Saturday 5/25/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NHL & NBA games.
Ben Burns
3*
Milwaukee +3
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Stephen Nover
3*
Milwaukee / Toronto under 213
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Fezzik
3*
Toronto / Milwaukee under 213
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Tim Wilkinson
NBA (Best Bet) - Toronto Raptors -140 (Moneyline)
Regular Play - Raptors/Bucks Over 212
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TONY FINN
BASKETBALL PLAYS
BIG TICKET NBA EAST RAPS VS BUCKS G6
Game: (511) Milwaukee Bucks at (512) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: May 25 2019 8:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Toronto Raptors -133
PLAY: Toronto Raptors -133 (anythying above -140 use the pointspread of -3 or fewer)
5% game rating
(511) Milwaukee Bucks at (512) Toronto Raptors
TORONTO RAPTORS -133
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Mlbtotal
Oakland Athletics , Over 9.5
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Goodfella
3*GOW(NBA)
Toronto -135
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Stephen Nover
3*
Milwaukee / Toronto under 213
ADDED:
2*
Boston +117
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King creole
3*GOW
Milwaukee / Toronto over 212
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Dave Cokin
5% play of the week on the ATL BRAVES
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Plays 5/25
100* Giants -125
100* Mariners even
100* Over 8.5 Nationals/Marlins
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ROB VENO
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (511) Milwaukee Bucks at (512) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: May 25 2019 8:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 212.0 (-101)
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (903) Miami Marlins at (904) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: May 25 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (+105)
Game: (921) Boston Red Sox at (922) Houston Astros
Date/Time: May 25 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Boston Red Sox +111
Game: (911) Los Angeles Dodgers at (912) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: May 25 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-108)
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Greg shaker
3*TOM
Colorado / Baltimore over 11.5
2*
Seattle / Oakland over 9
2*
Toronto / Milwaukee under 212.5
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Dave Essler
3*
Toronto / Milwaukee over 211.5
1*
Toronto / San Diego over 9.5
1*
Oakland / Seattle over 9
1*
San Francisco -120
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JR ODONNELL
3*(NBA)
Milwaukee +116
3*(NBA)
Toronto / Milwaukee over 212
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newworldinsiders
GREAT WEST INSIDER: Giants OV 8
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MILLER LOCKS
2:15 PM EST MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES VS. KANSAS CITY ROYALS
PICK: OVER 9.5 (-108)
RISK: 11 UNITS
4:10 PM EST MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS. CLEVELAND INDIANS
PICK: TAMPA BAY RAYS (+117)
RISK: 11 UNITS
8:30 PM EST NBA
MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS. TORONTO RAPTORS
PICK: MILWAUKEE BUCKS +2 (-104)
RISK: 11 UNITS
MLB 58-43 plus +121.26 units
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CleInsidersports (18-11 L8 days)
NBA
Bucks/Raptors UNDER 212.5
MLB
Red Sox ML (+110)
Orioles ML (+160)
Twins ML (-230)
Marlins ML (+195)
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Vince Akins (26-16 L12 days)
MLB Trend Plays
Rockies ML (-175)
Nationals ML (-215)
Astros ML (-120)
Dodgers ML (-185)
Rangers ML (+115)
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Billy Coleman
MLB
3* #905 Arizona +105 (Clarke)
Scott Spreitzer MLB 5/25
7 Unit Play
Braves -115
Listed Pitchers
Soroka vs Hudson
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Consensus (12-8 L5 days)
NBA
6u Bucks/Raptors UNDER 212.5
MLB
8u Yankees/Royals OVER 10 gm1
5u Rangers ML (+113)
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Cal Sports
5% Rangers
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DWAYNE BRYANT
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (511) Milwaukee Bucks at (512) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: May 25 2019 8:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toronto Raptors -2.0 (-110)
View Analysis
8:35 PM ET -- NBA
511 Milwaukee Bucks
512 Toronto Raptors
PLAY: 512 TORONTO RAPTORS -2 (-110)
BET SIZE: 4%
DB's THOUGHTS:
It took 5 games but the Raptors became the first team in this series to win on the road. They will also be the last to do it, as I expect this series to end tonight in Toronto. The Raptors' defense has stopped The Greek Freak from driving to the hoop whenever he feels like it. The result has been more Giannis passes (he's not known for his passing ability), and more missed 3-point shots by his teammates. I don't see any of that changing for Giannis and the Bucks on the road tonight. No, the Bucks did not lose three in a row all season until its Game 5 defeat. But that does not mean they will bounce back here on the road to force a Game 7 at home. Defense wins championships, in my opinion, and the Raptors D has these Bucks figured out. Expect the Raptors to wrap up this series at home tonight.
