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Free MLB, NHL & NBA Premium Service Plays For Tuesday 4/30/19

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(@shazman)
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Tuesday 4/30/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MBL, NHL & NBA games.

 
Posted : April 30, 2019 8:57 am
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DR. CHUCK BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (573) Houston Rockets at (574) Golden State Warriors
Date/Time: Apr 30 2019 10:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider:
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Houston Rockets 6.0 (-115)

View Analysis

Refs refs refs

Pretty sure the Dubs finish the 3peat all told by the end of the season....but this hubub is gonna lead to something and most likely that's game 2. They won by merely 4 as it was needing a massive Steph 3 late to extend the lead past 2 points and Durant to go OFF yet again...at Oracle
Rockets probably win this game going away in my estimation...and with all going on we still get the same half dozen? WTF
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Larry Hartstein

HOUSTON +5.5
HOUSTON @ GOLDEN ST. | 4/30 | 10:30 PM EDT

The spread right now is the same as it was for Game 1, a four-point Warriors win and a Rockets cover. The non-call against Draymond Green on James Harden in the final seconds, and it could have been even closer if not an outright Houston win. I think the Warriors escaped, and the Rockets will keep it close with another chance to steal a road win. Take the points.

99-72-1 IN LAST 172 NBA ATS PICKS | +1975
33-26-2 IN LAST 61 GS ATS PICKS | +530

3-0 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +300
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Toby Maxtone-Smith​ (VegasInsider Soccer)
One of the Better Soccer Handicapers @ VegasInsider..

UEFA Champions League - Semifinals
Tottenham Hotspur vs Ajax (3:00pm TV - TNT)
Quick Note - Before these playoffs started
Tottenham Hotspur (33-1) & Ajax (250-1) in one of the most unlikely
Champions League Semi-Finals​ ever...

The Play - Tottenham Hotspur +141 & Under 2.5 goals (-119)
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Posted : April 30, 2019 9:01 am
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ROB VENO BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (573) Houston Rockets at (574) Golden State Warriors
Date/Time: Apr 30 2019 10:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 220.0 (-110)
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DR. CHUCK

BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (963) Houston Astros at (964) Minnesota Twins
Date/Time: Apr 30 2019 7:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Greek
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 8.5 (-110)

View Analysis

McHugh v. Pineda

8.5 is excellent...8 is solid!
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Ben Burns

3*
Milwaukee -7
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Posted : April 30, 2019 9:03 am
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Stephen Nover

3*GOM
Houston +5.5

2*
Columbus / Boston over 5.5

2*
Colorado / San Jose over 6
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Spartan

3*
Golden State -5.5
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Sleepyj

3*
Golden State -5.5
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Posted : April 30, 2019 9:04 am
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Mlbtotal

Milwaukee , Over 8.5
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Stephen Oh

OVER 220.5 HOUSTON @ GOLDEN ST. | 4/30 | 10:30 PM EDT

Neither team was particularly on fire in Game 1 when 204 points were scored. On Tuesday, I think the postgame complaints about the officiating will free up 3-point shooters to rise and shoot without concern. My model predicts 225 points will be scored and that the Over hits 58 percent of the time. Take the Over.

4-2 IN LAST 6 NBA O/U PICKS | +175
8-5 IN LAST 13 GS O/U PICKS | +258

HOUSTON +5.5
HOUSTON @ GOLDEN ST. | 4/30 | 10:30 PM EDT

The Rockets shot uncharacteristically poorly from 3-point land in Game 1--some of those misses coming on questionable no-calls--and still had a big shot to steal a win. With all of the talk about officiating after Sunday's game, I expect James Harden & Co. to get a fairly called game on Tuesday. The Rockets know that if they're going to win this series, they need to win a game in Oracle, and there aren't many chances after Tuesday. Houston covers.

75-68 LAST 143 NBA SIDES | +100
27-16 IN LAST 43 HOU ATS PICKS | +964

5-3 IN LAST 8 GS ATS PICKS | +180

SEATTLE +125
CHI. CUBS @ SEATTLE | 4/30 | 10:10 PM EDT

People keep waiting for the Cubs to break out, and it looks like they might be on the verge after two nice wins at Arizona. But my computer model doesn't believe they should be such a huge road favorite here. Felix Hernandez and the Mariners win 53 percent of my simulations, which as the underdog makes them a great value pick.

33-18 IN LAST 51 MLB PICKS | +1463
18-14 IN LAST 32 SEA ML PICKS | +742

4-0 IN LAST 4 CHC ML PICKS | +455

N.Y. METS +110
CINCINNATI @ N.Y. METS | 4/30 | 7:10 PM EDT

Jason Vargas has been a disaster for the Mets, but he's not supposed to be this bad. The Reds, meanwhile, are as bad as it gets hitting on the road, and my computer model favors the pitcher over the hitters in this case. In fact, New York wins a solid 60 percent of my simulations, a number made more impressive by its underdog status.

33-18 IN LAST 51 MLB PICKS | +1463
28-21 IN LAST 49 NYM ML PICKS | +1027

9-4 IN LAST 13 CIN ML PICKS | +593

BOSTON +7.5
BOSTON @ MILWAUKEE | 4/30 | 8:00 PM EDT

The Celtics had the Bucks' number during the regular season -- at least compared to most other teams. That didn't change during an impressive 22-point win at Fiserv Forum in Game 1. The Bucks should come out motivated not to fall down 0-2 in this series, but this is a lot of points to give a team that's hitting its stride and looked so good two days earlier. Boston covers with the points in nearly 70 percent of my simulations.

