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Sprint All-Star Race News and Notes

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Odds & Ends - All-Star Race

Loop Data

Below are some top statistical performers in the NASCAR Sprint All-Star Race since the inception of Loop Data in 2005:

Kurt Busch (No. 2 Miller Lite-Vortex Dodge)

# Average Running Position of 8.8, eighth-best
# Driver Rating of 85.0, 12th-best
# 12 Fastest Laps Run, 11th-most
# 105 Green Flag Passes, 12th-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 177.727 mph, 12th-fastest
# 377 Laps in the Top 15 (82.0%), seventh-most
# 105 Quality Passes (passes of cars in the top 15 under green), 10th-most

Kyle Busch (No. 18 M&M's Toyota)

# Average Running Position of 8.5, seventh-best
# Driver Rating of 106.3, third-best
# 45 Fastest Laps Run, third-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 179.027 mph, second-fastest

Carl Edwards (No. 99 Aflac Ford)

# Average Running Position of 9.3, ninth-best
# Driver Rating of 90.7, eighth-best
# 22 Fastest Laps Run, ninth-most
# 119 Green Flag Passes, ninth-most
# 333 Laps in the Top 15 (87.6%), 10th-most
# 112 Quality Passes, ninth-most

Jeff Gordon (No. 24 DuPont Chevrolet)

# Average Running Position of 7.3, fourth-best
# Driver Rating of 94.7, sixth-best
# 49 Fastest Laps Run, second-most
# 124 Green Flag Passes, eighth-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 178.488 mph, fourth-fastest
# Series-high 435 Laps in the Top 15 (94.6%)
# 123 Quality Passes, fifth-most

Kevin Harvick (No. 29 Pennzoil Ultra Chevrolet)

# Average Running Position of 10.5, 12th-best
# Driver Rating of 86.2, 11th-best
# 11 Fastest Laps Run, 12th-most
# 119 Green Flag Passes, ninth-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 177.688 mph, 13th-fastest
# 307 Laps in the Top 15 (66.7%), 12th-most
# 97 Quality Passes, 12th-most

Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Lowe's Chevrolet)

# Average Running Position of 6.2, second-best
# Driver Rating of 109.7, second-best
# Series-high 61 Fastest Laps Run
# 136 Green Flag Passes, fourth-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 178.873 mph, third-fastest
# 433 Laps in the Top 15 (94.1%), second-most
# 124 Quality Passes, third-most

Matt Kenseth (No. 17 Crown Royal Ford)

# Average Running Position of 6.5, third-best
# Driver Rating of 102.4, fourth-best
# 30 Fastest Laps Run, sixth-most
# 125 Green Flag Passes, seventh-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 178.128 mph, seventh-fastest
# 418 Laps in the Top 15 (90.9%), third-most
# 118 Quality Passes, seventh-most

Mark Martin (No. 5 Delphi-GoDaddy.com Chevrolet)

# Average Running Position of 7.4, fifth-best
# Driver Rating of 96.8, fifth-best
# 34 Fastest Laps Run, fourth-most
# 111 Green Flag Passes, 11th-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 178.429 mph, fifth-fastest
# 399 Laps in the Top 15 (86.7%), fifth-most
# 101 Quality Passes, 11th-most

Ryan Newman (No. 39 Tornados Chevrolet)

# Average Running Position of 7.8, sixth-best
# Driver Rating of 92.7, seventh-best
# 20 Fastest Laps Run, 10th-most
# 128 Green Flag Passes, sixth-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 178.013 mph, eighth-fastest
# 389 Laps in the Top 15 (84.6%), sixth-most
# 119 Quality Passes, sixth-most

Tony Stewart (No. 14 Burger King Chevrolet)

# Average Running Position of 10.9, 13th-best
# Driver Rating of 87.0, 10th-best
# 145 Green Flag Passes, second-most
# Average Green Flag Speed of 177.984 mph, ninth-fastest
# 327 Laps in the Top 15 (71.1%), 11th-most
# 124 Quality Passes, third-most

