five starts at New Hampshire with Stewart-Haas Racing. He finished 10th in his first track start with crew chief Tony Gibson in the 2015 July race for his 12th top 10 in 31 overall starts. His last of three wins came in the 2008 June race with Team Penske.

Divers To Watch - New England 300
By Sportsbook.ag

New Hampshire Motor Speedway will be the host of Sunday’s Bad Boy Off Road 300. This is the second of three Round of 16 races for the Sprint Cup Series and Martin Truex Jr. is the guy that came away with the victory in the first, the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 400. Truex Jr. had an average speed of 145.161 MPH in that race and has now won two of the past three Sprint Cup events. A few guys worth mentioning when coming into this race are Ryan Newman and Matt Kenseth. They are the only two active drivers that have won this race twice in their careers and each of them will be hoping to win their third, as nobody has ever won three in this race. Both Hendrick Motorsports and Richard Childress Racing have had four winners in this event and Chevrolet has been the best manufacturer here, as 10 drivers have won driving in one of their cars. With that out of the way, let’s now take a look at some of the best plays coming into this one:

Divers To Watch

Martin Truex Jr. (6-to-1) - Martin Truex Jr. is not the favorite to win this race and that is truly puzzling. Truex Jr. is as hot as could be coming into this one, as he has now won two of the past three Sprint Cup races and that other finish was a third place finish in the Federated Auto Parts 400 two races ago. Normally a guy driving this well would not be getting favorable odds like 6-to-1, so it’s important to jump on it while the opportunity is there. He also happens to be coming off an eighth-place finish at the Bad Boy Off Road 300, so he should be able to improve upon that one and be a serious threat to win on Sunday.

Matt Kenseth (8-to-1) - As previously mentioned, Kenseth has won this race twice in his career (2013, 2015). One of those wins was last year and one could do a lot worse than getting a defending champion at 8-to-1. Kenseth also happens to be driving pretty well coming into this one. He finished in ninth at Chicagoland last week and sixth at the Bojangles’ Southern 500 three races ago. With his last top-five finish coming seven weeks ago, look for Kenseth to be extremely determined in this one and don’t be afraid to put a few units on him.

Chase Elliott (18-to-1) - Chase Elliott has not yet won his first Sprint Cup Series race, but it’s very possible that he does so on Sunday. Elliott has been driving like an absolute stud lately, as he came in second at the Pure Michigan 400 four races ago and third at Chicagoland last week. Elliott’s confidence must be sky high right now, so putting a unit or two on him could end up paying off huge. He certainly needs a victory on Sunday, so he’ll be very determined on the track.

Ryan Newman (50-to-1) - When looking for somebody with a chance to really pay off huge on Sunday, look no further than Newman. As previously mentioned, Newman has won this event twice in his career (2002, 2005). While those may not be wins that came in recent years, he still clearly has some level of comfort when racing in New Hampshire. He finished in 10th here a year ago and is worth putting a half-unit on this Sunday.