Friday 6/28/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
+EV: MLB 4u: 906 PHI/MIA un8.5 -110 (V Velasquez | E Hernandez) (Friday, June 28th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 916 CLE/BAL un9 -101 (M Clevinger | J Means) (Friday, June 28th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 904 New York Mets -115 (M Soroka | J deGrom) (Friday, June 28th)
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (911) St. Louis Cardinals at (912) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Jun 28 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Diego Padres -115
View Analysis
Wacha v. Lauer
Will post full analysis later...did not want to miss this price which will. not. last.
Sneak : Wacha allows a .429 wOBA to right handed hitters...ahem...like Machado!
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Stephen Oh
Kansas City +100 Duffy
Milwaukee -152
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Champ MLB betting system for Friday June 28:
Phillies {A** Bet on the Money Line - This is a confirmed official betting series.
Pirates {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series.
White Sox {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series.
Colorado Rockies {B** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series.
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BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JUNE 28)
The model has 3 totals and 4 sides. The model has 2 games with a side and total play in the same game.
904 .5* ATL/NYM u7.5 -125
904 .67* NYM -115
909 .67* LAD -182
913 .5* ARI/SF o8 +100
914 .5* SF -102
918 .5* TOR +105
928 .5* WAS/DET u10 -115
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Larry Hartstein
TEXAS +173
TEXAS @ TAMPA BAY | 6/28 | 7:10 PM EDT
8:52 AM
This money line provides incredible value. The Rays bullpen is gassed after playing an 18-inning marathon on Thursday at Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Rangers are on a five-game winning streak and start Lance Lynn, who's looking to win his 10th game this season. Take Texas at a terrific price.
17-6 IN LAST 23 MLB ML PICKS | +1101
16-11 IN LAST 27 TB ML PICKS | +400
3-1 IN LAST 4 TEX ML PICKS | +170
ATLANTA +123
ATLANTA @ N.Y. METS | 6/28 | 7:10 PM EDT
8:45 AM
The Mets are in a freefall, losing five straight games. The bullpen alone has blown the last three. So even if Jacob deGrom reverts to his Cy Young form (a big if), I'm not betting that the bullpen will be able to close it out. All reports say that Braves starter Mike Soroka (8-1, 2.07 ERA) is fine after being hit in the forearm with a pitch. Give me the NL East leaders getting plus money.
17-6 IN LAST 23 MLB ML PICKS | +1101
36-14 IN LAST 50 NYM ML PICKS | +1850
13-10 IN LAST 23 ATL ML PICKS | +60
PITTSBURGH +133
PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE | 6/28 | 8:10 PM EDT
8:18 AM
The Pirates can't be stopped right now. They've won six of seven and just stomped the Astros, 24-2, in the last two games. Meanwhile the Brewers have lost seven of 10 and just dropped two of three to the lowly Mariners. Pittsburgh starter Chris Archer (3-6, 5.56 ERA) has underperformed this season, but he's coming off a quality start (one run, two hits, 5.0 innings) against San Diego. Ride the hot hand.
17-6 IN LAST 23 MLB ML PICKS | +1101
14-5 IN LAST 19 MIL ML PICKS | +950
6-3 IN LAST 9 PIT ML PICKS | +215
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Picks 6/28
100* Nationals -150
100* Mets -130
100* Over 8.5 Padres/Cardinals
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Stephen Oh
KANSAS CITY -100
KANSAS CITY @ TORONTO | 6/28 | 7:07 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:04 PM
In a clash of American League bottom feeders, my numbers see value on the Royals as a slight underdog when they visit the Blue Jays on Friday. My data has Kansas City winning in 57 percent of simulations, a solid overlay versus the price. The Royals are 4-1 in their last five coming off a loss and also 4-1 behind Danny Duffy against losing opponents. The Blue Jays are 1-7 in their past eight home contests.
102-61 IN LAST 163 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
30-15 IN LAST 45 KC ML PICKS | +1828
38-21 IN LAST 59 TOR ML PICKS | +1772
MILWAUKEE -154
PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE | 6/28 | 8:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:59 PM
My numbers see the Brewers cooling off the Pirates when they kick off their series opener Friday. My data has Milwaukee winning in 73 percent of simulations and by nearly two full runs in those contest, justifying a play at the moderate price. Milwaukee has won five straight home meetings in this series and is on a 7-2 sput against NL Central opponents.