Charlotte Motor Speedway Data

Track Size: 1.5 miles

# Banking/Corners: 24 degrees
# Banking/Straights: 5 degrees
# Frontstretch: 1,980 feet
# Backstretch: 1,500 feet

 
Posted : May 19, 2010 9:54 pm
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All-Star Weekend Preview
By Micah Roberts

The NASCAR All-Star race was the brilliant creation of former Charlotte Motor Speedway President Humpy Wheeler, one of the greatest marketers in the history of sports. He created the concept as a means to excite the motor sports world and entice more curiosity for the Coca-Cola 600 because that race was always going head to head with the Indy 500.

Since getting NASCAR and the sponsorship of RJ Reynolds on board, the race and the unique format has more than did as it was intended and in way has helped place NASCAR where it is today. The Indy 500 is less than two weeks away, yet no one is paying attention while all eyes are focused on this weeks race, which is essentially a non-point exhibition race.

From a betting stand point in Las Vegas, as NASCAR began to take off in the sports books, Wheeler was always paid close attention to for his famed All-Star race predictions. His selection would always come a day or two before the race and when to pick was announced, odds were quickly shuffled to reflect the respect of his choice.

At one juncture Wheeler had picked an amazing 9 of 14 winners, before finally ending his picking career in 2008 with a mark of 10 winners out of 19. The greatest thing about Wheeler’s picks were that he rarely ever chose the favorite. He chose Dale Earnhardt Jr to win in 2000 during his rookie season when Junior had opening odds of 20 to 1 on him and he was right on the money.

Wheeler had a method to his picks and why he was so good.

"I wish I could say that I have famed mystic powers," said Wheeler, "I don't. What I did, was my office during most of the time I was there, I could see the cars going through the third and fourth turns. So while I was talking on the phone, I'd revert back to my tire days and I would get my stopwatch out. Knowing all those guys were playing games while they were practicing, they don't play games when they're in the corners. So I'd take their corner speeds. So I would have a pretty good idea of who was going the fastest, particularly when they made their longer runs, which usually was 10 laps."

"And I began to get a picture for who had the fastest race cars. And also, getting down into the pits and talking to the guys about what was going on helped a lot. Of course, we all know guys lie terribly down there. There's no sin about lying how fast you are, because everybody tells you their car doesn't work well. They don't want anybody chasing them. But you can't hide from the stopwatch. So I guess that's the best explanation I could give you for that."

That type of information gained wasn't out there the way it is today with the internet. Practice speeds and times over a certain amount of laps are the name of the game today and what is used by bettors and bookmakers alike to get the best weekly read on who will do well for each race. Prior to the wide world web of information, past history and current state of a team were the focal points in placing odds on a driver. Knowing that Wheeler was doing serious work at the track for the betterment of his personal record, just like a bettor would, and then to see his predictions come true, made him sort of a legend to myself in my early initial days of creating NASCAR odds.

I used to handicap not only the All-Star race, but also try to handicap who Humpy was going to pick. As soon as the announcements were made, I’d have the information quickly thanks to a friend who worked in the Charlotte Motor Speedway PR department. By the time the rest of the NASCAR world had to read about it the next day, I already had the juicy tip and the odds were properly adjusted to reflect the messiah‘s choice.

In light of Wheeler no longer affiliated with the event, and to keep his genius alive, this week I am going to try and do my best to handicap who Humpy Wheeler would have taken this week.

Without seeing any practice, we have to first take a look at who was good on the similar 1.5-mile sister tracks of Las Vegas, Atlanta, and Texas. All three of the tracks are similar to Charlotte in configuration and banking.

By using that model, five drivers come to mind immediately based on their performance, with two others who are wild cards. The first one that immediately comes up is Jeff Gordon just because he had the best cars at Texas and Las Vegas. Even though he didn’t win any of those races, the consistency is what might have caught Wheeler’s eye.

