Monday 6/3/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NHL & NBA games.
Ben Burns
3*
Chicago Cubs -153
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Spartan
3*
Philadelphia -122
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Stephen Nover
2*
Arizona / LA DODGERS under 8.5
2*PARLAY OF MONTH
St.louis / Boston under 5.5
2*
St.louis -115
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Paul Leiner
Baseball Plays 6/3
100* Astros -130
100* Dodgers -145
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Kyle Markus (VegasInsider)
NHL
Bruins/Blues Over 5.5 (+120) Best Bet
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JM
Now, let's go onward to the next bets for Champ MLB betting system for Monday June 3rd:
Seattle Mariners {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is an unofficial betting series that will not be counted toward the official record. If Seattle loses the {A** game, then please automatically bet on them again the next day for the {B** bet to recoup your {A** loss, plus to make your desired profit for the series. The same applies to the potential {C** game on the day after if for any reason they lose the {B** game as well.
All the best,
The Champ Team
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #952 Arizona +130 (Ray)
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Stephen Oh
PHILADELPHIA -147
PHILADELPHIA @ SAN DIEGO | 6/03 | 10:10 PM EDT
Philadelphia has won 28 of 40 games when favored, and eight of 12 when Aaron Nola gets the ball. Neither team comes in hot -- Philly has lost four straight, San Diego five of seven -- but the Phillies win a solid 60 percent of my computer simulations against Eric Lauer and the 26th-ranked run-scoring Padres offense. Take the road favorite here.
73-47 IN LAST 120 MLB PICKS | +2607
3-0 IN LAST 3 PHI ML PICKS | +300
UNDER 8.5 L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 6/03 | 9:40 PM EDT
The Under is 3-0-1 in the Dodgers' last four games and 4-2-1 in the Diamondbacks' last seven. My computer model sees the total staying low again -- these teams hits eight runs or fewer in 59 percent of my simulations, a big enough number to back at near even money. Take the Under (-104).
73-47 IN LAST 120 MLB PICKS | +2607
3-0 IN LAST 3 ARI O/U PICKS | +300
HOUSTON -135
HOUSTON @ SEATTLE | 6/03 | 10:10 PM EDT
The Astros are banged up, but that hasn't stopped them much. They enter Seattle after sweeping three at Oakland. Starter Corbin Martin has been struggling of late, but Seattle's offense managed just 3.3 runs in four games against the Angels, losing three. The Mariners will go with an opener then leave it to Wade LeBlanc and the bullpen. Houston wins two-thirds of my simulations, providing value on the money line.
73-47 IN LAST 120 MLB PICKS | +2607
27-19 IN LAST 46 HOU ML PICKS | +1255
CHI. CUBS -160
L.A. ANGELS @ CHI. CUBS | 6/03 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Cubs are 15-8 on the season as a home favorite and 23-11 when favored anywhere. Jon Lester has been real strong at Wrigley, and Trevor Cahill is in a slump and facing a potent Cubs lineup. My projections don't project this one to be overly close -- Chicago wins nearly 75 percent of my simulations at a price that provides considerable value. Jump on the Cubbies.
73-47 IN LAST 120 MLB PICKS | +2607
8-2 IN LAST 10 LAA ML PICKS | +706
5-4 IN LAST 9 CHC ML PICKS | +90
BOSTON -107
BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS | 6/03 | 8:00 PM EDT
After a pair of close games, the Bruins ran roughshod over the Blues in Game 3. Now it's Game 4 in St. Louis, and my projections show a much-closer game. That said, Boston is still the better team regardless of game location -- they win nearly 60 percent of my simulations and at a very reasonable price.
10-7 IN LAST 17 NHL ML PICKS | +335
2-1 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS | +130
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Tom Fornelli
ST. LOUIS -120
BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS | 6/03 | 8:00 PM EDT
While I'm not a hockey sharp, I know a good price when I see one, and that's precisely what this is. St. Louis is being underestimated after getting creamed in Game Three, but I like the Blues chances of bouncing back to even up the series on Monday night.
