Friday 7/5/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
Morrison
Now, let's go onward to the next bets for Champ MLB betting system for July 5th:
Tampa Bay Rays {B** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series. please automatically go to the {B** bet and same with the potential {C** bet the day after.
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Stephen Oh
MILWAUKEE -111
MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH | 7/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:52 PM
The Brewers are winning nearly 60 percent of my simulations, making them a strong play at this price. Against these same Pirates on June 30, Milwaukee starter Zach Davies allowed one run in 5.1 innings -- a game the Brewers won 2-1. While Pittsburgh is in better current form (10-4 last 14 games), the Brewers have won seven of the past eight meetings. Take Milwaukee.
107-67 IN LAST 174 MLB ML PICKS | +3786
16-5 IN LAST 21 PIT ML PICKS | +1106
10-7 IN LAST 17 MIL ML PICKS | +267
TORONTO -135
BALTIMORE @ TORONTO | 7/05 | 7:07 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:40 PM
The host Blue Jays are winning nearly two-thirds of my simulations against the visiting Orioles, who are 14-30 on the road. Baltimore starter Dylan Bundy is 3-10 and coming off two very shaky outings. In those starts, he's allowed four homers in 9.1 innings. Lay the lumber.
107-67 IN LAST 174 MLB ML PICKS | +3786
39-22 IN LAST 61 TOR ML PICKS | +1778
11-6 IN LAST 17 BAL ML PICKS | +384
OAKLAND -140
OAKLAND @ SEATTLE | 7/05 | 10:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:36 PM
The Athletics are winning three-quarters of my simulations, making them a strong play Friday night at -140. Brett Anderson has been brilliant in three of his last four starts, and Oakland has won his last four road starts. Seattle is 1-6 in Yusei Kikuchi's last seven starts overall.
107-67 IN LAST 174 MLB ML PICKS | +3786
21-9 IN LAST 30 OAK ML PICKS | +1284
3-0 IN LAST 3 SEA ML PICKS | +330
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BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 5)
The model has 4 totals and 4 sides. The model has 1 games with a side and total play in the same game.
954 .67* PHI/NYM u8 -110
955 .5* MIA +175
960 .5* SD/LAD u8.5 -115
961 .5* STL/SF o8 -120
968 .5* NYY/TB u9 -120
970 .5* LAA/HOU u9 -120
972 .5* TEX/MIN u10.5 -115
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Alan Scozzari
A WAGER Africa Cup Nations Morocco -1 +100
B WAGER Norway Eliteserien Odd – Molde UNDER 2,5 +100
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Champ MLB Betting System picks for today.
Tampa Bay Rays {B** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series. If the {A** bet does not win, please automatically go to the {B** bet the next day, and same with the potential {C** bet the day after.
NY Mets {A** Bet on the Money Line - This is a confirmed official betting series. If the {A** bet does not win, please automatically go to the {B** bet the next day, and same with the potential {C** bet the day after.
Arizona Diamondbacks {A** Bet on the Money Line - This is a confirmed official betting series. If the {A** bet does not win, please automatically go to the {B** bet the next day, and same with the potential {C** bet the day after.
Miami Marlins {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter.
By the way, the full documented record of the Champ MLB Betting System over the years can be viewed here.
All the best,
The Champ Team
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DAVE ESSLER
3*
San Francisco -105
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Ben BURNS
3*
Arizona / Colorado under 9
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FEZZIK
2*
Winnipeg +4
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STEPHEN NOVER
2*
Winnipeg + 4
3*
Atlanta / Miami under 10.5
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Picks 7/5
100* Yankees -115
100* Cardinals -110
100* Over 10 Royals/Nationals
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Greg shaker
3*
Seattle / Oakland over 9.5
2*
New York -112
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Larry Not Harry (hairy?) Hartstein
MIAMI +168
MIAMI @ ATLANTA | 7/05 | 7:20 PM EDT
12:50 AM
There's value on the Marlins on Friday, as the Braves could be a bit flat following their big, sold-out series w/ the Phillies. Atlanta starter Julio Teheran sports an 8.32 ERA over his last four starts, while Miami's Jordan Yamamoto owns a 2.35 ERA across four starts this season. Back the Marlins to improve to 5-0 with Yamamoto on the mound.