75-68 LAST 143 NBA SIDES | +100
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Billy Coleman

MLB
4* #973 Cleveland -1.5 runs (-110) (Bauer)

 
Posted : April 30, 2019 1:50 pm
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Las Vegas Wolf

2% over 8.5 balt
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Tony Mejia

Cardinals/Nationals Over 9
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Kevin Rogers

San Diego Padres -105
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Posted : April 30, 2019 1:52 pm
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Tim Wilkinson

NBA
Milwaukee Bucks -7
Bucks/Celtics Over 219

MLB - Cardinals/Nationals Over 9

NHL - Columbus Blue Jackets -120
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Kyle Markus

NBA
Golden State Warriors -5
Warriors/Rockets Under 221
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H&H Sports (MLB Top 5* Plays 5-1overall)

5* Los Angeles Dodgers -135
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Posted : April 30, 2019 2:16 pm
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Rockdeman Sports

(MLB Underdog of the Day) - Toronto Blue Jays +140
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Michael Rusk

CINCINNATI -125
CINCINNATI @ N.Y. METS | 4/30 | 7:10 PM EDT

What a pitching mismatch at Citi Field Tuesday night. The Reds aren’t the most fun to bet on due to their lack of run production, but with a Luis Castillo vs. Jason Vargas matchup, that shouldn’t be an issue. We have no choice but to fade Vargas in almost every outing as the Mets' shaky fifth starter. In his last outing versus the Reds, he only recorded one out! Yes, lasted a third of an inning. Reds should build off of their victory last night and continue their dominance off of Vargas winning three in a row against him.

25-12 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +1020
3-0 IN LAST 3 NYM ML PICKS | +325

PITTSBURGH -103
PITTSBURGH @ TEXAS | 4/30 | 8:05 PM EDT

A case of an eight-game losing streak and what it does to the market. The Pirates, regardless of how bad they may seem right now, are going to find a way to win a minimum of at least 70 games this year. That being said, they will snap out of their funk very soon. Jordan Lyles gets the call for the Buccos and he has gone five strong in every outing this year. A consistent pitcher up against a youngster who hasn’t started 10 games in his major league career with a lifetime 5.40 ERA at home is enough of an edge. I like the underdog here.

25-12 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +1020
3-0 IN LAST 3 TEX ML PICKS | +300

ARIZONA -139
N.Y. YANKEES @ ARIZONA | 4/30 | 9:40 PM EDT

The Yankees continue to be a bit overpriced. With all their injuries combining with a road trip that started over a week ago, they are fade material at a very good line. Winning nine out of 10 games shows that regression will occur soon. Let’s jump on it with the D'backs' Zack Greinke who has pitched beautifully against the Bronx Bombers in his last two outings going seven strong and picking up the victory in both. I have the Diamondbacks priced more than -150 at home Tuesday. Take the discount and run.

25-12 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +1020
8-1 IN LAST 9 ARI ML PICKS | +779
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Larry Hartstein

BOSTON +7.5
BOSTON @ MILWAUKEE | 4/30 | 8:00 PM EDT

The Celtics may be a No. 4 seed, but they're playing like a No. 1, and have been for a while now that they're healthy and Gordon Hayward is contributing as expected. They won Game 1 handily and are still getting a good amount of points. Boston has won nine of 10 and covered in eight of those. Even though we'll see a much better performance from Milwaukee, I still took the points with a Boston team that has put it all together.

99-72-1 IN LAST 172 NBA ATS PICKS | +1975
49-31-1 IN LAST 81 BOS ATS PICKS | +1525

28-19-1 IN LAST 48 MIL ATS PICKS | +709

HOUSTON +5.5
HOUSTON @ GOLDEN ST. | 4/30 | 10:30 PM EDT

The spread right now is the same as it was for Game 1, a four-point Warriors win and a Rockets cover. The non-call against Draymond Green on James Harden in the final seconds, and it could have been even closer if not an outright Houston win. I think the Warriors escaped, and the Rockets will keep it close with another chance to steal a road win. Take the points.

99-72-1 IN LAST 172 NBA ATS PICKS | +1975
33-26-2 IN LAST 61 GS ATS PICKS | +530

3-0 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +300
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Posted : April 30, 2019 2:18 pm
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H&H Sports

(MLB Adding) - 4* Arizona Diamondbacks -140
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Stats Analytics Sports

MLB
1* Mariners +1.5 runs (-120)
1* Nationals +1.5 runs (-155)
1* Giants +1.5 runs (-140)
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Greg shaker

3*
Golden state / Houston under 221
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Posted : April 30, 2019 2:30 pm
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King creole

2*
Golden state / Houston over 220.5
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Dave Elsser

1*
San Francisco +1.5 (-125)

3*
Golden state / Houston over 220.5

1*
Seattle +1.5( -120)
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Posted : April 30, 2019 2:43 pm
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Marco/Sports Unlimited

4% Golden st -5
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WUnderdog
MLB

Texas -108 v pittsburgh
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Dwayne Connors
Top-End
1000 UNIT
N.L. Living Lock
Cardinals
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Posted : April 30, 2019 4:12 pm
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Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
OAK F5 +.5 -110 3 units

MLB Season: 24-22-3 52% -13.45 units
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Posted : April 30, 2019 4:13 pm
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