Friday 8/16/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NFL & CFL games.
+EV: MLB 4u: 956 Pittsburgh Pirates +129 (K Hendricks | J Musgrove) (Friday, August 16th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 957 St. Louis Cardinals +142 (A Wainwright | L Castillo) (Friday, August 16th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 980 Kansas City Royals +166 (N Syndergaard | M Montgomery) (Friday, August 16th)
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SPARTAN
2*
Miami +3
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STEPHEN NOVER
3*GOW
Chicago whitesox +114
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DAVE ESSLER
3*
Colorado -1.5(-115)
1*
Pittsburgh +125
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picks2play
NY GIANTS -2
PHILLIES -103
AZ DBACKS -126
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+EV: MLB 4u: 959 Los Angeles Dodgers +110 (K Maeda | M Soroka) (Friday, August 16th)
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BEN BURNS
3*
LA/Atlanta UNDER 10.5
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JR ODONNELL
3*
Tampa Bay / Miami over 43.5
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Paul Leiner
NFLX & MLB Picks 8/16
100* Dolphins +3
100* Padres -110
100* Over 8 Tigers/Rays
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Tony Chau/John Morrison Sports Betting Champ
[A] Washington Nationals ML official
[A] Atlanta Braves ML official
[A] Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 unofficial I believe
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MILLER LOCKS
7:10 PM EST MLB
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS. BOSTON RED SOX
PICK: BOSTON RED SOX -1.5 (-148)
RISK: 11 UNITS
7:10 PM EST MLB
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS. BOSTON RED SOX
PICK: OVER 11.5 (-111)
RISK: 11 UNITS
7:10 PM EST MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS. CINCINNATI REDS
PICK: CINCINNATI REDS (-138)
RISK: 11 UNITS
7:20 PM EST MLB
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS. ATLANTA BRAVES
PICK: ATLANTA BRAVES (-118)
RISK: 11 UNITS
8:15 PM EST MLB
NEW YORK METS VS. KANSAS CITY ROYALS
PICK: NEW YORK METS -1.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
MLB 110-95 plus 165 units +70.42 units
POST ALL STAR 59-35 plus 264 units +207.49 units
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basewinner:
all 0,5*:
washington -146
san diego/philadelphia u9
chc/pittsburgh u9
pittsburgh +130
colorado -175
det/TB u8,5
houston -185
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GREG SHAKER
3*
Atlanta -120
1*
Cincinnati -134
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ROB VENO
Game: (971) Detroit Tigers at (972) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Aug 16 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-143)
View Analysis
Game: (977) Chicago White Sox at (978) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Aug 16 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Chicago White Sox +105
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
------------------------------------
3 Rivers Sports
MLB
3* #969/970 Baltimore/Boston OVER 11.5
DR. CHUCK
Game: (413) Chicago Bears at (414) New York Giants
Date/Time: Aug 16 2019 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Giants -2.0 (-110)
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TEDDY COVERS FOOTBALL PLAYS
Game: (413) Chicago Bears at (414) New York Giants
Date/Time: Aug 16 2019 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New York Giants -130
View Analysis
3% Take the New York Giants on the Moneyline (#414). Teddy's write-up will be posted here before 11 AM Pacific Time.
Game: (419) New England Patriots at (420) Tennessee Titans
Date/Time: Aug 17 2019 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Tennessee Titans 3.0 (-110)
View Analysis
3% Take Tennessee (#420)
Let me start with an excerpt from my write-up supporting the Titans last week in their blowout win as underdogs in Philadelphia:
“I fully understand that the Titans went 0-4 SU and ATS in the preseason last year, Matt Vrabel’s first season on the job. That was then, this is now. The Titans have much better depth this season, and they aren’t learning new systems on both sides of the football. In addition, Tennessee has a ‘bet-on QB rotation with Ryan Tannehill looking good in camp so far and veteran backup Logan Woodside looking good behind him. With Marcus Mariota in a ‘make or break’ contract year, expect both backups to get opportunities to showcase their abilities here.”
