Saturday 6/15/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
Tim Wilkinson
MLB - Best Bet Total of the Day - Diamondbacks/Nationals Under 9.5
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Vernon Croy
7 Unit Play. Take #687 Winnipeg +2 over British Columbia (Saturday, June 15 at 10:00 PM ET)
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Stephen Oh
TEXAS +106
TEXAS @ CINCINNATI | 6/15 | 7:10 PM EDT
This number seems too good to be true. The Rangers have the better lineup AND have the starting pitching advantage with Mike Minor (5-4, 2.52 ERA) on the mound. And they're getting plus money? Sign me up. My model says Texas wins well over 50 percent of simulations, so this money line provides solid value. Take the Rangers.
89-56 IN LAST 145 MLB PICKS | +3093
15-10 IN LAST 25 TEX ML PICKS | +914
14-8 IN LAST 22 CIN ML PICKS | +612
MIAMI -135
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI | 6/15 | 6:10 PM EDT
Neither the Pirates nor the Marlins will be mistaken for the Murderers' Row Yankees; both teams have lost seven of eight. But here's the difference that has my model pointing to Miami for Saturday: Righty Dario Agrazal will be making his major league debut for Pittsburgh. Just five months ago the Pirates designated him for assignment and were ready to part with him, but no one claimed him. Take the Marlins.
89-56 IN LAST 145 MLB PICKS | +3093
14-1 IN LAST 15 PIT ML PICKS | +1384
19-12 IN LAST 31 MIA ML PICKS | +856
HOUSTON -235
TORONTO @ HOUSTON | 6/15 | 4:10 PM EDT
I think Astros rookie Yordan Alvarez, who has crushed three home runs in four games, has really infused energy into a lineup missing George Springer, Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa even though Houston was still winning without them. My model has the Astros winning this game 77 percent of the time, so this money line is solid value even at this price. Go with the 'Stros.
89-56 IN LAST 145 MLB PICKS | +3093
36-21 IN LAST 57 TOR ML PICKS | +1572
28-19 IN LAST 47 HOU ML PICKS | +1355
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Adam Thompson
TEXAS +106
TEXAS @ CINCINNATI | 6/15 | 7:10 PM EDT
The Reds have struggled with the bats all year and they're getting worse. Over the last two weeks, they're hitting .204 and averaging a brutal 2.4 runs per game. Mike Minor has been steady and solid, and his road ERA of 2.86 in seven starts is about one run better than Tanner Roark's home split. Texas' offense is averging 5.8 runs on the road and 5.8 runs in June. Jump on the road dog here.
21-12 IN LAST 33 TEX ML PICKS | +762
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Platinum Sports
Twins -1.5
Brewers under
Yankees over
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MIT
Orioles over
Cubs under
Yankees ml
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Nevada sports service.
Red Sox over
Twins over
Yankees -1.5
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DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (973) Kansas City Royals at (974) Minnesota Twins
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-128)
Sparkman v. Odorizzi
Here I am again backing Jake the O...so ready to erupt from his unmanageable numbers but the schedule and his division sure is his friend! Today he gets Sparkman on the opposite bump and has 2 straight starts with a 5 and 6 xFIP and the Twins spent all night trying to get their bags going...but doing an even better job against the Royals line up.
Hard to imagine a team totally stumped by Kyle Gibson turns it around on the road from one game to the next within a series. Last night we got verrry lucky with a 2 out 2 run back from Garver to survive big....this screams 6-1 more than anything after that game last night.
Game: (973) Kansas City Royals at (974) Minnesota Twins
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 9.5 (-115)
Sparkman v. Odorizzi
Game: (961) San Diego Padres at (962) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Diego Padres 1.5 (-125)
Lauer v. Marquez
For starters, Marquez is just flat out a different pitcher at Coors...and it's almost completely not his fault for obvious reasons. But his splits are quite bad and adding all other factors in plus Lauer is a solid back overall and we have the Dads in this spot on a 17-8 RL trend...we get a team who scored 11 runs AFTER the 8th inning last night....amazing value getting +1.5....take the +2 if it's offered and at -150 or less!
