Saturday 6/29/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
+EV: UFC 4u: 2002 Dalcha Lungiambula -240 (UFC on ESPN 3) (Saturday, June 29th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 960 LAD/COL un12 +105 (C Kershaw | J Gray) (Saturday, June 29th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 970 Toronto Blue Jays -135 (H Bailey | M Stroman) (Saturday, June 29th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 968 Baltimore Orioles +155 (Z Plesac | A Cashner) (Saturday, June 29th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 952 Miami Marlins +125 (Z Eflin | J Yamamoto) (Saturday, June 29th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 955 Chicago Cubs +112 (J Quintana | L Castillo) (Saturday, June 29th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 974 Chicago White Sox +159 (M Pineda | I Nova) (Saturday, June 29th)
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Johnny Bollman
N.Y. YANKEES -142
N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 6/29 | 1:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:11 PM
Masahiro Tanaka is 5-5 with a 3.21 ERA this season including 2-1 with a 3.25 ERA in June. Rick Porcello is 5-7 with a 4.52 ERA this season and 1-3 with a 4.75 ERA in June. In Porcello's one start against the Yankees this season he gave up five runs in 4.1 IP. The Yankees are 4-1 against the Red Sox this season and they are playing better right now. Lay the favorite in London.
54-29 IN LAST 83 MLB PICKS | +1813
5-4 IN LAST 9 BOS ML PICKS | +2
ARIZONA -150
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 6/29 | 10:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:10 PM
Zack Greinke is 8-3 with a 3.08 ERA this season and he is 5-0 with a 1.37 ERA in Oracle Park in his career. Drew Pomeranz is 2-8 with a 6.79 ERA and 0-4 with an 8.53 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks. Arizona has the second most runs scored in the league against lefties and third highest OPS in the league against lefties. The Dbacks are 6-0 as the road favorite and 11-6 when Greinke starts while the Giants are 6-8 when Pomeranz starts. Lay the road favorite.
54-29 IN LAST 83 MLB PICKS | +1813
10-1 IN LAST 11 SF ML PICKS | +863
9-3 IN LAST 12 ARI ML PICKS | +532
MIAMI +113
PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI | 6/29 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:08 PM
Jordan Yamamoto is 3-0 with a .95 ERA this season and he did not allow a run in his one home start. Zach Eflin is 7-7 with a 3.26 ERA but 2-5 with a 3.5 ERA on the road. In one game against the Marlins this season, Eflin threw four innings giving up 10 hits and six runs. In Yamamoto’s one start against the Phillies, he gave up two runs in five innings. These teams are 5-5 against each other this season, and the Phillies are 7-8 when Eflin starts while the Marlins are 3-0 when Yamamoto starts. Take the value in the Marlins.
54-29 IN LAST 83 MLB PICKS | +1813
4-2 IN LAST 6 PHI ML PICKS | +148
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB picks 6/29
100* Phillies -125
100* Yankees -140
100* Over 8 Rays/Rangers
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JR ODONNELL
3*GOY
Calgary -10.5
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Sleepyj
3*
LA DODGERS -147
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Ben BURNS
3*
Toronto / Kansas City under 9
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Goodfella
3*
Colorado / LA DODGERS over 12
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Spartan
2*rabid dog GOY
St.louis +119
1*
San Diego / st.louis under 8
1*
LA ANGLES -139
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Stephen NOVER
2*
Cincinnati / Chicago Cubs over 9.5
Fezzik
2*
Cincinnati -116
2*
San Diego-126
2*
Milwaukee / Pittsburgh under 9.5
2*
Houston / Seattle under 9.5
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mlbtotal
Miami Marlins , Over 8
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BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JUNE 29)
The model has 5 totals and 3 sides. The model has 0 games with a side and total play in the same game.
951 .5* PHI -117
954 .5* ATL/NYM u9.5 -110
958 .5* PIT/MIL u10 -115
964 1* SDP -110
970 .5* TOR -146
972 .5* TEX/TB u8.5 -115
974 .5* MIN/CHW 10.5 -110
976 .5* SEA/OAK u9.5 -110
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Champ MLB betting system for June 29
Phillies {B** Bet on the Money Line - This is a confirmed official betting series.
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ROB VENO
Game: (951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+125)
Game: (975) Seattle Mariners at (976) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-140)
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Micah Roberts
OVER 9.5 PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE | 6/29 | 8:15 PM EDT
Jordan Lyles hasn't started in 21 days, but his last two starts came against the Brewers, and the Pirates lost both with both staying Under. The Pirates won at Milwaukee last night, 3-2, for their third straight win and seventh win in their last eight. Their bats have been hot, and they've hit Brandon Woodruff hard in both meetings (nine runs combined). But the Bucs lost both, and both went Over. The Brewers have lost eight of their last 11. The Pirates are batting .315 in their last eight games. The top play here is the Over.
