Friday 7/12/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
Champ MLB system bets.
Below are the Champ MLB Betting System picks for tomorrow on Friday the 12th:
Phillies {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series.
Mets {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series.
Blue Jays {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter.
As with all bets under the Champ MLB Betting System, remember that if the {A** bet does not win, please automatically go to the {B** bet the next day, and same with the potential {C** bet the day after
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+EV: MLB 4u: 911 Cincinnati Reds +112 (S Gray | J Gray) (Friday, July 12th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 929 Los Angeles Dodgers -110 (K Maeda | E Rodriguez) (Friday, July 12th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 918 Baltimore Orioles +135 (Y Chirinos | D Bundy) (Friday, July 12th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 903 Washington Nationals -133 (S Strasburg | N Pivetta) (Friday, July 12th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 909 Arizona Diamondbacks +111 (R Ray | A Wainwright) (Friday, July 12th)
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB
Top 3* Plays
Giants/Brewers Over 9.5
Padres/Braves Over 8.5
1* Yankees -1.5 runs
1* Cardinals -1.5 runs
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Spartan
3*INTERLEAGUE GOY
LA DODGERS -103
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BEN BURNS
3*
Oakland -176
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STEPHEN NOVER
3*
Atlanta -108
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Alan Scozzari
B WAGER Romania Liga 1 Voluntari – Sepsi UNDER 2 -104
A WAGER Czech Republic 1. Liga Jablonec -0,5 -1 -129
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DAVE ESSLER
3*
San Diego / Atlanta over 8.5
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Stephen Oh
UNDER 12 CINCINNATI @ COLORADO | 7/12 | 8:40 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:27 PM
My data projects just nine runs crossing the plate Friday between the Reds and Rockies, providing a massive value position on the Under against a total of 12. Cincinnati has played Under in eight of its last nine series openers and is 5-2 to the Under in road starts by Sonny Gray. Colorado has played Under in four straight and the Under also is on a 7-0 overall run in this matchup.
116-79 IN LAST 195 MLB PICKS | +3274
8-3-1 IN LAST 12 CIN O/U PICKS | +455
TAMPA BAY -150
TAMPA BAY @ BALTIMORE | 7/12 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:20 PM
My projections see the Rays beating the woeful Orioles nearly two-thirds of the time in their Friday meeting, making Tampa Bay worth the moderate price. I've got the Rays winning in 65 percent of simulations by a margin of 1.5 runs in those victories. Tampa Bay is 8-2 in its last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400, while Baltimore is 1-4 in its last five home outings behind Dylan Bundy against winning opponents.
110-72 IN LAST 182 MLB ML PICKS | +3486
28-14 IN LAST 42 TB ML PICKS | +1724
11-8 IN LAST 19 BAL ML PICKS | +149
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Larry Hartstein
WASHINGTON -145
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 7/12 | 6:05 PM EDT
12:16 AM
The Phillies' Nick Pivetta is 0-2 with a 7.33 ERA over his last four starts, giving up nine homers in that stretch. The Nats already have knocked him around twice this season. Lay it with Stephen Strasburg and the Nats.
30-15 IN LAST 45 MLB ML PICKS | +1412
16-6 IN LAST 22 PHI ML PICKS | +1024
22-11 IN LAST 33 WAS ML PICKS | +927
COLORADO -124
CINCINNATI @ COLORADO | 7/12 | 8:40 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:48 PM
Jon Gray is 4-1 with a 3.35 ERA at Coors Field, and the Rockies have won his last four home starts. Colorado went into the break on a six-game skid but should be refreshed and ready to handle the Reds, who are 17-25 on the road. Lay it.
30-15 IN LAST 45 MLB ML PICKS | +1412
31-17 IN LAST 48 CIN ML PICKS | +1107
22-14 IN LAST 36 COL ML PICKS | +478
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Johnny Bollman
COLORADO -129
CINCINNATI @ COLORADO | 7/12 | 8:40 PM EDT
9:21 AM
Sonny Gray is 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA this season but he has never pitched at Coors Field. Jon Gray is 9-6 with a 3.92 ERA this season and he is 4-1 with a 3.35 ERA at home. The Rockies are 24-19 at home while the Reds are 17-25 on the road. The Rockies are 18-9 as the home favorite while the Reds are 14-23 as the road underdog.