102-61 IN LAST 163 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
15-3 IN LAST 18 PIT ML PICKS | +1283
10-5 IN LAST 15 MIL ML PICKS | +530
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Newworldinsiders
TEXAS INSIDER: Rays OV 8
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Greg Shaker
3*
Colorado / LA DODGERS over 11.5
2*
San Francisco / Arizona over 7.5
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Spartan
2*Rabid Dog Release.
Pittsburgh +140
1*
Washington -154
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Ben Burns
3*
New York Mets -118
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DAVE ESSLER
3*
New York Mets / Atlanta over 7.5
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ROCKY ATKINSON
2*
Arizona -105
3*
Washington -146
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Stephen Nover
2*
Montreal +13
3*
Oakland +125
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FEZZIK
3*
New York Mets -130
2*
Detroit / Washington under 10.5
Bonus World Cup!
Usa/France UNDER 2.5 -130 2*
1st half USA/France UNDER 1-125 2*
USA/Spain SOMEHOW got to 3 goals, giving us tremendou¨s value here.
NO WAY that game should have gotten to 3 goals.
I expect a 0-0 game here for a LONG time, LOVE the UNDERS!
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CleInsiderSports (5-3 L5 days)
MLB
Blue Jays ML (-120)
Phillies/Marlins UNDER 8
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LV Wolf
stl +105
NYM -140
over 12 col
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Consensus (3-9 L4 days)
MLB
5u Cubs ML (-117)
5u Cubs/Reds UNDER 9
5u Blue Jays ML (-120)
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Billy Coleman
TOP PLAY Star Cubs
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Alan Scozzari
A Wager Africa Cup Nations Ivory Coast 0 -109
A Wager Ireland Premier Division Waterford – Bohemians UNDER 2 2,5 -104
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #908 Milwaukee -155 (Chacin)
+EV: MLB 4u: 919 Texas Rangers +120 (L Lynn | Y Chirinos) (Friday, June 28th)
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Vince Akins (10-5 L5 days)
MLB Trend Plays
Mets ML (-140)
Indians ML (-200)
Twins ML
Indians/Orioles UNDER 9
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Miller locks
7:10 pm est mlb
texas rangers vs. Tampa bay rays
pick: Texas rangers (+118)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
chicago cubs vs. Cincinnati reds
pick: Chicago cubs (-125)
risk: 11 units
8:40 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Colorado rockies
pick: Los angeles dodgers -1.5 (-131)
risk: 11 units
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Johnny Bollman
OAKLAND +128
OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 6/28 | 10:07 PM EDT
11:25 AM
Noe Ramirez is opening for Felix Pena who has a 4.68 ERA this season. In two games against the Athletics, he has gone 5.1 innings giving up 11 earned runs. Mike Fiers is 7-3 with a 4.2 ERA and he has thrown seven straight quality starts winning five straight games. In two games against the Angels this season, he has thrown 12 innings giving up only three earned runs. The Angels are only 15-12 as the home favorite while the Athletics are 10-13 as the road underdog. Take the value in the As.
51-29 IN LAST 80 MLB PICKS | +1468
8-4 IN LAST 12 OAK ML PICKS | +451
6-4 IN LAST 10 LAA ML PICKS | +53
TEXAS +117
TEXAS @ TAMPA BAY | 6/28 | 7:10 PM EDT
11:23 AM
Lance Lynn is 9-4 with a 4.32 ERA this season and he had thrown eight consecutive quality starts before his last outing. Yonny Chirinos is 7-3 with a 3.0 ERA and 1-2 with a 3.16 ERA in June. The Rangers have been playing well winning five in a row, while the Rays are back home for the first game after a long road trip with their bullpen completely taxed after an 18-inning game yesterday. The Rays are actually slightly worse at home than on the road, and they are 5-5 when Chirinos starts while the Rangers are 10-6 when Lance Lynn starts. Take the value in the Rangers.