27-11 IN LAST 38 MLB ML PICKS | +1554
24-7 IN LAST 31 MIA ML PICKS | +1736
32-25 IN LAST 57 ATL ML PICKS | +360
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Vince Akins (2-1 yesterday)
MLB TREND PLAYS
Dodgers ML (-195)
Braves ML (-190)
Yankees/Rays OVER (8.5)
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CleInsiderSports (1-1 yesterday)
MLB
Giants ML (-110)
Orioles/Blue Jays UNDER 10.5
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Consensus (1-0 yesterday)
MLB
8u Brewers ML (-115)
Tennis
5u Serena Williams ML (-200)
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FEZZIK
2*
Winnipeg +4
Bonus: WNBA Friday:
Fri July 5:
1* 636 Dallas -165
2* 637 Atl/Sea OVER 147
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Johnny Boy Bollman (A.K.A. 'The Hitman')
WASHINGTON -195
KANSAS CITY @ WASHINGTON | 7/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
12:01 PM
Brad Keller is 4-9 with a 4.63 ERA this season and 2-6 with a 5.08 ERA on the road. Austin Voth has only made two starts, but threw a quality start in his only home start. The Royals will be losing the DH and although the Nationals bullpen is the worst in the league, the Royals are ranked 22nd. The Royals have lost four in a row and they are 2-8 in their last 10, while the Nats have won four in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10. The Royals are 13-30 on the road, lay the home favorite.
60-35 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS | +1794
3-1 IN LAST 4 WAS ML PICKS | +182
3-2 IN LAST 5 KC ML PICKS | +83
MIAMI +168
MIAMI @ ATLANTA | 7/05 | 7:20 PM EDT
11:59 AM
Jordan Yamamoto is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA this season while Julio Teheran is 5-6 with a 3.99 ERA. In June, Teheran was 2-2 with a 5.08 ERA. He has thrown 12 scoreless innings against the Marlins this season, but in his career, he is 8-6 with a 3.89 ERA against the Marlins. The Marlins are 4-0 when Yamamoto starts, take the value in the Marlins.
60-35 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS | +1794
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ML PICKS | +157
2-1 IN LAST 3 ATL ML PICKS | +97
OAKLAND -150
OAKLAND @ SEATTLE | 7/05 | 10:10 PM EDT
11:58 AM
Brett Anderson is 8-5 with a 3.92 ERA this season including 4-2 with a 3.46 ERA on the road. Yusei Kikuchi is 4-5 with a 5.12 ERA this season including 2-3 with a 5.49 ERA at home. In 14 innings pitched against the As this season, he has given up eight earned runs and in June he was 1-2 with a 7.03 ERA. In 12.1 IP against the Mariners, Anderson has given up five earned runs. Oakland has the fifth highest OPS in the league against lefties while the Mariners are 13th. The As are 7-3 in their last 10 while the Mariners are 4-6, lay the road favorite.
60-35 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS | +1794
10-5 IN LAST 15 OAK ML PICKS | +605
6-2 IN LAST 8 SEA ML PICKS | +333
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #951-952
Pirates +105 over Brewers
Brault/Davies
Last night the Pirates were cooled off by the left handed Quintana, but have found their bats in this home stand. It was just last week that Pittsburgh has in Milwaukee for 3 straight low scoring snoozers. The Brewers have struggled with getting on base as of late and are not great against left handed pitching. The Pirates generate a lot of offense at home and should cash in tonight. Take the Pirates.
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+EV: MLB 4u: 962 San Francisco Giants +115 (Dak Hudson | D Pomeranz) (Friday, July 5th)
+EV: CFL 4u: 691 Winnipeg Blue Bombers +4 -105 (Friday, July 5th)
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Goodfella
3*
San Francisco-105
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Hot Shot Sports
MLB
3* #967 Yankees -115
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SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP
Game: (967) New York Yankees at (968) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New York Yankees -115
View Analysis
Game: (969) Los Angeles Angels at (970) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Los Angeles Angels +188
View Analysis
Game: (959) San Diego Padres at (960) Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -196
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (961) St. Louis Cardinals at (962) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 10:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Francisco Giants -107
View Analysis
Hudson v. Pomeranz
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Zack By Jiminy! Cimini
UNDER 8.5 PHILADELPHIA @ N.Y. METS | 7/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
12:39 PM
Vince Velasquez’s return as a starter has not fared well. Through three starts he has had two end before the fifth inning. In both he gave up four runs with four hits or more. That’s a red flag with how poor the Phillies bullpen has been, including last night’s five runs allowed. But trust the Mets' Jacob deGrom to have a dazzling performance and the Mets not batting in the ninth to keep this under.
39-31-1 IN LAST 71 MLB PICKS | +479
5-0 IN LAST 5 NYM O/U PICKS | +515
TAMPA BAY +102
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 7/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
12:35 PM
On Friday, Masahiro Tanaka will aim to continue his hot streak against the Tampa Bay Rays. In three starts this season against the Rays, Tanaka has allowed just one earned run through 22 innings. In fact, his only two complete games the past two years have come against Tampa Bay. Yet, look for issues in Tanaka’s last outing against Boston to end his dominance against the Rays. Grab Tampa Bay as the slight home underdog.
