Wednesday 9/5/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Wednesday’s NCAAFB, NFL & MLB games.
Bobby Conn
Sep 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 9h
MLB | Cardinals vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals -120
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Jimmy Boyd
Sep 05 '18, 7:35 PM in 9h
MLB | NYM vs LAD
Play on: UNDER 7½ -110
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Info Plays
Sep 05 '18, 8:10 PM in 10h
MLB | Twins vs Astros
Play on: Astros -201
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Kenny Walker
Sep 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 9h
MLB | Rays vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays +122
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Scott Rickenbach
Sep 05 '18, 1:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Royals vs Indians
Play on: Indians -1½ -155 at 5Dimes
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #964 Wednesday Free Pick Cleveland Indians Run Line -1.5 runs -155 vs Kansas City Royals @ 1:10 ET - The Indians ended the Royals winning streak in a big way yesterday and I look for momentum to carry from that huge win right into today's early match-up. Though, even on the run line, there is a moderate price to lay here we still have value here because the fact that Corey Kluber has absolutely been dominant at home and in day games. This season he is 9-3 with a 2.09 ERA in home games and 8-0 with a 1.98 ERA in day games. It is not fluke as the Indians right-hander also went 10-2 with a 1.81 ERA in home games last season while dominating with a 7-1 mark and 1.89 ERA in day games last year. Though the Royals Brad Keller is coming off of a strong start he did throw 114 pitches (career high) and plus the solid outing came against a bad Orioles team. In other words he could run low on energy here plus he is facing a much tougher lineup this time around. Also note that Keller has an ugly 1.64 WHIP versus left-handed hitters in his rookie season. This could be an issue here as Keller is facing a Cleveland lineup that is loaded with switch-hitters and left-handed sticks. This one should get ugly in a hurry and the Indians should roll by 2 or more runs behind another brilliant day game home start from Kluber. Free Pick CLEVELAND Run Line -1.5 runs
Dustin Hawkins
Sep 05 '18, 10:05 PM in 12h
MLB | Yankees vs A's
Play on: A's +120
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Larry Ness
Sep 05 '18, 10:05 PM in 12h
MLB | Yankees vs A's
Play on: A's +147 at YouWager
My free play is on the Oak A's at 10:05 ET. The A's will host the Yankees tonight in the rubber match of this three-game series. Oakland won 6-3 on Monday and then the Yankees scored five runs over the final three innings in Tuesday's 5-1 triumph to move 4 1/2 games ahead of Oakland in the wild-card race. The A's managed only two hits in Tuesday's defeat, falling 3 1/2 games behind first-place Houston in the AL West but they remained 5 1/2 games ahead of the Mariners for the second wild-card spot.
Tonight's pitching matchup is an excellent one, with Luis Severino (17-6, 3.32 ERA) going for New York and Mike Fiers (10-6, 3.38 ERA) going for Oakland. Severino's 17 wins ties him with Kluber (Cle) and Snell (TB) for the most in MLB and his moneyline mark of plus-$822 (Yanks are 22-6 in all of his starts) ranks 14th among all starters. He has won two straight decisions, after a stretch during which he lost four of five. Severino is 1-0 with a 3.50 ERA in three career starts against Oakland, with the lone victory coming at home on May 13 when he gave up one run on five hits over six innings.
Fiers may be "just" 10-6 with Detroit and Oakland combined, but he owns MLB's best moneyline mark at plus-$1667. The Tigers were 13-8 in his starts and since he came to Oakland, the A's are a perfect 5-0 in his starts! Fiers is 1-1 with a 5.54 ERA in five career starts against New York, with both decisions coming this season while with the Tigers.
Severino is the more accomplished pitcher but Fiers has not lost since July 13 at Houston, going 4-0 with a 2.57 ERA over his last eight starts (teams are 7-1). Also, the fact that the Yankees have won only seven of their last 24 visits to Oakland puts me on the A's in this one.
Good luck...Larry
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Steve Janus
Sep 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 9h
MLB | Rays vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays +122
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, September 5, 2018
09/05 05:10 PM PT / 8:10 PM ET
MLB (971) DETROIT TIGERS VS (972) CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Take: (972) CHICAGO WHITE SOX
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Colorado w/Senzatela -160 Over San Francisco
Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: Take TAMPA BAY/TORONTO OVER the total of 8½ runs
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Totals4U
Wednesday's Free Selection: Minnesota/Houston over 8 1/2
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Jeff Allen Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays
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Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: LA Dodgers - 170
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#1 Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: Toronto Blue Jays + 130
Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Toronto Blue Jays w/Sanchez +125 over Tampa Bay
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Golden Dragon Sports
FREE WINNER for WEDNESDAY: Minnesota Odorizzi +190
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Atlanta Foltynewicz +105
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Hawkeye Sports
Wednesday's Free Pick: Colorado Rockies - 160
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play WED: Brewers w/ Chacin-110
Dave Price
Sep 05 '18, 8:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Angels vs Rangers
Play on: Angels -119 at BetOnline
Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Los Angeles Angels -119
The Key: The Los Angeles Angels have a big edge on the mound tonight over the Texas Rangers. Jaime Barria is 9-8 with a 3.46 ERA in 21 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 2.77 ERA in 10 road starts. Barria is 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Rangers, all of which have come this season. He has yielded just 2 earned runs in 16 innings across those 3 starts. Bartolo Colon is 7-11 with a 5.59 ERA in 23 starts this season, 4-4 with a 5.94 ERA in 11 home starts, and 2-1 with a 7.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Colon is also 0-3 with a 14.81 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Angels, yielding 17 earned runs and 7 homers in 10 1/3 innings. Take Los Angeles.
