KBHoops
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5* Angels +122 **POD**
5* NY Mets +122
5* Baltimore +153
5* Tampa Bay +141
5* Colorado +103
5* San Diego +132
Jack Jones
MLB | Jun 29 '09 (7:05p)
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland IndiansChicago White Sox
+100 at sia15* on Chicago White Sox +100
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The combination of Carl Pavano and the Cleveland Indians' bullpen make the White Sox an easy play on Monday. Pavano has been lit-up in his last three starts, earning a 0-2 record with a 12.14 ERA and a 2.55 WHIP. Once Pavano heads to the bench, it doesn't get much better for the Indians. Their bullpen is one of the worst in baseball, sporting a 12-17 record overall with a 4.92 ERA and 13 blown saves in 26 attempts, just a 50% conversion rate. Chicago Starter, Gavin Floyd, is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in his last three starts, while the Chicago bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 12-11 record, and 70% save conversion rate this year. The smart money is on the White Sox tonight.
MLB | Jun 29 '09 (7:05p)
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue JaysTampa Bay Rays
+143 at bodog15* on Tampa Bay Rays +143
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Grab the Rays at this price against the Blue Jays as Roy Halladay is coming off of the DL, not having pitched since 6/12. Halladay's pitch-count will likely be limited, which is a huge advantage for a Rays' team that has been hitting extremely well lately. The Rays have won 5 in a row and 6 of their last 7 overall, averaging 6.1 runs per game and sporting a team batting average of 3.20 over that span. The Blue Jays have dropped 2 straight games, and while Halladay has normally been their cure for a bad stretch, the smart move is to bet against him today in his first start back from a groin injury.
MLB | Jun 29 '09 (8:10p)
Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City RoyalsTotal
9 un+105 at bodog15* on Twins/Royals UNDER 9
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Stick with the under in tonight's match up between the Twins and the Royals. Both teams come in struggling offensively. The Twins are posting just 4.2 runs per game on the road this season, while the Royals have managed to score just 3.3 runs per game over their last 7 contests overall. I also like how both pitchers have been throwing, particularly Nick Blackburn, who has a 3.11 ERA on the year and a 1.27 WHIP. His counterpart, Luke Hochevar, hasn't has as much luck with his ERA, though he has lowered it by posting a 4.05 ERA over his last 3 starts, but I do like the fact that he does not give up many hits or walks, accounting for a low, 1.28 WHIP. I expect baserunners to be few and far between tonight, setting this game up for an easy "under".
-= TOP PLAY =- MLB | Jun 29 '09 (8:15p)
San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis CardinalsSan Francisco Giants
-125 at spbook20* No-Brainer on San Francisco Giants -125
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Tim Lincecum has been as strong a starter as there is in the National League this year, earning a 2.57 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 7-2 record in 15 starts. The scary part for the rest of the league is that he continues to get better, racking up a 2-1 record, 1.38 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over his last 3 starts. The Cardinals have dropped 5 of their last 7 overall, dropping their record at home to just 22-18 on the season. Over those last 7 games, the Cardinals are hitting just .217 as a team and scoring only 2.4 runs per game. Now they'll face one of the best pitchers in baseball in Lincecum, which certainly does not bode well for a team that is struggling to produce offensively.
