Tuesday 6/4/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MBL, NHL & NBA games.
Ben Burns
3*
Milwaukee -166
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Spartan
3*
Boston -1.5(-120)
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Sleepyj
3*
Milwaukee / Miami over 9
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Stephen Nover
3*TOW
Milwaukee / Miami over 9
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JR ODONNELL
3*
San Diego -1.5(+140)
3*
Oakland / LA ANGLES over 8.5
3*
LA DODGERS / Arizona over 9.5
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baseball33
Detroit Tigers – Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays -2
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EdwardMLB
Philadelphia Phillies +1
Oakland Athletics
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Kyle Markus
MLB
Top Play - Best Bet - Cubs/Rockies Over 10.5
Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs (-105)
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Tim Wilkinson
Top Total of the Day - Twins/Indians Under 9
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Vince Akins (45-31 L22 days)
MLB Trend Plays
Brewers ML (-180)
Rangers ML (-125)
Angels ML (-110)
Cubs ML (-210)
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CleInsidersports (44-37 L18 days)
MLB
Brewers ML (-180)
Orioles ML (+115)
Red Sox ML (-180)
Cubs ML (-210)
Dodgers ML (-210)
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Paul Leiner
Three MLB Plays 6/4
100* Angels -110
100* Reds -120
100* Over 8.5 Rays/Tigers
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Goodfella
3*
Tampa Bay -1.5 (-155)
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Rocky Atkinson
2*
San Diego -148
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Greg shaker
3*
Texas - 122
2*
Chicago Cubs / Colorado over 10.5
2*
St. Louis / Cincinnati under 9
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Johnny Bollman
TEXAS -130
BALTIMORE @ TEXAS | 6/04 | 8:05 PM EDT
Dylan Bundy has been much better in May, but he is still rocking a 4.56 ERA. Drew Smyly hasn’t been very effective this season but the Rangers have won four of his last five starts. The Rangers are 20-9 at home this season and 11-2 as the favorite, while the Orioles are 10-18 on the road. The Rangers have the third best OPS in the league against righties while the Orioles have the 21st best OPS against lefties. Lay the favorite at home.
21-14 IN LAST 35 MLB ML PICKS | +411
MILWAUKEE -185
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/04 | 7:40 PM EDT
Chase Anderson is 2-0 this season with a 2.78 ERA since he was inserted into the starting rotation including a 3.57 ERA in seven career starts against the Marlins. This is a classic case of home and road splits making the difference. Pablo Lopez has a 1.84 ERA at home, but an 8.26 ERA on the road. The Marlins are 10-18 on the road while the Brewers are 18-11 at home, and the Brewers offensive splits are noticeably better at home. The Brewers are 6-2 after a day off when their bullpen is rested, lay the favorite.
21-14 IN LAST 35 MLB ML PICKS | +411
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIL ML PICKS | +85
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ML PICKS | +53
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Consensus (29-29 L15 days)
MLB
7u Twins ML (+120)
6u Marlins/Brewers UNDER 9
5u Marlins ML (+170)
5u Rangers RL (+145)
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Stephen Oh
UNDER 9 MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/04 | 7:40 PM EDT
These teams have lived on the Under this season, and that's especially true when the total is at nine runs or lower as it is Tuesday. When that's the case, the under is 5-2-1 in Marlins games and 21-9-1 for the Brewers. The Under (-115) hits for nearly 60 percent of my simulations here, too.
76-48 IN LAST 124 MLB PICKS | +2760
7-1 IN LAST 8 MIL O/U PICKS | +590
OVER 8.5 OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 6/04 | 10:07 PM EDT
The Under has been the trend for both teams, but my projections see a resersal of trends Tuesday. In fact, my simulations are averaging just over 10 runs each time, well over the posted total. Jump on the Over (-122) here.
76-48 IN LAST 124 MLB PICKS | +2760
3-1 IN LAST 4 OAK O/U PICKS | +195
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Tom Fornelli
OVER 10.5 COLORADO @ CHI. CUBS | 6/04 | 8:05 PM EDT
I want to jump on this number before it gets any higher. There will be a stiff breeze blowing out to center throughout this game, and when that is happening at Wrigley Field, the ball tends to fly out of the park.
