Saturday 7/20/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
+EV:UFC Bautista ML (+175)
+EV: MLB 4u: 920 Baltimore Orioles +175 (R Porcello | T Eshelman) (Saturday, July 20th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 921 Oakland Athletics +130 (B Anderson | J Berrios) (Saturday, July 20th)
+EV: UFC 4u: Ben Rothwell -180 (UFC on ESPN 4) (Saturday, July 20th)
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Stephen Oh
Saint Louis +119
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Jimmy Moore
#696 4* Saskatchewan Roughriders -4.5 (7:00 edt)
This game looks to be set up for a big Saskatchewan win since they will be fresh off of a bye week and they will be desperate for a win sitting at just 1-3 on the season. Not to mention their last game before the bye was a big home loss to Calgary. The Lions are really terrible with their only SU win being a 1 point win against Toronto - look for them to be slow out of the gate here against the motivated Roughriders. Thank you and good luck.
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Plays 7/20
100* Pirates -115
100* Blue Jays -120
100* Giants -130
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Tony Chau John Morrison
Chicago White Sox {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter. Winner yesterday
Seattle Mariners {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter. Winner yesterday
Baltimore Orioles {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter. Winner yesterday
Kansas City Royals {B*** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter.
Remember that unofficial bets are not counted in the official recordkeeping. If you choose to bet on unofficial bets, then note that if the {A** bet does not win, you should automatically move onto the {B** bet the next day on the same team, and again with the potential {C** bet.
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STEPHEN NOVER
2*
Edmonton -5.5
2*
Montreal / Edmonton over -54
2*
Detroit +112
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DAVE ESSLER
3*
Cleveland / Kansas City over 10.5
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SLEEPYJ
3*
Atlanta -155
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BEN BURNS
3*
Cleveland / Kansas City under 11
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GREG SHAKER
2*
Baltimore / Boston over 11.5
3*
Arizona -135
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Stephen Oh
TORONTO -124
TORONTO @ DETROIT | 7/20 | 6:10 PM EDT
My model says that Toronto wins about two-thirds of simulations, so you're getting solid value with the Blue Jays at this price. Toronto hammered Detroit, 12-1, on Friday, sending the Tigers to their 26th loss in their last 29 home games and their 21st loss in their 24 games overall. Detroit is allowing 6.4 runs in its last 24 games. Take Toronto.
118-77 IN LAST 195 MLB ML PICKS | +3824
29-9 IN LAST 38 DET ML PICKS | +1982
40-24 IN LAST 64 TOR ML PICKS | +1643
ST. LOUIS +119
ST. LOUIS @ CINCINNATI | 7/20 | 7:10 PM EDT
These teams are heading in opposite directions. The Cardinals, who scored 10 runs in the sixth inning on Friday, have won six of their last seven while the Reds have lost their last four. Even though Luis Castillo (9-3, 2.41 ERA) is on the mound for Cincinnati, my model says that St. Louis wins well over 55 percent of simulations, which makes this money line excellent value. Take the Cards.
118-77 IN LAST 195 MLB ML PICKS | +3824
24-11 IN LAST 35 STL ML PICKS | +1421
16-12 IN LAST 28 CIN ML PICKS | +312
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Larry Hartstein
ARIZONA -139
MILWAUKEE @ ARIZONA | 7/20 | 8:10 PM EDT
The Diamondbacks have the third best OPS (.846) in the majors against lefties, and Brewers southpaw Gio Gonzalez makes his first start in the majors since returning from the IL with shoulder inflammation. That's a great combination. Meanwhile Arizona's Zack Greinke (10-4, 2.95 ERA) has won two of his last three starts with a 2.25 ERA over that span. Lay it.
46-28 IN LAST 74 MLB ML PICKS | +1576
16-8 IN LAST 24 MIL ML PICKS | +848
SAN FRANCISCO -125
N.Y. METS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/20 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Giants should be a much bigger favorite on Saturday. They've won seven straight and 14 of 16 while the Mets are 5-6 in their last 11. San Francisco starts Jeff Samardzija, who has been hot in his last three starts while New York trots out rookie Walker Lockett (0-1, 11.74 ERA) to make his third start of the season. Lay it.
