TEDDY COVERS
Big Ticket - Cincinnati Reds
Lenny Del Genio
NY Mets / LA Dodgers Under 7
Great pitching matchup tonight in LA with Santana squaring off against Padilla. Both pitchers have been lights out in their last three starts; Santana with a 0.37 ERA and Padilla an 0.87 ERA. On the road this season Santana has received no support from the Mets hitters as despite a 2.93 road ERA he’s posted a 3-7 record. But, in those eight road starts the Mets have gone under the number in six of the eight. If you look at Padilla, since coming back from injury, after that bad first start against the Red Sox he’s made five starts only five earned runs in 34 and 2/3 innings. Against these Dodgers Santana has made three starts and posted a 0.44 ERA. The Mets haven’t faced Padilla since the 2005 season, and if I was a Mets hitter don’t think I would like to be facing him now. Both of these teams are big time hitting slumps as the Mets are hitting .188 in their last seven games and LA is scoring only 2.7 runs in their last 7 games. On the situational front, the Mets are off a loss and Santana has a 15-4 under mark pitching when his team lost their last game. Low scoring game tonight in Dodger Stadium.
Power Play Wins
Los Angeles Dodgers -114
DR GURU
12* St. Louis Cardinals +140 1st Five inng
ROCKETMAN
4* San Francisco -115
San Francisco is 7-1 this year when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season. Arizona is 10-26 this year against division opponents. San Francisco has won 8 of their last 10 games overall. Arizona has lost 5 of their last 8 games overall. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.12 ERA overall this year. Arizona bullpen has a 6.46 ERA overall this year and a 5.52 ERA at home this season. Jonathan Sanchez has a 3.42 ERA overall this year. Edwin Jackson is 1-2 with a 7.16 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll play San Francisco for 4 units tonight!
4* Oakland -140
Chicago White Sox have lost 4 of their last 6 games overall while Oakland comes in winners of 7 of their last 8 games overall this season. Oakland bullpen has a 2.79 ERA at home this year. Mark Buehrle is 3-6 on the road this year. Trevor Cahill is 9-3 with a 3.19 ERA overall this year and 5-1 with a 2.14 ERA at home this season. Buehrle is 3-12 overall vs Oakland since 1997 and his team is only 4-16 in his starts vs Oakland since 1997. We'll play Oakland for 4 units tonight!
JEFF BENTON
MLB TOTAL OF THE YEAR
60 DIME NY Yankees/KC Royals OVER
MICHAEL CANNON
25 DIME SF Giants
BOB BALFE
Toronto Blue Jays -105
The Tigers are a very good team at home, but the pitching matchup heavily favors the Blue Jays. These teams are almost identical, but Marcum will be the difference-maker tonight. Take Toronto.
ATS LOCK CLUB
5 Units Atlanta Braves +100
5 Units Tampa Bay Devil Rays -140
4 Units New York Yankees Over 10
KELSO
50 Units Cincinnati Reds -150
15 Units Minnesota Twins -135
10 Units San Francisco Giants -110
3 Units Chicago White Sox +125
Dwayne Bryant
Cincinnati -145
MTi Sports
Tigers +101
White Sox +130
Dodgers -114
TRACE ADAMS
1000♦ National League Dead Mortal Lock San Diego
500♦ San Francisco
The Padres had a tough time of it down in Hot-Lanta, as San Diego was only able to win 1 of the 3 meetings in that series between 1st place clubs. I expect the Pads to fare a little better against the 34-61 Pirates this weekend in the Steel City.
Pittsburgh has been playing some decent baseball at 4-2 their last 6, and starter Paul Maholm is fresh off a complete game shutout of Houston, but I don't see him duplicating that effort tonight against San Diego.
Kevin Correia will counter, and did pick up the win his last time out over Arizona. Correia is being counted on the stabilize the back end of Bud Black's rotation, and he was able to win in Pittsburgh last season in his last start against the Bucs.
San Diego in fact is 6-2 the last 2 years at PNC Park.
Take the Padres to open the weekend with the win.
Last night I gave you the 500♦ winner on the Giants, and tonight I will give you another 500♦ winner on the Giants.
Edwin Jackson has surrendered 13 runs over his last 16 innings of work, and his home ERA is at 5.63 for the season.
Jonathan Sanchez has been a "snake charmer" of late, as Sanchez has gone 3-0 the last 3 times he has faced Arizona, including beating them in late May.
San Francisco is on a 12-3 run their last 15 games, and they have gone 17-7 since last season against the Diamondbacks.
Have to stick with 'Frisco to take it again tonight.
Tony George
KC / NYY Over 1O
KC actually had the lead last night after 3 innings and were able to get 4 runs on Sabathia. Actually KCs bats are solid this year for the most part, and add in the fact Brian Bannister is starting who is 2-5 on the road and has a 7.05 ERA on the road this season and a 6.52 ERA his last 3, and you have the makings of an Over here again. Last nights game was 10 to 4 and I think NY can get close to double digits again if not exceed it and KC should put up 4 or 5 runs against Burnett as well. Yankees hit well at home and are 8-0 at home their last 8 games!Play 1 Unit on the Over.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
8* Boston / Seattle Over 7.5
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "over"
Josh Beckett gets the nod for the visitors; Beckett returns to play after a 15-day DL; he hasn't pitched in the majors since May 18th and posted a dismal 7.29 ERA in eight starts before getting injured.
Important to note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the posted number in 40 of 70 "night games" this year; also in all three games they've played in the second half of the season against teams with losing records.
In the other dugout: Jason Vargas heads to the hill for the home side; Vargas has pitched well this year, but hasn't received much run support from his team; I believe he will today though as the Mariners will look to take advantage of Beckett's first start back.
Vargas is 6-4 with a 2.97 ERA on the year.
Bottom line: Boston is looking to win back to back games for the first time since July 2-3 and try to gain some ground on Tampa Bay for the Wild Card spot.
Seattle will look to tee off on Beckett here in this spot; when coupled with all of the above factors, we have enough edges to pull the trigger.