Free MLB, NHL & NBA Premium Service Plays For Tuesday 4/23/19

Larry Hartstein

SAN ANTONIO +5.5
SAN ANTONIO @ DENVER | 4/23 | 9:30 PM EDT

The Spurs have played tremendous ball in Denver this series, and I like them to bounce back from their Game 4 dud with a very competitive effort if not an outright win here. Derrick White and Rudy Gay will play better, and coach Gregg Popovich will make the needed adjustments. Grab the points.

94-70-1 IN LAST 165 NBA ATS PICKS | +1695
31-18-3 IN LAST 52 DEN ATS PICKS | +1124

3-0 IN LAST 3 SA ATS PICKS | +300
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Ben Burns

3*
San Jose - 117
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Spartan

2*
Seattle +130
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Stephen Nover

3*TOM
San Jose / LAS Vegas over 5.5
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Sleepyj

3*
Philadelphia -8.5
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Stephen Oh

ATLANTA -116
ATLANTA @ CINCINNATI | 4/23 | 6:40 PM EDT

The Reds return home from a West Coast road trip; they've won four of five at Great American Ballpark. But my computer simulations find strong value in Kevin Gausman and the Braves as a slight favorite. Gausman is trending in the right direction after striking out 10 Diamondbacks his last time out. He faces a Reds lineup that's scored the fifth-fewest amount of runs in the league. Cincy is just 1-7 against teams with above-.540 records, and Atlanta qualifies.

25-11 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +1301
9-2 IN LAST 11 CIN ML PICKS | +809

3-0 IN LAST 3 ATL ML PICKS | +375

SEATTLE +115
SEATTLE @ SAN DIEGO | 4/23 | 10:10 PM EDT

The Mariners are an amazing 8-1 on the season as a road underdog. My projections have them moving to 9-1 behind the arm of Erik Swanson The Padres snapped a six-game losing streak on Sunday -- they're averaging under three runs per game in the last seven. Seattle wins 58 percent of my simulations, which as an underdog is a very large number. Jump on the Mariners.

25-11 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +1301
26-20 IN LAST 46 SEA ML PICKS | +974

2-1 IN LAST 3 SD ML PICKS | +147

HOUSTON -145
MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON | 4/23 | 8:10 PM EDT

Minnesota has won four in a row, including handing Houston its first home loss on Monday. But my projections see a flip on Tuesday. Wade Miley allowed no runs over 5.2 innings in his lone home start this year. He rarely goes more than six innings but he doesn't need to, backed by one of the league's top bullpens. My projections see him not getting out of the fifth, but the Astros winning handily -- they take a big 70 percent of my computer simulations.

25-11 IN LAST 36 MLB PICKS | +1301
24-16 IN LAST 40 HOU ML PICKS | +1286

11-6 IN LAST 17 MIN ML PICKS | +475

PORTLAND -3.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND | 4/23 | 10:30 PM EDT

Oddsmakers believe the Thunder are the better team in this series, but so far that's been proven wrong. The line for Game 5 reflects that as well, but the Blazers cover the spread in nearly two-thirds of my projection model simulations. That's a big number. Lay the small amount of points on Portland at home.

72-65 LAST 137 NBA SIDES | +128
6-2 IN LAST 8 OKC ATS PICKS | +378

7-3 IN LAST 10 POR ATS PICKS | +367
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Larry Hartstein

TORONTO -11.5
ORLANDO @ TORONTO | 4/23 | 7:00 PM EDT

Toronto has too much talent and it appears Orlando is running out of gas in this series, having lost by 22 at home in Game 4 in what was essentially a must-win game. Now the Raptors can finish things out at home, where they won by 29 in Game 2. Toronto isn't taking Orlando lightly anymore -- lay the points on the home favorite.

94-70-1 IN LAST 165 NBA ATS PICKS | +1695
14-10 IN LAST 24 TOR ATS PICKS | +291

2-1 IN LAST 3 ORL ATS PICKS | +90

SAN ANTONIO +5.5
SAN ANTONIO @ DENVER | 4/23 | 9:30 PM EDT

The Spurs have played tremendous ball in Denver this series, and I like them to bounce back from their Game 4 dud with a very competitive effort if not an outright win here. Derrick White and Rudy Gay will play better, and coach Gregg Popovich will make the needed adjustments. Grab the points.

94-70-1 IN LAST 165 NBA ATS PICKS | +1695
31-18-3 IN LAST 52 DEN ATS PICKS | +1124

3-0 IN LAST 3 SA ATS PICKS | +300
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Adam Thompson

ORLANDO +11.5
ORLANDO @ TORONTO | 4/23 | 7:00 PM EDT

Toronto's average margin of victory at home this season was 7.8 and it covered the spread at home just 44 percent of the time. Orlando got rocked its last game in Canada, but won two of its other three games there during the season. It's do-or-die time for the Magic and they have the personnel -- and should have the confidence -- to keep it close. If it comes down to free throws, this is a big enough spread to avoid a dreaded back-door Raptors cover.

