Wednesday 7/31/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, CFL & WNBA games.
+EV: MLB 4u: 971 Arizona Diamondbacks +140 (Z Greinke | M Tanaka) (Wednesday, July 31st)
+EV: MLB 4u: 956 Colorado Rockies +132 (H Ryu | G Marquez) (Wednesday, July 31 st)
+EV: MLB 4u: 967 Houston Astros -143 (J Urquidy | A Plutko) (Wednesday, July 31st)
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SPARTAN
3*GOW
Philadelphia -127
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STEPHEN NOVER
3*
Oakland -126
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BEN BURNS
3*TOW
St.louis / Chicago Cubs under 8.5
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BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 31)
The model has 4 sides and 0 total. There is 0 games with a side and total in the same game.
952 .5* WAS +113
961 .5* TOR +106
968 .5* CLE +135
975 .5* NYM -160
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Alan Scozzari
Tip of the day MAX BET
Champions League HJK (Fin) - FK Crvena zvezda (Srb) UNDER 2,5 -139
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Larry Hartstein
L.A. DODGERS -134
L.A. DODGERS @ COLORADO | 7/31 | 3:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:10 PM
This is a reasonable price on the visiting Dodgers facing German Marquez, who has a 7.07 ERA at home. Batters are hitting .336 against him at Coors Field. Back the Dodgers to improve to 15-3 in the last 18 meetings.
64-38 IN LAST 102 MLB ML PICKS | +2181
21-11 IN LAST 32 LAD ML PICKS | +1181
23-14 IN LAST 37 COL ML PICKS | +578
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DAVE ESSLER
3*
Minnesota -1.5(-110)
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Picks 7/31
100* Dodgers -130
100* Royals -125
100* Over 9.5 Reds/Pirates
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB Totals - Top 3* Plays
Nationals/Braves Over 9.5
Blue Jays/Royals Over 10
Giants/Phillies Over 9.5
Rays/Red Sox Over 11
Astros/Indians Under 10
White Sox/Mets Over 8
Athletics/Brewers Under 9
Good Luck..
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Vince Akins (4-4 L2 days)
MLB Trend Plays
Braves ML (-130)
White Sox ML (+155)
Braves/Nationals UNDER 10
Brewers/A's UNDER 9
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CleInsiderSports (1-2 L2 days)
MLB
Red Sox ML (-140)
Braves/Nationals UNDER 10
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H&H Sports
4* Dodgers -127
3* Nationals/Braves Under 10 (-110)
3* Yankees/Diamondbacks Under 10 (-130)
Good Luck..
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Johnny Bollman
OAKLAND -129
MILWAUKEE @ OAKLAND | 7/31 | 10:07 PM EDT
10:45 AM
Jordan Lyles is 5-7 with a 5.36 ERA this season but he has given up 20 earned runs in 12 IP in July. Brett Anderson is 9-6 with a 4.05 ERA and he has thrown four quality starts in his last five outings. The Athletics are 34-22 at home while the Brewers are 23-28 on the road. The As are 14-7 when Anderson starts, take the value in the As.
95-60 IN LAST 155 MLB ML PICKS | +1912
15-8 IN LAST 23 OAK ML PICKS | +729
4-2 IN LAST 6 MIL ML PICKS | +171
L.A. DODGERS -134
L.A. DODGERS @ COLORADO | 7/31 | 3:10 PM EDT
10:43 AM
Hyun-Jin Ryu is 11-2 with a 1.74 ERA this season and 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in July. German Marquez is 10-5 with a 4.88 ERA and he is 2-2 with a 7.22 ERA in July. Marquez gave up 11 runs in his last outing at home then put together two quality starts on the road giving this line value. Hyun-Jin Ryu has not had much success in his career at Coors Field. He gave up seven earned runs in four innings in his one start but he had also faced the Rockies the start before. The Dodgers are 9-3 against the Rockies this season, this is the best value you’ll get for a Cy Young candidate against a team under .500.
95-60 IN LAST 155 MLB ML PICKS | +1912
2-1 IN LAST 3 COL ML PICKS | +100
3-2 IN LAST 5 LAD ML PICKS | +7
WASHINGTON +111
ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON | 7/31 | 12:05 PM EDT
10:42 AM
Mike Soroka is 10-2 with a 2.44 ERA this season and he is 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA on the road. However, in two starts against the Nationals this season he has given up four earned runs in eight innings giving him one of his two losses. Anibal Sanchez is 6-6 with a 3.66 ERA this season but since returning from the IL in May, he is 6-0 with a 2.59 ERA. Against the Braves he is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA. This should be closer to a coin flip, take the value in the Nats.