70-43 IN LAST 113 MLB PICKS | +1764
2-1 IN LAST 3 COL ML PICKS | +78
OAKLAND -190
CHI. WHITE SOX @ OAKLAND | 7/12 | 10:07 PM EDT
9:20 AM
Ivan Nova is 4-7 with a 5.58 ERA this season and he was 0-3 with a 4.89 ERA in June. Mike Fiers is 8-3 with a 3.87 ERA this season and 5-2 with a 2.91 ERA at home. The As are 18-11 as the home favorite while the White Sox are 14-23 as the road underdog. The As are 11-8 when Fiers starts while the White Sox are 7-10 when Nova starts. Lay the home favorite.
70-43 IN LAST 113 MLB PICKS | +1764
12-5 IN LAST 17 OAK ML PICKS | +805
ATLANTA -111
ATLANTA @ SAN DIEGO | 7/12 | 10:10 PM EDT
9:19 AM
Dallas Keuchel is 2-2 with a 3.6 ERA this season and he has gone at least seven innings only giving up two runs in each of his last two starts. Dinelson Lamet gave up three runs in his only start back from TJ surgery. The Padres are 15th in the league against lefties and the Braves are 14-5 as the road favorite. Lay the road favorite.
70-43 IN LAST 113 MLB PICKS | +1764
2-1 IN LAST 3 ATL ML PICKS | +97
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Zack Cimini
OVER 10.5 L.A. DODGERS @ BOSTON | 7/12 | 7:10 PM EDT
10:47 AM
This interleague series is a rematch of last year’s World Series in which the Red Sox torched the Dodgers pitching. Look for a continuation of last year’s World Series. Both Eduardo Rodriguez and Kenta Maeda are susceptible to early exits, which will put a burden on the bullpens. Grab the Over.
4-2 IN LAST 6 BOS O/U PICKS | +185
CHI. WHITE SOX +164
CHI. WHITE SOX @ OAKLAND | 7/12 | 10:07 PM EDT
10:42 AM
The White Sox will travel to Oakland to begin the second half of the MLB season. On the mound for the White Sox will be Ivan Nova, who is coming off a big underdog win against the Cubs in which he ended a seven-start winless streak. Value here lies with the White Sox as Oakland's Mike Fiers has not lost since May 1. Grab the White Sox.
38-28 IN LAST 66 MLB ML PICKS | +752
13-2 IN LAST 15 CHW ML PICKS | +1051
17-9 IN LAST 26 OAK ML PICKS | +872
MILWAUKEE -192
SAN FRANCISCO @ MILWAUKEE | 7/12 | 8:10 PM EDT
10:38 AM
The Brewers and Chase Anderson find themselves as a steep-priced favorite for the second time in less than a month against the Giants. In the prior matchup, Anderson delivered as a -135 favorite, helping limit the Giants to seven hits. Look for run support on Anderson’s side yet again as the Brewers come out of All-Star break with a win.
38-28 IN LAST 66 MLB ML PICKS | +752
9-6 IN LAST 15 MIL ML PICKS | +209
N.Y. METS -102
N.Y. METS @ MIAMI | 7/12 | 7:10 PM EDT
10:32 AM
Two teams that have continued to go backwards are the Miami Marlins and New York Mets. The Mets' pre-All-Star break slide was well documented; they are just 17-31 on the road. Mustering an effective outing will be a tough task for New York, but look for the Mets to get the upper hand and for the Marlins to drop their seventh loss in eight games.
38-28 IN LAST 66 MLB ML PICKS | +752
7-3 IN LAST 10 NYM ML PICKS | +340
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ML PICKS | +100
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Micah Roberts
PITTSBURGH +140
PITTSBURGH @ CHI. CUBS | 7/12 | 2:20 PM EDT
10:28 AM
The Cubs have lost four of Yu Darvish's last five starts, including his last three. His last outing was at Pittsburgh, and he gave up four runs. His start before that he allowed five runs to the Braves. And before that, it was four runs to the Mets. The Cubs have lost five of their last seven while the Bucs have won five of the last seven. Pittsburgh's Chris Archer is in his best form of the season with the Bucs winning six of his last seven starts. Pirates to win.
7-5 IN LAST 12 PIT ML PICKS | +343
10-7 IN LAST 17 CHC ML PICKS | +314
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Vegas Runner
4% Rafa Nadel ML
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SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP
Game: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 6:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Washington Nationals -136
View Analysis
LISTED PITCHERS
Game: (917) Tampa Bay Rays at (918) Baltimore Orioles
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -156
View Analysis
LISTED PITCHERS
Game: (911) Cincinnati Reds at (912) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Colorado Rockies -126
View Analysis
In their last two games before the break, the Reds lost 7-2 and 11-1. In their 11-1 loss, they combined to strand 20 baserunners. Cincinnati has not recovered well in this spot. The Reds are 0-8 SU as a road dog after a home game in which their hit-to-run ratio was higher than 2.75 and they are on at least a two-game losing streak. Cincinnati lost every one of the eight games by multiple runs and the average final score was 6.125 runs to 1.875 runs.
