Monday 7/30/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, WNBA and CFL games.
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Atlanta w/Teheran -165 over Miami
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: Take MILWAUKEE/LA DODGERS OVER the total of 7½ runs
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Totals4U
Monday's Free Selection: Colorado/St Louis under 8 1/2
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Jeff Allen Sports
Monday's Free Selection is on San Francisco
Jimmy Boyd
Jul 30 '18, 7:10 PM in 9h
MLB | Phillies vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -144
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Marc Lawrence
Jul 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 12h
MLB | Astros vs Mariners
Play on: Astros -106 at betonline
Play - Houston Astros w/Cole (Game 913)
Edges - Astros: Cole 9-1 L19 team starts during July, including 5-0 away; and 2-0 career team starts versus Seattle … Mariners: 2-10 L12 games in this series, and 1-8 home in this series. With that we recommend a 1* play Houston. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Larry Ness
Jul 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 12h
MLB | Giants vs Padres
Play on: Giants -104 at betonline
My free play is on the SF Giants at 10:10 ET. Buster Posey had four hits and three RBI in an 8-5 home victory over Milwaukee on Sunday, a victory which snapped San Francisco's four-game slide. However, the Giants are just 3-8 in their last 11 games to fall 6 1/2 games off the pace in the NL West with a third of the season to go. San Francisco also has two other teams standing between them and the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers (LA has won the division in each of the last five seasons), the second-place D'backs and the third-place Rockies. The Giants open a two-game series against the Padres on Monday night in San Diego and no NL team is going worse than the Padres at the moment. The Padres have now lost five straight games after having just been swept at home by the Diamondbacks, plus they are just 2-12 in their last 14 games and 8-26 since June 15 to fall to 42-66 on the season (the NL's worst mark, which leaves them 18 games back of LA).
A pair of lefties will head to the mound tonight, Derek Holland (5-8, 3.92 ERA) for the Giants and Eric Lauer (5-7, 5.29 ERA) for the Padres. Holland has made 23 appearances in 2018, including 19 starts. He will be making his second straight start after coming out of the bullpen in his previous two outings. Holland has allowed two ERs on eight hits over 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts (7/25 & 7/10), striking out 12 and walking one but San Francisco has lost both games. It's not good news for the Giants that Holland will make his fourth career start against the Padres and that he is 1-1 with a 7.04 ERA against them. More bad news comes in the fact that two of the three previous starts have come this season and he's allowed six ERs in 9 2/3 innings for a 5.59 ERA.
Eric Lauer came within one out of tossing a complete game in a win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 10 but he's stumbled through two starts since that outstanding effort. The Chicago Cubs got to him for five runs in two innings prior to the All-Star break (7/15) and Lauer gave up six runs in four innings against the Mets in New York last Tuesday. The rookie has allowed four ERs four runs over 11 innings in a pair of no-decisions versus San Francisco this year (Padres are 0-2).
Holland is hardly someone a person can be fully confident of but as noted at the top, the Padres are slumping badly with a 2-12 record in their last 14 games and 8-26 since June 15. As for the rookie Lauer, the Padres are 5-12 in his first 17 starts of the season. He not only owns a 5.00-plus ERA but an ugly 1.70 WHIP, with opponents batting .311 against him on the season. Considering that the Padres are just 18-33 at Petco Park this year and 1-16 in the first game of their 17 series there, the Giants are the play.
Good luck...Larry
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Jesse Schule
Jul 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 12h
MLB | Astros vs Mariners
Play on: Astros -106 at betonline
This is a Free play on the Houston Astros.
Houston is coming off four straight losses, and they suffered their first sweep of the season at home versus Texas. This is still the best team in baseball, and I like their chances of getting back on track here in Seattle.
Gerrit Cole will toe the slab for Houston, and he's been dealing all season long. Cole (10-2, 2.54 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits, striking out nine over 6 1/3 innings in a win at Colorado his last time out. He's 6-1 with a 2.56 ERA in 11 appearances on the road this season.
The Mariners hand the ball to James Paxton, who is returning from a back injury. The Big Maple had surrendered seven runs on 10 hits over 7 2/3 innings in back to back losses before taking a few weeks off to rest his sore back. The Mariners might be a little careful with their ace here, and it wouldn't be surprising if he was pulled early.
Seattle ranks dead last in the major leagues in scoring since the All Star break.