11-4-1 IN LAST 16 MLB O/U PICKS | +647
18-6-1 IN LAST 25 MIL O/U PICKS | +1136
MIAMI +118
PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI | 6/29 | 4:10 PM EDT
Zach Eflin gave up six runs in his last start, but the Mets blew another one and the Phillies rolled. The Phils had lost five of six behind Eflin before that start even though he pitched well. The Marlins pulled out a win last night to end the Phillies' four-game win streak. Jordan Yamamoto has made three starts, and the only two runs he gave up between them was to Philly in a 6-4 win six days ago. They've seen him, but I don't think they've solved him. Marlins to win.
26-18-2 IN LAST 46 MLB PICKS | +613
5-1 IN LAST 6 PHI ML PICKS | +459
OVER 11.5 N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 6/29 | 1:10 PM EDT
Rick Porcello faced the Yankees on June 1, gave up five runs and took the 5-3 loss. He also gave up five runs in his last start, and neither of those games happened in London where the field is only 385 to straightaway centerfield. Both teams come in batting .304 or better over the past week and both are playing well with Boston winning 10 of its last 14 and the Yankees winning 11 of 12. Just the Over with hopes the clubs give London a jolly good show.
11-4-1 IN LAST 16 MLB O/U PICKS | +647
18-14-2 IN LAST 34 NYY O/U PICKS | +268
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Adam Thompson
Oakland +128 and ska
Arizona -145 gre pom
Atlanta -111 teh mat
Miami +117 elf yam
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ASA’s
6 star total over in the Cincinnati/ Cubs game
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ROB VENO
ADDED
Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-103)
Game: (961) Arizona Diamondbacks at (962) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 10:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115)
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Dave essler
3*
Mets / Atlanta over 9.5
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Greg shaker
2*
Milwaukee / Pittsburgh under 9.5
3*
San Diego / st.louis under 8
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Stephen NOVER
2*
Cincinnati / Chicago Cubs over 9.5
ADDED
3*GOM
Arizona - 140
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ROCKY ATKINSON
3*
LA Dodgers -145
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Great Lake Sports
MLB
3* #953 Atlanta -120 (Teheran)
Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Release
Saturday Afternoon Moneymaker
Yankees RL
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
10:05 PM EST
Rotation #961-962
Diamondbacks -135 over Giants
Diamondbacks/Giants Over 7.5 runs
Greinke/Pomeranz
The Diamondbacks should have no problem putting up runs tonight. This is a team that is great against left handed pitching and tonight the pitching matchup clearly favors Zack Greinke. I think Arizona can put up 8 runs all by themselves tonight against the struggling Pomeranz. This is a good spot to play side and total. No parlays. Take the Giants and the Over.
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB
2* Royals/Blue Jays Over 9
2* Phillies/Marlins Over 8
1* Texas Rangers +170
1* Los Angeles Angels -1.5 runs (+130)
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Rockdeman Sports
( MLB Underdog of the Day - going for 5 in a row) - Miami Marlins +131
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H&H Sports
MLB
5* Arizona Diamondbacks -143
4* Houston Astros -1.5 runs (-145)
4* Rays/Rangers Over 8
3* Dodgers/Rockies Over 12
3* Yankees -140
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ROB VENO
Game: (979) Washington Nationals at (980) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (-123)
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 (-145)
Lyles v. Woodruff
Woody has been solidly backed by us on a regular basis and this spot is even better! The Brewers are 3-1 SU following a home loss in a series when he starts...and Lyles is coming on the IL and hasn't started since the first week of June. Excellent value and spot for that lineup to crush a right handed hitting rusty starter and not worry about the bullpen. Yelich takes him deep at least once in the first 2 at bats almost definitely haha. Woodruff knows he needs to be a stopper and turn this stretch around...especially after losing to the Pirates at home!
Amazing value on the half run only laying less than -150 today and I think BW can shut down the Pirates to 0 or 1 run through 5 almost assuredly!
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King creole
1*
Mets / Atlanta over 10
1*
Milwaukee / Pittsburgh over 9
2*
Houston / Seattle over 9.5
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Executive
400% Over 9.5 Cubs/Reds
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Jim fiest
Shocker of the month
Marlins +125
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (971) Texas Rangers at (972) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Tampa Bay Rays -165
View Analysis
Sampson v. McKay
The Rays came out just about how I had imagined they would on offense after the 18 inning marathon that was to have been the getaway day back home to prep for the Rangers. Lance Lynn wasn't even a part of that equation, but the fact he was on the mound for the opening game of the series only made that a play I LOVED even more! The hapless Rays managed to strikeout over 10 times and not cross the plate a single time as a result!