Jon Gray is off a sub-par outing. He went five innings and allowed eight hits and two walks. Some pitchers have trouble after a poor outing and others are focused and sharp. In his career, the Rockies are a perfect 12-0 at home with Jon Gray when he is off a start in which he had a WHIP higher than 1.80.
Colorado has won these dozen games by an average of 4.58 runs.
The Rockies are also 7-0 SU with rest as a home favorite in the first game of a series when they blew a lead in their starters the last start and lost, 8-0 SU as a favorite over an NL foe after they had six or fewer team-left-on-base, and 6-0 SU as a favorite after a loss in which they never led.
The Rockies are indeed on a long losing streak, and this is giving us huge line value. They are at home and ready to start picking up ground in the NFL wild-card race. Lay the short price with a starter that will take responsibility for getting his team to 500 on the season.
Game: (913) Atlanta Braves at (914) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Atlanta Braves -103
View Analysis
LISTED PITCHERS
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Accu Picks
MLB
3* #910 St. Louis -116 (Wainwright)
ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (901) Pittsburgh Pirates at (902) Chicago Cubs
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 2:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 9.5 (-113)
Game: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 6:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (+115)
Game: (919) Minnesota Twins at (920) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cleveland Indians -136
Game: (913) Atlanta Braves at (914) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Diego Padres -104
View Analysis
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Greg shaker
3*
Boston / LA DODGERS under 11
2*
St.louis -114
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JR ODONNELL
3*
Atlanta -110
3*
San Diego / Atlanta over 9
3*(cfl)
Toronto +14.5
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Fezzik
2*
Philadelphia / Washington under 9.5
2*
Miami / New York Mets under 8
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Miller locks
7:05 pm est mlb
toronto blue jays vs. New york yankees
pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-153)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Boston red sox
pick: Los angeles dodgers (+104)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
minnesota twins vs. Cleveland indians
pick: Minnesota twins (+121)
risk: 11 units
10:10 pm est mlb
atlanta braves vs. San diego padres
pick: San diego padres (-105)
risk: 11 units
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Picks 6/12
100*Rays -145
100* Marlins -110
100* Over 9 Indians/Twins
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BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 12)
The model has 3 totals and 1 sides. The model has 1 games with a side and total play in the same game.
903 .5* WAS -122
904 .5* WAS/PHI u9 +105
906 .5* NYM/MIA u8 -110
928 .5* CHW/OAK u9 -110
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Sleepyj
3*
Kansas City -137
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ANDRE GOMES
3*
San Diego / Atlanta over 9
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Accu Picks
MLB
3* #910 St. Louis -116 (Wainwright)
------------------------------------
Wainwright scratched tonight
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
BAL F5 +.5 -110
MLB Season: 65-69-7 49% -31.05 units (L14: 9-2 82% +20.70 units)
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+EV: WNBA 4u: 602 Indiana Fever +2.5 -105 (Friday, July 12th)
+EV: WNBA 4u: 604 Atlanta Dream +2.5 -105 (Friday, July 12th)
+EV: WNBA 4u: 606 PHO/CON un153.5 -110 (Friday, July 12th)
+EV: WNBA 4u: 608 NYL/CHI un163 -105 (Friday, July 12th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 925 Seattle Mariners +145 (1st 5 Innings) (M Leake ¡ T Cole) (Friday, July 12th)
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Larry Hartstein
Washington -145 Piv Str
Colorado -125 J Gray
ADDED
Atlanta -109 Keu
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Micah Roberts
PITTSBURGH +140
PITTSBURGH @ CHI. CUBS | 7/12 | 2:20 PM EDT
10:28 AM
The Cubs have lost four of Yu Darvish's last five starts, including his last three. His last outing was at Pittsburgh, and he gave up four runs. His start before that he allowed five runs to the Braves. And before that, it was four runs to the Mets. The Cubs have lost five of their last seven while the Bucs have won five of the last seven. Pittsburgh's Chris Archer is in his best form of the season with the Bucs winning six of his last seven starts. Pirates to win.
7-5 IN LAST 12 PIT ML PICKS | +343
10-7 IN LAST 17 CHC ML PICKS | +314
ADDED
Cleveland -142 Gib Cle
Boston -114 Mae Rod
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