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+EV Betting Syndicate
+EV: TENNIS 4u: 13313 Caroline Garcia -150 (WTA - Nottingham) (Saturday, June 15th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 959 Philadelphia Phillies +108 (A Nola | S Newcomb) (Saturday, June 15th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 962 SD/COL un11.5 -110 (E Lauer | G Marquez) (Saturday, June 15th)
+EV: MMA 4u: 13043 Patrick Mix +120 (Bellator 222) (Friday, June 14th)
+EV: MMA 4u: 13047 Newman Gracie +180 (Bellator 222) (Friday, June 14th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 979 Texas Rangers +110 (M Minor | T Roark) (Saturday, June 14th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 952 San Francisco Giants -105 (J Nelson | M Bumgarner) (Saturday, June 15th)
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Gold Club Sports
Padres ml
White Sox ml
Orioles over
Twins over
Cubs under
Cubs ml
Marlins ml
Red Sox over
A's ml
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Friends of Mike Lee
MLB
3* #974 Minnesota -1.5 -125 (Sparkman/Odorizzi)
Wise Guy Insider
MLB 2019-06-15 7:10 pm
St Louis Cardinals
AT
New York Mets
New York Mets -145 1 units
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ROB VENO BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (975) New York Yankees at (976) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Yankees -1.5 (-110)
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Kevin Rogers
New York Yankees -158
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DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS
ADDED
Game: (959) Philadelphia Phillies at (960) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Philadelphia Phillies -119
Newcomb v. Nola
Philly sure isn't gonna get back to the hotel and have any effing clue how they fumbled that game away...almost in hand completely more than just once or twice and ran Fried off much earlier than any of them could have hoped. Now they're angry, off a shocking loss, but get another lefty to face on the mound and one not nearly as good as last night.
The money and line movement is completely in our favor and Nola is almost always solid to begin and even through the middle. This value on first 5 is phenomenal all things considered...the card is really great today and this is really really close to a 5% (or more) play here tonight!
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Tony Mejia
New York Mets -131
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King creole
2*
Seattle / Oakland over 9
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Sleepyj
3* GOW
Chicago Whitesox / New York Yankees over 9.5
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Ben Burns
3*
Miami -130
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Dave essler
3*
New York Mets / st.louis over 8.5
1*
Texas +105
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Goodfella
3*TOW
New York Mets / st.louis over 8.5
3*
Texas +110
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JR ODONNELL
3*TOY
Oakland / Seattle under 9
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Rocky Atkinson
2*
New York Mets -130
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Stephen Nover
2*
Houston -1.5(+106)
2*
Washington -1.5(-103)
2*
Calgary / Ottawa under 51.5
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Fezzik
2*
Miami -125
2*
Phil 1st 5 innings -120
2*
979 Tex 1st 5 innings -115
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ROB VENO BASEBALL PLAYS
ADDED
Game: (975) New York Yankees at (976) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Yankees -1.5 (-110)
Game: (973) Kansas City Royals at (974) Minnesota Twins
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-135)
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Desert sports:
5 team parley
sd/col over 9.5
cle/det over 8
laa/tb over 8
kc/min 09
tor/hou o9
underdogs:
Tex +115
long shot of the day> laa +180
best bet:
Hou -200
plays:
Tex +115
mil _108
cin -114
nym-130
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Seabass :
300 twins RL,
300 white Sox ,
200 dbacks ,
