ATS Lock Club
5 Units Blue Jays/Rockies Under 7.5
4 Units Orioles -110
4 Units Twins -140
4 Units Tulsa -4.5
4 Units Tampa Bay -1.5
4 Units Mexico +150
2 Units Uruguay +260
NSA
20* Boston -140
20* TBay -175
20* Braves +115
Andrew Bucciarelli
4* France -½ +122
2* Mexico PK -119
2* Atlanta Braves
1* Colorado Rockies -1.5
1* SL Cardinals
Anthony Redd
40 Dime Marlins
10 Dime Mets / Orioles Under
10 Dime Phillies / Red Sox Under
Chris Jordan
200♦ Tigers -1.5
Derek Mancini
15 Dime Twins
Paul Leiner
100* Rangers -120
50* Mets -105
25* White Sox +105
KELSO
50 Units Detroit Tigers -1.5
15 Units Colorado Rockies Under 7
10 Units Chicago White Sox
3 Units Saint Louis Cardinals
Scott Rickenbach
10* Cleveland / Washington Over
The Nationals are playing “energized” baseball ever since the debut of the much-heralded Stephen Strasburg. Washington has won three straight games and they’ve scored an average of 5 runs per game in their last four games. However, the Nats pitching still leaves a lot to be desired and they had allowed five runs or more in six of their eight games so far this month before yesterday’s 4-2 win over the Pirates. We look for the Nationals pitching to resume its struggles today as Luis Atilano takes the mound. He’s had as many walks as strikeouts so far this season. Also, though he went 3-1 in May, note his 5.63 ERA compiled over his six starts in that month. His ERA in night games is nearly a full run higher than his ERA in day games so far this season. Also, he’s struggled badly against left-handed hitters so far in his young MLB career. Atilano struggles to throw strikes to lefties and this has resulted in a 1.89 WHIP so far in his career against left-handed bats. The Indians have a number of left-handed bats and switch-hitters that they can load their lineup with tonight and Cleveland comes into this game riding a wave of emotion after taking each of the last two games in their series with the Red Sox.
Cleveland scored 19 runs in the final two games of their four game set with Boston and the Indians won last night’s game on a two out, two run base hit which certainly gives them an additional boost heading into this series with the Nationals. Look for the Indians to stay hot at the plate but, the trouble for Cleveland will be their own pitching situation. Jake Westbrook has given up four earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. Also, he’s had as many walks as strikeouts over that span. Westbrook is winless in his four home starts this season and he’s compiled a 5.56 ERA in those outings. Also, Cleveland is winless in each of Westbrook’s last five interleague starts. The Indians right-hander has allowed four homers in his last three home starts and the Nats have been hitting the ball very well. In fact, the Nationals have averaged 10.1 hits per game in their last 10 games. The Indians are will join the hit parade tonight as they stay hot at the plate against a Nats pitcher who is fortunate to have such a solid W-L record so far this season. Also, note that before allowing 8 hits in yesterday’s game, the Nationals had given up double digits in hits in five of their last six games. This is why the fact that the Nats have been involved in a number of unders recently is actually quite deceiving. Also, Washington is 5-2 to the over this season when they are on the road and the total is a 9 or 9.5 runs. The Indians are 7-4 to the over this season when they are at home and the total is a 9 or 9.5 runs. Also, Cleveland is 12-5 to the over this season when facing a team with a losing record. The Indians are also on a 14-6-1 run to the over in their last 21 games overall! Play OVER the total in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play selection.
8* Boston / Philadelphia Over
Interleague handicapping can be “tricky” and one of the keys can be finding games where that is that “extra edge” that is only present in certain situations. This is one of them. The Phillies and Red Sox have already met in interleague action this season and the Phils faced Boston’s John Lackey. That means they’re already getting a second look at a pitcher they wouldn’t normally otherwise see. This is a big edge for the Phillies batters and they already gave Lackey quite a bit of trouble in the first match-up. In fact, Lackey was fortunate he only gave up four earned runs in his five innings of work because he did walk five plus allow six hits (including two homers) in an outing that was quite troubling. Overall, Lackey has been subpar so far this season. He’s compiled a 4.72 ERA on the season and been hammered at a .296 clip. Lackey’s numbers at home are ever worse as his home games are now in hitter-friendly Fenway Park instead of pitcher-friendly Angel Stadium. That’s a big difference and, even though the Phillies bats were shut down by Josh Johnson of the Marlins yesterday, they had a breakout day offensively and scored 10 runs in their prior game and we believe the Phils offense will enjoy success again versus Lackey as his struggles continue. The Red Sox right-hander has allowed 50 hits in his last 37.1 innings of work.
