Saturday 6/8/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NHL & NBA games.
+EV: MLB 4u: 912 New York Mets -104 (J Gray | S Matz) (Saturday, June 8th)
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Ben Burns
3*
San Diego / Washington under 7.5
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Spartan
3*
Colorado +104
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Stephen Nover
3*
Kansas City / Chicago whiteSox under 9
1*
Chicago whiteSox -130
2*
Houston / Baltimore over 9
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Stephen Oh
CHI. CUBS -105
ST. LOUIS @ CHI. CUBS | 6/08 | 7:15 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:01 PM
After three un-Lesterlike starts, Jon Lester seemed to get back on track in his last outing, limiting the Angels to one run on four hits in 7.0 innings. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' Jack Flaherty has been tough against the Cubs, but his home-road split is telling. He's 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA at home and 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA on the road. My model says the Cubs win this game more than 60 percent of the time, which makes this price a solid value.
79-51 IN LAST 130 MLB PICKS | +2714
21-8 IN LAST 29 STL ML PICKS | +1461
6-4 IN LAST 10 CHC ML PICKS | +190
MILWAUKEE -154
PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE | 6/08 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:47 PM
The Pirates' Jordan Lyles has been shaky in his last three games, allowing 13 runs in 15.2 innings (7.47 ERA). And now he faces a Brewers lineup that he just touched him up for four runs in 6.0 innings. I have the Brew Crew winning more than 70 percent of the time, which makes the money line a solid value even at this price.
79-51 IN LAST 130 MLB PICKS | +2714
11-1 IN LAST 12 PIT ML PICKS | +1084
8-4 IN LAST 12 MIL ML PICKS | +435
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+EV: UFC 4u: 13283 Alexa Grasso +120 (Saturday, June 8th)
+EV: UFC 4u: 13276 Calvin Kattar -158 (Saturday, June 8th)
+EV: UFC 4u: 13300 Yan Xiaonan -160 (Saturday, June 8th)
+EV: UFC 4u: 13302 Bevon Lewis -155 (Friday, June 8th)
+EV: UFC 4u: 13472 Marlon Moraes -120 (Saturday, June 8th)
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EdwardMLB
Los Angeles Dodgers -2
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB picks 6/8
100* White Sox -135
100* Cubs -115
100* Over 9 Pirates/Brewers
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
2:15 PM EST
Rotation #917-918
White Sox -125 over Royals
Giolito/Keller
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Tom Fornelli
UNDER 10.5 TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 6/08 | 1:05 PM EDT
11:13 AM
The total in this matchup yesterday was set at 10 and I felt it was too high. Turns out I was right, as Tampa won 5-1. I feel the same way today. It's the first game of a doubleheader, and while Ryan Yarbrough is more of a reliever by trade, he's gone at least seven innings in his two starts, and his FIP is much more encouraging than his ERA. He's also a groundball pitcher. The Red Sox will likely make this a bullpen game, which should help limit Tampa's offense as well. This total is just too high.
23-17-2 IN LAST 42 MLB O/U PICKS | +401
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Billy Coleman
MLB
3* #917 White Sox -130 (Giolito)
Rockdeman Sports
(MLB Underdog of the Day) - Big Play Colorado Rockies +110
( Colorado Rockies they have won over 71% over the METS LAST 25 GAMES)...
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Tim Wilkerson
Houston Astros -1.5 runs (-109)
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
LAD/SFG F5 UNDER 4.5 -110 3u
MLB Season: 44-56-7 44% -50.40units
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Dr. chuck
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (915) Tampa Bay Rays at (916) Boston Red Sox
Date/Time: Jun 8 2019 1:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1H Tampa Bay Rays -0.5 (+116)
Game: (933) Oakland Athletics at (934) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Jun 8 2019 2:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Oakland Athletics -118
Blackburn v. Palumbo
Game 1 of the doubleheader...and a spot where we're going right back to the well with the still disrespected A's facing the overrated Rangers. Last night we hopped on a road dog that won twice in a row in such a spot...now the books have adjusted a smidge possibly realizing there errors, but it isn't enough...they opened this an almost exact flip of last night...but it should expand.
Kiner the catcher for Texas went on the IL last night so the new starting catcher is Jeff Mathis and his first start was his usual offensive addition...nil. Now he gets another go with a AA call up on the mound neither will have any chemistry together. Also add in Choo is questionable at the top of the order...and incredibly unlikely he would play both if any games of a doubleheader.
On the A's side we have a spot start but is a AAA call up Paul Blackburn and while neither starter has put up any kind of flashy stats down below the majors it sure isn't hard to fade the AA pitcher in a showdown of him and a AAA starter with some majors play under his belt. He has had multiple appearances in Oakland over the past 2 seasons and has had some decent analytic numbers...and for a groundball pitcher against a team that likes to swing for fences and still missing Gallo I sure do see a lot of value here! Finally we have the A's who look to be prepared for the lefty Palumbo with only Matt Olson in there from the left side...who hits better on the road period and is just fine as a lefty facing one...likely why he would get the call
Game: (929) Arizona Diamondbacks at (930) Toronto Blue Jays
Date/Time: Jun 8 2019 3:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -133
Greinke v. Sanchez
Cannot say I understand one iota of this line here. Here's my stat of the day a la Dan Patrick. The last time Greinke lost a game period on the road as a favorite of 130 of more against a team with a winning % less than .400 was 2012! He is 10-0 SU and 7-3 on the RL.