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
Stephen Nover
Jul 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 12h
MLB | Brewers vs Dodgers
Play on: Brewers +156 at 5Dimes
The National League can't compare to the American League when it comes to superpowers. The AL has them with the Red Sox, Yankees, Astros and Indians. When it comes to the NL's monsters they are the Dodgers, Cubs and Brewers. So any time one of these three teams happens to be a heavy underdog, I have to look in that direction. This isn't a play against Dodgers starter Kenta Maeda. I usually won't go against Maeda at Dodgers Stadium, where he sports a 2.74 ERA. But there's just too much value to overlook Milwaukee at this plus price. The Brewers have the most victories in the NL and now they're even better with the additions of Mike Moustakas and Joakim Soria. The Brewers are in a good ambush spot here and they have an intriguing rookie pitcher going, Freddy Peralta. Milwaukee catches the Dodgers returning home from a 10-game road trip that concluded in Atlanta on Sunday. The Brewers have been on the West Coast since Thursday. It's the Dodgers who will be making the three-hour time difference. None of this will matter, though, if Peralta pitches as poorly as he did in his last start when he surrendered seven earned runs in six innings at home against the Nationals this past Wednesday. Peralta can be extremely good. He has 57 strikeouts in 43 1/3 innings. Right-handed batters are hitting only .071 against him. The Dodgers have six righties in their usual lineup. LA also has never faced Peralta giving him a surprise element.
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Dennis Macklin
Jul 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 12h
MLB | Giants vs Padres
Play on: Giants -102 at GTBets
DMack's Free Play for Monday, July 30, 2018 is on the San Francisco Giants (Holland Listed)
This is a battle of N.L. West train wrecks with the Giants losers of 6 of 8 and the Padres losers of five straight and a mind-boggling 1-15 in their L16 home series openers. Derek Holland has been a bit unlucky at 0-1 with a 2.78 ERA in his L4 starts. He's given up two earned runs on 8 hits in his L12 2/3 innings and the Gints have gave him zero and two runs of support. Eric Lauer (16.50) was pummeled by the Cubs and Mets in his last two outings and the Friars are 5-12 in his 17 starts. Pick your poison but the Giants might be worth a flyer but probably don't merit premium play status.
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Steve Janus
Jul 30 '18, 7:10 PM in 9h
MLB | Phillies vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -140
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#1 Sports
Monday's Free Selection: Atlanta Braves - 165
Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Arizona Diamondbacks w/Ray -210 over Texas
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Monday Selection Is
San Diego w/Lauer -107
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick Oakland Jackson -155
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Atlanta Teheran -165
Hawkeye Sports
Monday's Free Pick: St Louis - 140
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play: MON RedSox w/Price -145
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The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Monday: Take COLORADO/ST LOUIS UNDER the total of 8½
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Monday: Texas Rangers + 190
John Anthony Sports
Monday's Free Selection: Texas Rangers + 190
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Monday: Take SAN FRANCISCO/SAN DIEGO OVER the total of 8 runs
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Sharp Bettor
7/30 07:10 PM MLB (907) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (D HOLLAND - L) VS (908) SAN DIEGO PADRES (E LAUER - L)
Take : Padres
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Roz Wins
Roz's Monday July 30, 2018, Free Pick
07/30 07:05 PM MLB (911) TORONTO BLUE JAYS (M ESTRADA - R) VS (912) OAKLAND ATHLETICS (E JACKSON - R)
Take : OVER
Totals Guru
Jul 30 '18, 9:40 PM in 9h
MLB | TEX vs ARI
Play on: UNDER 9 -122
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Alex Smart
Jul 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 10h
MLB | Astros vs Mariners
Play on: Astros -109 at BetPhoenix
The Astros will start right-hander Gerrit Cole (10-2, 2.54 ERA) vs their hosts Seattle in the first game of this series. Cole is 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA in two career starts against the Mariners, including a 7-1 victory April 18 in Houston in which he allowed one unearned run on five hits in seven innings. He is my choice to help us cash tonight vs the Mariners and their ace starter Paxton .
COLE is 12-1 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
I know the Astros looked asleep at the proverbial wheel in a 3 game sweep at the hands of the Texas Rangers on the weekend but it must be noted that the Astros are 22-4 against the money line in road games against division opponents this season and 23-5 against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus a division rival this season.
The Mariners have lost 23 straight on the moneyline after All-Star break as a underdog in the first game of a series with no rest when they are off a road game in which they left 18+ men on base, which happened yesterday vs the Angels.
Astros are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Seattle.