51-29 IN LAST 80 MLB PICKS | +1468
8-0 IN LAST 8 TEX ML PICKS | +812
4-2 IN LAST 6 TB ML PICKS | +204
WASHINGTON -154
WASHINGTON @ DETROIT | 6/28 | 7:10 PM EDT
11:22 AM
Anibal Sanchez is 3-6 with a 4.02 ERA including 3-0 with a 2.47 ERA since returning from the IL. Daniel Norris is 2-6 with a 4.69 ERA including 0-3 with a 5.59 ERA in June. The Nationals have the fifth highest OPS in the league against lefties, while the Tigers have the second worst OPS in the league against righties. The Tigers have lost seven in a row and the Nats are 8-2 in their last 10. Adding a DH will only help the Nationals lineup that is tied for fifth in runs scored in the last seven days. Lay the road favorite.
51-29 IN LAST 80 MLB PICKS | +1468
9-0 IN LAST 9 DET ML PICKS | +900
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS ML PICKS | +82
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Larry Hartstein
SAN DIEGO -120
ST. LOUIS @ SAN DIEGO | 6/28 | 10:10 PM EDT
2:21 PM
The Cardinals really struggle versus lefties and this is a reasonable price on the host Padres. St. Louis is 6-15 as a road dog this season. Michael Wacha has been shellacked in two of his last three road starts. Lay it.
17-6 IN LAST 23 MLB ML PICKS | +1101
32-11 IN LAST 43 SD ML PICKS | +1655
6-4 IN LAST 10 STL ML PICKS | +94
Zack Cimini
ARIZONA -109
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 6/28 | 10:15 PM EDT
10:34 AM
On Friday, the Diamondbacks and Giants will meet in the second game of their series. With both teams searching for direction, look for Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly to have the edge. Kelly has posted a 2.36 ERA in the month of June and has two quality starts against the Giants this season. Grab the Diamondbacks.
33-22 IN LAST 55 MLB ML PICKS | +972
22-16 IN LAST 38 ARI ML PICKS | +510
CLEVELAND -188
CLEVELAND @ BALTIMORE | 6/28 | 7:05 PM EDT
10:28 AM
Baltimore has lost 13 of its last 14 games. On Friday the Orioles will attempt to get their first home win since June 11 when they face the Cleveland Indians. Righty Mike Clevinger returns from his second stint on the DL to start on Friday for Cleveland. Lean on Clevinger’s strong arm and the Orioles' inability to contain teams to produce another loss for Baltimore.
33-22 IN LAST 55 MLB ML PICKS | +972
21-13 IN LAST 34 BAL ML PICKS | +675
12-7 IN LAST 19 CLE ML PICKS | +419
N.Y. METS -140
ATLANTA @ N.Y. METS | 6/28 | 7:10 PM EDT
10:22 AM
The Mets have continued to get in their own way with late-inning blunders to produce losses. A positive for the Mets is that they now return home after a lengthy three-series, 11-game road trip. Their opponent will be the red-hot Braves, whom they faced to begin the trip. On June 18 against Atlanta, Mets starter Jacob deGrom gave up two runs in 8.1 innings in a New York victory. Grab the Mets to begin their home stand with a win.
33-22 IN LAST 55 MLB ML PICKS | +972
7-2 IN LAST 9 NYM ML PICKS | +480
14-9 IN LAST 23 ATL ML PICKS | +401
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Micah Roberts
OVER 12.5 L.A. DODGERS @ COLORADO | 6/28 | 8:40 PM EDT
10:36 AM
Hyun Jin Ryu isn't going to give up much, but the Dodgers bats love Coors Field and I'm not sure Antonio Senzatela is looking forward to another home start, It was just 16 days ago when he gave up eight runs in four innings. Three of the Dodgers four games at Coors have seen them score double-digit runs. They've also won all seven games against the Rockies this season. Take the Over.
10-4-1 IN LAST 15 MLB O/U PICKS | +547
18-7-2 IN LAST 27 COL O/U PICKS | +1065
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Exodus to Black
MLB
Brewers-150
Mets-138
Padres-115
CFL
Hamilton under 58
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JR ODONNELL
3*
San Diego -117
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Goodfella
3*
San Diego -115
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
BAL F5 +.5 +110 3u
MLB Season: 56-67-7 46% -51.75 units
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Oskeim MLB
4% Phillies -135
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VSI
MLB FRIDAY 8 Unit TOTAL GOTY*
Oakland Under 10
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+EV: CFL 4u: 683 Montreal Alouettes +13 -107 (Friday, June 28th)
+EV: CFL 4u: 684 MON/HAM un58 -110 (Friday, June 28th)
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