Friday 5/3/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NHL & NBA games.
ROB VENO
Game: (587) Denver Nuggets at (588) Portland Trail Blazers
Date/Time: May 3 2019 10:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 215.5 (-108)
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Spartan
3*
Portland -4
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Sleepyj
3*
Denver / Portland over 215.5
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Stephen Nover
3*
Pittsburgh -110
2*nba
Boston-127
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Fezzik
3*nba
Boston-130
2*
Milwaukee/ New York Mets under 9
2*
Cleveland -150
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The Champ MLB system bet for Friday May 3rd:
Kansas City Royals +1.5 Run Line {A** bet - Confirmed official bet at the {A** level. If the Royals lose the {A** game, it is possible that the RPI difference might be greater than .015 on the {B** bet, and likewise on the {C** wager. Please monitor this situation to see if the RPI difference is within range of the official filters for the possible {B** and {C** bets. I personally feel that this betting series with the Royals is an extremely strong betting series with a very, very high probability of us wining.
Seattle Mariners +1.5 Run Line {A** bet - This is an unofficial betting series because the RPI difference between the two teams is too great.
If the {A** bet does not win, please remember to automatically move on to the {B** bet on the next day, and same for the {C** bet the day after. The series is over as soon as a bet at any level wins, or if the final {C** bet somehow loses.
All the best,
The Champ Team
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Mlbtotal us
New York Yankees Over 8
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Stephen Oh
OAKLAND +100
OAKLAND @ PITTSBURGH | 5/03 | 7:05 PM EDT
My data sees the Athletics defeating the Pirates in more than 55 percent of simulations for their series opener Friday, providing a strong value position on Oakland. The Athletics have lost six straight games, but they are 5-1 in their last six at Pittsburgh and my data suggests Oakland has the edge behind Brett Anderson, who is 2-1 with a 3.10 ERA in four career starts against the Pirates.
37-21 IN LAST 58 MLB PICKS | +1551
6-0 IN LAST 6 PIT ML PICKS | +640
11-8 IN LAST 19 OAK ML PICKS | +239
WASHINGTON +138
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 5/03 | 7:05 PM EDT
My projections see the Nationals toppling the Phillies more than half the time in their Friday meeting, providing a value spot on the road underdog. Washington has won five of its past six games at Philadelphia and is on a 4-1 run in the past five starts by Jeremy Hellickson.
37-21 IN LAST 58 MLB PICKS | +1551
15-9 IN LAST 24 WAS ML PICKS | +573
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Kyle Markus
Portland Trailblazers -175
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Tim Wilkinson
Milwaukee Bucks +2.5
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB
2* Phillies/Nationals Over 9
2* Indians/Mariners Over 8
1* Marlins/Braves Over 8
1* White Sox/Red Sox Over 8
1* San Diego Padres +1.5 runs
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Kenny White
CHI. WHITE SOX +170
BOSTON @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 5/03 | 8:10 PM EDT
Chris Sale is still not right. After throwing in the mid 90s against the Yankees, Sale's velocity has dropped back down to the low 90s. Without is big time fastball Sale is not worth laying prices. Reynaldo Lopez for the White Sox has the far better fastball at this point and has really come on the last three starts. Lopez pitched 16 innings allowing 14 hits, just three earned runs with five walks and 27 strikeouts. He has 22 K's in his last 12 innings. Last year Lopez was brilliant in April and September but very ineffective in between. I expect Lopez to be well above average for the majority of the season.
5-2 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +282
3-1 IN LAST 4 BOS ML PICKS | +161
5-4 IN LAST 9 CHW ML PICKS | +108
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Larry Hartstein
PORTLAND -4
DENVER @ PORTLAND | 5/03 | 10:30 PM EDT
Jamal Murray's thigh bruise didn't have a lot of time to heal between Games 2 and 3, and I expect him to struggle again in Portland tonight. When he shoots under 39 percent, the Nuggets are 0-4 in the postseason. This is also a situation where you trust the Trail Blazers' role players at home more than the Nuggets' role players on the road. Lay it.
