Wednesday 5/30/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Wednesday’s NBA, MLB and NHL games.
Brad Wilton
For Wednesday, back the Angels and Ohtani on the Run Line over the Tigers and Fiers.
Third game of four tonight as each team has taken turns winning in easy fashion - Tigers by 6 runs on Monday, Angels returning the favor by 7 runs last night.
Tonight it's all about Shohei Ohtani who heads back to the mound after an extended layoff (May 20th last start), and he takes a 2-0 mark his last 3 starts to the hill. For the year, the rookie is 4-1 with an ERA of 3.35, as he makes his first start against the Tigers.
Mike Fiers counters, and he is just 1-1 his last 3 starts, but that ERA approaching 5 - at 4.86! - is a tad troublesome when you have guys like Mike Trout in the lineup in the opposing dugout.
Ohtani working with added rest keeps the Tigers guessing tonight, as the Angels take the third of four tonight at Comerica Park.
3* L.A. ANGELS -1 1/2 RUNS
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Minnesota w/Romero -135 Over Kansas City
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Free Selection from Jim Feist
MLB (905) CHICAGO CUBS VS (906) PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Take: (905) CHICAGO CUBS
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Jeff Allen Sports
Wednesday Free Selection is on the Oakland A's
Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: Take SAN FRANCISCO/COLORADO UNDER the total of 11½ runs
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Totals4U
Wednesday's Free Selection: Texas Rangers/Seattle Mariners over 8
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John Anthony Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: Philadelphia Phillies + 160
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Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: White Sox + 270
#1 Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: Oakland Athletics - 165
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday: Take MINNESOTA/KANSAS CITY OVER the total of 9 runs
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: San Diego Richard -124
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Hawkeye Sports
Wednesday's Free Pick: Vegas Golden Knights - 155
Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick Boston Rodriguez -185
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play: WED Colorado w/GRAY -165
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Seattle Mariners w/Paxton -1½ runs -115 over Texas
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The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Wednesday: Take MIAMI/SAN DIEGO UNDER the total of 7 runs
High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Wednesday: Oakland Athletics - 165
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Mark Wilson
May 30 '18, 6:35 PM in 8h
MLB | HOU vs NYY
Play on: OVER 8 +100
Free Play on Astros vs Yankees over 8 +100
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Matt Josephs
May 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Rangers vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -1½ -125 at BMaker
James Paxton is 4-1 with a 3.10 ERA and a WHIP of 0.962 in 11 starts. He's in great form having allowed six runs and 12 hits over his last 22 innings of work. The southpaw has 23 strikeouts to just one walk over that span. He was roughed up a bit in Texas last month, but is a lot better since then. Texas is hitting .236 against left-handed starters and around .223 on the road. Seattle's bullpen has been filthy lately. Matt Moore is coming off the DL. He's 1-5 with a 8.19 ERA in nine starts. Moore is putting a ton of runners on base with 62 hits and 21 walks in just over 40 innings of work. Seattle is averaging 4.6 runs per game and is hitting .263. They've been in great form as of late despite injuries. I think the Mariners win this one rather easily.
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Dustin Hawkins
May 30 '18, 6:35 PM in 8h
MLB | HOU vs NYY
Play on: OVER 8 +100
Free Play on Astros vs Yankees over 8 +100
Totals Guru
May 30 '18, 1:10 PM in 2h
MLB | STL vs MIL
Play on: UNDER 9 -120
Free Total Annihilator On Cardinals vs Brewers under 9 -120
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Larry Ness
May 30 '18, 8:15 PM in 9h
MLB | Twins vs Royals
Play on: Twins -131 at 5dimes
My 1* Free Play is on the Minnesota Twins (8:15 EST).
I think the Twins will bounce back here after their 2-1 defeat last night.
The visitors hand the ball to Fernando Romero (2-1, 1.88 ERA) who struck out seven and walked two in a loss the Mariners on Tuesday, allowing just two runs off five hits over seven innings.
To go along with his sharp 1.88 ERA, Romero also sports an elite 1.12 WHIP and 29/13 K/W over 28.2 innings of work. So far the hard-throwing right-hander has yet to concede more than three earned runs in a start and note that he’s served up just one home run overall.