21-13-2 IN LAST 36 MLB O/U PICKS | +646
11-4 IN LAST 15 COL O/U PICKS | +664
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Adam Thompson
COLORADO +180
COLORADO @ CHI. CUBS | 6/04 | 8:05 PM EDT
Kyle Hendricks is throwing lights-out in the last month-plus, but the Rockies are knocking the lights out with their bats. For the last month, they're hitting .300 and averaging more than seven runs per game. They're riding an eight-game win streak. The Cubs' offense is in a funk. Jeff Hoffman has been mediocre in three starts so far, but he was successful in his one career start at Wrigley and Colorado's bullpen is throwing well. The price is right on a team that is crushing the ball.
17-10 IN LAST 27 COL ML PICKS | +509
18-14 IN LAST 32 CHC ML PICKS | +112
MILWAUKEE -200
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/04 | 7:40 PM EDT
Chase Anderson has been a nice surprise since joining the rotation, with a 2.78 ERA in five starts. And the Marlins are throwing Pablo Lopez and his 8.26 road ERA. He's backed by the third-worst bullpen in MLB. Milwaukee is 14-7 as a home favorite and won six of eight following a day off.
14-6 IN LAST 20 MIL ML PICKS | +874
5-2 IN LAST 7 MIA ML PICKS | +96
N.Y. YANKEES -195
N.Y. YANKEES @ TORONTO | 6/04 | 7:07 PM EDT
Masahiro Tanaka is coming off his worst start of the year, but he's been very successful against the Blue Jays over his career, and Toronto is the worst-hitting team against RHPs in the majors. Clayton Richard hasn't gone longer than four innings in his two starts this year, Toronto scored three combined runs and lost both. The Blue Jays are averaging just 2.3 runs over the last week, and this doesn't seem like the spot for a breakout game.
3-0 IN LAST 3 TOR ML PICKS | +300
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Zack Cimini
CLEVELAND -132
MINNESOTA @ CLEVELAND | 6/04 | 7:10 PM EDT
The Minnesota Twins will aim to utilize Monday's off day after an impressive road series in Tampa Bay. The Twins have consistently defied the betting markets as they have the fewest losses in MLB with 18 and also have the best road record at 21-9. Look for a reversal as the Cleveland Indians should sustain with Shane Bieber on the mound Tuesday. Grab Cleveland.
14-6 IN LAST 20 MLB ML PICKS | +806
9-7 IN LAST 16 CLE ML PICKS | +119
TORONTO +175
N.Y. YANKEES @ TORONTO | 6/04 | 7:07 PM EDT
A rough month of May for the Blue Jays has carried over into June. Over their last 31 games they've gone 7-24. They'll take on the AL East-leading Yankees Tuesday with veteran Clayton Richard on the mound. His struggles last week in his first start as a Blue Jay coupled with the Blue-Jays' poor run support is a recipe for disaster. Yet this is a value spot to side with the home dog as Masahiro Tanaka is coming off a shaky home start against the Padres. Grab Toronto.
14-6 IN LAST 20 MLB ML PICKS | +806
25-14 IN LAST 39 TOR ML PICKS | +958
14-10 IN LAST 24 NYY ML PICKS | +360
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Larry Hartstein
L.A. ANGELS -121
OAKLAND @ L.A. ANGELS | 6/04 | 10:07 PM EDT
Griffin Canning faced the A's last week and was brilliant, allowing one run on three hits over six innings in an eventual 12-7 win. Canning fanned five and walked none. Back the Angels as they go for their 18th win in their last 26 home dates with Oakland.
28-12 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS | +1157
17-4 IN LAST 21 LAA ML PICKS | +1269
11-5 IN LAST 16 OAK ML PICKS | +503
SAN FRANCISCO +131
SAN FRANCISCO @ N.Y. METS | 6/04 | 7:10 PM EDT
Grab the Giants as substantial road underdogs behind Madison Bumgarner. They've won his last six starts at the Mets. Noah Syndergaard is coming off his highest pitch count -- by far -- of the year, and he's given up nine earned runs (on 20 hits and walks) in his last two starts covering 11.1 innings. Back San Fran to win for the fourth time in five games.