Today Sampson is on the mound against an angry, embarrassed Rays lineup and they are giving a reprieve to all regular starters and sending out Brandon McKay, a lefty from AAA, who has been exemplary in his handful of starts and the Rangers have not only faced very few lefties of late, especially on the road, but have been quite subpar facing a lefty period. He sports a 2.88 FIP in addition to his 1.08 ERA and limits HR to the max...an important factor when facing a Rangers lineup facing a pitcher for a first time! A left handed pitcher, especially in a first 5 play, neutralizes the monster that is Gallo, who bats only .200 and has 1 single HR on the road against LHP. The McKay stoppage of a Gallo type hitter fades however, which is why I like the first 5 bet even moreso...Sampson included, with his ERA around 4 but his xFIP right up near 5!
Overall, I think there is also solid value on the full game Rays ML, but I think the even more assured anger and embarrassment comes out quicklly against Sampson and they run him early....and we don't worry about the fatigue coming back into play late when the bullpens take over...considering the Rangers are an actual formidable opponent....basically no matter who the Rays played last night would have been the play...even Baltimore or Detroit!
Game: (957) Pittsburgh Pirates at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 (-145)
View Analysis
Lyles v. Woodruff
Woody has been solidly backed by us on a regular basis and this spot is even better! The Brewers are 3-1 SU following a home loss in a series when he starts...and Lyles is coming on the IL and hasn't started since the first week of June. Excellent value and spot for that lineup to crush a right handed hitting rusty starter and not worry about the bullpen. Yelich takes him deep at least once in the first 2 at bats almost definitely haha. Woodruff knows he needs to be a stopper and turn this stretch around...especially after losing to the Pirates at home!
Amazing value on the half run only laying less than -150 today and I think BW can shut down the Pirates to 0 or 1 run through 5 almost assuredly!
Game: (975) Seattle Mariners at (976) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Jun 29 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 9.5 (-113)
View Analysis
Verlander v. Kikuchi
System A is 15-6 and looking to top the Kikuchi 15-1-1 to the Over on the season...never has he faced a pitcher even close to this good on the season and will likely be able to combine with the pen to not entirely explode off the radar to keep this under a solidly valuable 9.5!
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Marco D'Angelo
BEWARE 4-34 HIS LAST 38 PICKS
PLAY: (954) MY METS -103
RATING: 4% PLAY
The Mets find themselves in a must win situation as they host the Braves this afternoon. The season is slipping away for the Mets but they are at home off a loss in the second game of the home stand. The Mets current losing streak was done all on the road against Atlanta, Cubs and Philadelphia all projected playoff teams. Granted the losing streak doesn’t look good but now at home I expect them to turn things around. Losing the first game back at home is not a surprise especially against Atlanta starter Soroka who has been fantastic all year. Today they face Julio Teheran who is a totally different story. Teheran who in his last 3 starts has a ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.07. Teheran has always battled control problems and when his control is off he gets lit up. In his last 5 starts his strikeout to walk ratio is 14-15. You can’t walk more batters than you strikeout. Steven Matz goes for the Mets and he’s been two different pitchers at home and on the road. The road Matz is terrible but the Home Matz has an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.13. In 6 home starts the Mets are 5-1. Note over the last 2 seasons the Mets are 16-8 when Matz starts following a Mets loss. Mets WIN this.
TAKE METS as MARCO’S 4% NL GAME OF THE WEEK
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Seabass : 400 rays RL, 400 dodgers RL, 400 tigers game over , 400 Phillies game over , 700 * Phillies
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Tim Wilkerson
MLB
Colorado Rockies +141
Rockies/Dodgers Under 12.5
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
TB F5 -.5 -120 3u
MLB Season: 57-67-7 46% -48.45 units
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Kevin Rogers
MLB - L.A.Dodgers -145 (5 Dimes)
The Rockies rallied past the Dodgers last night to snap a 12-game skid to Los Angeles dating back to last season. The Dodgers look to rebound tonight behind Clayton Kershaw on the mound, who hasn't faced Colorado this season. Kershaw is coming off a rough outing at Arizona, a place he has struggled throughout his career. The Dodgers won each of Kershaw's two starts against the Rockies last season, while Rockies' starter Jon Gray is winless in his past three starts against Los Angeles.
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Tony Mejia
MLB - Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 runs (+100)
Brandon Woodruff has emerged as the Brewers' ace. While the poor form of the other starters certainly factors in, the first-year full-time starter has blossomed in his third season and will be looking for his 10th win. After opening June with a rough effort, he's struck out 34 over his last 26 innings and should handle the visiting Pirates, getting sufficient run support. Ride Milwaukee on the run line.
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