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added mlb plays 4 wed. 8/17

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(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

as u guys know by now there r many plays i write down, and then cross them off, every time i have done that this year, those plays have won, i did it yesterday with col. but came back with them as a play, and they came through, these r the 3 overs i crossed off, but am going with them after looking at them again overs- sea/angs minn/atl bos/balt

 
Posted : August 17, 2016 11:56 am
(@pizzaguy)
Posts: 26
Eminent Member
 

Hi Tim I've been following your picks, and reading your post. I was wondering if you could help me. I've been doing this for 2 yrs.I write down my thoughts on every game and over unders everyday, my sheet is better than 50% EVERY DAY, but I don't know witch ones to pick. With your experience I think you could help me narrow it down. My e mail is

Thanks
Pizzaguy

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 10:25 am
(@sharkey11)
Posts: 0
New Member Guest
 

not to steal tims thunder but if your hitting 50% and they are dogs or plus $$ odds then your answer is clear.

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 10:48 am
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

2 simplify everything i do mon. line only and overs in all sports, it makes it easier 4 me to break down games with a system i use, my theory is u are always in a game with an over bet, always, as far as what you r doing, it sounds like you are doing ok, but if you want to keep it simple just do overs and money line plays, you will cut your study time in half and plays you come up with, there will be no ? in your mind

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 11:07 am
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

your right sharkey , if he is making mon. line plays and hitting over 50% he doesn't need me, but if he wants to keep it simple just do overs and mon line plays

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 11:14 am
(@pizzaguy)
Posts: 26
Eminent Member
 

What bet on 40+ picks? every game? Not so much

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 12:23 pm
(@pizzaguy)
Posts: 26
Eminent Member
 

BUT all games don't go over, look at Monday. I'll put my paper on today

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 12:27 pm
(@pizzaguy)
Posts: 26
Eminent Member
 

Cubs under $
Brewers+270
Dodgers U9$
Phillies +127$
Marlins U7.5
Reds+142
Nats O9
Braves+125
D'Backs O8.5
Padres-113
Mets+136
Giants O6.5
Boston ML
Detroit Over 9.5
Astros U8.5
Orioles-113
White Sox U85$
Indians-180,-1.5$
Twins O9$
Royals-107$
Mariners+100$
Angels O8
Just my thoughts

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 12:34 pm
(@michael-cash)
Posts: 7610
Member Moderator
 

Holy cow. Even I couldn't afford to bet all these games. lol. This feels like I'm looking at our live odds feed.

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 12:40 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

r u fuckin crazy lol i know i put alot of plays out but i don't even look at that many plays, i use high era's,high whip's, and team runs scored per game, eg 1 of my plays 2 day bos/det bos highest scoring team in the league 6+ runs per game 2 high era's and whips, is this play guaranteed 2 go over, fuck no the only thing guaranteed is that we all go to the cemetary 1 day, but i am giving you the best of 37 years doing this, knowledge, breakdowns, y

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 1:02 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

hang online 4 a minute, i gotta put this bos/det play in

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 1:06 pm
(@pizzaguy)
Posts: 26
Eminent Member
 

That's what I was asking tim about... normally I w write 50% to 70%. BUT how to get down to the good ones. The ones I put dollar signs next to where the ones I thought were the best. Tim can seem 2 pick through his and find the top five or seven..And normally did very well I was asking his advice

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 1:11 pm
(@pizzaguy)
Posts: 26
Eminent Member
 

That's what I was looking for, I would never bet all those, but I do my homework. I'm learning how to read the lines. I started this playing nickels and dimes. Now I make a months pay in a week.I still have a lot to learn, BUT I KNOW I CAN BREAK THAT FUCKING BOOK.

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 1:17 pm
(@pizzaguy)
Posts: 26
Eminent Member
 

Hi Tim I've been following your picks, and reading your post. I was wondering if you could help me. I've been doing this for 2 yrs.I write down my thoughts on every game and over unders everyday, my sheet is better than 50% EVERY DAY, but I don't know witch ones to pick. With your experience I think you could help me narrow it down. My e mail is

Thanks
Pizzaguy

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 1:20 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 36449
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ok here we go 1 of your plays is bos they just came off balt series now at det 68% of the public is on det, which normally would make me swing towards bos. the only thing that held me back was det started at -105 and went up 2 -120, if it would have dropped to say 100 i would have been all over bos, but since it did not that becomes a no play 4 me, i refuse to lay and pay juice on mon line bets, the percentage play in that games was the over, do you follow me now,

 
Posted : August 18, 2016 1:24 pm
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