Friday 8/23/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
ANDREW MCINNIS FOOTBALL PLAYS
Game: (681) Winnipeg Blue Bombers at (682) Edmonton Eskimos
Date/Time: Aug 23 2019 9:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 7.0 (-109)
It's been a year of Quarter-Back injuries this year in the Canadian Football and yet another QB has gone down for a considerable amount of time; Matt Nichols will miss 4-6 weeks after suffering a should injury in week 10. The question really comes down to how much does that impact the Blue Bombers as a team and as a team covering the point spread? I see this as WAY to large of a number that Winnipeg is getting after the loss of Nichols, Blue Bombers backup QB Chris Streveler is still a solid QB with plenty of confidence that can come in and make a difference and he has proved that in the past. Last season Streveler passed for 8 touchdowns and had just 2 Interceptions. The Blue Bombers (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) are still healthy on all other fronts and will look to rely on veteran QB Andrew Harris, Lucky Whitehead and Nic Demski to get the job done offensively. This number is far too big for a team that is 7-2 on the season and has talent all over the field and I believe Streveler is really being undervalued here in this spot. The Eskimos are coming off a huge win vs the Argos but I don't expect them to win by Margin vs a #1 team like Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Meetings vs the Eskimos and I expect this one to being a very competitive western conference battle. Play for 5%
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TEDDY COVERS
Game: (265) Buffalo Bills at (266) Detroit Lions
Date/Time: Aug 23 2019 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Buffalo Bills -1.0 (-110)
View Analysis
3% Take Buffalo (#265)
The Lions have a grand total of ONE win and cover in two preseasons under Matt Patricia. That one win came in a game where the Lions trailed 27-6 with less than 20 minutes remaining, rallying on an 80 yard punt return TD and a last minute TD drive. Games like that can and will happen in the preseason (and the regular season) – my clients and I lost a tough one with the Titans last weekend when Jared Stidham came off the bench to lead a late 99 yard TD drive. That being said, games like that are the exception, not the rule. And right now, until proven otherwise, the rule is that Matt Patricia and the Lions don’t care about winning preseason games one iota.
To make matters worse for the Lions here in their Week 3 Regular Season Walkthrough, their biggest weakness matches up against Buffalo’s biggest strength. Detroit didn’t reach the end zone with their first or second stringers on the field last week – two of their three TD’s came in garbage time; the third on a 19 yard fumble return. It was a similar story in Week 1; a game where the Lions had a grand total of two first downs before halftime.
Why is Detroit’s first string offense struggling? Simple – they can’t protect their quarterback or open up lanes for their running backs; playing behind an offensive line that looks bottom tier both on paper and in early preseason play. And with backup QB Tom Savage hurt, I’m not sold on the David Fales/Josh Johnson combo backing up Matthew Stafford here.
The Bills defensive front, on the other hand, has been the most dominant unit on the field in each of their first two preseason games, consistently controlling the line of scrimmage against both Indy and Carolina. There’s no reason to expect anything different here against the Lions struggling OL. And with Josh Allen and Matt Barkley (a bet-on duo here in August) expected to get the majority of the snaps at QB for Buffalo, this is a game that Buffalo is primed to win – period. Take the Bills.
Line Parameter: 3% at -1.5 or lower (or as an underdog), 2% at -2 or higher
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+EV: MLB 6u: 904 Pittsburgh Pirates -101 (A DeSclafani | M Keller) (Friday, August 23rd)
+EV: MLB 4u: 907 Atlanta Braves +166 (M Foltynewicz | J deGrom) (Friday, August 23rd)
+EV: MLB 6u: 906 Miami Marlins +165 (V Velasquez | H Noesi) (Friday, August 23rd)
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SLEEPYJ
Tampa bay / Cleveland over 42.5
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DAVE ESSLER
3*
Cleveland / Kansas City over 9
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SPARTAN
3*
Cleveland -3
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STEPHEN NOVER
3*
Tampa Bay +3
2*
Chicago Cubs -121
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FEZZIK
2*
Houston / LA ANGLES under 9.5
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ROCKY ATKINSON
3*(NFL)
MONSTER GOW - Detroit +1 1/2
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Picks2Play
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins -1.5 for 1 units
ACTION
MLB 8:10 pm Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox Texas Rangers -140 for 1 units
ACTION
MLB 7:10 pm Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians -1.5 for 1 units
ACTION
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Hitman 2* Tampa bay + 3
2011 Winner of TIS college football contest
2012 - 2013
NBA 33-18-1
MLB 16-12
NFL 27-13-1
CFB 12-11
CBB 9-2
MLB 2013 2-0
NHL 1-0
2013
GOY 1-0 Mississippi +9.5 Over LSU 27-24
2018
NFL 0-1
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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3 Rivers Sports
MLB
3* #917/918 Detroit/Minnesota under 8.5 (VerHagen/Berrios)
Totals from overunderexpert
Atl nym ov 7.5 -110
kc clev un 9.5 -115
lines from 5 Dimes
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Goodfella
3*
minnesota twins -1.5 (-145)
1*
buffalo bills -165
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CleInsiderSports (3-0 L2 days)
MLB
Nationals/Cubs UNDER 8
Twins ML (-320)
Angels ML (+230)
NFL
Buccaneers +3
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Friday, Aug 23 2019 7:30PM
264 TAM 2.5(-110) Westgate vs 263 CLE double-dime bet
Analysis: Clev is a public team that has gone 2-0 SU ATS with Kitchens, but there is NO evidence he really cares about preseason.
Clev somehow won vs. Indy without playing their starters LAST week, and it appears they may do so again this week.
We Bet Tampa, 2 stars!
Also 2 team teaser, 6 points, 2 stars
Tampa +8.5 with 277 Den +7.5
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GREG SHAKER
3*
Houston -1.5(-125)
1*
Detroit / buffalo under 42
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ANDRE GOMES
2*
Pittsburgh / Cincinnati under 9
2*
Milwaukee -141
2*
Cleveland / Kansas City under 9
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Philly Guy - Phillies Indians Brewers
Champagne - Mets Dodgers Cardinals
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Ferrall
Clev
Dodge
Mets
Tex
Twins
Astros
Phils
Cubs
Rays
Cards
Brew
Reds
Sea
SD
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MLB (Bob Balfe)
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #903-904
Reds +105 over Pirates
DeSclafani/Keller
Anthony DeSclafini has been the more established pitcher this season in this matchup. Both of these guys have struggled over their last few starts and both teams are the weak links in the NL Central. I do think Cincinnati has upside with Aristides Aquino and the power he will bring for years to come. This is a team that is 8 games back and if they ever were going to make a run for the wildcard it has to be now and it would have to be historic. Cincinnati still has hope while Pittsburgh has all but packed it in. The Reds have the pitching to be a good team, if they could get another big hitter they could be a threat next year. Take the Reds.
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Vince Akins (3-0 yest)
MLB Trend Plays
Twins ML (-320)
Rays ML (-200)
Blue Jays/Mariners OVER 9.5
Mariners ML (-105)
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Consensus (5-0 L2 days)
MLB
8u Cubs ML (-120)
5u Angels ML (+260)
5u Indians RL (+110)
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