Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday August 10,2009

Kyle Bales

15* Chicago White Sox -123

5* Oakland Athletics +149

LT Profits

Baltimore Orioles RL

SportsOddsAndPicks

YANKEES -140 (with Mitre) over Toronto

WHITE SOX -125 (with Floyd) over Seattle

Charlie

Reds @ Cards Under 8', White Sox @ Seattle under 8' & Dodgers @ Giants under 8' ( 500*'s 2 of 3 must win)
Dodgers -120 (30*)
Florida -150 (20*)
Oakland +140 (20*)
Tampa Bay -125 (10*)
White Sox -130 (10*) free play

Fantasy Sports GameTime

100* Play Florida (-155) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Florida has won 5 of the last 6 games vs. Houston and they have also won 8 of the last 9 games coming off six or more consecutive games vs. division opponents. Florida has won 7 of the last 10 games when playing on a Monday and they have also won 7 of the last 10 games when playing as a home favorite of -150 to -175. Brian Moehler has lost 5 of the last 7 games when playing on a Monday and he is 0-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.75.

50* Play St. Louis (-160) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Cincinnati has lost 15 of the last 19 games and they have also lost 14 of the last 19 games vs. St. Louis on the road. Johnny Cueto has lost 6 consecutive games as a road underdog of +150 or higher and he is 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 8.10.

50* Play Arizona (-150) over NY Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)
New York has lost 19 of the last 27 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 22 of the last 34 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Mike Pelfrey has lost 4 of the last 5 games vs. NL West Division Opponents and he has also lost 3 consecutive games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Arizona has won 9 of the last 12 games coming off 3 or more losses and Doug Davis is 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.89.

WNBA HOOPS
50* Play Los Angeles (-1) over Indiana (WNBA Hoops Play)
Los Angeles has covered the spread 14 of the last 15 games when revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent and they have also covered the spread in 17 of the last 25 home games. Indiana has lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread vs. Los Angeles on the road and they have also lost 21 of the last 27 road games coming off a road win.

HalfBets

Oakland v. Baltimore 7pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 -110 (7*)

The Confusion of Records
HalfBets & Premier Cappers
Premier Cappers Published Record
http://www.thespread.com/forum/index.php?topic=65241.0

Please the Rest of You
Do Not Screw this Up
SSG is Halfbets
Don't Post it Both Ways
And Confuse the Readers

Sam Clayton

20 dime - White Sox
Fresh off a rare home series loss against the Tribe, the White Sox head out west to take out their anger against a team they've dominated the past two seasons. Chicago is 7-2 their last 9 games against Seattle and seeing that they aren't facing King Felix, I'm loving their chances especially with such a low line. The South Siders have won 6 of 10 and they face a Mariners ball club that has struggled immensely against the AL Central this season, posting a 14-17 record and failing to have a winning mark against any of the five ALC teams... even the Royals. Luke French gets the call for the M's and he's been shelled his last two outings (1-1, 8.10 ERA). It gets worse though as the Detroit outcast has a collective 2.00 WHIP over that span meaning he's clogging the bases at an alarming rate. The last thing you want to do is jam the bases against Dye, Konerko and/or Thome because they will make you pay. French has gone deeper than 5 innings only once all season and if the Sox can get into the mediocre Seattle middle relief core, forget about it. Gavin Floyd starts for the South Siders and he's been one of baseball's hottest pitchers lately, posting a 2-0 mark with a 1.84 ERA and insane 0.89 WHIP -- and this coming against the likes of the Angels, Yankees, Tigers and Rays. Floyd has thrown three consecutive one-run games and will look to ride that momentum into tonight's contest against Seattle. The Sox will be focused and ready knowing full well that this series is an excellent opportunity to make up ground on Detroit as the Tigers face a Red Sox team that is looking to unload after getting swept by the Yankees. Play the South Siders as your Monday top play winner.