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Ross Benjamin
Sep 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Reds vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates -1½ +100 at 5dimes
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Jack Jones
Sep 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Cardinals vs Nationals
Play on: Cardinals +111 at Pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: St. Louis Cardinals +111
The St. Louis Cardinals should not be underdogs to the Washington Nationals today. I backed them as dogs yesterday as my free pick, and I’m back on them for many of the same reasons. The Cardinals simply have more to play for than the Nationals at this point.
Plus, St. Louis has the clear advantage on the mound in this one. Miles Mikolas is 13-4 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 27 starts this season for the Cardinals. He beat the Nationals in his only start against them back on August 13th, giving up just 5 base runners in 7 innings.
Tanner Roark is 8-13 with a 3.93 ERA in 27 starts for the Nationals this season, including 4-7 with a 4.88 ERA in 13 home starts. Roark has never been able to figure out the Cardinals, going 2-2 with a 6.16 ERA and 1.789 WHIP in four career starts against them.
The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 road games. St. Louis is 6-1 in Mikolas’ last seven starts. The Cardinals are 5-1 in Mikolas’ last six road starts. St. Louis is 7-0 in Mikolas’ last seven starts during Game 3 of a series. The Cardinals are 9-2 in Mikolas’ last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 1-7 in their last eight during Game 3 of a series. Washington is 2-8 in Roark’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Cardinals Wednesday.
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John Martin
Sep 05 '18, 10:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Orioles vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -1½ -114 at Pinnacle
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-114)
The Seattle Mariners are in must-win mode right now. They cannot afford to be losing to the lowly Baltimore Orioles at this point in the season, which is what happened yesterday. They have some ground to make up on the A’s in the wild card. I like their chance of winning by at least two runs today over the Orioles. Mike Leake is 8-9 with a 4.25 ERA in 27 starts this season and is the better starter in this matchup. Andrew Cashner is 4-13 with a 4.86 ERA in 26 starts, including 2-7 with a 5.27 ERA in 13 road starts for the Orioles. Leake held the Orioles to 2 runs in 7 innings of a 4-2 victory in his only start against them this season. Cashner is 1-1 with a 6.06 ERA in his last three starts against the Mariners with 11 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings. The Orioles are 24-64 in their last 88 games overall, including 13-47 in their last 60 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mariners are 5-0 in Leake’s last five starts vs. a team with a losing record. Seattle is 7-1 in Leake’s last eight starts following a loss in their previous game. Give me the Mariners on the Run Line.
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Brandon Lee
Sep 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Rays vs Blue Jays
Play on: Rays -128 at 5dimes
10* FREE MLB PICK (Rays -128)
I'll take my chances here with Tampa Bay as a slim road favorite against the Blue Jays. The Rays are one of the hottest teams in the league right now. Tampa Bay has won 4 straight and 13 o f their last 15 overall. They have outscored Toronto 11-1 over the first two games of the series and all signs point to another lopsided win for the Rays. Tampa Bay will send out Tyler Glasnow, who is coming off a brilliant start at Cleveland, where he held the Indians to just 1 run on 2 hits in 7 innings. Glasnow now owns a strong 3.23 ERA in 6 starts and a 2.89 ERA over 3 road outings. Toronto will counter with Aaron Sanchez, who will be making his 3rd start after returning from the DL. The first two starts back were nothing to get excited about, as Sanchez has allowed 11 runs on 18 hits and 5 walks with just 4 strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings of work. Give me the Rays -128!
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Tony Brown
Tonys *5 MLB Free pick
St. Louis vs. Washington, 09/05/2018 19:05 EDT
Total: -103/+9 Under
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Fp: both teams feature excellent starting pitchers in this game and even with the prolific offense on both sides good pitching beats good hitting and 10 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick !
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Elite Sports Picks
MLB Rays -130
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The Spot Player
MLB Cubs +105
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Primetime Sports Picks
MLB Mets under 7
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National Sports Service
MLB Tigers +165
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Insider Sports Report
MLB Seattle over 8
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The Sports Consensus
MLB Cubs under 9
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Profit On Sports
MLB Pirates -1.5 -105
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Top Rank Sports Picks
MLB Yankees -150
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Insider Sports Report
MLB Seattle over 8
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The Sports Consensus
MLB Cubs under 9
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Profit On Sports
MLB Pirates -1.5 -105
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Top Rank Sports Picks
MLB Yankees -150
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Tommy Brunson
My comp play release for Wednesday is the L.A. Dodgers on the Run Line to close out their series against the Mets with the 2 runs or better win.
Los Angeles broke free last night in their 11-4 runaway over New York, and I think they do it again tonight.
No doubt Zack Wheeler and his under one ERA over his last three starts will be a challenge for Los Angeles, but after last night's victory, the Dodgers have a 9-1 mark against the Mets the last 10 times the teams have faced one another, and 8 of those 9 wins have come by 2 runs or better.
Wheeler is 0-2 for his tenure against Los Angeles, and his ERA is 11.00 in his pair of starts versus the Dodgers.
On the other hand, L.A. starter Hyun-Jin Ryu is 3-0 in his 5 career starts versus the Mets with a 1.69 ERA.
Look for the Dodgers to find a way to break through against Wheeler and win another game over the Mets by at least 2 runs.
3* L.A. DODGERS -1 1/2 RUNS
Chris Jordan
I am taking the New York Mets over the Los Angeles Dodgers, as I'll take a chance on the huge road pup. And be sure you're listing both Zack Wheeler and Hyun-Jin Ryu in these games.
I'll be short and sweet with this near $2 dollar underdog...
Wheeler has gone seven innings in each of his last three starts, allowing a total of two runs. He has struck out 23 and walked four during that stretch. Even further, since June 27, the right-hander is 7-1 with a 1.83 ERA.
Meanwhile, Ryu was clutch in his most recent start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, yes, as he produced seven innings and didn’t allow any runs after a first-inning, two-run homer down the right-field line by Paul Goldschmidt. But he is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA in his last three starts and I'm not sure he is as consistent as Wheeler.
I'm playing pure value tonight, as the Mets are the right side at this price, with these pitchers.
5* METS
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Eric Schroeder
My free play is on the Milwaukee Brewers, over the Chicago Cubs. It's a National League Central rivalry, and the Brewers are playing well. Milwaukee, which has won three straight, will sweep the series over Chicago with a victory.
The Cubs enter the matchup with a three-game lead over the Brewers in the Central so there is plenty of motivation for this game.
And make note, even though I don't care to list pitchers tonight, the Brewers are 20-9 in Jhoulys Chacin's starts this season.
Milwaukee has won seven of 10 and is sporting a .273 batting average in that span, while it has outscored opponents by 13 runs.
Take the home team in this one.
5* BREWERS
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Jack Brayman
Look for the Colorado Rockies to crush the San Francisco Giants in National League West action tonight, as I take the Mile High boys for a second straight night.
Though pitchers are automatically listed when making Run Line wagers, I am insisting you DO NOT worry about who the scheduled starters are. In the event of a scratch, you MUST re-wager the game with the new pitcher(s) who are scheduled. This play will stand no matter who pitches for either team.
Colorado comes into this one having won four straight and over its last 10 games it is hitting .241 and has outscored foes by 10 runs in its last 11. And, led by Trevor Story, the offense will keep things rolling tonight.
Story has been as good as it gets for Colorado as of late, as he leads the Rockies with 155 hits this year. His .295 batting average is 12th in the National League. DJ LeMahieu has 10 hits and is batting .233 over his past 10 games for Colorado.
The Rockies, who have slugged .428 this season, head into this contest with a half-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League West. And with Nolan Arenado leading the team with a mark of .554, this one could get out of hand early against a Giants team that has struggled offensively.
San Francisco, which has lost four in a row and split its last 10, has a paltry .199 batting average in those games, which it has been outscored by three runs.
Take the Rockies here.
5* ROCKIES RUN LINE
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Ray Chadwick
Wednesday comp play on the Under in the Twins-Astros game.
Last night was a 5-2 final, as the teams held Under the total as the teams held Under for the 6th time in the past 7 meetings this year.
Minnesota is now on a 7-3-1 Under run their last 11 games overall, and they will send Jake Odorizzi to the hill for this series ender. Odorizzi has seen each of his last 3 starts hold Under the total, and the Under for the season is 17-10-1 when he makes the start.
Houston has now played Under the total in each of their last 3, and 6 of their last 8 overall. The Astros will go with Framber Valdez who makes just his third start of the season. His first two have both landed Under the total.
Look for this Twins-Astros game to land Under the total.
4* MINNESOTA-HOUSTON UNDER