Ray Monohan
Cleveland vs. New York
Play: Cleveland -106
Cleveland goes to Trevor Bauer, who has been a man on a mission lately. He has 13 wins on the season and continues to turn in solid efforts for the Tribe. On August 4th, he allowed just 1 run against the Yankees in a victory. Countering him is Jamie Garcia. The LH is just 5-8 with a 4.52 ERA and was the losing pitcher in Trevor Bauer's gem on August 4th. Garcia hasn't been able to get anything going since joining the Yankees, as he searches for his first win in pinstripes. Some trends to note. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 overall. Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cleveland is certainly a bet you should consider at this price.
Jack Jones
Cardinals vs. Brewers
Play: Cardinals -114
The St. Louis Cardinals must get going if they want a shot at making the playoffs. It hasn't been a great August for them, but there's still time to turn it around. And they clearly have the edge on the mound tonight over the Milwaukee Brewers.
Matt Garza has failed to complete six innings in seven consecutive starts. He is 6-7 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last three. He is 7-5 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 16 career starts against St. Louis.
Luke Weaver is pitching significant games for the Cardinals down the stretch. He has handled himself well, going 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in three starts with 23 K's in 18 1/3 innings. Weaver is also 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.927 WHIP in three career starts against Milwaukee, striking out 26 batters in 18 1/3 innings.
The Cardinals are 40-17 in their last 57 meetings in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 2-5 in Garza's last seven starts. Milwaukee is 36-79 in its last 115 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Jimmy Boyd
A's vs. Angels
Play:A's +144
I really like the value here with Oakland as a massive division road dog in Tuesday's showdown against the Angels. While LA won the series opener last night, they haven't been playing great here of late and there's a chance Mike Trout (questionable) sits out again after not playing on Monday. Oakland had just swept the Rangers at home prior to coming to LA and come in averaging an impressive 5.1 runs/game over their last 7 games. A stretch in which they are hitting .267 as a team with a strong .350 on-base percentage.
Some might look at the numbers and give the Angels the edge on the mound with Troy Scribner up against Oakland's Chris Smith. I see it as a toss up and would actually give a slight edge to the A's. Scribner faced Oakland earlier this month (8/4) and it wasn't exactly pretty. He lasted just 4 innings after giving up 5 runs with 4 walks. It's also worth noting that LA has had a hard time following up a good performance, as they are just 1-5 in their last 6 following a win.
Wunderdog
San Francisco @ San Diego
Pick: San Diego -113
San Francisco is second worst in baseball in runs scored and on-base percentage, plus dead last in slugging. They are in Petco Park, the toughest place to hit. San Francisco plays its fifth straight road game, scoring a total of four runs the last three contests. The Giants are on a 22-47 run on the road, plus 17-38 following a win. The visitors are stuck with lefty Matt Moore (4-12, 5.38 ERA), who is 1-4 in 12 road starts with a 6.71 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. The Giants are also 17-35 on the road against a team with a winning home record. San Diego plays the second game of a long homestand. Padres' righty Luis Perdomo has posted a 3.63 ERA against division rival San Francisco this season and is 1-0 with a 3.94 ERA in seven career appearances against them. And San Diego is 24-15 against an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse this season.
Buster Sports
Braves at Phillies
Play: Under 8.5
The Phillies won the first game of their three-game series with the Braves last night and we see tonight’s game as a low scoring pitchers dual. The starting pitchers for tonight’s game are for the Braves RH R.A. Dickey (8-8, 4.06 ERA) and he will face the Phillies RH Mark Leiter Jr. (2-3, 3.86 ERA). Using RA Dickey’s name in a pitchers dual may almost be laughable, but the fact is he has owned the Phillies this season sporting a 0.64 ERA in two starts against them. Some teams just can’t hit the knuckleball and the Phillies are obviously one of them. As for Leiter Jr, this will be his sixth start of the year for the Phillies as he has come out of the pen most of the year. He has been very impressive in his two home starts sporting a 1.46 ERA with a WHIP of 0.73. The Braves have not seen him at all this year, which should help Leiter Jr in keeping the runs to a minimum. The UNDER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia which just helps solidify our selection.
Nelly
Baltimore Orioles - over Seattle Mariners
The Orioles are starting to look very much alive in the AL Wild Card picture and a turnaround for the pitching staff has been the primary reason. Wade Miley, Kevin Gausman, and Dylan Bundy have all bounced back from mid-season struggles and Bundy gives Baltimore a great chance to win tonight. In August Bundy is 3-0 with an 11.0 K/9 and a 2.67 ERA and he has been a solid pitcher at home all season long. Bundy is very tough on right-handed batters and he should get great support with Baltimore 15-11 this month behind nearly 6.0 runs scored per game. Baltimore has won five straight games getting a narrow win last night to start this series and the formidable offense owns an .893 team OPS in that five-game run. Baltimore has hit 47 home runs in the past 25 games and the Orioles are 39-26 at home on the season. Seattle was aggressive in making some roster moves to stay in the wild card hunt despite being buried in the AL West race but injuries to the pitching staff have made it hard for the Mariners to keep up. Seattle is 23-19 since the All Star break but they have been outscored by 20 runs in that span and fatigue has shown up now in the fourth city on a long east coast road trip with the Mariners losing the past three games. The team has just a .736 team OPS the past 24 games with only 4.1 runs scored game. Erasmo Ramirez rejoined the Mariners in late July, starting the season with the Rays but he has had mediocre results all season with a 4.52 ERA and a 6.9 K/9. With Seattle his ERA is 3.76 but with a 4.91 FIP and just a 6.1 K/9. As usual the Orioles still have an elite bullpen including a 1.70 relief ERA the past 10 games and Bundy clearly has a higher ceiling on the mound tonight.