15 dime - DET/BOS Under 9.5
I'm a strong advocate of the ol' "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" adage. And after collecting 55 dimes the past three days on Red Sox UNDER plays, I'm going right back to the drawing board for another low-scoring affair tonight. The Red Sox have went under the posted total 4 of their last 6 games and they've scored an abysmal 2 runs their last 3 games. Watching the past six Red Sox games though, Terry Francona's squad has been purposely trying to slow down the pace of the game as they know their offense is stuck in a rut. Their style of play has most definitely changed the past week and I don't expect them to have an offensive outburst by any means, especially considering who they're going up against. Boston's tough stretch continues Monday against Edwin Jackson (8-5, 2.62) and the flame-throwing right-hander boasts a 2.47 ERA and 1.16 WHIP away from Comerica Park. And he's allowed more than three earned runs only twice in 22 starts this season. So why is Jackson 8-5 this year and 3-4 on the road with such impressive numbers? Because Detroit doesn't score runs when he's on the rubber -- but hey we'll take it, because we don't want to light up the scoreboard. Brad Penny returns to his comfort zone at Fenway Park where he'll have the added confidence of pitching in front of the riled up Red Sox Nation. Penny hasn't had three consecutive poor outings all season long and I don't expect that to change on Monday Night Baseball. As reference, I go back to Detroit's three-game series last month at Yankee Stadium. The Tigers were swept, they averaged 1.6 runs per game and every single contest sailed under the posted total. I'm forecasting much of the same tonight in the upper northeast.

King Creole

Pick: Cubs/Rockies OVER 9.5
Behind the Dish at Coors Field tonight will be one of our favorite "OVER" Umpires in JIM REYNOLDS. He comes in with a 12-7 O/U record on the year. Percentage-wise, he comes in as the #3 "OVER" Umpire on the season at 63%. In terms of current form, he's trending well, going 4-1 O/U in his last 5 games with an average of 11.2 RPG. In National League parks, he's gone OVER at a 67% Clip (8-4 O/U). His numbers on the season are not a fluke. He's gone 33-18-3 O/U in the last year and a half (19-9 in NL parks)... and 54-32-5 O/U in the last 2.5 years (30-15 O/U in NL parks). In Colorado Rockie games, Reynolds has gone 8-1 O/U in the last 3 seasons. That includes 3-1 O/U "In THIS park", with a whopping average of 15.8 combined runs per game. With projected winds blowing OUT to straightaway Center Field.
The "OVER".

IndianCowboy

4 Unit Play. Take the St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+129) over the Cincinatti Reds (Monday @ 8:15pm est). Kyle Lohse comes off one of his worst starts of his career giving up 7 runs in less than 3 innings in an 0-9 loss to the Mets on the road. He returns home where he has given up just 2 runs over his last 16 innings. Tack that on with the fact he gave up 7 runs to the Reds on the road on May 9th and lost 3-8 in that contest, he has revenge so to speak coming into today - as well as on the bounce-back. Cueto has struggled of late as he is 0-5 in his last six starts with a 9.85era. He was dominant in the first half of the season but has struggled lately. He has defeated the Cardinals twice this year and it is very difficult for a pitcher to defeat a team three times in one year. I look for a solid outing from Lohse and the Cardinals to have a beat on Cueto's pitches this evening. The Reds are 2-12 when they are an underdog by this margin and the Cardinals are 8-1 when the total is set at this range.

Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.

Any plays from Malinsky or Sevransky (Covers)?

Robert Ferringo

2.5-Unit Play. Take #954 St. Louis (-160) over Cincinnati (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 St. Louis (-1.5, +125) over Cincinnati (8 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #962 N.Y. Yankees (-140) over Toronto (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #962 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, +135) over Toronto (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Colorado (-135) over Chicago Cubs (8:40 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #969 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Seattle (10 p.m.)

Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 L.A. Dodgers at San Francisco (10 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Houston at Florida (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Detroit at Boston (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Cincinnati at St. Louis (8 p.m.)

Here We Go Again

HalfBets
Oakland v. Baltimore 7pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 -110 (7*)

TONY BRUNO WINS

10x DETROIT

Mean Grean Profit Machine
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Boston Red Sox

Scott Rickenbach
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Top Play
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Seattle / whites Sox over 8.5