Thursday 6/27/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
+EV: MLB 4u: 952 NYM/PHI un10 -107 (Z Wheeler | A Nola) (Thursday, June 27th
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DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (957) Los Angeles Dodgers at (958) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jun 27 2019 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
View Analysis
Buehler v. Lambert
This is about Buehler and his last performance and several as well...but even more about Lambert. He started off nice with a couple solid starts against the Cubs home and away and a couple of victories for his team. Since it has NOT been the same story...2 no decision is the bright side...the bad is how much worse he was and now he gets the Dodgers visiting Coors off a nasty set with Arizona and a Rockies team who handled their business rather easily over San Fran.
Buehler has been phenomenal...but the Dodgers offense looked like a no show in AZ with REALLY excellent hitting conditions. No rest here...but this spot screams a wake up from a PROLIFIC line up.
Dodgers 3-1 after losing on the road and scoring 3 or less runs
15-5 record not accounting for the loss
All 9 at bats for Bellinger and the Rookie Co.
Buehler has been good in Coors against non-2017 Kyle Freelands
10-2 is the record of teams whose starter Ked 15 or more batters last time starting last 10 years
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Dave Essler
Triple Dime Max Bet Washington Nationals RL (-120)
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Kyle Markus
Los Angeles Dodgers -190 (5dimes)
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Tim Wilkinson
MLB 3 pack
San Francisco Giants -105 (Best Bet)
Los Angeles Angels -155
Angels/Athletics Over 9 (-116)
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Stephen Oh
OAKLAND +136
OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 6/27 | 9:07 PM CDT
8:51 AM
Griffin Canning has a 5.01 ERA over the last month, including a six-inning, four-runs-allowed loss to these Angels on June 4. Tanner Anderson has just three starts for Oakland, but opponents are limited to .220 hitting. My projections are calling this a close to 50-50 split, but the A's are big underdogs. The differential shows they should be closer to +108, so there's strong value on the road dog.
100-59 IN LAST 159 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
20-8 IN LAST 28 OAK ML PICKS | +1263
11-3 IN LAST 14 LAA ML PICKS | +864
ARIZONA -106
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 6/27 | 8:45 PM CDT
8:36 AM
The Giants are 5-1 this season when Tyler Beede gets the ball. But his numbers suggest the San Francisco offense simply has real good days when he's throwing. The Diamondbacks give Alex Young, who has struggled in the minors this year, his first MLB start. But Arizona's offense has a big edge over San Francisco's. The D'backs win nearly 60 percent of my simulations at a price that indicates it should be closer to 50 percent. Arizona is the value play here.
100-59 IN LAST 159 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
25-14 IN LAST 39 ARI ML PICKS | +1232
MIAMI +180
WASHINGTON @ MIAMI | 6/27 | 6:10 PM CDT
YESTERDAY 8:28 PM
My projections see the moribund Marlins winning Thursday's matchup against the Nationals nearly half the time, providing a whopping overlay on the large home underdog. My simulations see Miami winning 49 percent of the time. Stephen Strasburg has won five straight road starts against the Marlins, but my data likes the value on a Miami club that is playing some of its best baseball of the season and has won four of its last six.
100-59 IN LAST 159 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
20-13 IN LAST 33 MIA ML PICKS | +856
16-12 IN LAST 28 WAS ML PICKS | +343
TEXAS -117
TEXAS @ DETROIT | 6/27 | 12:10 PM CDT
YESTERDAY 8:24 PM
My numbers see the Rangers taking down the Tigers in 63 percent of simulations for their Thursday meeting, providing a major value spot on the razor-thin road favorite. The Rangers are on a 6-2 spurt in road games against right-handed starters, while the Tigers have lost the last four home starts by Spencer Turnbull.