46-28 IN LAST 74 MLB ML PICKS | +1576
38-16 IN LAST 54 NYM ML PICKS | +1816
13-5 IN LAST 18 SF ML PICKS | +692
OAKLAND +127
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 7/20 | 7:10 PM EDT
The A's have been playing great baseball for more than a month, going 23-8 in their last 31 games. On Friday they beat the AL Central-leading Minnesota Twins, who started Jake Odorizzi. On Saturday Oakland faces Minnesota's Jose Berrios, who lasted just five innings in his last start. Meanwhile the A's start lefty Brett Anderson (9-5, 3.79 ERA), who has been excellent. Happily take the plus money on Oakland.
46-28 IN LAST 74 MLB ML PICKS | +1576
14-10 IN LAST 24 OAK ML PICKS | +216
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MLB (Bob Balfe)
8:10 PM EST
Rotation #911-912
Diamondbacks -135 over Brewers
Greinke/Gonzalez
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
3 Rivers Sports
MLB
3* #925/926 Texas/Houston OVER 10
DWAYNE BRYANT BASEBALL PLAYS
GUARANTEED! 5% MLB O/U SYSTEM MAX BET
Game: (923) Kansas City Royals at (924) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Jul 20 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 11.0 (-105
List Junis & Plutko
PSA: 5% MAX BET does NOT mean bet all the money you have. It also does NOT mean bet money you don't have. It simply means 5% of your bankroll is the most we will ever bet on any single play, and that is what we are betting on this one. BE SMART! BET SMART!
DB's THOUGHTS:
Another game in Ohio where the weather will be very conducive to runs. Again, the ball should travel very well with a temp in the 90s, high humidity, and a feels-like temp over 100.
Jakob Junis has put together back-to-back Quality Starts in which he last 7 innings both times (rare for him) and allowed a combined 3 runs. Junis has had trouble getting to a third consecutive Quality Start, and tonight's opponent figures to provide more trouble.
The Indians own a solid .47 BB/K ratio, and they've hit Junis very well (.350 BA, .973 OPS, .417 wOBA). Factor in Junis' sky-high 28% HR/FB rate on the road, and it figures to be a short, tough night for the KC righty.
Adam Plutko certainly won't be winning a Cy Young award any time soon. His 6.13 xFIP at home is awful, and his 21.3% HR/FB rate at home is pathetic as well. KC's hitters didn't do much against Plutko the first time they faced him this season, so I expect them to make some adjustments for tonight's rematch. Hey, if the Detroit hitters could put 5 runs on Plutko in their second go-round against him this season, then anyone can.
The only drawback here is a solid Indians bullpen. KC's pen, with the league's #24 xFIP and #28 K/BB ratio, should be good for some late runs.
PLAY OVER.
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Miller locks
1:05 pm est mlb
colorado rockies vs. New york yankees
pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-148)
risk: 11 units
4:05 pm est mlb
new york mets vs. San francisco giants
pick: San francisco giants (-142)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
st. Louis cardinals vs. Cincinnati reds
pick: Cincinnati reds (-130)
risk: 11 units
7:20 pm est mlb
washington nationals vs. Atlanta braves
pick: Atlanta braves (-158)
risk: 11 units
8:10 pm est mlb
milwaukee brewers vs. Arizona diamondbacks
pick: Arizona diamondbacks (-137)
risk: 11 units
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We also hit over total runs yesterday for the card 151, am over total for card today also
Augie J - Giants Twins
Champagne - Nationals Rockies
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Johnny Bollman
ARIZONA -142
MILWAUKEE @ ARIZONA | 7/20 | 8:10 PM EDT
Zack Greinke is 10-4 with a 2.95 ERA this season. Gio Gonzalez is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA this season but he is making his first start since going on the IL in May. The Diamondbacks have the third highest OPS in the league against lefties. The Brewers have lost six of their last 10 while the Dbacks have won seven of their last 10.
81-48 IN LAST 129 MLB ML PICKS | +2059
10-3 IN LAST 13 ARI ML PICKS | +632
3-1 IN LAST 4 MIL ML PICKS | +213
SAN FRANCISCO -146
N.Y. METS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/20 | 4:05 PM EDT
Jeff Samardzija is 7-7 with a 3.93 ERA and he has a 1.66 ERA in his last three starts. Walker Lockett is making his third Major League start and he has given up 10 earned runs in 7.2 IP. The Giants have won seven games straight and 9 of their last 10, take the value in the Giants.