The home side counters with Brad Keller (1-1, 2.01) who is expected to only throw for just the first three innings. So far the 22 year old has been great in a relievers role, posting the 2.01 ERA to go along with a decent 13/7 K/W spanning 22.1 total innings.
I’ll point out as well that Minnesota is 11-2 (+7.8 units) in its last 13 as a road fav in the -125 to -175 range, while KC is just 2-11 (-10 units) at home this year when the money line in the contest is set between the +135 to -135 range.
I think Romero is the correct call here. Consider laying the price on the revenge-minded visiting side.
Good luck…Larry
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Doug Upstone
May 30 '18, 6:35 PM in 8h
MLB | HOU vs NYY
Play on: UNDER 8 -105
On Wednesday night on ESPN, Play Under on teams when the total is 8 to 8.5 like the N.Y YANKEES, after a game where they committed four or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.25 the last 15 games. In the last 20 years, this rare situation is 35-7, 83.3 percent.
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Jimmy Boyd
May 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Phillies vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -175 at Bovada
Free Pick on Dodgers -175
I'm recommending laying the big juice here and backing the Dodgers on the money line at home Wednesday. LA is in a prime bounce back spot after an ugly 5-run loss to the Phillies on Tuesday. It was a rare slip up for the Dodgers, who are 9-3 over their last 12 games.
Despite scoring just 1-run, LA still managed to rack up 9 hits. Keep in mind this is an offense that had scored 16 runs over their previous 3 games. I look for them to put up a big number here against the Phillies' Zach Eflin, who hasn't pitched well at all in his last 2 starts, giving up 10 runs on 12 hits in just 9 1/3 innings of work. Philadelphia is also just 3-10 in Eflin's last 13 starts.
As for the Dodgers, they will send out one of the big surprises of 2018 in Ross Stripling, who has a 2.42 ERA and 1.192 WHIP in 5 starts. Stripling also has a 1.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 2 home starts, as he's pitched so well that he's expected to stay in the rotation going forward. Dodgers are a perfect 5-0 in Stripling's last 5 starts after a Quality Start in his previous outing. Take Los Angeles!
Marc Lawrence
May 30 '18, 10:05 PM in 11h
MLB | Rays vs A's
Play on: Rays +159 at Pinnacle
Play - Tampa Bay Rays w/Eovaldi (Game 925).
Edges - Rays: Eovaldi 7-1 last eight team starts during May, including 5-0 the last five… Athletics: Manea 1-4 last fiver home team starts during May… With Eovaldi in a “born-again” starting opportunity, we recommend a 1* play on Tampa Bay. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Art Aronson
May 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Marlins vs Padres
Play on: Padres -120 at BetOnline
This is a 1* Free Play on the San Diego Padres.
We had a play on the Padres last night and we think the home side offers fantastic value in this matchup as well. The visitors turn to Jose Urena (0-7, 4.69 ERA) who most recently was shelled for four runs off five hits over six innings in a loss to the Nationals on Friday. Note that Urena has been at his worst on the road as well this season with an 0-1, 6.06 ERA. The home side goes with Clayton Richard (3-6, 4.97) who gave up four runs off four hits while striking out four over six innings in a loss to the Dodgers on Friday. Richard though had looked pretty good before this “dud,” posting three straight quality starts and striking out 20 with just one walk spanning 23.1 innings. Also note that Miami is just 3-7 (-2.4 units) as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range this season, while San Diego is 16-5 (+9.4 units) in its last 21 as a home fav in the -125 to -175 range. Consider the FRIARS on Wednesday night.
AAA Sports
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Mike Lundin
May 30 '18, 8:40 PM in 10h
MLB | SFO vs COL
Play on: UNDER 11 -115
#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 15% so far in 2018.
In addition we can note that under is 8-2-1 in Rockies last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter and here they'll face 31 year old southpaw Derek Holland (2-6, 4.73 ERA) who has pitched reasonably well lately, allowing just six earned runs through his last three starts while covering 18 1/3 frames. Under is 6-0 in Holland's last six starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Colorado turns to Jon Gray (5-6, 5.40 ERA) who has been knocked around plenty lately, but he has good stuff and boasts a has a 71:16 K:BB ratio in 61 2/3 innings this season with 22 strikeouts through his last three starts (16 innings). We can also note that under is still 5-1 in Grays last six starts overall.