Play on the Houston
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Brandon Lee
Jul 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 10h
MLB | HOU vs SEA
Play on: UNDER 7 +100
10* FREE MLB PICK (Under 7) '
I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's AL West late night action that has the Mariners hosting the Astros. Two really good starters will take the mound in this one, as James Paxton is set to start for Seattle, while Gerrit Cole toes the rubber for Houston. Paxton is 8-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in 20 starts. This is also a great time to face the Astros, who are with out two of their best hitters in Altuve and Correa. Cole is 10-2 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 21 starts and is 6-1 with a 2.56 ERA in 11 road outings. He's 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA in 2 career starts against the Mariners, including an outing back in April of this season where he gave up just 1 run in 7 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 7!
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MVP Lock Club
ATLANTA BRAVES ‑165
Picks 2 Play
MIAMI MARLINS +150
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Pinnacle Sports Picks
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ‑110
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Power Play Wins
MIAMI MARLINS +150
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R and R Totals
MIAMI MARLINS/ATLANTA BRAVES ‑120 o8.5
Team Underground
CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑130
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Top Dog LB
TEXAS RANGERS +190
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Total Winner Sports
SAN DIEGO PADRES ‑105
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Valley Sports
ATLANTA BRAVES ‑165
VIP Sports Picks Las Vegas
ATLANTA BRAVES ‑165
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Wise Guy Insider
MIAMI MARLINS +150
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Jack Brayman
I had the Colorado Rockies winning on Sunday for a 200 Dimer, and tonight they're my free pick as an underdog in St. Louis, where the Cardinals will be shocked to see how good this team is playing.
The Rockies, who have won 11 of 13, won 3-2 yesterday for their fourth straight victory, and tonight they're going to bank on Tyler Anderson to get it done over Carlos Martinez.
Anderson has dominated the month of July and steps to the mound at Busch Stadium after throwing 7 1/3 innings on Tuesday, when he allowed two runs on three hits to the Houston Astros, who won, 8-2, in extra innings. That was a crazy game that got out of hand in one inning. But Anderson is 4-0 (3.48 ERA) on the road this season, so he'll be in his comfort zone.
The Rockies, now 57-47 and one game back of the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League West, are 30-23 on the road this season. They've won seven of their last 10 on the highway.
The right-hander needs to end his second cold streak since returning from the disabled list. Martinez has given up nine runs (eight earned) on 13 hits his past couple starts, and it's evident the Cardinals need more than five innings out of their ace to avoid overtaxing the bullpen. I don't know if that happens against the hard-hitting Rox.
Take Colorado tonight, as they open this road trip with a dub.
5* ROCKIES (Anderson over Martinez)
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Eric Schroeder
My free play is on the Seattle Mariners over the struggling Houston Astros, and in this one I'm listing the scheduled starters: Gerrit Cole and James Paxton.
I'll make this brief, as it's really only about the pitchers.
I've lost a bit of confidence in Cole's domination. He is still capable of being dominant, sure, but he's shown kinks in the armor, and I don't know if he will be able to keep the ball in the park against the M's at Safeco Field. Seattle has one of the better lineups in baseball, with a batting average of .257, which ranks sixth in the league. The M's will come to hit tonight, as they continue to chase these Astros in the American League West.
I'd rather side with Paxton, as the big lefty is expected to be brought off the 10-day disabled list after throwing just two-thirds of an inning over the past three weeks due to a stiff lower back. His confidence level will be on high, though, as he’s 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA in two starts against Houston this season. I like him in this spot tonight, against an Astros team that has lost four straight.
Take Seattle and list both.
4* MARINERS (Paxton over Cole)
Brad Wilton
Monday comp play is Over in Texas-Arizona.
The Rangers have been involved in some offensive affairs here in the month of July, as 3 of their last 4 games, and 8 of their last 11 games overall have landed Over the total.
Same can be said for the Diamondbacks who come back home having scored 26 runs over their last 4 games, all 4 of those games making their way Over the posted price!
Martin Perez will go for Texas, while Robbie Ray goes for Arizona.
Perez has worked 40-plus innings this season with an ERA over 7. The Over is 4-2-2 when he makes the start.
Ray has worked 60-plus innings with an ERA approaching 5.
Look for the bats to keep connecting.
Rangers-Diamondbacks Over the total.
2* TEXAS-ARIZONA OVER
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Chris Jordan
My free play is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Texas Rangers, and I want you playing the game on the Run Line.
MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who goes for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place.
Arizona is just one-half game back of the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League West, and needs to keep the pressure on. The Snakes would make the postseason if the playoffs started today, as the No. 2 wild-card team, but they want this division.