36-25 IN LAST 61 MLB ML PICKS | +852
16-11 IN LAST 27 NYY ML PICKS | +535
OAKLAND -150
OAKLAND @ SEATTLE | 7/05 | 10:10 PM EDT
12:34 PM
After being a .500 team the majority of the season, the Oakland A's have finally gained some separation. They’ve gone 12-4 over the last two weeks and will hope to keep their success going tonight in Seattle. This will already be the fifth series matchup on the year between the Mariners and A's. Look for Oakland to continue to have success against Mariners pitcher Yusei Kikuchi. Kikuchi gave up three home runs in a May 13 start and lasted just three innings in a poor performance on May 25 against the A's. Grab Oakland.
36-25 IN LAST 61 MLB ML PICKS | +852
16-8 IN LAST 24 OAK ML PICKS | +872
18-13 IN LAST 31 SEA ML PICKS | +494
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ROB VENO
Game: (969) Los Angeles Angels at (970) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-118)
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King creole
2*
San Diego / LA DODGERS over 8.5
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Brandon LANG
30 DIME
BANKROLL BUILDING
MONEY MOVE
#2 IN A ROW
St. Louis Cardinals -110
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ROB VENO
Game: (973) Oakland Athletics at (974) Seattle Mariners
Date/Time: Jul 5 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Oakland Athletics -1.5 (-102)
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JR ODONNELL
3*
Ottawa -3.5
3*
San Francisco -110
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SLEEPYJ
3*
San Francisco / st.louis over 8.5
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SPARTAN
3*
Oakland - 144
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Tim Wilkinson
Brewers/Pirates Over 10.5
Weekend Series Wager
Orioles +140 over Blue Jays
Rockies +130 over Diamondbacks
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Tony Mejia
Rays/Yankees Under 8.5
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Kevin Rogers
Miami Marlins +175
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Miller locks
7:05 pm est mlb
milwaukee brewers vs. Pittsburgh pirates
pick: Milwaukee brewers (-114)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Tampa bay rays
pick: New york yankees (-107)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
philadelphia phillies vs. New york mets
pick: Philadelphia phillies (+174)
risk: 11 units
9:10 pm est mlb
colorado rockies vs. Arizona diamondbacks
pick: Colorado rockies (+164)
risk: 11 units
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Sports Junkies (MLB $500 Plays of the Day)
Tampa Bay Rays +100
San Francisco Giants -106
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB - Top 3* Plays
Giants/Cardinals Over 8.5
Red Sox/Tigers Over 11
MLB 1* Minnesota Twins -1.5 runs
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Rockdeman Sports
(MLB Underdog of the Day) - Miami Marlins +175
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Micah 'Right Ya' Roberts
N.Y. YANKEES -112
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 7/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
3:52 PM
Masahiro Tanaka has been on a nice roll with the Yankees, winning his last four starts by an average margin of four runs per game. (I don't recommend run-line plays unless taking +1.5 in specific spots.) Three of those games have gone Over the total. Tanaka has faced the Rays three times this season and allowed just one run combined. I'm on the Yankees.
29-23-3 IN LAST 55 MLB PICKS | +377
12-7 IN LAST 19 TB ML PICKS | +709
3-1 IN LAST 4 NYY ML PICKS | +209
UNDER 10.5 MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH | 7/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
3:39 PM
Zach Davies and Steven Brault hooked up last week in Milwaukee and both allowed just one run in a no-decision during the Brewers' eventual 2-1 win. The Brewers have had some trouble scoring runs lately which has kept eight of their last nine Under the total and they've lost their last three, the last two being shut out at Cincinnati. Under is the top play here.
13-7-2 IN LAST 22 MLB O/U PICKS | +519
21-11 IN LAST 32 PIT O/U PICKS | +961
OVER 10 OAKLAND @ SEATTLE | 7/05 | 10:10 PM EDT
3:16 PM
The Mariners have gone 22-8-3 in their last 33 home games and are the best Over team in baseball by a large margin, and the best Over starter in baseball is going tonight. Only one of Yusei Kikuchi's 18 starts have stayed Under the total and he's posted a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts. The consistent Overs by Seattle are also aided by an awful bullpen posting a 5.04 ERA. Over is the play.
13-7-2 IN LAST 22 MLB O/U PICKS | +519
9-3-3 IN LAST 15 SEA O/U PICKS | +578
SAN FRANCISCO -112
ST. LOUIS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/05 | 10:15 PM EDT
3:02 PM
The Giants have lost Drew Pomeranz's last three starts, but he was great in his last two, allowing just two runs combined. Since he last pitched, the Giants haven't lost, and the bats have gotten hot, averaging 10 runs per game in their last four, concluding with a three-game sweep at San Diego. The Cards won two of three in a tough series at Seattle, but I'm going with the hot team that has finally found some offense in 2019. The Giants are the play.
29-23-3 IN LAST 55 MLB PICKS | +377
4-0 IN LAST 4 STL ML PICKS | +421
2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS | +48
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