The other key about this interleague match-up, besides the Phils having already seen Lackey this season, is that Phillies starter Jamie Moyer spent much of his career in the American League. As a result, the Red Sox have a number of hitters who are quite familiar with him. Note that the familiarity has not been a good thing for Moyer as the Phillies aging southpaw is 0-7 with a 9.07 ERA in his last nine starts against the Red Sox. Also, Moyer comes into this start having compiled a 4.58 ERA away from home this season and a 4.21 ERA in his night starts. Though Boston lost yesterday, they did score 8 runs and they’ve now gone over the total in 7 of their last 10 games. Also, the Phillies bats had reached double digits in hits in three of their last four games before being handcuffed by Johnson yesterday. We realize that the Phillies last few weeks at the plate have featured some low-scoring efforts but Lackey has been very hittable this season and the Phillies were heating up at the plate again before yesterday’s disappointing effort. The Phils have a very potent lineup that will be ready to pound Lackey just like they did in the first meeting this season. Also, the Red Sox are 5-2 to the over this season when they are a home fave of -150 to -175. Look for the Sox to improve to 8-3 to the over with yet another slugfest tonight! Play OVER the total in Boston as an *8* Regular Play selection.
Nelly
1* A's / Giants Over 6.5
Any game with Tim Lincecum on the mound will feature a very low total but the 'over' has hit in six of the last eight games that he has started. Lincecum still owns strong numbers for the year but he has not been close to his Cy Young form of the past two seasons. After a brilliant April, Lincecum has been quite average in May and his first start in June, allowing three or more runs in five of his last seven starts. Three times in his last four starts Lincecum has allowed at least four runs. His numbers for the season are actually worse in home games and while the Giants have a strong bullpen, the unit has suffered through a few tough games in recent weeks. Oakland is also a great hitting team against right-handed pitching, batting .326 over the last ten games. Gio Gonzalez has very good numbers for the season but he has not been sharp on the road with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. Gonzalez is also struggling in night games with a 5.08 ERA. He has allowed three or more runs in five of his last seven starts and Gonzalez occasionally battles control issues with excess walks allowed. The Giants are also one of the best hitting teams in baseball against left-handed pitching, including batting .326 at home and .310 in the last ten games. These teams played three 'under' games earlier this season in Oakland but the conditions have chanced for both squads as the offenses have been productive of late. San Francisco has scored at least three runs in eight straight games as the 'over' is on a 6-1 run in Giants games. Oakland has averaged 4.8 runs per game in the last ten contests and 4.8 runs per game in the last ten road games. The A's are historically one of the best interleague performers as well so there should be scoring opportunities. Until Lincecum gets himself back to form, playing the 'over' in his starts will be strong opportunities.
KIKI SPORTS
2 Units Atlanta +125
1 Unit Washington +115
1 Unit LA Dodgers -165
Rob Vinciletti
Athletics vs. Giants
Pick: Under 6.5
In the series 5 of the 6 games here have played under the total. Seattle has played under the total in 4 of 5 games as a road dog from +100 to +125 and are averaging just 2.6 rpg the past week. The Padres have played under 7 of 8 games here in June and are averaging just 3 runs per game over the past week. Last night in the back end of a double header they managed just one hit. Tonight they take on lefty Vargas who has gone under in all his road starts this year. The Padres counter with K. Correia tonight. Correia pitched a gem here at home last year vs the Mariners allowing 2 runs in 8 innings. As for system purposes we play the under for road dogs off a 5 or more run road dog loss at +140 or higher vs an opponent off a road loss that left 5 or more men on base. These road teams have played under 10 of 11 times. Look for this one to go under as well. Play the under
Craig Trapp
Rangers vs. Brewers
Pick: Over 9.5
Not sure if this game will be over by midnight as both of these teams are super hot from the plate. Oh and by the way both of these pitchers have a 5 plus ERA over their last month of starts. TEX is coming off a week that has seen them average 7 runs per game. Including 12 in the closeout game of SEA yesterday. MIL won the series against the Cubs this week but had to do it with their bats as the pitching has been horrible. TEX will get at least 7 runs and sure the hot home hitting Brewers will get theirs as Harden is not very good
Bob Balfe
Cincinnati Reds -160
Two pretty even teams on paper except the Reds seem to know how to win and KC can not buy a win, especially in late innings. Cincinnati is a good team at home and Bronson Arroyo is a better pitcher in this duel. Let's take the Reds.
TEDDY COVERS
Philadelphia/Boston Over 10
Texas/Milwaukee Over 9.5
Tampa Storm -2