MLB | Jun 29 '09 (10:05p)
Houston Astros vs San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres
+135 at sia15* on San Diego Padres +135
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I'm looking for the Padres to come through as a home underdog against the Houston Astros Monday night. San Diego starter, Josh Geer, doesn't have stand-out numbers this season, but his team has been successful behind him when he has thrown on his home field. Geer has 5 home starts this season with a 4.02 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He is just 1-0 in those starts, but the Padres are 4-1 as a team with him on the mound in San Diego. If Geer can just put together solid start and get the ball to the San Diego bullpen, he greatly increases their chances of getting a win. As a unit, the San Diego pen is 7-5 on the year with a 2.99 ERA and just 4 blown saves in 15 attempts at home this season
Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
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5* Tigers at A's
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This is a very good team against a bad one. The Tigers have played very well the last month, helped by the improvement of Magglio Ordonez, He is looking 10 years younger without his long hair and just hit his first home run in 150 at-bats since April 27. Ordonez was out of the lineup Saturday because manager Jim Leyland didn't like the matchup with the hard-throwing Felipe Paulino (a loss), but was back yesterday in a 4-3 win. More good news is on the way: Designated hitter Carlos Guillen, out since May 5 with a right shoulder injury, started throwing last week. Starter Rick Porcello (8-4, 3.55 ERA) has been terrific and has a 1.50 ERA against the light hitting A's. :ast place Oakland has a losing record at home and is 12th in the AL in runs, 14th in OBP. I don't think much of lefty Brett Anderson (3-7, 5.74 ERA), a very hittable pitcher who is 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA his last three starts. Play the Tigers
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3* White Sox at Indians
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This is a happy bunch of White Sox, winning 4 of 5 games, including a series win over the city rival Cubbies, winning the last two days. Gorgan Beckham singled in the winning run with two outs in the ninth, and Scott Podsednik homered while tying a career high with four hits to lift the Chicago White Sox to an 8-7 victory over the Cubs on Saturday. "That's probably the best feeling I've ever had playing baseball," Beckham said. They followed that with another win Sunday. Starter Gavin Floyd has been on a roll (1.29 ERA his last three starts) and should keep the good karma going against a last place Cleveland team. I was surprised at at how well Carl Pavano pitched in April, but he has come crashing down to earth with the weather getting warmer. He is 0-2 his last three starts with a 12.15 ERA. Play the White Sox
Seabass
20* mets
20* angels
200* under marlins/wash
200* under giants/st. louis
300* over white sox/clev.
Steam Det/Oak Under
Jamie Tursini
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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Play :Pittsburgh Pirates
Good price to get the underrated lefty Z.Duke at home.
The Cubs are making their 9th straight road appearance, and could be a weary bunch.
Where as the Pirates will be making their 7th straight home appearance.
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R.Harden has a great 2.96 ERA, but has allowed 6 HR's in only 24.1 road innings.
Z.Duke has been outstanding at home, at 6-2 and allowing only 51 hits and 11 BB's in 58 innings posting an ERA of 2.64.
He went 7 innings and allowed 2 ER's in a May 5-2 loss at Chicago earlier.
The Cubs struggle on the road vs lefties. They bat only .209 averaging 2.34 runs per 9 innings!
The Pirates bat .301 averaging 5.37 runs at home per 9 innings.
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Take Pittsburgh.
BIG AL
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American League Total of the Month
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Rays at Blue Jays
Pick: Over 8.5
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Analysis: At 7:05pm our American League Total of the Month is on the Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays 'over' the total. To give you an idea how good Roy Halladay was before he went down to a groin injury more than two weeks ago, just take a look at the leaders for pitching wins in the Major Leagues. Halladay hasn't pitched since June 12 (and he left that game early with the injury that led to his DL stint) yet he is still tied for the MLB lead with 10 wins. And even when he was perfectly healthy this year, a majority of Halladay's starts went over the total. In fact, 10 of Halladay's 14 starts so far this season have gone a total of nine or more runs, and seven of the 14 have gone a total of 10 or more. We've seen plenty of instances when an ace has his first start following time on the DL and is far from his normal self (even though the O/U line doesn't seem to reflect that), and this would seem to be one of those cases. Adding to that is the fact that he is facing a team that can score runs in bunches, and a starter in Jeff Niemann who had his own start pushed back a few days in order to accommodate the return of Scott Kazmir. Supposedly Niemann is in danger of losing his rotation spot which seems somewhat odd considering the Rays are 8-1 in his last nine starts. One of the reasons his record is super is that the Rays give him great run support. In all four of his June starts, the Rays have scored nine or more runs, and in his last nine starts the Rays have only failed to scored eight runs once (the one game that they lost during that time). Take the 'over.'
Tony George
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Detroit Tigers
Marc Lawrence
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SF Giants
Rocketman
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SF Giants
Mike Lineback
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Florida Marlins
Nick Parsons
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LA Dodgers
Lenny Del Genio
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Pittsburgh Pirates
Stephen Nover
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Anaheim Angels
Opposite Action Plays
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Minnesota Twins
ATS Lock
5* SF -130
4* White Sox -110