Wheeler has always had pretty good luck with Gordon as he correctly picked him twice to win in the past out of the three All-Star races Gordon did win. The format of the race should be to Gordon’s liking, especially the last 10 laps where they’ll have to take a mandatory four-tire change before restarting. He’s got one of the best pit crews in NASCAR and they should be able to help him get a quick stop.

The only negative for Gordon is the restarting part, a place that Gordon has been repeatedly beat out of wins this season. Let’s see how much more motivated Gordon can be with a $1 Million dollar carrot dangling in front of his windshield.

Unlike all the other major sports where their athletes loaf around going through the motions during their All-Star events, NASCAR’s event has them racing for hard core cash, a better prize amount than every race other than the Daytona 500.

The next bunch of drivers Humpy might look at include Jimmie Johnson, Kevin Harvick, Kasey Kahne, and Kurt Busch.

Johnson won at Las Vegas and finished second at Texas. He hasn’t had a win yet in the seven races since the new spoiler has been in place, but he did have the great Texas run with it on. He’s a two-time All-Star winner, one of which Humpy correctly picked. Lowe’s no longer sponsors the Speedway, so perhaps Johnson wants to get his car’s sponsor a little more air time with a win this week.

Harvick and Kahne are the only drivers to finish in the top-10 of all three 1.5-mile tracks this season. For Kahne, those three races are his only top-10’s of the season. Kahne is a winner from two years ago which may give Wheeler some sentimental value because it was the last time he gave out a selection as President of the track. However, in that race, he chose Carl Edwards to win.

Harvick may be a good look for Humpy just because of his close ties to Richard Childress and the late Dale Earnhardt. It was Wheeler who gave Earnhardt his first shot at driving in NASCAR after he brokered a deal that fell through which was to have Willy T. Ribbs drive a car. Ribbs never showed up leaving the car with no driver close to race day. Wheeler suggested that “the Earnhardt boy” take over and the rest is history.

Harvick won this race in 2007 and has shown this season to have lots of horsepower on these type of tracks. Harvick is also a driver who can really get after it in the late 10 lap dash.

Kurt Busch won in Atlanta the last two seasons and is someone to take very seriously in this race; that is if his brother doesn’t wreck him like he did in 2007. In that race, Kurt Busch had just taken over second-place in the final segment when Kyle Busch made a bold move that wrecked both of them.

The two wild cards are the hottest drivers on tour right now, Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. A Joe Gibbs driver has never won the All-Star race, but these guys are too hot right now to ignore and both are the best in the business on restarts.

After all is said and done, I believe Humpy Wheeler would have taken Jeff Gordon this week just because he’s way overdue with the type of cars he's been given. Wheeler would also be quick to note that every year Gordon has won the All-Star race, he’s gone on to win the Championship too.

Sprint Showdown Prediction
(Qualifying race: First two finishers get in and another will be voted in by the fans):
1) #42 Juan Pablo Montoya (5/1)
2) #16 Greg Biffle (5/1)
3) #99 Carl Edwards (6/1)
4) #98 Paul Menard (25/1)
5) #33 Clint Bowyer (8/1)

All-Star Race Prediction:
1) #24 Jeff Gordon (6/1)
2) #9 Kasey Kahne (15/1)
3) #29 Kevin Harvick (15/1)
4) #48 Jimmie Johnson (5/1)
5) #18 Kyle Busch (6/1)

 
Posted : May 20, 2010 11:02 am
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Sprint Cup All-Star Race: NASCAR Betting Preview
By Greg Engle

NASCAR’s annual All-Star event is unlike any race on the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series schedule. Not only are there no points towards the season ending championship awarded, but not every driver will race Saturday night.

