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Free Picks: Free Service Plays for Sunday, May 28th, 2017

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Rob Vinciletti

Dodgers -160

The Cubs fit a negative system that is 377-764 and the Dodgers are in a 52-26 system. Kershaw goes for LA who has won 8 of his 10 starts and 7 of his last 8 home May starts. He is 4-1 at home vs the Cubs. There has been a loss of Luster from Lester as he is 1-3 with a 5.72 road Era this year. The Cubs are 2-6 on Sunday and 0-4 as a +140 or more road dog off a road game. Look for the Dodgers to take this one.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 10:27 am
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Brandon Lee

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers
Play: Brewers -115

Milwaukee was able to snap a 5-game losing streak with a 6-1 win over Arizona and their big ace in Greinke. I look for the Brewers to carry over that momentum here in the series finale. The offense should be able to keep it going, as Diamondbacks starter Pat Corbin has been awful on the road, where he's 0-3 with a 7.87 ERA and 1.687 WHIP in 3 road starts. It's been an up and down year for Milwaukee starter Jimmy Nelson, but he's usually a solid bet to throw the ball well at home and he should be able to piggyback off the great outing by Anderson yesterday. Brewers are 11-2 this season after allowing 2 runs or less and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 when they come into a game with a team OBP of .285 or worse.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 10:42 am
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Chip Chirimbes

Rangers vs. Blue Jays
Play: Blue Jays -164

The Blue Jays have turned it around winning their last six and 10 of their last 13. The Blue Jays are 8-2 against the AL West while the Rangers are a lowly 8-18 on the road. Toronto has won 24 of the last 33 meetings.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 10:43 am
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Jimmy Boyd

Royals vs. Indians
Play: Royals +127

I really like the value here with the Royals as a decently priced road dog against the Indians. Kansas City has taken the first two games of the series and are in a great spot to finish off the sweep with their ace Danny Duffy on the mound. Duffy has a 2.92 ERA and 1.268 WHIP in 10 starts overall, but has been absolutely dealing of late with a 1.71 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in his last 3 starts.

The same can't be said for Cleveland starter Josh Tomlin, who has a 6.70 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in 9 starts. Tomlin has also struggled at home, 8.22 ERA and 1.739 WHIP in 5 starts (1-4 team record). Playing well at home against division foes has been a problem, as the Indians as a team are just 3-7 at home this season against the AL Central.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 10:44 am
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Handicappers Hub

Reds vs. Phillies
Play: Reds -115

Feldman has been solid for the Reds this season and I really like him against the cold Phillies lineup and love the Reds to keep hitting the ball against Eflin and get the road win

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 10:44 am
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Buster Sports

Cardinals at Rockies
Play: Under 11

This will probably be the only time this year that you see us play an UNDER at the Band Box that is Coors Field, but we have two guys pitching today who are on the top of their games. The starting pitchers for today's game are for the Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (4-2, 2.53 ERA) and he will face the Rockies RH German Marquez (3-2, 3.86 ERA) Lynn has pitched well to begin the season as his 2.53 ERA would suggest. When he has faced the Rockies in his career he has an impressive 2.30 ERA with a WHIP of 1.181. As for Marquez he has been on fire of late as he has a 0.95 ERA with a WHIP of 1.053 in his last 3 starts. The UNDER has been 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between the clubs and with the total at 11 at the time of this writing we believe the UNDER is the play here.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:08 am
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Harry Bondi

KANSAS CITY (+125) over Cleveland

Cleveland starter Josh Tomlin has been a “go-against” for us all season long and it has paid off as he has 6.70 ERA overall, an ERA of over 8.00 at home and his team has gone 3-6 in his nine starts, losing 5.4 units. We’ll go to the well again here today against the Tribe who face one of the most underrated starters in the AL in Kansas City’s Danny Duffy. The right-hander has a 2.92 ERA this season and an even better 1.71 ERA in his last three starts. Despite the trouble in the bullpen for KC, we’ll back the Royals here today at a nice underdog price.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:09 am
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Bruce Marshall

Mets at Pirates
Play: Over 9

Another day, another "over" for the Mets on Saturday. That makes only four "unders" over the past 29 games for New York, and expect things to continue tonight at PNC Park. The pitching matchup suggests as much, with NY's Matt Harvey rarely lasting past the 5th inning with a 5.36 ERA, and the Bucs' Tyler Glasnow at 6.69 on his ERA.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:39 am
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Cal Sports

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox -1.5 -102

How bad is Seattle offense? Well, they’ve been shutout the last two games and HAVE SCORED ONE RUN OR LESS 7 of their last 8 games! Christian Bergman would not be on the mound is not for having 10 pitchers on the DL and in his 3 starts this season he has a 7.16 ERA with a 13.00 ERA in his two road starts and a WHIP of 2.667!! Rick Porcello is 3-5 this season but LY he went 22-4 and his last lost was to Seattle. Boston bats hitting 0.311 the last 7days while averaging 7.1 runs/game while also posting a 13-6 record in day games and a 6-1 record on Sundays.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:43 am
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Jeff Benton

Sunday comp play is the Red Sox to continue their tear with a Run Line win over the Mariners.

Boston came into the year tabbed as one of the teams that could very well win the World Series come October, but the Red Sox didn't break from the gate too smoothly.