400 rays RL ,
400 rangers
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Rob Veno
Game: (969) Toronto Blue Jays at (970) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-123)
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Rockys Baseball
Ultimate Club Regular Baseball Plays 79-85-3 minus 43.62 units
Astros RL A’s RL Dodger
Rocky Selections Winners Circle 78-57-1 plus 1.25 units
Rockies
Wize Guy The Late Steam TP 0-0 RP 67-67-3 minus 9.16 units
Braves Twins RL
WNBA NY Liberty
Golden Nuggets 15-12 minus 2.62 units
PASS
Artie Platinum Games
Personal Plays
40* 18-8 minus 87.40 units Astros
20* 67-12 plus 83.58 units Rays Indians RedSox
RP 148-135 minus 27.41 units PASS
Artie Party Baseball 2019 Power Plays 36-33 minus 17.06 units Giants
Rockys X Power Plays 11-8 minus 0.59 units PASS
Rockys XX Power Plays 11-2 plus 8.20 units PASS
Rockys XXX Power Plays 3-3 minus 3.20 units Athletics
Artie Party Original AL Baseball System 28-16 plus 2.37 units Redsox Indians
Artie Party Original NL Baseball System 20-11 plus 3.55 units PASS
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Seabass
Free Plays Baseball 33-28-2 Marlins
MLB 166-196-5 minus 15763 units 300 Twins RL 300 White Sox 200 D-Backs
400 Rangers 400 Rays RL
MLB Millionaire Club 56-29 plus 20.56 units Pirates Under
WNBA TP 10-3/RP 7-7 plus 3460 units TP-500 Dallas Over
RP-400 Dallas 300 Chicago
CFL 1-1 plus 80 units TP-700 Winnipeg 700 Winnipeg Under
RP 300 Calgary
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (961) San Diego Padres at (962) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jun 15 2019 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 2%
Play: San Diego Padres +160
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TweetyDimesPicks
NATIONALS -210 REDS -110
TweetyDimesPicks
ST LOUIS CARDINALS + 1.5
COLORADO -160
REDSOX / BALTIMORE OVER 8.5
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Johnny Bollman
MINNESOTA -1.5
KANSAS CITY @ MINNESOTA | 6/15 | 7:10 PM EDT
1:29 PM
Glenn Sparkman is 1-2 with a 3.58 ERA this season including an 8.22 ERA in four appearances (one start) on the road. Jake Odorizzi is 9-2 with a 1.92 ERA this season and he has a .76 ERA in his last eight starts. The Twins are 10-3 when Odorizzi starts and the Royals are 1-3 when Sparkman starts. The Twins are 30-9 as the favorite while the Royals are 16-41 as the underdog.
25-11 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +985
HOUSTON -1.5
TORONTO @ HOUSTON | 6/15 | 4:10 PM EDT
1:27 PM
Clayton Richard will be making his fifth start of the year and he’s 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA in his first four. Framber Valdez is 2-2 with a 2.73 ERA this season and in his only start he gave up one run in seven innings. Houston has the third highest OPS in the league against lefties while the Blue Jays have the fifth worst. Vladdy will most likely be out of the lineup after being hit by a pitch in the hand yesterday, and the Astros are 24-9 as the home favorite.
25-11 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +985
COLORADO -169
SAN DIEGO @ COLORADO | 6/15 | 8:10 PM EDT
1:26 PM
Eric Lauer has a 21.0 ERA in two career starts in Coors Field including a three-inning, eight run outing earlier this season. On the road, he is 2-2 with a 6.84 ERA in five starts. German Marquez has been a little inconsistent, but he gave up two runs in 5.2 IP in his outing against the Padres this season. The Rockies have scored the fourth most runs in the league against lefties and they’re 11-4 when Marquez starts.
25-11 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +985
2-1 IN LAST 3 COL ML PICKS | +100
2-1 IN LAST 3 SD ML PICKS | +90
TEXAS +106
TEXAS @ CINCINNATI | 6/15 | 7:10 PM EDT
1:25 PM
Mike Minor is 5-4 with a 2.52 ERA this season while Tanner Roark is 4-5 with a 3.74 ERA. The Reds are 22nd in the league in scoring runs against lefties and 23rd in OPS against lefties. Minor hasn’t given up more than three runs since April 22nd, and he is productive on the road with a 2.86 ERA in seven starts. The Rangers have been playing well recently, take the Rangers.