PLAY TORONTO.
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ROB VENO
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (511) Milwaukee Bucks at (512) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: May 25 2019 8:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 212.0 (-101)
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (913) Chicago White Sox at (914) Minnesota Twins
Date/Time: May 25 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-125)
Game: (903) Miami Marlins at (904) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: May 25 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (+105)
Game: (921) Boston Red Sox at (922) Houston Astros
Date/Time: May 25 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Boston Red Sox +111
Game: (911) Los Angeles Dodgers at (912) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: May 25 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-108)
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Desert sports:
Oak -120 5*
atl -112 5*
cle-125 4*
nyy-130 4*
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Brian Leonard
5% Tb Rays
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Augie J - Blue Jays over
Champagne - Braves Astros under
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Tony Finn
TORONTO RAPTORS -133
BASEBALL PLAYS
FINN EARLY MLB PRIVATE PLAY (8-2)
Game: (905) Arizona Diamondbacks at (906) San Francisco Giants
Date/Time: May 25 2019 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks +108
View Analysis
PLAY: Arizona Diamondbacks +108
4% game rating
LIST PITCHERS: Clarke and Suarez
(905) Arizona Diamondbacks at (906) San Francisco Giants
The Diamondbacks earned a Friday night victory after a handful of consecutive losses and did so scoring 18 runs. The D'Backs had averaged 2.4 runs per game during its losing streak but notched a season high in runs on a season-high 21 over the Giants and in ATT Park.
If and when ATT Park is giving up runs the air density is typically low and the result is higher exit velocity and more home runs.
Arizona called up Taylor Clarke from Triple-A Reno to make his second career start. He earned a win in Florida earlier this month with a two run sixing inning performance against the Rays. Clarke’s situation is a bit different than most pre-prime long-time farmhand grinders. Clarke earned a save on April 20 working three scoreless innings in a team win over the Cubs. The 25-year old is mature and savvy beyond his years. Something that riding a bus for a half a decade from Double-A city to Double-A city. The maturity and baseball IQ attacks one while in the minor leagues. The sharp one's learn and those whom never met expectations were typically the contrary to Clarke.
A second start, a second win and possible a spot in long relief of the backside of the rotation is awaiting Clarke. And he couldn't have a better matchup to make that happen.
The Giants are slashing 219/283/379 against right-handed pitching with only the Blue Jays, Detroit and Miami checking in with lower OPS numbers than the Giants (.662).
Suarez, who earned satisfactory surface numbers as a San Fran rookie a season ago began 2019 on the farm. He made his season debut in last Monday’s 4-1 loss to Atlanta allowing three runs in six innings. The Giants are grabbing at straws. They can't hit, they can't pitch and they are destined to end the season at the bottom of the NL West and be a seller at the trade deadline with Mad Max being the most likely to go.
Suarez, who posted a 6.33 ERA in six starts for Triple-A Sacramento before last Monday’s promotion, simply doesn't miss enough bats to be trustworthy, especially against a Diamondbacks lineup that has squashed left-handed pitching for the third straight season. Suarez finished last season with a 4.49 ERA and did so with an career best BB% and an excellent 51.3% GB%.
The Diamondbacks have, for a second straight season, crushed left-handed pitching. As a team they have scored more runs against lefties than Houston and Los Angeles. More than the Mile High gang in Colorado and have scored 25 more runs than the Red Sox . Granted the Diamondbacks have had more at bats against southpaws across the seasons but they own a .839 OPS in this situation which is nearly equal to that of Houston who is on a MLB records setting pace for runs above league average.
The Giants SS Brandon Crawford has missed the past two games due to conjunctivitis (pink eye) and is doubtful tonight and all things being equal the price point on Clarke and the 'Backs is over-the-top value.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS +108
FINN NATIONAL LEAGUE GAME ~ WEEK 13-2
Game: (909) Atlanta Braves at (910) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: May 25 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Atlanta Braves -106
View Analysis
PLAY: Atlanta Braves -106 (good to -120)
4% game rating
(909) Atlanta Braves at (910) St. Louis Cardinals
LIST PITCHERS: Soroka and Hudson
I am going to push the analysis of this Senior Circuit affair in summary form - rather than my typical wordy and lengthy fashion.
Soroka is not as good as his 1.01 ERA might lead some to believe. He is still a baby in terms of a Major League arm... And a number of his underlying peripherals scream regression. However, regression to a 1.01 ERA isn't a unsightly as regression for a big league arm that has a 5-plus ERA... which is what this game presents.
