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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Friday July 3,2009

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(@biotrends)
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Michael Cannon
20 Dime –
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CARDINALS (With Pineiro and Bailey as listed pitchers)

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 10:58 am
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Chris Jordan

200♦ FLORIDA MARLINS RUN LINE - Volstad over Morton - Nice little three-game streak after a home sweep of the Nationals, and after taking travel-Thursday off, Florida is going to dismantle a Pittsburgh team that was in a marathon of a make-up game yesterday at home against the Mets.
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New York appeared to be freefalling earlier this week, and most certainly didn’t need to play a write-in game at PNC Park after a three-game set in Milwaukee, where they were outscored 16-10 and lost two of three. Nevertheless, the makeup of a June 3 rainout undoubtedly took a lot out of the Pirates, who would have rather had their first day off since June 22.

Now they’ll bring a bit of a skid into this one, having lost four of five and nine of 14, and play their 11th straight game in as many days, and 17th in 18 days against a red-hot team that has not only won three in a row, but 12 of 18 since mid-June.

I’m sending Chris Volstad to the hill tonight, and though he had been struggling throughout June, he looked like an entirely different pitcher his last two starts. In Tampa Bay, on Saturday, against the defending American League champs he turned in a blue-collar six innings but ended up with a no-decision. The 22-year-old right-hander surrendered just two runs and scattered five hits while striking out five. And let’s not forget prior to that he won right here at home against the Yankees.
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He’s a much better choice than Pittsburgh’s Charlie Morton, who has been battling a nagging left hamstring strain that has limited from making regular starts in the rotation. And because of that injury the Pirates are cautious to push him deep into games. And since he made three starts against the Marlins last year and allowed 10 earned runs over 15 innings, I think I certainly have the edge in this matchup.

Florida will be revved up for this weekend, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it sweeps the Bucs too and runs the winning streak to six. With a West Coast trip coming up next week, the Marlins are a team to watch the next three days, beginning with this blowout winner right here.

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50♦ DETROIT TIGERS - LIST French only - This is as close to Major League pitching debut as it gets, so even though Lucas French was called up last Sunday and has worked out of the bullpen twice and tossed a minimal three innings, I’m going to roll with the southpaw at this big price tonight.
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The 23-year-old lefty has produced some workmanlike innings for the Tigers’ farm system, as he’s given up just four earned runs on 16 hits over 23 innings, while striking out 26 in his last three starts. Going back even further, French has lasted a minimum of 6-2/3 innings with two earned runs or less in five of his last six starts. I’m taking a shot with this pup tonight, as I’ve built a nice little bankroll for the weekend and can afford to take a look at this kid at this price and with this rating.

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 10:59 am
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Brandon Lang
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15 Dime Braves
5 Dime Mariners
5 Dime Rangers

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 11:00 am
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Doc
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3-Unit Play Take Chicago Cubs (-1.5RL +110) over Milwaukee Brewers
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3-Unit Play Take New York Yankees (-1.5RL -110) over Toronto Jays
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3-Unit Play Take Florida Marlins (-1.5RL +110) over Pittsburgh Pirates

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 11:23 am
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Street Rosenthal
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*200 -155 Florida Marlins
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I have found several nice trends against the Pirates today. First, we have the Pirates are 12-45 SU since 2004 season as road dogs of 140+ after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits. Next, we find the Pirates are 5-23 since 2006 season as 140+ dogs after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers. And, finally we find the Pirates are 4-19 since 2007 season on the road when they lost by one run in their starters last start. Take the Marlins for a Home win tonight.
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Posted : July 3, 2009 11:26 am
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BIG AL
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1st Half Game Of The Year
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Mariners / Red Sox Under

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 11:35 am
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Tony Salinas
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26* Marlins (-160) over Pirates
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25* Braves (-130) over Nationals

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 11:38 am
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Stu Feiner
Trifecta

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Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #1
METS +140 FOR A 25 DIME WINNER
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Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #2
ROCKIES -125 FOR A 25 DIME WINNER
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Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #3
RED SOX -120 FOR A 25 DIME WINNER
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I don't Know
Stu's 100 Dime Baseball
3 are 25 Dimes Each

Did STEWED FIND DURD
loose 25 Dimes somewhere ????