Only past winners of the event, along with those who have won a Sprint Cup race in the last year are eligible. That doesn’t mean a non-winner won’t make it in. There is a qualifying race prior to the main event and the top two drivers will transfer to the main All-Star event, along with a driver voted in by the fans.

No points and a million dollars to win - expect the unexpected in NASCAR’s All Star Event Saturday night.

How it works

Unlike a normal race, the All Star event is broken up into four segments. Segment 1 is 50 laps, with a mandatory green-flag pit stop on Lap 25 during which teams must change all four tires. Segment 2 is 20 laps. Segment 3 is 20 laps with a 10-minute break after it ends. During the break, teams may make normal pit-stop adjustments. The Segment 3 finishing order determines the lineup for the pace lap prior to the start of Segment 4, a 10-lap shootout that counts only green-flag laps.

There is an added element this season. Once the field takes a lap behind the pace car prior to the start of Segment 4, all cars must enter pit road for a four-tire stop. Their order exiting pit road determines how they’ll line up for the 10-lap, shootout.

Who to watch

With no long runs, the entire event will be fast and furious. Despite this, the same favorites at Charlotte should rise to the top.

Jimmie Johnson (+450)

Johnson is dangerous everywhere but more so at Charlotte and in the All-Star event. Johnson has won it twice and has six wins overall here. His last win came here last fall and another win at Charlotte Saturday night is definitely not out of the question.

Jeff Gordon (+500)

Gordon has won the event three times. He was fourth in the fall and although he hasn’t won a race this season, look for Gordon’s aggressiveness to be more in evidence than it has been at any other race so far this year.

Tony Stewart (+1500)

Stewart has been struggling everywhere this year. But with no points on the line and a sting of mediocre finishes so far this season, look for Stewart to let it all hang out. Stewart is the defending winner of this event and last year’s win marked his first as a team owner and launched him to a total of four points paying wins last season. Stewart will do everything he can to take the checkered flag Saturday night.

Who to watch in the Showdown

Prior to the main event, a total of 29 drivers will race in hopes of being among the Top 2 finishers in the 40-lap Sprint Showdown and transfer to the main event.

There are some top names in the field hoping to race their way into main event and a shot for a million dollars, including several who have made the field before.

Greg Biffle (+450)

Biffle has had some strong runs this season and when his team is on their game they can be a threat.

Carl Edwards (+450)

Edwards has been quietly becoming competitive again and has a decent overall record at Charlotte with four Top-5 and seven Top-10 finishes. Look for Edwards to come alive and charge towards the front Saturday night.

Jeff Burton (+350)

Burton is in the midst of a comeback season. He has three wins at Charlotte, his latest coming only two years ago. It would be a surprise to many if Burton wasn’t able to race his way into the main show and no surprise If Burton won it all.

 
Posted : May 21, 2010 8:58 pm
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All-Star Qualifying Washed Out

CONCORD, N.C. - Kurt Busch will start from the pole in the NASCAR Sprint All-Star race after rain washed out qualifying at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

The lineup for the race was determined off the qualifying draw, which will put Joey Logano on the front row with Busch.

“It feels great," Busch said about landing the pole. "It puts us that much closer to a million dollars. Just to have track position early on in the race and to get a good feel for how the car will handle out front, I’m excited about it. Sometimes, it’s better to be lucky than good."

Denny Hamlin, who will have the first pit stall based on the No. 11 Team's win in the Pit Crew challenge, will have to go to the rear of the field after losing an engine in practice. He was scheduled to start 12th.

Rain also washed out qualifying for the Sprint Showdown after 25 of the 29 cars posted a time.

Juan Pablo Montoya was on the top spot with a speed of 188.055 mph, but drops to 15th based on the draw.

David Ragan, who qualified in the 12th spot, went out first in qualifying and will now take the pole.

Max Papis, Sam Hornish Jr., Kevin Conway and Greg Biffle will round out the top five starters.

 
Posted : May 21, 2010 8:59 pm
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