They return home after three straight wins in San Diego, and will pick up where they left off against a Texas team that has also won three straight, but is having a down year.
The Snakes are 27-25 at home, and will need to bulk up that home record as the postseason draws closer, so they can build some momentum.
Take the home team.
5* DIAMONDBACKS RUN LINE
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Atlantic Sports
Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Arizona - 210
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Cole Faxon
Jul 30 '18, 10:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Blue Jays vs A's
Play on: Blue Jays +145
Sal Michaels
Jul 30 '18, 10:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Blue Jays vs A's
Play on: Blue Jays +145
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Jack Jones
Jul 30 '18, 9:40 PM in 7h
MLB | Rangers vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -1½ +105 at 5Dimes
Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have won three straight and six of their last eight coming in. They have won five times by four runs or more during this stretch. I expect them to win by at least two runs at home tonight over the Texas Rangers.
The Rangers are in a letdown spot here after a shocking sweep of the Astros in Houston over the weekend. Now they send perhaps the worst starter in baseball to the mound in Martin Perez, who is 2-4 with a 7.08 ERA and 2.017 WHIP in eight starts this season.
Robbie Ray hasn’t matched the dominant numbers he put up a year ago, but he has also been hurt. He has posted 81 K’s in 60 2/3 innings across 12 starts this season, so the stuff is still there. And he’s coming off a great start in which he held the Cubs to just one run and five base runners in 7 innings on the road last time out.
Ray is 14-1 (+13.5 units) against the money line after giving up one or fewer earned runs in his last outing over the last two seasons. Arizona is winning by 5.2 runs per game in this spot. The Diamondbacks are 20-6 in Ray’s last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rangers are 0-4 in Perez’s last four starts. Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Monday.
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Bird Bouchard
Jul 30 '18, 8:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Indians vs Twins
Play on: Twins +115 at MyBookie
The Minnesota Twins enter tonight's game with an upper hand on the Indians. Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home vs Cleveland and 7-1 ATS overall against the Indians. With the Twins playing at home, Santana will look to make a lasting impression as it might be his last start with the Twins before the trade deadline. Expect the Twins to give the Indians a run for their money and pick up a big win vs the Indians.
Pick Rating: ***
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Scott Rickenbach
Jul 30 '18, 9:40 PM in 7h
MLB | TEX vs ARI
Play on: UNDER 8½ +110
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #918 Monday Free Pick UNDER the total in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers @ 9:40 ET - The Rangers Martin Perez has poor full season numbers but he has been rock solid in 2 of his 3 starts since he returned. In those two solid July outings Perez has allowed only 2 earned runs in 13 innings. Also, the Diamondbacks are not familar with him. This is typical in interleague match-ups and tends to lead to more unders as the hitters lack of familiarity with pitchers from the opposite league tends to be an issue. Arizona has not faced Perez in many years and the same holds true for the Texas bats having not seen Robbie Ray in a number of years. Although Ray's numbers at home this season have been unusually poor, he enters this start having pitched well in two of his last three match-ups. Also, those were against tough teams in tough venues - Cubs in Wrigley and Rockies at Coors. Ray has struck out 81 in his 60 and 2/3 innings as a starter this season. The Rangers lineup is known for poor at-bats and being free swingers and I expect the strikeouts to really pile up in this one for Ray. Per the above, you can see why I am expecting both teams to struggle at the plate. Also, only 2 of the Diamondbacks 8 games in interleague action this season have resulted in an over. The under is 16-9 in Texas' games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs this season. Free Pick UNDER the total in Arizona
Dustin Hawkins
Jul 30 '18, 10:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Blue Jays vs A's
Play on: Blue Jays +145
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John Martin
Jul 30 '18, 7:35 PM in 5h
MLB | Marlins vs Braves
Play on: Braves -159 at 5Dimes
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Braves -159
The Atlanta Braves have lost four of their last five and need this home series against the Marlins to get back on track after falling out of first place in the NL East. Fortunately for them, they are up against Wei-Yin Chen, who has been terrible on the road this season. Chen is 1-5 with a 10.47 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in eight road starts this year. He has allowed 38 earned runs in 32 2/3 innings away from home. Julio Teheran is the better starter in this matchup. He is 3-2 with a 4.13 ERA in 10 home starts this year. The Marlins are 2-7 in Chen’s last nine road starts. The Braves are 8-3 in Teheran’s last 11 home starts. Give me the Braves.