100-75-1 IN LAST 176 NBA ATS PICKS | +1740
33-20-3 IN LAST 56 DEN ATS PICKS | +1104
11-3 IN LAST 14 POR ATS PICKS | +775
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Adam Thompson
L.A. DODGERS -165
L.A. DODGERS @ SAN DIEGO | 5/03 | 10:10 PM EDT
Clayton Kershaw faces a Padres team at Petco that ranks in the bottom three in the league in hitting at home, and hitting against southpaws. Opponents are hitting .162 against him this year. Eric Lauer was strong against the Dodgers last year in three starts, in he hasn't made it six innings in three straight.
4-0 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +420
17-10 IN LAST 27 LAD ML PICKS | +920
PHILADELPHIA -169
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 5/03 | 7:05 PM EDT
Jeremy Hellickson has cooled down as a starter, allowing 11 runs over eight innings in his last two starts. He hasn't gone more than six innings in four starts and the Nationals' bullpen is among the league's worst. Jerad Eickhoff was great in his last start and the Washington offense is averaging two runs a game this week.
4-0 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +420
16-6 IN LAST 22 PHI ML PICKS | +940
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Paul Leiner
Pivotal game tonight for the Bucks and Celtics and after reviewing the numbers I absolutely love Boston. I also think that the team will rally after the news of Danny Ainge having a heart attack. This one may turn into a blowout. Thanks and goodluck.
3000* NBA Celtics -2
100* NBA Blazers -4.5
100* MLB Cubs -105
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Goodfella
3*
Portland -3
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Greg shaker
3*
Yankees / Minnesota over 7.5
2*
Colorado / Arizona over 11
2*
Arizona -103
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Master Sports
MLB
4* #911/912 Arizona/Colorado under 11 (Ray/Anderson)
Kevin Rogers
Toronto Blue Jays +146
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Tony Mejia
Rockies/Diamondbacks Over 11
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Tim Wilkinson
Colorado Rockies +103
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Stats Analytics Sport
(Adding MLB) - 1* St Louis Cardinals +100
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ROB VENO
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (587) Denver Nuggets at (588) Portland Trail Blazers
Date/Time: May 3 2019 10:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 215.5 (-108)
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (919) Kansas City Royals at (920) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: May 3 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+135)
Game: (923) Toronto Blue Jays at (924) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: May 3 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Texas Rangers -1.5 (+120)
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TONY FINN
BASEBALL PLAYS
FINN AMERICAN LEAGUE HI-ROLLER (14-7)
Game: (927) Oakland Athletics at (928) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: May 3 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates -110
View Analysis
PLAY: Pittsburgh Pirates -110 (good to -125)
4$ play rating
LIST PITCHERS: Anderson and Musgrove
Finn cashed his lone Wednesday night baseball event with a play Under the Total in Anahiem when the Angels hosted the Toronto Jays. Finn has a Thursday night Major League Baseball Doubleheader for tonight and this is the first of his two-game MLB Report.,
A's lefty and starting pitcher in tonight's affair against the NL Bucs, Anderson, is coming off a start in which he allowed 6 ER in 5 1/3 IP. After looking like the A's best pitcher through his first four starts, Anderson has not completed five innings in his past two outings.
The key piece in last summers trade of Gerrit Cole to Houston was tonight's Bucs' starter Musgrove. The Pitt starting right-hander has registered five quality starts this season. His last turn saw hime toss a QS versus the Dodgers on Saturday. Mustrove allowed three runs (one earned) over 6 2/3 innings in a Pirates loss. Musgrove finished April with a 1.64 ERA and 0.94 WHIP to go along with 30 strikeouts in 33 innings." It is safe to state that due to the Pirates offense, or lack thereof, Musgrove will fly under the radar this season despite his success, and compared to players with lesser talent playing for a team that can hit, pitch and win.
Anderson doesn't trust his stuff like most big league rotation players. And his near K to BB equality offers evidence of such.
