3DW Sports Betting Line Moves – Crucial Betting Info
By Doug Upstone
As the pennant races start to heat up in earnest, so do the opinions of baseball bettors going after the lines set by oddsmakers. For Tuesday, we’ll focus on two American League and two National League tilts that have drawn the most interest from sports betting strategists.
MLB- Houston at Philadelphia 7:05 EDT
Those craving online sports betting action are crushing the total on this NL matchup. The Astros and Phillies had a total of 8.5 before the first cup of coffee was poured this morning and before it had even cooled off, the total was tumbling towards 7.5. Cole Hamels has been pitching into rotten luck (7-10, 3.51 ERA) having lost three straight games. In those starts the Phillies have scored two total runs for Hamels which included a couple goose eggs. Hamels has the fifth-worst run support in baseball at 3.23 per game and is 15-5 UNDER in last 20 starts. Bud Norris might sound like a name from “Parks and Recreation”, however he is off two splendid outings, permitting four runs in 14 innings, with 18 K’s and 3 walks. The Astros have scored three or less runs in seven of last eight outings, yet are 28-12 OVER as road underdog of +200 or more, including six straight.
MLB- Kansas City at Detroit 7:05 EDT
After falling out of the AL Central race, Detroit has found an offensive groove and is destroying weak pitching. The Tigers have won four in a row over Cleveland and Kansas City, touching home plate an average of 7.7 times per contest. Detroit is at -169 on the money line or higher after beginning Tuesday at -156. The Tigers thrive on momentum and are 53-29 at home after a win over the last two seasons and are 23-5 as a favorite of -150 or more this year. The only potential loophole in this line movement is Royals starter Kyle Davies (6-7, 5.14) is 7-2 (+10.8 Units) as an underdog of +150 or more in 2010. (Royals Record)
MLB- Chic. Cubs at Washington 7:05 EDT MASN, WGN
Leave it to the Cubs. After a dismal 1-6 homestand, Chicago heads to our nation’s capital with a new person filling out the lineup card and seemingly overmatched yesterday. What do the Cubs do; batter Livan Hernandez like a piñata on the way to 9-1 victory. Carlos Zambrano (4-6, 4.97) has been quite wild in three starts since being suspended (15 W’s in 16 2/3 innings), but he’s avoided further trouble and has 2.70 ERA in trio of starts. With Chicago 3-11 in road games after scoring nine runs or more, sports betting mavens have the Cubs as +127 or higher ML underdogs, after starting at +116. John Lannon (5-5, 5.13) is going after his fourth consecutive triumph; nevertheless the Nationals offense has to be somewhat of a concern with 2-14 record after scoring one run or less two straight contests.
MLB – Minnesota at Texas 8:05 EDT
Texas pitchers limited Minnesota to one hit last night in 4-0 win and send Colby Lewis (9-10, 3.37) out to the mound to stifle the Twins again. The total has dropped from 9 to 8.5; with Lewis having a 3.20 ERA in his last six starts. He’ll be opposed by Carl Pavano (15-8, 3.52), who has hit a difficult stretch, as opposing teams are hitting .373 against him in four August outings after posting a .238 average against the right-hander the first four months of the campaign. Lewis is 14-5 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this year; however the Twinkies are 10-1 OVER after three tries where they had seven or less hits.
3DW Bonus Info
Money Line Nugget
Manager CHARLIE MANUEL’s Phillies are 86-44 on the ML vs. a NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450.
Totals Nugget
Manager JIM RIGGLEMAN’s Nationals are 25-7 UNDER after consecutive contests with no home runs.
Run Line Nugget
Manager JIM TRACY’s Rockies are 15-6 (+12.1 Units) against the run line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 3.8 or less runs a game on the season.
Thanks Clinton, good stuff as always. 🙂