The 21-year-old Braves right-hander has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his seven starts, and the home run he allowed in his last start against the Giants was just the second in his 70-plus innings of big boy baseball. He throws an extremely heavy ball and has held opposing bats to a .159 batting average against. He faced the Birds in May and held them to three hits in seven shutout innings.
You will hear, read and even believe if you are a St Louis fan that young Hudson has been solid overall in May. The truth is that Hudson is not ready to be in the rotation of a history-rich organization with a savvy fan base. And if a team needs a win, wants to manufacture a win then stacking the lineup with left-handed bats against Hudson makes a victory a high probability especially with Soroka on the mound defending a lead.
The mediocre Texas Rangers crushed Hudson by loading the lineup card wit h six lefties and two switch-hitters in their matchup against the Cards righty. The Rangers earned a 8-2 victory. I could go on about Hudson and his liabilities. He has allowed lefties to hit .388 this season.
Hudson has made 10 starts for the Cardinals. He is 3-3 with a 4.40 ERA and has just 36 K's to 22 walks. His walk rate is not just problematic it is an implosion waiting to happen with a K percentage of just 16. His HR/9 innings pitched is close to 2.0 and opponents are barreling him up for a 41 percent hard contact rate....
ATLANTA BRAVES -106
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Marco D'Angelo
5% NBA MAJOR WAGER
Bucks +2.5
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Kenny White
ATLANTA -120
ATLANTA @ ST. LOUIS | 5/25 | 7:15 PM EDT
1:13 PM
Atlanta's Mike Soroka has the inside track at the Rookie of the Year award and maybe even the Cy Young. He has great command of both the four-seam and two-seam fastball, guiding him to a 5-1 record with a sparkling 1.01 ERA after 44.2 innings this season. I was amazed by his demeanor and confidence last year at age 20. Meanwhile, the Cards run out Dakota Hudson, who has been 30 cents below average in his home starts, carrying a 4.40 ERA and 5.51 FIP. The 24-year old righty is striking out 6.89 per nine innings and walking 4.21 per nine. St. Louis has lost 14 of its past 19 games. Take the Braves.
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +200
7-3 IN LAST 10 ATL ML PICKS | +369
5-2 IN LAST 7 STL ML PICKS | +334
MILWAUKEE +2.5
MILWAUKEE @ TORONTO | 5/25 | 8:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 3:01 PM
It's time for coach Mike Budenholzer and the Bucks to make some adjustments. Milwaukee still has the better team and is getting points in this elimination game. The Raptors shot just 38 percent from the field but hit 18 three-pointers, thanks to Fred VanVleet, who hit seven of them. Milwaukee has too much firepower and will make the correct adjustments to win Game 6 on Saturday.
3-2 IN LAST 5 NBA ATS PICKS | +79
5-2 IN LAST 7 TOR ATS PICKS | +279
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Tom Fornelli
UNDER 10 N.Y. YANKEES @ KANSAS CITY | 5/25 | 2:15 PM EDT
1:56 PM
The wind is blowing out in KC, but it's still one of the more pitcher friendly parks in the league, and this total is too high. Yankees starter JA Happ has been longball prone, but the Royals have been one of the weaker offenses in baseball against lefties, so I'm not sure how much they'll make him pay for it.
21-10-1 IN LAST 32 MLB O/U PICKS | +958
8-2-1 IN LAST 11 NYY O/U PICKS | +583
TORONTO -2
MILWAUKEE @ TORONTO | 5/25 | 8:30 PM EDT
11:21 AM
During the regular season, Milwaukee made 35.3% of its three pointers, and made 47.6% of its shots overall. In this series against Toronto the Bucks are 30.3% from three and 42.8% overall. The Raptors have figured them out defensively, and I while the Bucks could rebound tonight, it's harder to count on that happening on the road in an elimination game. Toronto moves on to the Finals tonight.
82-54 IN LAST 136 NBA PICKS | +2247
6-0 IN LAST 6 MIL ATS PICKS | +600
2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR ATS PICKS | +89
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Michael Rusk
L.A. ANGELS -125
TEXAS @ L.A. ANGELS | 5/25 | 10:07 PM EDT
11:11 AM
What a season for Rangers starter Mike Minor. But entering this game with a 2.64 ERA is a reason why the Angels aren’t a bigger favorite than we see here. Riding a five-game losing streak, the line is depreciated for Angels backers, and we have no choice but to ride the Halos hard. Helping our case is the fact that Angels starter Tyler Skaggs has won his last three starts against Texas, giving up just two runs in over 17 innings pitched. Also the scores for those three games resulted in Angels 19 and Rangers three. Take the Angels at a generous price.