Vrabel’s quotes this week indicate that he’s viewing this home game against the defending Super Bowl champs as a ‘great test’ for his team; a meaningful quote for a preseason setting. Tannehill and Woodside combined to throw for four TD passes last week, a clear ‘bet-on’ QB duo once Mariota sits. And New England, off their blowout win against another Belichick assistant last week, is being priced a good notch or two too high in this ballgame.
Last week, the Patriots chucked the ball all over the field with Brian Hoyer and Jared Stidham. But Bill Belichick doesn’t normally utilize the same gameplan two weeks in a row in August. And while Belichick is not a coach who gives us precise information on his preseason gameplans, one role that he has not been cashing tickets in August is as a bigger favorite. At -3 or higher, New England is a 33% ATS proposition dating back to 2015; a track record worth betting against here! Take the Titans.
Line Parameter: 3% at +3 or higher, 2% at +2.5 or lower
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CleInsiderSports (25-12 L15 days)
MLB
Cubs ML (-140)
Diamondbacks ML (-135)
NFL
Bills +2
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Consensus (4-5 L4 days)
MLB
6u Dodgers ML (+110)
5u Padres ML (+105)
WNBA
5u Sparks/Sky OVER 163.5
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Vince Akins (3-5 L2 days)
MLB Trend Plays
Red Sox ML (-270)
Rays ML (-320)
Indians/Yankees OVER 10.5
Rockies ML (-230)
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Tom Stryker
Single Play: Carolina Panthers
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Northcoast late phones NFLX
3 1/2 ***. Tampa Bay -3
MQPP BEARs + 2 1/2
Top opinion. TBAY/MIAMI OV 43
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Dwayne Bryant
5% O/U Max Bet
Tigers-Rays under 4.5 (-119)
5% play at 4.5 or higher
3% play at 4
No play below 4
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MLB BaseWizzard Plays:
ALL 1*
WSH -151
AZ -137
CHC -141
CWS/LAA OV 8 -129
TB ML/ STL+2.5 PARLAY
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Brandon Lang
WINNING DAY
#11 IN A ROW
UP THE ANTE
MAJOR WAGER ALERT
100 DIME
-MAJOR WAGER-
BANKROLL BUILDER
#7 OUT OF 9
(#2 In A Row)
N.L Game Of The Year Part 2
Phillies
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NFL Preseason(Bob Balfe)
7:00 PM EST
Rotation #411-412
Bills +1 over Panthers
The Panthers will be without Cam Newton tonight so already right off the bat the Bills have the advantage with their #1 QB being in the game. Last week Carolina didn’t play their starters. The Bills played their starters about a quarter. Once again Buffalo is further along in the preseason progress and conditioning. Preseason is all about finding advantages. We have a big one here, but the question is does that really matter come the 3rd and 4th quarter when the deep backups are in? Take the Bills.
NFL Preseason
7:30 PM EST
Rotation #413-414
Giants -3 over Bears
Bears coach Matt Nagy is on record saying he doesn’t care if Mitch Trubisky throws one preseason pass. I love this about a coach. The preseason should be treated like a joke and everyone should come out of it healthy. What I really liked about the Giants in the first preseason game was how their backup QB’s played. Daniel Jones looked great as did Kyle Lauletta. The Giants also played great defense with their deeper backups in the final quarter. Chicago is so stacked on defense that you really don’t need anybody to play and it’s going to be really hard for anyone to make the team on that side of the ball. Will Eli get a longer series tonight and will there be a week 1 QB controversy? Time will tell. Take the Giants.
NFL Preseason
7:30 PM EST
Rotation #415-416
Bucs -3 over Dolphins
The Bucs could end up being a dangerous offensive team this year. Byron Leftwich is becoming a great play caller. This team look in midseason form last week. Miami’s QB’s all were in different cities last year so just getting everyone on the same page is going to take time. Kenyan Drake will miss tonight’s game so the work load will be on Kalen Ballage. I am not sure they want to wear this guy out before the games start to count. Miami has issues on their offensive line and I feel they are just not ready to start the season yet. The Bucs have a deep defensive rotation and quality rookies added to the roster this year. This should be an entertaining game between two young teams. Take Tampa.
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Fezzik | NFL Total - Friday, Aug 16 2019 7:30PM
415 MIA / 416 TAM UNDER 43.0 William Hilldouble-dime bet
Analysis: This is a weather play tonight!
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