Micah Roberts
Dodgers vs DBacks
Play: DBacks +125
Zack Godley has pitched well, but Arizona has lost his last three starts. Arizona is riding a four game win streak and that's was really has me liking them. The Dodgers have lost two straight and it may seem crazy to believe they'll lose three straight. Godely beat the Dodgers earlier this month and lost 1-0 to Alex Wood at Dodger Stadium.
Doug Upstone
Mariners vs. Orioles
Play: Orioles -131
The Orioles took Game 1 of the series over Seattle and are favored to do so again. On Tuesday, consider home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like Baltimore, batting .290 or better over their last 20 games, against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on five or six days rest. Since 2013, teams like the Birds are 45-12 in this spot.
John Martin
Houston vs Texas
Play: Texas +130
The Houston Astros are a distracted baseball team right now with all that is going on with the flooding down in Houston. This game is having to be played on a neutral field at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg due to the flooding. That's an advantage for the Rangers here. Martin Perez is 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA in his last four starts for the Rangers. He has had plenty of success against the Astros in the past, going 5-4 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 10 previous starts against them. Mike Fiers is 0-2 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in four previous starts against the Rangers. He has allowed 11 earned runs and 6 homers in 10 innings across two starts against the Rangers in 2017.
Dave Price
Giants vs. Padres
Play:Padres -113
The San Diego Padres have actually been a profitable bet at home this season. They are 33-31 (+5.8 units) at home this year, while San Francisco is 22-45 (-21.9 units) on the road. Matt Moore has been one of the worst starters in baseball at 4-12 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 26 starts, including 1-4 with a 6.72 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in 12 road starts. Luis Perdomo is 1-0 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. The Giants are 3-10 in Moore's last 13 road starts. The Padres are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. San Diego is 6-1 in Perdomo's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Rob Vinciletti
Giants vs. Padres
Play: Over 8.5
Both pitchers Moore and Perdomo have elevated Era/s of late. Moore has 6 era vs SD and has gone over in 8 of 10 road starts with a 6.72 road Era. The Giants follow him with a 5.33 road bullpen era. Perdomo has allowed 12 runs in 17 innings SF and has a 5.22 home era while pitching over in 8 of his last 11 home starts. In the series here 5 of the last 6 have gone over. Look the Giants and Padres to play over the total tonight.
Bruce Marshall
Los Angeles at Arizona
Pick: Arizona
The Dodger offense stalled over the weekend against the Brewers, scoring just 5 runs over three games and losing a series for the first time since June 5-7. Meanwhile the D-backs have tapped a rich vein of form and have won 6 of their last 7 to solidify their position as an NL wild card. Rich Hill off of a 9-inning no-hitter (that he lost in the 10th inning) last Wednesday vs. the Bucs, but he is unlikely to last as long tonight, and that game at PNC Park might have been an early indicator of developing Dodger offensive troubles.
TJ Pemberton
Giants vs. Padres
Play: Padres -116
The Padres have now lost four straight games but have a chance to get into the win column again tonight. Matt Moore climbs the hill for the Giants on Tuesday. Moore is 4-12 on the season with 149 innings pitched. Moore carries a 5.33 ERA with 130 strikeouts and 56 walks. Moore pitched 6 innings in his last start allowing one earned run on five hits. The Giants average 4.0 runs per game which ranks 29th in the MLB. Luis Perdomo will climb the hill for the Padres. Perdomo is 6-8 on the sesaon with 128.1 innings pitched. Perdomo carries a 4.84 ERA with 95 strikeouts and 48 walks. Perdomo pitched 6 innings in his last start allowing two earned runs on seven hits.
Mark Franco
Cardinals vs. Brewers
Play: Cardinals -129
The Milwaukee Brewers have regained their early-season form by winning nine of their last 13 contests to resume their charge toward first place in the National League Central. The Brewers look to continue their surge on Tuesday when they begin a six-game homestand with the opener an abbreviated two-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Weaver was dominant in his first start in place of injured Adam Wainwright on Wednesday, striking out a career high-tying 10 and allowing just three hits over seven scoreless innings in a 6-2 victory over San Diego. "It helps when the command is there," the 24-year-old said. "I just told myself to trust my pitch. I got through the first (inning) and slowed things down, pitched with a little grit." Weaver's other big-league win this season came in Miller Park, where he permitted two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts over 6 1/3 frames in a 5-4 victory on Aug. 2.
After being scorched for 20 runs in his previous three outings, Garza settled for a no-decision on Wednesday despite yielding just one run on five hits in as many innings against San Francisco. "I was going into the game thinking: If Matt gives us 15 outs, we're in good shape," Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell said of the 33-year-old. "One run in five innings. I'll take that every single time. He did exactly what we asked him to do." Garza has received better results in a pair of outings versus St. Louis this season, posting a 2-0 mark with a 4.22 ERA.
Cardinals are 4-0 in Weavers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Brewers are 1-5 in Garzas last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Cardinals are 40-17 in the last 57 meetings in Milwaukee.
Pro Computer Gambler
Pirates vs. Cubs
Play: Cubs -202
In recent database history, favorites or road dogs lined more expensive in their last 3 games including current are 117-688 63.1% SU +238.62 units against a team the books have made cheaper in price in their last 3 games including this one.