81-48 IN LAST 129 MLB ML PICKS | +2059
14-3 IN LAST 17 SF ML PICKS | +888
TORONTO -124
TORONTO @ DETROIT | 7/20 | 6:10 PM EDT
Daniel Norris is 2-8 with a 5.14 ERA this season and he has given up 11 runs in his last 10.2 IP. Trent Thornton is 3-7 with a 5.25 ERA this season and he threw five scoreless innings in his only start against the Tigers. The Tigers are 3-21 in their last 24 games and the Blue Jays are hitting right now. Take the value in the Blue Jays.
81-48 IN LAST 129 MLB ML PICKS | +2059
13-1 IN LAST 14 DET ML PICKS | +1188
7-1 IN LAST 8 TOR ML PICKS | +538
TAMPA BAY -161
CHI. WHITE SOX @ TAMPA BAY | 7/20 | 6:10 PM EDT
Lucas Giolito is 11-4 with a 3.23 ERA this season but he is 1-3 with a 6.48 ERA over his last five starts. Ryan Yarbrough is 8-3 with a 4.26 ERA and he hasn’t given up more than one run in each of his last five outings. The White Sox are 18-31 on the road and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Rays have lost four in a row, giving them good value today.
81-48 IN LAST 129 MLB ML PICKS | +2059
3-0 IN LAST 3 CHW ML PICKS | +300
6-4 IN LAST 10 TB ML PICKS | +173
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Micah Roberts
OVER 10.5 TORONTO @ DETROIT | 7/20 | 6:10 PM EDT
Trent Thornton didn't last long in his last start, at Boston, getting only four batters out while giving up five runs. Things won't be much better in Detroit today with a hot 95 degrees expected and winds blowing out at 12 mph. The Tigers, losers of their last five games, are also going to help this game get Over with one of the worst bullpens in MLB (5.07 ERA). Over is the play.
3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB PICKS | +227
3-1 IN LAST 4 TOR O/U PICKS | +189
SAN FRANCISCO -153
N.Y. METS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 7/20 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Giants are riding a season-best seven-game win streak, and they send Jeff Samardzija to the mound who has gone 3-0 with a 1.66 ERA in July. Everything is going great for the Giants, and they finally reached .500 status last night. The Mets' Walker Lockett makes a spot start but looked awful in his two June starts. Giants to win.
3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +227
3-1 IN LAST 4 NYM ML PICKS | +255
3-1 IN LAST 4 SF ML PICKS | +243
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Executive Sportsline
7:05
400%
Pittsburgh -125 over Philadelphia
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BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 20)
The model has 1 totals and 4 sides. The model has 1 games with a side and total play in the same game.
901 .5* SDP +115
903 .5* NYM +115
903 .5* NYM/SFG o8.5 -115
909 .67* WAS +143
922 .5* MIN -142
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Port port sports
saturday's platinum plays!!
San francisco giants (-150)
atlanta braves (-155)
under 9 new york mets @ san francisco giants (-115)
over 9 milwaukee brewers @ arizona diamondbacks (-105)
over 11 kansas city royals @ cleveland indians (-105)
arizona diamondbacks (-135)
under 8 miami marlins @ los angeles dodgers (+100)
over 9.5 st. Louis cardinals @ cincinnati reds (-105)
philadelphia phillies (+115)
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ExclusiveVipSports
#MLB
930) Rockies/Yankees Under 11.5 (-115)
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Seabass : 400 reds , 400 dbacks , 400 Phillies game over , 400 twins game over , 400 white Sox game under
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+EV: UFC 4u: Steven Peterson +100 (UFC on ESPN 4) (Saturday, July 20th)
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Steve Budin
Cubs
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Las Vegas Wolf
July 20, 2019 -
20-Jul-2019: 8059 granollers -190 ATP
20-Jul-2019: 18357 Jarry over 23 games
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Assassin Sports
(MLB) - San Francisco Giants
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DR. CHUCK
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (923) Kansas City Royals at (924) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Jul 20 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+105)
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