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 11:41 am
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Bob Balfe
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Dodgers -140 over Padres
Kuroda/Gaudin

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 11:42 am
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Street Rosenthal
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*200 -155 Florida Marlins
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I have found several nice trends against the Pirates today. First, we have the Pirates are 12-45 SU since 2004 season as road dogs of 140+ after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits. Next, we find the Pirates are 5-23 since 2006 season as 140+ dogs after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers. And, finally we find the Pirates are 4-19 since 2007 season on the road when they lost by one run in their starters last start. Take the Marlins for a Home win tonight.
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Added
Street Rosenthal

*300 -115 Boston Red Sox
I look for the Red Sox to get a nice Win at home today. Here are several trends that say they will. First, we have the Mariners are 4-20 SU since 2008 season as road dogs after scoring 6+ runs. I have also found other trends totaling 12-39 SU against the Mariners today. As for the Red Sox, they are 25-8 SU since 2007 season as a favorite after a win in which they left fewer than 10 men on base. Also, the Red Sox are 15-3 since 2008 season at home after a one run win. Take the Red Sox for the Home win tonight.

The Profit is in Underdogs
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Posted : July 3, 2009 12:44 pm
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Tom Stryker's
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ATLANTA BRAVES

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 12:53 pm
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Powerplaywins
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Los Angeles Angels -147
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Los Angeles Dodgers -133
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San Francisco Giants -118

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 12:59 pm
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Fantasy Sports Gametime
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MLB Baseball
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100* Play Minnesota (-155) over Detroit (TOP MLB PLAY) Minnesota has won 15 of the last 18 home games coming off three or more consecutive road games and they have also won 28 of the last 36 home games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Minnesota has won 21 of the last 25 games playing with a day off and they have also won 10 of the last 12 games when playing on a Friday. Kevin Slowey has won 12 of the last 13 games when pitching with 5 or 6 days of rest and he is also 8-0 in all home starts this season.
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100* Play Florida (-155) over Pittsburgh
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Florida has won 8 of the last 11 games and they have also won 15 of the last 23 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs. Pittsburgh has lost 9 of the last 11 games when playing on a Friday and they have also lost 101 of the last 155 games as an underdog of +125 to +175.
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50* Play Philadelphia (-145) over NY Mets
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New York has lost 10 of the last 16 games and they have also lost 9 of the last 11 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175. New York has lost 5 of the last 6 road games when the total posted is between 10 and 10.5 runs and pitcher, Livan Hernandez has lost 8 of the last 9 road games when the total posted is 10 runs or higher.
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50* Play Tampa Bay (-135) over Texas
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Tampa Bay has won 15 of the last 20 games and they have also won 6 consecutive games after scoring four or less runs in three or more straight games. Scott Kazmir has won 19 of the last 24 games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and he is also 4-0 vs. Texas over his career with an ERA of 2.09.
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WNBA
100* Play Chicago (+6) over San Antonio
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Chicago has won 6 of the last 8 games and they have also covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 road games when playing on a Friday. San Antonio has lost 5 of the last 7 games against the spread and they have also lost 4 consecutive non-conference games.
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CFL Football
100* Play British Columbia (+1) over Saskatchewan
British Columbia has covered the spread in 10 consecutive games as an underdog and they have also won 7 of the last 9 games when playing in the month of July. British Columbia has won 3 consecutive games vs. Saskatchewan and they averaged over 30 points a game on offense last season.

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 2:04 pm
(@biotrends)
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NY Sports Connection

Boston Red Sox
Texas/Tampa Bay Under 11
Los Angeles Angels RL

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 2:08 pm
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Young Guns Sports
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3* Red Sox

 
Posted : July 3, 2009 2:17 pm
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