100-59 IN LAST 159 MLB ML PICKS | +3917
26-9 IN LAST 35 DET ML PICKS | +1682
17-10 IN LAST 27 TEX ML PICKS | +112
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Alan Scozzari
A Wager Africa Cup Nations Algeria 0 +0,5 +104
A Wager Europa League Barry (Wal) - Cliftonville (Nir) UNDER 2,5 -119
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Picks 6/27
100* Tigers -105
100* Rays -105
100* Over 10 Brewers/Mariners
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Johnny Bollman
PHILADELPHIA -138
N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 6/27 | 1:05 PM EDT
11:35 AM
Zack Wheeler is 6-5 with a 4.69 ERA this season, but he is 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA on the road. Aaron Nola is 6-2 with a 4.55 ERA this season, but he is 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA at home. The Mets have had the lead in all three of the games this series, only for the bullpen to lose all three. The Mets are 11-22 as the road underdog while the Phillies are 26-14 as the home favorite. Lay the home favorite with their ace on the mound.
47-29 IN LAST 76 MLB PICKS | +1068
5-2 IN LAST 7 NYM ML PICKS | +266
3-2 IN LAST 5 PHI ML PICKS | +48
TEXAS -124
TEXAS @ DETROIT | 6/27 | 1:10 PM EDT
11:33 AM
Ariel Jurado is 4-3 with a 4.44 ERA this season. Spencer Turnbull is 3-7 with a 3.29 ERA, but he is 0-4 with a 4.07 ERA at home this season. The Tigers have lost six in a row while the Rangers have won four in a row. The Rangers are a solid 18-4 as the favorite, and 5-0 as the road favorite. The Tigers are 11-27 at home and 6-24 as the home underdog. Take the value in the Rangers.
47-29 IN LAST 76 MLB PICKS | +1068
8-0 IN LAST 8 DET ML PICKS | +800
7-0 IN LAST 7 TEX ML PICKS | +712
CHI. CUBS -110
ATLANTA @ CHI. CUBS | 6/27 | 2:20 PM EDT
11:32 AM
Bryse Wilson will be recalled for the Braves to make the start. In one start this season, he went 3.1 innings giving up four runs. Tyler Chatwood is 3-1 with a 3.69 ERA this season, and in his two starts this season he has given up two earned runs in 10 innings pitched. The Cubs are 28-16 at home and 23-12 as the home favorite, look for them to even this series at two.
47-29 IN LAST 76 MLB PICKS | +1068
5-2 IN LAST 7 CHC ML PICKS | +263
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CleInsiderSports (4-2 L4 days)
MLB
Tigers ML (+110)
Diamondbacks/Giants UNDER 8.5
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Larry Hartstein
TEXAS -118
TEXAS @ DETROIT | 6/27 | 1:10 PM EDT
1:25 AM
The Rangers are 27-14 in their last 41 games and I'll back them to win their fifth straight Thursday afternoon. They're facing Spencer Turnbull, who's given up 18 runs in his last 19 innings at home. Lay it with Texas.
15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB ML PICKS | +901
7-1 IN LAST 8 DET ML PICKS | +600
2-1 IN LAST 3 TEX ML PICKS | +70
PHILADELPHIA -139
N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 6/27 | 1:05 PM EDT
1:09 AM
Aaron Nola has been dynamite at home, going 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA. Over his last four starts covering 27.2 innings, he's allowed six earned runs while fanning 37. The Mets are limping to the end of their 11-game road trip. Lay it as the Phils get the four-game sweep.
15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB ML PICKS | +901
35-14 IN LAST 49 NYM ML PICKS | +1750
14-6 IN LAST 20 PHI ML PICKS | +824
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Vince Akins (8-4 L4 days)
MLB Trend Plays
2x Dodgers ML (-200)
Nationals ML (-200)
Astros ML (-200)
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Consensus (2-7 L3 days)
MLB
5u Cubs ML (-105)
5u Tigers ML (+105)
5u Mariners ML (+170)
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #961 Texas -115 (Jurado)
Rockdeman Sports
(MLB Underdog of the Day) - Tampa Bay Rays +105
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB
2* Astros/Pirates Over 9.5
2* Diamondbacks/Giants Over 8.5
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Tony chau/john morrison sports betting champ
(a) colorado +1.5
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+EV: WNBA 4u: 609 Las Vegas Aces -2 -105 (Thursday, June 27th)
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
LAA F5 -.5 -110 3u
MLB Season: 55-67-7 45% -54.75units
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