82-60-1 IN LAST 143 NBA ATS PICKS | +1567
9-3 IN LAST 12 TOR ATS PICKS | +571

PORTLAND -3.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND | 4/23 | 10:30 PM EDT

Russell Westbrook and Paul George continue to get the benefit of the doubt, that OKC's stars will rescue them at some point. But there's a reason why the Blazers were the No. 3 seed and the Thunder the No. 6, and a reason why Portland has won three of four games in this series, the three wins by an average of 12.7 and all by more than this current spread. Only the Nuggets and Bucks were better at home than the Blazers. Maybe Westbrook wills OKC to a win here, but I like Lillard and McCollum at home to take care of business.

82-60-1 IN LAST 143 NBA ATS PICKS | +1567
9-5 IN LAST 14 POR ATS PICKS | +355

8-5 IN LAST 13 OKC ATS PICKS | +241

DENVER -5.5
SAN ANTONIO @ DENVER | 4/23 | 9:30 PM EDT

Denver returns home after a 14-point win in San Antonio, as it actually resembled a team that earned the No. 2 seed in the West. At home the Nuggets were the NBA's best overall team at 34-7, and was a top-five team against the spread at the Pepsi Center. As well as the Spurs have played this series, they easily had the worst road record of any playoff team in the West. The Nuggets won by nine in Game 2 and by 28 in the last regular-season meeting here.

82-60-1 IN LAST 143 NBA ATS PICKS | +1567
6-1 IN LAST 7 SA ATS PICKS | +493

7-3 IN LAST 10 DEN ATS PICKS | +370
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Mike McClure

SEATTLE +120
SEATTLE @ SAN DIEGO | 4/23 | 10:10 PM EDT

The Padres are way overvalued with Nick Margevicius on the mound against Erik Swanson. The loss of the DH hurts Seattle, but not more than the park and league shift will help Swanson. The wrong team is favored in this matchup as I have the Mariners winning 52 percent of simulations in San Diego.

11-6 IN LAST 17 MLB PICKS | +499
12-6 IN LAST 18 SEA ML PICKS | +703

5-1 IN LAST 6 SD ML PICKS | +355
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Mlbtotal

Baltimore Orioles : Over 10
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Big Al McMordie

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the San Jose Sharks. If you had told us that the Knights would pile up 59 shots against the Sharks and goalie Martin Jones in Game 6 (vs. only 29 that Marc-Andre Fleury had to face) then we would have said "series over." After all, Jones had been pretty awful leading up to that game on Sunday. But despite the fact that the home team threw everything but the kitchen sink at Jones, he somehow prevailed. And the Sharks got the game-winner in double OT to force this Game 7. Of course, just because Jones was spectacular on Sunday, it does not mean he will equal that performance one game later -- especially in light of the fact that, in the first four games of this series, Jones had allowed 13 goals on 80 shots (a 0.838 saves percentage). There are other reasons to like the visitors tonight as well. Like the fact that they are 19-6 (+12 games on the money line) in their last 25 when revenging a home loss. Or that they're 25-9 after not scoring 2+ goals. Take Vegas.
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TONY FINN BASKETBALL PLAYS

FINN NBA PLAYOFF HI-ROLLER (8-1)
Game: (503) Oklahoma City Thunder at (504) Portland Trail Blazers
Date/Time: Apr 23 2019 10:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Greek
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Portland Trail Blazers -3.0 (-110)

View Analysis

PLAY: Porltand Trail Blazers -3 (good to -5)
3% game rating
(503) Oklahoma City Thunder at (504) Portland Trail Blazers
The Thunder face elimination tonight at the Moda Center down 3-1 in the best-of-seven series between the two Western Conference foes. And the once heavily favored Thunder, in the first round affair against the Nurkic-less Blazers.
The reasons for OKC not being able to take advantage of the injured Blazers has been the play of Russell Westbrook, or lack of play, better stated. Blazers backup center Enes Kanter has filled the slot of Nurkic with energy and efficiency.

Westbrook continues to show his regression as a shooter.

Mark it. Consider it a given and history. Westbrook and the Thunder are in line to lose their third consecutive first-round series.

There are a handful of reasons for the Thunder's demise. And while I am pinpointing the blame on Westbrook the shoulder injury to Paul George is partly to blame.

The return of health for guard C.J. McCollum has assisted Damian Lillard in being the MVP of the playoffs so far and the defensive lapses of the Thunder have allowed Lillard, McCollum and Al-Farouq Aminu to shoot over 40 percent from beyond the arc while the Thunder don't have a single player close to that kind of percentage.

