3DW Line Moves – Crucial Betting Info
By Doug Upstone
Sports bettors look to get over the hump of another work week and have chosen four specific contests they believe will show positive results. Two involve money line action in the National League and the totals are split evenly among both leagues. Check out the latest top information and see which contest I believe the betting public is dead wrong one.
MLB- San Francisco at Philadelphia 7:05 EDT
The Phillies enhanced their postseason ambitions last night, drubbing San Francisco 9-3, building on wild card lead over the Giants and Cardinals while trying to hunt down Atlanta in the NL East. The pitching matchup of Joe Blanton (4-6, 5.69 ERA) and Matt Cain (9-9, 3.11) has those betting on sports thinking runs scored. This NL encounter was 8.5 on the overnight line and it was bumped up to 9 before the sun came up on the West Coast. Blanton is exhibit one why this total could go beyond the number with 13-5 OVER mark in his starts, plus he and the Phils are 9-2 OVER after as win. Cain of San Fran usually is involved in lower scoring affairs (14-8 Under this year), however it is worth noting he is 6-1 OVER against the NL East. Every single day take time to check the latest baseball and football numbers at SBGGlobal.com.
MLB- Florida at Pittsburgh 7:05 EDT
Josh Johnson has gone from Cy Young contender to Zach Duke look-alike in three starts. Johnson (10-5, 2.27) had a 12-start stretch where he had miniscule 0.75 ERA, but has been throwing beach balls up to hitters of late and is 0-2 with 6.75 ERA in previous trio of trips to toe the rubber. Those setting the lines had the Marlins at -199 on the money line, but baseball bettors don’t like the way Johnson is trending, even against Pittsburgh and has the Fish at -168 or less. Let’s be truthful, every pitcher is going to have a few bumps over the course of the season and you can’t overlook the fact that Johnson and the Marlins are 21-5 when he has normal four days rest. Russ Ohlendorf (1-9, 3.95) has pitched better than his record; however he’s only pitched eight innings once in his last 22 starts, which leaves the Bucs bullpen ripe to be picked. Ohlendorf and Pitt are 3-11 off a loss and 1-9 in Game 3 of a series.
MLB- Chic. White Sox at Minnesota 8:10 EDT
While most visiting the state of Minnesota love the recreational and vacation aspects, the Chicago White Sox hate it. The Sox continue to have many a sleepless night in Minneapolis, losing in extra innings to the Twins yesterday, which was their 20th defeat in the past 25 conflicts with their division rival at their joint. Former White Sox slugger Jim Thome's two-run homer in the bottom of the 10th inning sealed Chicago’s fate. Online sports betting fanatics have pushed the middle game of the series lower on the total. This important matchup began at 7.5 and proceeded downward to 7 with Gavin Floyd (8-9, 3.70) 7-1 UNDER in past eight starts and Francisco Liriano (11-7, 3.26) 13-3-1 UNDER with five days rest. Here’s a random number, the Twinkies are 15-3 on Hump Day in 2010.
MLB- Cincinnati at Arizona 9:40 EDT
Somebody please explain why the Reds have been jettisoned from -134 ML favorites to -120 or lower? The difference in talent and ability between the two clubs is roughly the size of the Grand Canyon and Edinson Volquez (3-1, 4.25) is 8-1 in road games in the second half of the season the last three years. (Reds record) The Cincy right-hander averages a strikeout per inning and the D-Backs swing and miss enough to help save on air conditioning costs at Chase Field with 10-30 mark vs. a starting pitcher who strikes out five or more batters per start this season. As Al Borland of “Tool Time” used to say, “I don’t think so Tim”.
3DW Bonus Info
Money Line Nugget
The New York Mets are 1-13 in road outings vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season.
Totals Nugget
Cleveland is 10-0 OVER in road games off a one run loss versus a division rival since 2008; with average total score 11.3 RPG.
Run Line Nugget
Colorado is 18-4 (+15.7 Units) against the run line with double revenge vs. opponent this year, winning by 2.4 RPG.