DATE PITCHER TEAM ODDS UNITS WAGER
05/21/19 Z. WHEELER NYM -140 * $140 WAGER
05/21/19 T. CAHILL LAA -113 * $113 WAGER
For complete season recap go to: Https://computerpredictionrawnumbers.com
Predictions are normally posted at least one hour before our first game as we are odds sensitive.
DATE PITCHER TEAM ODDS UNITS WAGER
05/22/19 J. URENA MIA +102 * $100 WAGER
The second game M. FRIED -157 ATLANTA, is a no play for us at this time, but we will watch the odds. Atlanta opened at -130 and has got as high as -165, but is drifting back down. At -157 the Implied Odds are 61.7%, right now we are winning at a 76.7% clip for favorites, still a 15% win advantage, but if the odds drop to -150 or less we are on board for a 2 UNIT PLAY.
DATE PITCHER TEAM ODDS UNITS WAGER
05/22/19 J. URENA MIA +102 * $100 WAGER
MIAMI +102 is a WINNER!
The second game M. FRIED -157 ATLANTA, is a no play for us at this time, but we will watch the odds. Atlanta opened at -130 and has got as high as -165, but is drifting back down. At -157 the Implied Odds are 61.7%, right now we are winning at a 76.7% clip for favorites, still a 15% win advantage, but if the odds drop to -150 or less we are on board for a 2 UNIT PLAY.
DATE PITCHER TEAM ODDS UNITS WAGER
05/22/19 J. URENA MIA +102 * $100 WAGER
MIAMI +102 is a WINNER!
The second game M. FRIED -157 ATLANTA, is a no play for us at this time, but we will watch the odds. Atlanta opened at -130 and has got as high as -165, but is drifting back down. At -157 the Implied Odds are 61.7%, right now we are winning at a 76.7% clip for favorites, still a 15% win advantage, but if the odds drop to -150 or less we are on board for a 2 UNIT PLAY.
ATLANTA -158 is a 2-UNIT WINNER!
But not counted on our record because of odds
For complete season recap go to: computerpredictionrawnumbers.com
Notes on my scorecard:
No playable games for Thursday, and we never go for games that aren’t there.
This is a good opportunity to talk about some strategies. I have been making numbers since the Billy Walters days back in the early 1980’s. My private clients who wager $1,000 to $10,000 a game do a lot of line manipulation with online books.
I’m not endorsing anything, but the most important sportsbook is Pinnacle.com. You can track them on the internet on sites like SBR : https://classic.sportsbookreview.com.../mlb-baseball/ or other sites where you can compare odds.. Pinnacle is the BOSS, handling more bets than 10 other books, including Las Vegas. The big money goes to Pinnacle, who is honest in paying bets and the leader is sharp lines, from sharp bettors.
Betting line manipulators will bet the opposite team for smaller amounts, so they can come back near game time to crush the target team.
For instance. Our Atlanta game opened at -130 where they started slowing betting Atlanta until the line reached -168. They came back and took SF dropping the Atlanta line back down to -153. In the last few minutes before game time, the crushed ATLANTA driving it back up to close at -158. This is done daily, to get the most money down at the best price. A few cents may not mean much to you, but when your betting $5K, it adds up quickly. You don't want to get stuck betting on a team, an find out later you overbet a favorite or underbet a dog.
The morale of the story is watch Pinnacle in all sports and look for moves. Many times in basketball, they will have the best odds on the winner both favorite and dog. Line manipulators don't always win of course, but the do get the best line.
I have been booking and betting for 40 years in the northeast, we have a sports club here, comprised of 200 sharps/wiseguys and bookmakers more money passes through the northeast, both legal and illegal then any other place in the country and bookmaker is right there with pinnacle brother for payouts promotions etc. Trust me on that
Timmy,
That is great info. I have a home in Panama about 30 miles from Costa Rica. I have been to the Pinnacle office a few times and met some of the operation. Your probably correct about the money in the Northeast, the only big difference is pinnacle operates worldwide, and takes action from everywhere.
As you know many of the offshore books follow the Pinny lines, and do very little book making themselves. I want the forum members to simply watch the action, before diving in on bad lines from their local bookie or sportsbook. As you know, the sharps aren't always right, but the do everything to work certain games into their favor.
When I made numbers for B. Walters back in the 1980's, we had contact with some of those east coast shops to get better lines because of some teams locations. And your right, they pack a BIG punch with what they handle.
Thanks again Tim, that's great info.
It looks like one late game, for 2 Units. Check back later. The Cubs with Hendricks qualified, but the -175 is a bit too high.
05/24/19 D. Mengden -154 Oakland **
2-units wager $304
For complete season recap go to: https://www.computerpredictionrawnumbers.com/
Its rare i get a chance to respond, as far sharps and wiseguys don't. Win all the time, true but 1 thing I can say the pedestrian average Joe bettor will win with us every week you treat this like a pay check, plain and simple , from what I can gather i think you said you date back to the 80's, so back then you know where we all took our lines from
Right you are.
As you can see by my results, we have a slow steady win, nothing crazy, just consistent.
I was always the numbers guy, people like Walters were the front men who made the bets. I have been putting together numbers, for some big players for years. My income only came from commissions, I always let the money guys do the betting off my numbers.
Oakland's a WINNER for 2 Units!
New Season high $6,763
Saturday May 25, 2019
ATLANTA -115
M.SORKA
*One Unit – Bet $115
The big difference between my clients and yours, is mine want multiple plays if all I needed to was pick 1or 2 a day I would be on the golf course. But when you book bet and send info and have local and offshore you cant
Your right, My clients that risk big money, and are more interested in ROI, and win percentages. They don't mind fewer plays to guarantee winning weeks.
I guess it's just style. Some pro's that wager are happy to hit 55% during baseball and take profits that way, while others are looking for fewer plays and a high strike rate that I offer. Nothing wrong with either approach.
With a small profit each week of $700 to $1,500 average wins on $100 units, that transfers into $21,000 to $45,000 on $3,000 units.
I have a few extremely large players that play as much as $5,000 to $10,000 units which translate into weekly profits of $35,000 to $150,000. There not looking for action, only consistent weeks.
Every sport is different, certainly in College Football we have many more plays.