Right now though, the BoSox are hitting their stride, as they have won 6 straight games heading into today's tilt, and they have outscored the opposition, 47 to 15. That includes back-to-back shutout of the slumping Mariners who are riding a 1-7 slide into today's Fenway Park finale.

Rick Porcello has not been able to match his Cy Young season from a year ago, as he is just 3-5 on the year, but he does own a 6-4 career mark versus the M's, and right now the Sox offense should be more than capable of giving Porcello the support he needs working against Christian Bergman who is just 1-2 for the year with an over 6 ERA.

They are red-hot and rolling, so back Boston on the Run Line.

4* BOSTON -1.5

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:44 am
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Jack Brayman

Here's where you'll find the Boston Red Sox today, as I roll with them again, only this time for free. They've won six in a row, and welcomed the Seattle Mariners to town by shutting them out, 3-0, on Friday night, and again on Saturday, 6-0. The M's have undoubtedly been struggling terribly.

The Red Sox plated 26 runs and stroked 34 hits in their three game sweep of the Texas Rangers, and caught a Mariners team at the right time, as their offense is as stagnant as you can imagine. Seattle has been outscored 52-9 during a 1-7 slide - scoring one or no runs in each of their seven losses during the skid.

I'm taking the home team in a rout mainly because of the offensive differences I see, and the ability to score by the home team, and futility of the road team.

The Red Sox will roll big.

4* RED SOX -1.5

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:45 am
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Brad Wilton

Sunday's free play winner comes right down Main Street, as I back the first place Houston Astros on the Run Line to add to the Baltimore Orioles woes.

Baltimore is in free-fall mode, losing 6 straight and 12 of their last 15 games overall. As if that weren't bad enough, the Orioles have also dropped 5 straight and 8 of their last 9 games to the Astros.

To add insult to injury, Houston hurler Lance McCullers has won his last 3 starts, and has not allowed an earned run over his last 22 innings pitched!

Things do not look good at all for Baltimore to end their skid today...no siree Bob.

Back the 'Stros to win this one by at least 2 runs.

5* HOUSTON -1.5

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:45 am
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Scott Rickenbach

Cubs vs. Dodgers
Play: Cubs +158

Neither team has been hitting in this series. Yes it is true that the Cubs have yet to score a run in this series. However, the Dodgers have outscored the Cubs 9-0 despite only outhitting them 11-5. I feel we've got some very solid underdog line value being offered here and I won't hesitate to back the Cubs. Jon Lester gets the start for Chicago and the lefty is known for pitching much better at home compared to on the road. However, he has good success at Dodger Stadium in his career and, in fact, Lester has a 2.45 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in the 8 starts he has made against the Dodgers in his career. The southpaw has held LA to just 1 earned run in each of his last 3 starts against them. Of course, Clayton Kershaw is an ace for the Dodgers and that's why this line is priced where it is. However, let's not forget that Kershaw gave up 4 earned runs in just 5 innings of work on 7 hits (including 2 homers) when he most recently faced the Cubs. That was in last year's post-season and certainly Kershaw would love to atone for that performance here. However, the Cubs also have some extra confidence at the plate for this afternoon's game as a result of beating Kershaw and the Dodgers 5-0 in that game. Off of rare back to back shutouts, I look for the Cubs to step up and get the upset win here at LA on Sunday to avoid the 3-game sweep. Even with yesterday's loss, the Cubs are still 3-1 this season (and 16-9 the last 3 seasons combined) when they are off of a shutout loss. The Cubs are also +$5,400 when facing left-handed starters the last 3 seasons combined while the Dodgers are -$18,200 against southpaw starters the past 3 seasons combined. The road dog is well worth the investment in this generous price range Sunday.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:45 am
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Teddy Davis

White Sox -102

I think the White Sox get the best of Detroit today. Tigers and Zimmermann are getting way to much respect. Detroit is just 2-6 their last 8 games.

Zimmermann has a 5.86 ERA on the season and has failed to win a game on the road right now in 4 starts with a similar ERA.

Miguel Gonzalez pitches his best at home with a 3.32 ERA this season.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:46 am
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Jack Jones

Royals vs. Indians
Play: Indians -129

The Cleveland Indians have now lost three straight games, including the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals. They'll be motivated to avoid the sweep at home today and get back in the win column.

This is a pretty cheap price to get the Indians at home. Josh Tomlin hasn't been his best this season, but he's 8-4 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.098 WHIP In 18 career starts against Kansas City. Better yet, he's 2-0 with a 1.34 ERA in his last five starts against the Royals, allowing just 6 earned runs in 40 1/3 innings.

Danny Duffy is having a solid season for the Royals, but he has struggled recently against the Indians. Duffy is 0-3 with a an 8.10 ERA in his last three starts against Cleveland, giving up 9 earned runs in 10 innings of work.

The Royals are 6-15 in their last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Kansas City is 0-6 in Duffy's last six starts vs. AL Central opponents. The Indians are 4-1 in their last five games after losing the first two games of a series. The Indians are 16-5 in Tomlin's last 21 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Cleveland is 6-1 in Tomlin's last seven starts vs. Kansas City. The Royals are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings.

 
Posted : May 28, 2017 11:47 am
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