The trash-talking of Westbrook has been all but ignored, for the most part, by Lillard and his crew and once against Westbrook, George and the Thunder find themselves taking desperate attempts from distance tonight as the Blazers bait the OKC personnel into doing such with their sagging defensive scheme.

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -3
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Hackman

Leafs +1.5 -220
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Tony Mejia

Chicago White Sox -133
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Kevin Rogers

San Francisco Giants +107
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Accu Picks

NBA
3* #506 Toronto -12

Bobby Ligs

NBA Big Bet of Week

4% Blazers -4 (up to -5)
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CleInsidersports

NBA
Blazers -4
Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 211

MLB
Orioles ML (+115)
Braves ML (-110)
Angels ML (-105)
White Sox/Orioles UNDER 10

NHL
Sharks ML (-110)
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TONY FINN BASEBALL PLAYS

FINN LATE PITCH MLB HI-ROLLER (8-0)
Game: (929) Seattle Mariners at (930) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Apr 23 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Greek
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Seattle Mariners +130

View Analysis

PLAY: Seattle Mariners +130 (good to +110)
4% game rating
LIST PITCHERS: Swanson and Margevicius
Rookie right-hander Erik Swanson makes his second big league start at Petco tonight. The former Yankee who came to Seattle via the James Paxton trade, was solid in his first start. He tossed six innings of one-run ball, allowing just two hits, in a contest that the Mariners where blanked 1-0 versus the Cleveland Indians. Swanson struck out 5 and walking one Indian batter.
Swanson is a relative unknown, especially for those on the senior circuit. The righty throws a 92-95 mph four-seam fastball that he can dial up to 98 mph and he has a near 10 mph differential with his change up. Before joining Seattle his Double and Triple-A innings amounted to 115 in which he sported a 133/29 K/BB. He has a deceptive deliver with a high spin rate fastball that has been described as “Invisible”.

The success that the Padres have found in the early stages of the 2019 campaign have come via their pitching staff. The offensive lineup for the Padres doesn't scare opposing pitchers. San Diego is slashing a mere .223/.283/.393 with a .676 OPS versus right-handed pitching. Overall they have the fifth lowest on-base-percentage of any team in the bigs and second lowest batting average with runners in scoring position.

Nick Margevicius makes his first career Interleague start on Tuesday against Seattle. This time last year, Margevicius was pitching at Class A Fort Wayne. The rookie southpaw is dependent on commanding his arsenal. His average fastball is in the high eighties. He is, best painted, as a finesse pitcher that paints the corners... or allows hard contact by catching too much of the plate.

The Mariners, through four weeks of the 2019 campaign, are the top offense versus left-handed pitching slashing an unsustainable .289/.387/.617 with a 1.004 OPS.

Margevicius' debut came against a soft-hitting San Francisco Giants lineup. It was the 22 year-old’s first appearance above High-A - this will be his second in which he still has the benefit of pitching to an opposing pitcher.

The Mariners have the advantage of experience, albeit small, on the mound to start tonight's game -- as well in the batters box with a lineup that has crushed lefties. And both variables come with a plus-money price tag that makes the Mariners a value-packed play tonight in SoCal.

SEATTLE MARINERS +130
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Vegas Sharp

4/23 MLB
3 - Astros Over 9.5 (-105)
2 - Indians Under 7.5
2 - Blue Jays Under 8.5
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Miller locks

7:05 pm est nba
orlando magic vs. Toronto raptors

pick: Toronto raptors -11.5 (-108)

risk: 11 units

8:05 pm est nba
brooklyn nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers

pick: Philadelphia 76ers -8 (-105)

risk: 11 units

10:30 pm est nba
oklahoma city thunder vs. Portland trail blazers

pick: Portland trail blazers -3 (-108)

risk: 11 units
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Goodfella

3*
Portland -3

2*
ARIZONA D-BACKS OVER 3.5 RUNS

2*
REDS/BRAVES OVER 9

2*
METS/PHILLIES OVER 8.5
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Rocky ATKINSON

2*
Atlanta -107

3*
Houston -137
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Hackman

Leafs +1.5 -220

Adde
sharks -120
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Wayne Root

Perfect play Nets
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Scott Delaney
Top-Rated
100 DIME WINNER
Cardinals
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Gabriel DuPont
80 Dime
Opening Round
Game of the Year
Sharks
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Exodus to Black

MLB
White Sox-130
Mariners+125
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Kenny White

Under 211 Spurs
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David Kelly

Over 5.5 Boston
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Mike Barner

Spurs +5.5
Brooklyn +9
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Zack Cimini

Toronto -120
Baltimore +110
Spurs +5.5
Orlando Under 206
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Spreitzer NBA

7 Unit Play Over 206 Magic / Raptors

2 Unit Play Spurs +5.5
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