28-12 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS | +1157
32-12 IN LAST 44 NYM ML PICKS | +1696
6-4 IN LAST 10 SF ML PICKS | +131
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Michael Rusk
MILWAUKEE -189
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 6/04 | 7:40 PM EDT
The breakdown of this matchup screams home team to me. The Marlins entering game 58 as one of the worst road teams in the MLB while the Brew Crew carry a great home to road positive disparity. Chase Anderson is flying under the radar as a phenomenal pitcher this year and can easily be considered the Brewers MVP next to Yelich. Too much firepower for Pablo Lopez and the Marlins. Their road woes continue. Brewers should take this one convincingly.
53-40 IN LAST 93 MLB ML PICKS | +554
8-3 IN LAST 11 MIL ML PICKS | +500
PHILADELPHIA +130
PHILADELPHIA @ SAN DIEGO | 6/04 | 10:10 PM EDT
Vegas is overvaluing Paddack a decent amount this early on in his rookie MLB career. There’s no question he has turned heads carrying a 2.40 ERA in 10 starts, but he has yet to face the Phillies who carry a few essential lefty batters. I think this game should be tight all the way through, as the Phillies shouldn’t be a heavy underdog as they are. Jerad Eickhoff has a great track record against the Padres allowing just one run in his last 10 innings. Phillies will steal this one as the underdog.
53-40 IN LAST 93 MLB ML PICKS | +554
8-5 IN LAST 13 SD ML PICKS | +266
2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI ML PICKS | +15
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Hot Shot Sports
MLB
4* #917/918 Minnesota/Cleveland under 9
XS SPORTS PICKS . MLB SEASON (122-95) 56% +$38,860
$4000 Minnesota +125
$2000 Minnesota Over 9 -110
$3000 NY Yankees Under 9 -105
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Dave Essler
3*GOW
Pittsburgh / Atlanta over 9
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King creole
2*
Kansas City / Boston over 10
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ASA's
6 star total over cubs /colo
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Miller locks
7:07 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Toronto blue jays
pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-116)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
tampa bay rays vs. Detroit tigers (1st 5 innings)
pick: Under 4.5 (-107)
risk: 11 units
7:40 pm est mlb
miami marlins vs. Milwaukee brewers
pick: Milwaukee brewers -1.5 (+105)
risk: 11 units
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Tony Finn
Late Pitch AL Private Play
4% Oakland Athletics +113
LIST PITCHERS: Montas and Canning
(925) Oakland Athletics at (926) Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics The Athletics are tossing an "opener" at the travel weary Angels on Tuesday night. The American League West has tackled the lineup and the mediocre pitching staff of the Angels across the last few seasons. LA is 12-17 against their division foes dating back to last year. And the Angels have been traveling halfway across the country the last two days and begin tonight's three-game set against the Oakland Athletics in what is essentially a road game.
Montas starts the opener against the Halos in an event he could well pitch just two frames or as many as six. The situation will dictate itself tonight during the event. It isn't a stretch to consider Montas as the ace of the A's rotation. He has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in 10 of 11 starts this season and while his last start was arguably his least effective of the season he has a 2.57 ERA over his past six outings. Montas touches 97 mph with his fastball, has added a splitter as one of his secondary pitches this season and his plus-slider is inducing a high percentage chase rate. His strikeout rate is just above league average but his BB ratio is elite.
Angels young righty Griffin Canning has attractive surface numbers, a 3.06 ERA that includes a 2.57 ERA in five May starts. But the package you believe you are receiving with Canning is an illusion. Canning's xFIP is nearing 4.50 and his 89% strand rate is unsustainable with his shortage of swings and misses. Ignore his 16.4% swinging strike rate as hitters are finding a routine and sequence to his game night arsenal. Combine a strand rate nearly 90 percent and a BABIP of .203 and regression is bottom line inevitable.
This is a right-hander that was recalled to fill some innings for a damaged and aging Angels rotation. Upon his call up Griffin owned a 5.49 ERA across 59 Innings in triple-A last season. Furthermore his xFIP in triple-A this season of 3.47 was much higher than his ERA.
Canning has had his 15-minutes in 2019 and doesn't have the skill set to survive his underlying peripherals.
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Dr. Chuck
5% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-130)
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Tim Wilkinson
Toronto Blue Jays +180
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Kevin Rogers
Baltimore Orioles +120
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Tony Mejia
Oakland A's +105
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Wise Guy Insider
MLB 10:10 pm Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres -150 for 1 units
ACTION
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