The first two matchups of this series have seen a total of 26 runs scored, but I predict a much lower scoring game tonight.
Free pick on UNDER.
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Brandon Lee
May 30 '18, 10:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Rangers vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -1½ -130 at 5dimes
10* FREE MLB PICK (Mariners -1.5, -130)
I'll take my chances here with Seattle on the run line Wednesday. The Mariners 4-game winning streak came to an end in Tuesday's 5-9 loss, as veteran starter Felix Hernandez failed to throw well. Hernandez allowed 5 runs in 5 innings. Seattle was able to tie the game at 5-5, but closer Edwin Diaz had a rare bad night and gave up 4 runs in the top of the 9th. My money is on the Mariners to get right back to their winning ways with one of the best starters in the game on the mound in James Paxton, who is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.861 WHIP in 5 home starts. Seattle's offense also figures to stay hot against the struggling Matt Moore, who is a miserable 1-5 with a 8.19 ERA and 2.041 WHIP in 9 starts. Give me the Mariners -1.5 (-130)!
Sal Michaels
May 30 '18, 8:40 PM in 10h
MLB | Giants vs Rockies
Play on: Giants +170 at BetOnline
Free Play on Giants +170
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Ross Benjamin
May 30 '18, 1:10 PM in 2h
MLB | STL vs MIL
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115
Ross Benjamin is 24-15 (62%) L39 with his MLB picks and that includes 13 winners at money line underdog prices. Ross is also a stellar 6-2 L8 with his NBA Playoff picks. It takes money to make money, and that’s why investing in Ross’ picks is your avenue for sports betting success!
Cardinals (Reyes) @ Brewers (Guerra) 1:10 PM ET
Game# 901-902
Play On: Under 8.5 (-115)
Junior Guerra has gone 6-2-1 under the total in 9 starts this season, and that includes 4-0-1 under during day games. The Milwaukee bullpen has collected a brilliant 1.91 ERA thru their last 7 games. The NL Central leading Brewers (35-21) have gone just 11-14 during divisional games in 2018 and averaged a mere 2.8 runs scored per game during those outings.
Alex Reyes will be making his first MLB start since 2016. Reyes appeared 12 games for St. Louis in 2016 and compiled an excellent 1.57 ERA while striking out 52 in 46.0 innings pitched. Reyes tore his ulnar collateral ligament before the start of 2017 and missed the entire season. Reyes was untouchable in his minor league rehab assignments prior to his call up. Reyes didn’t allow an earned run in 23.0 innings and struck out 44 of the 82 batters he faced. His last rehab start came at AAA Memphis when he pitched 7.0 scoreless innings while allowing just 1 hit and struck out 13. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Wednesday 5/30 free pick.
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Sean Murphy
May 30 '18, 8:15 PM in 9h
NHL | Capitals vs Golden Knights
Play on: Capitals +139 at 5dimes
Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Washington over Vegas at 8:15 pm et on Wednesday.
If you hadn't already been won over by the Vegas Golden Knights, and tuned into Game 1 on Monday, you likely have been now.
With that being said, I expect this to be a long series and look for the Capitals to even things up at a game apiece on Wednesday night. The fact that we're being offered a generous return to back a Caps squad that has enjoyed tremendous success on the road in these playoffs - in big games no less - makes this a play.
Credit Washington for taking Vegas' early punch in Game 1 and hanging in there. The Caps actually led the game on two occasions, 2-1 and 4-3. I'm anticipating a much more 'settled' performance from Washington on Wednesday. This is a team that certainly knows how to play smart hockey on the road, as we've seen throughout these playoffs.
Vegas has now taken all three meetings between these two teams this season. While the Knights have looked invincible on home ice since the start of last round, you may remember the Sharks did take Game 2 from them here at T-Mobile Arena back in round two. I look for a similar story to unfold with the Caps earning a split in Vegas. Take Washington (8*).
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