Musgrove has done nearly everything right in the young 2019 campaign. His BB rate is close to elite (1.91 BB/9) and while his xFIP of 3.74 doesn't garner the water cooler talk of his ERA that in time will climb. Currently Musgrove is working with a .233 BABIP compared to his career mark of .297. The unsustainable BABIP alone will assist in Musgrove's ERA to climb. But with career evidence that Musgrove doesn't issue free passes and with that keeping runners off the bases Musgrove has the ability to overcome his liabilities and be the Bucs ace for the next handful of season.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES -110
FINN FRI NITE AL BEST BET UNDERDOG(15-7)
Game: (921) Seattle Mariners at (922) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: May 3 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Seattle Mariners +148
PLAY: Seattle Mariners +148 (good to +110)
3% game rating
LIST PITCHERS: Kikuchi and Bieber
(921) Seattle Mariners at (922) Cleveland Indians
Young right-hander Shane Bieber takes his 2019 3.68 and career 6-plus ERA into tonight's game against an underapreciated Seattle Mariners roster. Bieber allowed one run on four hits over six-plus innings in an April 16 victory versus the Mariners but his advantage versus the Seattle lineup is no longer and Seattle understands that being patient against a pitcher that picks at the corners of home plate is imprative to success. The M's have now seen Bieber up front and close and now know he isn't overwhelming or as imposing as some would like you to believe. He struck out five and walked three in his last turn versus
Starting Pitching Matchup
Mariners LH Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 4.54 ERA) vs. Indians RH Shane Bieber (2-1, 3.68)
Kikuchi is tonight's starting pitcher with the edge the first two times through the lineup. The first-year lefty pitched just one inning against Texas last Friday as Seattle watches his workload in his first major league season. Ignore the statline for the Japanese import in this last turn in which he surrendered four runs and 10 hits over five innings at the Los Angeles Angels. Four of the basehits against the M's southpaw were seeing eye singles and while a handful of the current Indians' hitters have face Kikuchi most haven't. Nor is there an accurate book on his arsenal. The left-handed rookie turned in a quality start at home against Cleveland on April 15 -- and his delivery is uber-deceptive. He has a long and jerky windup and while he doesn't overpower opposing batters he has a backdoor cutter that cripples right-handed hitters and he induces soft contact and late decision on his pitchers because the ball is nearly impossible to pick up at the start of his deliever.
Bieber was reached for three runs on as many hits over six innings at Houston last Saturday but did not factor in the decision The 23-year-old, essentially rookie, surrendered seven runs across 2 1/3 innings versus the NL's Atlanta in his previous outing.
Bieber made his first start of 2019 by Allowing 2 runs on 2 hits over 6 innings while walking 2 and striking out 9. Other than a 2-run homer to Freddy Galvis, Bieber dominated the Blue Jays offense. Stating such and resting on one's laurels because they shutdown Toronto isn't any thing to put on your resume. Bieber's 11.8% Swinging Strike rate from last year is pedestrian, at best. Bieber posted a 4.55 ERA last season over 114 IP. Note tat while Bieber's underlying peripherals suggest he was better than his surface numbers suggest he doesn't know who he is or where he is going at this poin in his career.
Make no mistake. Bieber is a No. 5 starter for a good team. This makes him a No. 4 on most other orgainziations.
SEATTLE MARINERS +148
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Vsi soccer
Saturday-epl
4 wolverhampton-1....10am
mls
4 under-3-120 galaxy-ny...2pm
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Larry Hartstein
HOUSTON -3.5
GOLDEN ST. @ HOUSTON | 5/04 | 8:30 PM EDT
This is the Rockets' season. They've had all week to stew over their performances at Oracle. Look for them to come out more aggressively and attack the rim more with Clint Capela. Lay the small number.
100-75-1 IN LAST 176 NBA ATS PICKS | +1740
20-16-1 IN LAST 37 GS ATS PICKS | +273
3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ATS PICKS | +190
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Zack Cimini
DENVER +4
DENVER @ PORTLAND | 5/03 | 10:30 PM EDT
In Game 2, the Nuggets were vulnerable to Portland’s perimeter shooting and never could recover from an early deficit. Yet, this how the young Nuggets are. They lack playoff experience and, although they are a No. 2 seed, oddsmakers haven’t made proper point-spread adjustments. Game 2 should prove to be the outlier of the series. Grab the Nuggets in a value spot as an underdog Friday.
16-7 IN LAST 23 NBA PICKS | +829
8-5 IN LAST 13 DEN ATS PICKS | +248
2-1 IN LAST 3 POR ATS PICKS | +89
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