Thursday 5/2/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NHL & NBA games.
Rocky Atkinson
2*nba
Toronto - 1
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Ben Burns
3*
Philadelphia / Toronto over 214.5
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King creole
2*
Philadelphia / Toronto over 216.5
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Spartan
3*
Toronto -1
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Sleepyj
3*
Philadelphia +1.5
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JR ODONNELL
3*
Philadelphia / Toronto over 216.5
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Stephen Nover
2*
Milwaukee / Colorado under 9
2*
San Jose / Colorado over 6
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Mlbtotal us
Washington Over 8.5
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Tim Wilkinson
NBA - Toronto Raptors -1
NHL - Boston Bruins +117
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Kyle Markus
MLB
Boston Red Sox -1.5 runs (-130)
Red Sox/White Sox Over 8.5
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H&H Sports - Afternoon Card
MLB
4* Houston Astros +109
3* Braves/Padres Under 8.5
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Goodfella
3*nba
Toronto -120
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Dave Essler
3*
Philadelphia / Toronto under 217
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Kevin Rogers
Chicago White Sox +192
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Tony Mejia
Los Angeles Angels -150
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Stephen Oh
L.A. ANGELS -141
TORONTO @ L.A. ANGELS | 5/02 | 10:07 PM EDT
My data sees the Angels knocking off the Blue Jays more than two-thirds of the time in their Thursday matchup, giving us a strong value position on the moderate home chalk. The Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 against right-handed starters and are on a 10-4 in home starts by Tyler Skaggs against opponents with losing records.
36-20 IN LAST 56 MLB PICKS | +1581
31-20 IN LAST 51 TOR ML PICKS | +1191
4-1 IN LAST 5 LAA ML PICKS | +330
ATLANTA -130
SAN DIEGO @ ATLANTA | 5/02 | 12:10 PM EDT
My data sees the Braves beating the Padres in more than 60 percent of simulations for their Thursday meeting, making Atlanta a worthwhile play at the relatively light price. The Braves are 6-2 in their last eight against left-handed starters and are also on a 9-4 run in home games against opponents that have winning records. Back Atlanta in this matinee matchup.
36-20 IN LAST 56 MLB PICKS | +1581
4-2 IN LAST 6 ATL ML PICKS | +259
3-2 IN LAST 5 SD ML PICKS | +147
OVER 214.5 TORONTO @ PHILADELPHIA | 5/02 | 8:00 PM EDT
These teams have been all over the under. For Toronto's it's hit in seven of the last eight games, for Philly it's been four straight. But now the oddsmakers have adjusted and dropped the total nearly 10 points from Game 1 and six points from Game 2. My projections, meanwhile, see an uptick in scoring from the first two games, and the over hits in nearly 70 percent of my projections.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NBA O/U PICKS | +283
4-1 IN LAST 5 TOR O/U PICKS | +289
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Tom Fornelli
UNDER 8.5 SAN DIEGO @ ATLANTA | 5/02 | 12:10 PM EDT
The same reasons I picked the Under in last night's contest still apply to this afternoon's. The Padres offense has struggled mightily the last two weeks, and the wind is blowing straight in from center.
14-5-1 IN LAST 20 MLB O/U PICKS | +828
6-1 IN LAST 7 ATL O/U PICKS | +499
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Larry Hartstein
TORONTO -1
TORONTO @ PHILADELPHIA | 5/02 | 8:00 PM EDT
This line has flipped for good reason. Look for the Raptors to bounce back from a terrible shooting performance and reclaim command of this series.
100-74-1 IN LAST 175 NBA ATS PICKS | +1851
15-10 IN LAST 25 TOR ATS PICKS | +391
17-13 IN LAST 30 PHI ATS PICKS | +268
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB
Top Play - 3* Red Sox/White Sox 8.5
1* White Sox +1.5 runs (+120)
1* Padres +140
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BIG AL's 84% NBA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH!
Game Date/Time: 5/2/19 8:05 pm
Our Selection: Raptors Opponent: 76ers Line: +1.5 Rating: 4*
Analysis: At 8:05 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors over Philadelphia. The Raptors are having a great season, as they went 58-24 in the regular season (and are now 5-2 in the playoffs), and are outscoring their opponents by 6.50 points per game. Toronto was upset at home in Game 2, so it's critical to get at least one win at Philadelphia in order to take this series back to Toronto no worse than tied at 2 games apiece. We'll play on the Raptors in Game 3, as NBA teams, off exactly one SU/ATS playoff defeat, have covered 64% the last 29 years (and 11-2, 84% ATS the past 3+ years), if that defeat was at home, and they have a margin of victory greater than 6.35 points per game. That bodes very well for Toronto. As does the fact that the 76ers are an awful 4-22 straight-up, and 8-18 ATS in the last 26 meetings between these two Atlantic Division rivals. Finally, #3-seeded teams are a wallet-busting 25% ATS since 1991 when tied at 1 game apiece in the NBA Playoffs, and off an upset road win in Game 2. Take the Raptors.
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BIG AL's 76ERS/RAPTORS TOTALS WINNER (80-43 TOTALS RUN)!
Game Date/Time: 5/2/19 8:05 pm
Our Selection: Raptors/76ers 'under' Line: 215 Rating: 1*
Analysis: At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Toronto/Philadelphia game. The Raptors have gone 'under' the total in six of seven Playoff games this season. And they haven't been close. Indeed, in the Orlando series, the first four games went 'under' by 7, 19.5, 20, and 14 points, while the 5th game did go 'over' the total, but by just 5 points. And this series is following down a similar path, as Games 1 + 2 have gone 'under' the total by 20 and 36.5 points. In the Magic series, the oddsmakers were slow to adjust, as the first three games had totals of 212, 212.5 and 211. Here, in this series, the oddsmakers have adjusted a bit more, as the first three games have had lines of 223, 219.5 and (currently) 216.5 for tonight's game. But, based on my numbers, the line should be significantly lower, still. Philly has gone 'under' in 27 of its last 40 home Playoff games, while Toronto has gone 'under' in 14 of its last 20 road Playoff games. Finally, the total falls into 91-55, 89-54, 99-67, 22-12, 137-91 and 33-13 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'under.'
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Rooster
2% over 8 twins
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Red Dog Sports
MLB
3* #957 St. Louis +147
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Dirty Bear Sports
MLB:
TB F5 -.5 -120 3units
MLB Season: 25-23-3 52% -13.75 units
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Millerlocks
4:05 pm est mlb
st. Louis cardinals vs. Washington nationals
pick: St. Louis cardinals (+143)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est nba
toronto raptors vs. Philadelphia 76ers
pick: Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 (-102)
risk: 11 units
10:07 pm est mlb
toronto blue jays vs. Laa angels
pick: Toronto blue jays (+140)
risk: 11 units
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Hackman
bruins 110
colorado -130
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