25-11 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +985
3-0 IN LAST 3 TEX ML PICKS | +300
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Micah Roberts
OVER 9 SEATTLE @ OAKLAND | 6/15 | 9:07 PM EDT
2:04 PM
The wind is blowing out again in Oakland tonight, and the Mariners' bats have heated up again. They've scored nine runs in three of their last five games, and nine of their last 10 games have gone Over, including their last six. The Mariners will start an opener and then bring in Wade LeBlanc, who has a chunky 5.31 ERA and has seen most of his games get Over. Over is the play.
17-9-1 IN LAST 27 MLB PICKS | +705
6-2-2 IN LAST 10 SEA O/U PICKS | +392
OVER 11 SAN DIEGO @ COLORADO | 6/15 | 8:10 PM EDT
1:59 PM
Eric Lauer has made two starts at Colorado, and both were awful losses. Last season he gave up six earned runs in 3.0 innings in an 8-0 loss. Last month he gave up eight earned runs in 3.0 innings in a 12-2 loss. All five of Lauer's road starts have gone Over, aided by a 6.84 ERA in those starts. The Padres' bats came out strong last night in a 16-12 win to end their five-game losing streak. Over is the play today.
17-9-1 IN LAST 27 MLB PICKS | +705
17-7-2 IN LAST 26 COL O/U PICKS | +965
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:10 PM EST
Rotation #979-980
Rangers +105 over Reds
Minor/Roark
I like the Rangers here today because Mike Minor has been the better starting pitcher this year and the Rangers have the better of the two offenses. Cincinnati has struggled with the bats as of late and I expect similar results to last nights game. The Rangers Bullpen is suspect, but I think they should have the game in hand by the time Minor departs. Take the Rangers.
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LV Wolf
under 2.5 canada
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Miller locks
4:10 pm est mlb
toronto blue jays vs. Houston astros
pick: Houston astros -1.5 (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
kansas city royals vs. Minnesota twins
pick: Minnesota twins -1.5 (-120)
risk: 11 units
7:20 pm est mlb
philadelphia phillies vs. Atlanta braves
pick: Atlanta braves (-101)
risk: 11 units
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Assassin Sports (MLB) - Minnesota Twins -1.5 runs
The Twins will start their ace, Jake Odorizzi. Odorizzi has been amazing this year, posting a record of 9-2 with a 1.92 ERA, a 0.967 WHIP, 22 walks and 78 strikeouts over 74.1 innings of work this season. Odorizzi won his third straight start and is 9-0 in his last 10 after picking up the win over the Tigers on the road in his last start Sunday. He threw six innings, allowing a run on five hits with one walk and eight strikeouts in a 12-2 Minnesota victory. Odorizzi is 3-0 with a 0.52 ERA, a 0.69 WHIP, three walks and 26 strikeouts over 17.1 innings in his last three starts. He is even good enough that I firmly believe he could pitch a complete game, especially against the Royals offense.
For the Royals, Glenn Sparkman takes the mound for his 13th appearance, his fifth start of the season. Sparkman has not been very impressive this season, going 1-2 with a 3.58 ERA. Sparkman is 0-1 with a 4.85 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, two walks and four strikeouts over 13 innings in his last three starts. He is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA, a 2.571 WHIP, six walks and six strikeouts over seven innings in four career appearances, all in relief, against the Twins. Sparkman is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA, a 3.20 WHIP, six walks and six strikeouts over five innings in three career outings at Target Field.
The Royals continue to be terrible and with a loss on Saturday, they are now 15-43 in their last 58 road games....
....Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400...
....Royals are 0-4 in Sparkman’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game....
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