MIKE LINEBACK
4.5* Mets/Marlins Over 8.5
The Duke's Sports
Washington Under (6') for 2 Units
Both of these pitchers are obviously on their game (hence the low "total") Strasburg is already living up to the hype and should continue to throw strikes and eat innings vs an Atlanta lineup batting a meager .226 vs righties this month. On the other hand, Tim Hudson sports a stellar 8-1 mark with a 1.62 ERA in 14 starts vs Washington. Washington is batting just .211 vs righties this month. The Nationals are 5-16-1 O/U in their last 22 in game 1 of a series, and they're 9-10 O/U after allowing 5+ runs in previous game. Hudson is 3-12-1 O/U after Atlanta allows 5+ previously. "Under" the call.
TOTALS4U
TOP PLAY
Atlanta Braves UNDER
REGULAR PLAYS
Florida Marlins UNDER
Cincinnati Reds UNDER
Milwaukee Brewers UNDER
SL Cardinals OVER
Street Rosenthal
*200 LA Dodgers +101
*200 San Diego Padres +132
*200 Minnesota Twins -156
ATS LOCK CLUB
4 Units Washington Nationals +100
FREDDY WILLS
4 DIME POD NY Mets -102
2 DIME LA Dodgers +105
DAVID BANKS
Blue Jays -145
Nationals +112
Reds -130
Twins -160
Cardinals -174
Rockies -154
Al DeMarco
5 Dime Cardinals -1.5
5 Dime Rockies
5 Dime Braves
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
6* Blue Jays -145
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the visitors:
Ricky Romero gets the call for the visitors; over his last two outings, Romero has gone 14 straight scoreless innings.
He came away with a no decision last time out though as Chris Carpenter out-dueled him; he allowed eight hits over eight scoreless innings, walking one, with 5 K's; he's 6-3 on the year with a 2.85 ERA.
Keep in mind that this is a spot that the Jays have dominated in all season long; 2-0 (+2 units) as a road favorite in the -125 to -150 range and 33-24 (+13 units) against right-handed starters.
In the other dugout: beleaguered Jake Westbrook heads to the hill for the home side; Westbrook got a no decision in his last outing on Wednesday vs. the Phillies; he threw five innings, allowing four runs on seven hits and a walk; he's allowed nine runs and 18 hits in his last two outings over 12 total innings.
He's allowed four or more runs in three of his last four starts; he's 4-4 on the year with a 4.90 ERA.
The Indians are in fact a brutal 12-20 (-6.8 units) in front of the home town crowd; 1-5 (-3.6 units) as a home dog in the +125 to +150 range.
Bottom line: Cleveland is coming off a 5-3 victory over the Reds on Sunday which snapped a seven game losing streak; suffice to say I expect this team to slip here; Toronto swept a three-game series at Progressive Field in May, and has won six of the last seven meetings there.
Chris Jordan
300 Units Cards -1.5
300 Units Padres
300 Units Twins -1.5
Youngstown Connection
NY Mets -107