95-60 IN LAST 155 MLB ML PICKS | +1912
5-1 IN LAST 6 ATL ML PICKS | +400
3-0 IN LAST 3 WAS ML PICKS | +300
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Consensus (2-3 L2 days)
MLB
6u Braves/Nationals UNDER 10
5u Phillies ML (-130)
5u Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8.5
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Sports Dogma
Nats/Braves F5 under 5.5
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
Accu Picks
MLB
3* #957/958 San Francisco/Philadelphia under 10
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Seabass early : 500 Indians to win the division at 7 to 2, 300 dbacks , 300 braves
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB
ARI F5 +.5 -130 3u
MLB Season: 75-77-7 49% -29.55 units
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Cal Sports
5% Dodgers
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DWAYNE BRYANTBASEBALL PLAYS
MLB TOTALS SYSTEM BEST BET $$$$$
Game: (977) Milwaukee Brewers at (978) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Jul 31 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 9.0 (-101)
View Analysis
10:07 PM ET -- MLB
977 Milwaukee Brewers
978 Oakland Athletics
PLAY: UNDER 9 (-101)
BET SIZE: 4%
List Lyles & Anderson
4% play at 9 or higher
3% play at 8.5
No play below 8.5
DB's THOUGHTS:
Jordan Lyles makes his Brewers debut here. I think Lyles would feel more pressure if he were pitching in front of the home crowd, so being on the road tonight should be a plus for him. Lyles has faced these A's hitters a couple times before, and handled them rather well.
Brett Anderson is a ground ball pitcher. His 52.4% GB% ranks 10th among starters who have thrown at least 50 innings this season. And when he does give up a fly ball, he's better than most at keeping it in the park. His HR/FB rate is 13.3%, better than the league average for starters (15.4%).
Milwaukee has only averaged 3.9 runs in its nine road night games against lefty starters, with the Under going 6-3.
The Brewers pen is very solid, ranking 6th in both K/BB and WHIP. The A's pen owns a decent 11th-ranked WHIP. But what I like best about this Oakland bully is its #1 HR/FB rate (9%).
We also get Nick Mahrley behind the plate. Mahrley has shown a strong Under bias.
PLAY UNDER.
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Jeff Alexander
4* Oakland -119
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Teddy Covers
4% Houston -134
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Miller locks
1:05 pm est mlb
arizona diamondbacks vs. New york yankees
pick: Arizona diamondbacks (+116)
risk: 11 units
3:10 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Colorado rockies
pick: Colorado rockies (+119)
risk: 11 units
3:10 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Colorado rockies
pick: Under 12 (-102)
risk: 11 units
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DR. CHUCK
955 Dodgers Team Total Over 5.5
Game: Dodgers Team Total Over 5.5
Date/Time: Jul 31 2019 3:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Over 5.5
View Analysis
Ryu v. Marquez
These 2 teams have used the first 2 games to take turns walloping the opponent once each, and in today's rubber match the great hitting Dodgers get to play a nice afternoon game in Coors and face German Marquez! In his last 4 starts at home he has pitched just about 21 innings he has given up 27 runs and 32 hits ALL BY HIMSELF! In the remaining 15 innings his fellow pitchers from the Rockies 'pen gave up 14 more runs!
This means without taking into account anything to do with Ryu or the Rockies offense I just need an excellent Dodgers lineup in HUGE Coors outfield to baaaarely eclipse HALF the average of the previous 4 opponents who visited...scoring 41 runs in those games.
I really really like the Dodgers to have half the 6 in the top of the 1st...no lie...and think this getting Over 5.5 might be something Vegas would wish they'd never done...if bettors cared about baseball Damnit!
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JOE RAINERI BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (977) Milwaukee Brewers at (978) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Jul 31 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Milwaukee Brewers +112
View Analysis
The Oakland Athletics carved out a walkoff win against the Milwaukee Brewers in a close one last night. The A's held on for their 61st win of the season to give them sole possession of the final wildcard in the American League.
Tonight's pitching matchup is very intriquing. The Brewers are sending Jordan Lyles to the mound as he comes over from the Pirates for added depth since all the Brewers starting pitchers are hurt. His pitching numbers over the last month are too horrific to even post here so we'll spare you having to read them. What you do need to know is that a change of scenery could be exactly what he needed. After all, he was playing for the Pirates. He also spent last year in the bullpen for the Brewers during their playoff run. That means there is a certain familiarity with the clubhouse and team. Think of it as a chance to be reborn for Jordan.
Now he gets thrown into a tough spot on the road with a new/old team. His teammates however, have quite the history against the person taking the mound for the A's tonight. That means that Jordan might actually see some run support for a change.
Brett Anderson hits the rubber for the A's and the Brewers have hammered Anderson in the past. The current roster is hitting a combined .432 with a .479 OBP against him in 44 at-bats. There are six players on the Milwaukee roster who are hitting greater than .500 vs Anderson in their careers. He hasn’t exactly been killing it either. Anderson goes into this matchup with an ERA of 5.19 in his last three outings.
Also note that he hans't exactly loved pitching at home as Anderson has been below average at home with a 4.75 ERA and 1.51 WHIP.
Jordan Lyles has a chance to succeed here. Lefties have a .416 wOBA against him this season. Righties only have a .311 wOBA and the A’s are pretty right-handed-heavy on the whole. Brett Anderson is a contact management guy and the current Brewers hitters have had plenty of success making contact against him.
I'm betting the Brewers to take one on the road tonight and finally provide Jordan Lyles with some run support. This is the perfect spot for him to rebound.
Go with the Brewers who provide great value on the ML tonight
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Vsi
7 Units oakland -120
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Goodfella
3*
Houston -130
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KING CREOLE
2*
Detroit Tigers / Los Angeles Angles under 10
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SLEEPYJ
3*TOY
Oakland /Milwaukee over9
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GREG SHAKER
3*
Houston / Cleveland under 10
2*
Chicago whitesox / Mets under 8
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