This is just a little too scary easy...so it makes me nervous but I'm not over thinking it any more because his opponent is the Jays abysmal offense and starter-wise Aaron Sanchez with his 5+ xFIP and 5 BB/9 clogging up the bases. The Dbacks cruised last night and that was their star Stroman on the mound...which makes this even fishier...why this isn't a 5 run victory I have no idea!
Game: (929) Arizona Diamondbacks at (930) Toronto Blue Jays
Date/Time: Jun 8 2019 3:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+121)
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Allan Desrosiers
15 Royals
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (907) St. Louis Cardinals at (908) Chicago Cubs
Date/Time: Jun 8 2019 7:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -109
Flaherty v. Lester
Give me the chance to take Flaherty I am usually on board...when it comes with also snagging a mini fade of Lester here tonight I am also a fan...wind blowing in and Flaherty has a very nice 3.72 xFIP and high K/BB rate. Lester has an xFIP 1 whole point higher than his FIP and a much less favorable k/BB rate. Good value on the road "dog, here
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Seabass first report :
500 athletics game over
400 yanks game over
300 diamondbacks
600 marlins game under
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+EV: MLB 4u: 918 CWS/KC un5 -120 (1st 5 Innings) (L Giolito | B Keller) (Saturday, June 8th)
+EV: MLB 3u: Miami Marlins +135 (J Teheran | T Richards) (Saturday, June 8th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 908 Chicago Cubs +102 (J Flaherty | J Lester) (Saturday, June 8th)
+EV: MLB 4u: 903 Pittsburgh Pirates +141 (1st 5 Innings) (L Lyles | Z Davies) (Saturday, June 8th)
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Tony Mejia
MLB
Atlanta Braves -144
Mike Soroka was fabulous in mowing down the Fish on Friday as the home team only managed to avoid being shut out by getting to the bullpen in the ninth. That leaves a fresh relief corps to help Julio Teheran put the finishing touches on a victory tonight as teh Colombian is likely to continue a terrific run that has seen him surrender six earned runs over his last six starts, a span of 32.2 innings. He blanked Miami on May 5, allowing two hits over six innings to start this run and should outduel Trevor Richards. Ride Atlanta.
Play #2 - Padres/Nationals Over 7
The Nationals saw their bullpen cough up another victory on Friday night in what has to be a demoralizing situation for the rest of the group. Fortunately, they'll run into another lefty in Eric Lauer and continue to hit southpaws well. Expect them to give Max Scherzer run support, but the former Cy Young award winner is coming off a 15-strikeout game in matching his longest outing of the season, so there's a good chance he won't be as sharp. Washington's 'pen will again factor in. Ride a higher-scoring game than expected.
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Exodus to Black
White Sox-144
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newworldinsiders
FLORIDA INSIDER: Braves OV 7.5
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Tweety Dimes
Arz -130
nyy -130
over 9 pitt
oak -130
over 10 nyy
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Tony George
MLB TRIPLE HEADER Sat.
4* White Sox
3* Cubs
4* Backs
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King Creole
MLB
2* Over Pirates & Brewers
1 * Over NYY & Cleveland
2* Under LAD & San Fran
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lv wolf
under 8.5 chw (-120)
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Goodfella
3*
LA ANGLES -135
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Philly Guy - W Sox Astros NYY Phils Red Sox
Augie J - Cubs
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Sleepyj
3*
Oakland -130
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Rocky Atkinson
2*
Chicago Cubs +106
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Greg shaker
2*
New York Mets -117
3*
Houston / Baltimore over 8.5
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Miller locks
4:10 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Cleveland indians
pick: New york yankees (-128)
risk: 11 units
4:10 pm est mlb
baltimore orioles vs. Houston astros
pick: Houston astros -1.5 (-119)
risk: 11 units
4:10 pm est mlb
minnesota twins vs. Detroit tigers
pick: Minnesota twins -1.5 (-148)
risk: 11 units
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Matt Rivers
BLANK CHECK
WAIVE THE RATING
N.L. CENTRAL
GAME OF THE YEAR
Cubs
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Al Demarco
Raise the Bar 20 Dime Release
4-Run Rout going in the 4 o'clock hour
Brewers Run Line
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Tony Chau
6/8 (2:05PM ET) Texas Rangers (.498 RPI; HOME) vs Athletics (.488 RPI; AWAY) Bet B: TEX +1.5 (-135 5dimes/Bookmaker) PENDING
TODAY’S UNOFFICIAL PLAY
6/8 (4:10PM ET) Miami Marlins (.467 RPI; HOME) vs Braves (.509 RPI; AWAY) Bet B: MIA +1.5 (-120 5dimes/Bookmaker) PENDING
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (919) Minnesota Twins at (920) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Jun 8 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Minnesota Twins -0.5 (-170)
View Analysis
Gibson v. Farmer
Oof the Tigers are resorting to starting a guy from the pen today...the majors' worst bullpen that is...I like this and the full game spread!
Game: (919) Minnesota Twins at (920) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Jun 8 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-160)
View Analysis
Gibson v. Farmer
Same as above for the first 5 and the tweet....oof the bullpen disaster woes...Twins are for real and this less -1.5 bargain is excellent!
+EV: WNBA 4u: 650 LAS/MIN un148.5 -110 (Saturday, June 8th)
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