HOUSTON -135
HOUSTON @ SEATTLE | 6/03 | 10:10 PM EDT
Corbin Martin has struggled since joining the Houston rotation, but I still have a lot more faith in him than I do Seattle's expected starter Wade LeBlanc. While LeBlanc was a pleasant surprise for the Mariners last season, this year he's been tossing batting practice, and even if their lineup is depleted, I still like the Astros here.
3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +325
2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA ML PICKS | +147
UNDER 7.5 PHILADELPHIA @ SAN DIEGO | 6/03 | 10:10 PM EDT
Petco Park has always been pitcher-friendly, but those conditions take on a new level when games are played at night there. I'm not a meteorologist, but there's just something about the park's dimensions combined with the local weather that makes it harder to hit home runs at night, and in this day and age, if you're not going yard, you're not scoring many runs. With temps in the mid to low 60s, a stiff breeze blowing in from left, and Aaron Nola and Eric Lauer on the mound, I expect runs will be at a premium in this one.
21-12-2 IN LAST 35 MLB O/U PICKS | +751
3-0 IN LAST 3 PHI O/U PICKS | +300
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Micah Roberts
UNDER 7.5 PHILADELPHIA @ SAN DIEGO | 6/03 | 10:10 PM EDT
The Padres got smacked around by the Marlins by identical 9-3 losses on Saturday and Sunday. They've lost five of their last seven. But the Phillies come in on a four-game slide and kept all four games Under the total. The Phils are batting just .195 in their last seven games. Aaron Nola has come around lately with solid outings while the Padres have won Eric Lauer's last three and all stayed Under. Under (-105) is the top play.
5-1-1 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +430
3-1 IN LAST 4 PHI O/U PICKS | +200
L.A. ANGELS +147
L.A. ANGELS @ CHI. CUBS | 6/03 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Angels' lineup has come alive winning seven of the last nine and they'll face a reeling Cubs squad with Jon Lester getting hammered his last three starts -- all Cubs losses. Lester has allowed 19 runs over his last three and the Cubs have lost eight of their last 10. I'm on the hot team, the Angels.
5-1-1 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +430
8-2 IN LAST 10 CHC ML PICKS | +638
9-5 IN LAST 14 LAA ML PICKS | +411
OVER 8.5 L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 6/03 | 9:40 PM EDT
The Dodgers come in red hot, winning nine of their last 10 games, including their last five that concluded with a sweep at home against the Phillies. Arizona ended a five-game losing streak by winning the last two against the Mets. The Dodgers won three of four in the opening series at Dodger Stadium against Arizona with all four going Over. Arizona's bats got better over the weekend, so I think this one will get Over the total too.
5-1-1 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +430
23-16-4 IN LAST 43 LAD O/U PICKS | +574
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Johnny Bollman
ST. LOUIS -120
BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS | 6/03 | 8:00 PM EDT
The Blues were outscored and outplayed on Saturday by a wide margin. The Bruins were 4/4 at scoring on the power play and scored seven goals on 24 shots leading to Jordan Binnington getting pulled. The Bruins are the better team, but the Blues are playing for their Stanley Cup lives tonight. If they lose both games at home and go back to Boston down 3-1, this series is over. So I like the Blues to come out firing and finally stay disciplined for the first time this series. They got a steady dose of the Bruins power play last game so hopefully they have finally learned that they can’t win when they take penalties.
CHI. CUBS -162
L.A. ANGELS @ CHI. CUBS | 6/03 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Cubs have been struggling as of late but they finally get to head home where Jon Lester has a 1.9 ERA this season. Cam Bedrosian will be opening for Trevor Cahill who posted an 8.22 ERA in five starts in May. This Angels team is only in the middle of the pack at scoring against lefties and they will lose Ohtani to the National League rules today. The Angels are 1-3 when Bedrosian starts as the opener and the Cubs are 18-10 at home. Lay the favorite.