47-33 IN LAST 80 MLB ML PICKS | +752
5-2 IN LAST 7 TEX ML PICKS | +300
SEATTLE +1.5
SEATTLE @ OAKLAND | 5/25 | 4:07 PM EDT
11:10 AM
The Mariners this season are riding multiple winning and losing streaks. A very capable young team with what could be an ace on the mound in Yusei Kikuchi is the strong play. He has won his only two starts against the A’s as a -120 + favorite in both. Now we get value as he is an underdog on the money line, but getting 1.5 runs is the smart play considering they’re on the road here.
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Al DeMarco
Twins RL
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Seabass
400 Suns Game over wnba
300 Baltimore over
400 Seattle
400 Tampa bay over
400 dodgers run line
500 San Diego over
700 Milwaukee bucks
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
ARI/SFG F5 OVER 4.5 -110 3u
KC F5 +.5 -120 1u
MLB Season: 36-44-7 45% -36.60 units
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Larry Hartstein
MILWAUKEE +2.5
MILWAUKEE @ TORONTO | 5/25 | 8:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:45 PM
Down 3-2, the Bucks face a must-win game on Saturday in Game 6. Expect them to play with a fire and focus that you see in teams facing elimination. In addition, Fred VanVleet should start regressing to the norm. A career 39.4 percent three-point shooter, he has made 10-of-12 (83.3 percent) three-pointers in the last two games. Give me the NBA's best team over 82 games -- Milwaukee -- getting points in a must-win spot.
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Goodfella
3*GOW(NBA)
Toronto -135
ADDED
3*
Atlanta -105
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John Bollman
TAMPA BAY +121
TAMPA BAY @ CLEVELAND | 5/25 | 4:10 PM EDT
12:45 PM
Charlie Morton is 4-0 with a 2.65 ERA this season while Carlos Carrasco is 4-4 with a 4.30 ERA this season. In six road starts this season, Morton is 3-0 with a 1.95 ERA. Both these teams have good bullpens, and both these teams are evenly matched when looking at their lineups considering the injuries the Rays are dealing with right now. However, the Rays are 16-8 on the road. Take the value in the Rays.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +54
MILWAUKEE -132
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE | 5/25 | 4:10 PM EDT
12:43 PM
Both these pitchers have been consistent all year for the most part, Jake Arrieta is 4-4 with a 3.77 ERA while Jhoulys Chacin is 3-5 with a 4.65 ERA. However, the Phillies bullpen has been busy closing each of the last two games and the Brewers bullpen is well rested. The Brewers are 17-10 at home, and 15-8 as the favorite. Lay the favorite.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +54
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS | +72
HOUSTON -122
BOSTON @ HOUSTON | 5/25 | 7:15 PM EDT
12:41 PM
Brad Peacock is 5-2 with a 3.59 ERA this season including 3-0 with a .53 ERA in his last three starts. David Price is 2-2 with a 3.29 ERA this season including five scoreless innings in his return from the IL last outing. However, the Astros have the highest OPS in the Majors against lefties and they are 6-2 when Peacock starts while the Red Sox are 3-4 when Price starts. Take the 19-6 Astros at home.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +54
OAKLAND -121
SEATTLE @ OAKLAND | 5/25 | 4:07 PM EDT
12:39 PM
Both these pitchers were a little inconsistent to start the season, but both have put it together as of late. Yusei Kikuchi is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA in his last four starts while Mike Fiers posted a 2.53 ERA over his last five starts. The Athletics are fourth in the league at scoring runs against lefties, and they’ve won their last four in a row going 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Mariners are on the complete opposite trajectory losing four in a row and going 3-7 in their last 10 games. I like the streaking Athletics at home.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +54
3-0 IN LAST 3 OAK ML PICKS | +361
ARIZONA +102
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 5/25 | 4:05 PM EDT
12:38 PM
Taylor Clarke will be recalled from Triple A for the Diamondbacks to make his second career start. He went six innings only giving up two runs to the Rays in his first outing. Andrew Suarez also just made his first start of the season throwing six innings giving up three runs against the Braves. However, he went 1-2 with a 7.16 ERA in three starts against the Dbacks last season. The Dbacks improved their league-best run scoring offense against lefties last night, I like them to back up that performance today.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +54
3-1 IN LAST 4 SF ML PICKS | +136
3-2 IN LAST 5 ARI ML PICKS | +34
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Sleepyj
3*(NBA)
Toronto-110
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