19-13 IN LAST 32 MLB ML PICKS | +366
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAA ML PICKS | +200
HOUSTON -135
HOUSTON @ SEATTLE | 6/03 | 10:10 PM EDT
Corbin Martin hasn’t had the best outings since his debut when he struck out nine batters in 5.1 IP. He is 1-1 with a 5.51 ERA on the season while Wade LeBlanc is 2-2 with a 6.99 ERA this season. Since returning from the IL, Leblanc is 0-2 with a 10.22 ERA. Houston is 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10. Houston is 3-0 against the Mariners this season and they are 3-1 when Corbin Martin starts. Lay the favorite.
19-13 IN LAST 32 MLB ML PICKS | +366
3-1 IN LAST 4 SEA ML PICKS | +180
PHILADELPHIA -155
PHILADELPHIA @ SAN DIEGO | 6/03 | 10:10 PM EDT
In his last seven starts, Aaron Nola is 4-0 with a 2.5 ERA and has not allowed more than three runs in any of those starts. Eric Lauer is 4-4 with a 4.45 ERA this season but the Phillies are the ninth best team in the league at scoring runs against lefties. The Phillies are 28-12 as a favorite, and 8-3 as the road favorite. Take the road favorite.
19-13 IN LAST 32 MLB ML PICKS | +366
2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI ML PICKS | +68
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Exodustoblack
MLB
Cubs-160
Phillies-142
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Miller locks
4:05 pm est mlb
laa angels vs. Chicago cubs
pick: Chicago cubs -1.5 (+118)
risk: 11 units
8:20 pm est nhl
boston bruins vs. St louis blues
pick: Boston bruins (+101)
risk: 11 units
10:10 pm est mlb
philadelphia phillies vs. San diego padres
pick: Philadelphia phillies (-141)
risk: 11 units
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Kevin Rogers
Diamondbacks/Dodgers Over 8.5
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Tony Mejia
Padres/Phillies Under 7.5
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Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider)
MLB
Astros/Mariners Under 9.5 (Best Bet)
Cubs -166
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (953) Philadelphia Phillies at (954) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Jun 3 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -128
View Analysis
Nola v. Lauer
Nola is the stud of the Phillies pitching staff...and rightfully so...as his prowess is subjective and objective. There was even just an article written looking back at the draft from 5 years ago...and only he (with 17+) and Matt Chapman even rank with double digit WAR since being drafted in 2014. He had a Cy Young type 2018 season but picked right up where he left off...arguably considering the expectations he has even improved. His xFIP is 3.75 compared to his 4.2 ERA and his HR/FB rate is due for normalizing any time soon being it is twice his and the league's averages. Not only that...his luck should also continue to improve (read: normalize) with his .345 BABIP, swinging strike rate down, contact rate and outside the zone contact rate are all considerably off his career numbers. His BABIP in particular is 50 points north of what's been his usual sub-.300. Getting an angry just swept offense to back him in this spot tonight combined with the Dads lack.of ability to get a very regular offensive effort...especially at home against righties should be the perfect recipe for Nola to keep it going and start 7-0. But we will talk more about the SD offense soon.
Add all trends mentioned in my promo for this specific spot regardless of lineup and/or starters and have one favorite spots in a while.
One last thing and take it for what you will...not always certain how to cap something like this regarding offensive situations...but Aaron Nola gets 8.35 runs per start from his offense, good for the 2nd best in the MLB...
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
LAA F5 +.5 +100 3u
PHI/SD F5 UNDER 4 -110 1u
MLB Season: 42-51-7 45% -36.85units
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Kyle Markus
MLB
Diamondbacks/Dodgers Under 8.5
Diamondbacks +131
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Wise Guy Insider
MLB 10:10 pm Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres Philadelphia Phillies -138 for 1 units
ACTION
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