Ben Burns
AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR
Detroit Lions
The Miller Group
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San Francisco Giants
David Chan
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NY Mets
Rocketman
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Detroit Lions
Dave Malinsky
6* SF/Mets Under 7
4* Dodgers
4* Yankees
Stan Lisowski
4* NY Mets
Tim Trushel
NY Mets Under 7
Freddy Wills
Take Cubs - 4-Dime POD
Cubs are a much better day team and it showed yesterday without Bradley and Ramirez in the lineup. Ramirez out of hte lineup with the flu might play today, but even if he doesn't I am confinced against the Pirates who struggle to put any kind of runs up as of late particularly against LH starters who they will face their old prospect Tom Gorzelanny who in his 2 starts looked great at Cincinnati 7.1 IP 3H 1ER and then dreadful @ Colorado 1.1 IP 6H 6ER.
He'll have a great chance going up against the Pirates who are not a good day team and have a .231 average 1.29 R/9 vs. LHP in their last 5 games with a bullpen of 8.13 over their last 10 does not look to me like they are ready for this challenge unless Duke goes deep into the game.
Duke has been solid on the season, and against the Cubs with 14IP 15H 3BB and 5ER this year, but it's the third time and the Cubs are hitting .341 in their career with Soriano leading with 15-33 and 2HR. Pirates are 4-22 in their last 26 road starts vs. team with a winning record.
Northcoast
MARQUE
CLEV & CLEV OVER
Vegas Sports Informer
8 Unit Play.Take Texas –115 over Boston
(Game of the Year) Texas is coming off a horrible loss last night to the Red Sox so revenge will be on the minds of the Rangers tonight. Brad Penny will get the ball for Boston tonight and he has had some issues on the road this season, going 2-4 with a 5.73 ERA in 10 starts away from Fenway Park. If Penny struggles early this game could get out of hand quickly. Texas swept Boston in a three-game series at Rangers Ballpark earlier this year (July) and also took two of three games from the Red Sox at Fenway Park. Like I said earlier revenge is on the minds of the Rangers for blowing the game last night and if the Rangers want to hang around for the Wild Card they will need to win these big home games. Boston is 1-6 in their last 7 road games and the Rangers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
3 Unit Play. Take NY Mets –125 over San Francisco
Drew Gordon
1. 200,000♦ Orioles
2. 50,000♦ Bears
1. Orioles- Boy are a lot of average bettors going to get pissed in this contest... You see, I know full well on the surface this looks like an easy win for the Angels, with "surging" Lackey pitching against the struggling still wet-behind-the-ears lefty Matusz, but after digging a little deeper, you'll find tremendous value in the O's tonight and here's why:
First, it starts with the Orioles offensive explosion last night, scoring a whopping 16 runs on 19 hits, burying Angels stud Jered Weaver and their bullpen! Much like Weaver, Lackey is supposed to be a "lock" tonight, but let me be the one to warn you... This O's offense can and will stay hot tonight at home, where they avergae a hearty 5.4 runs per game against righties this season, batting .295 in the process! I'm warning you Angels-backers, Lackey is going to be tested early and often by a red-hot Orioles offense tonight.
Second, for as hot as Lackey has been, his numbers at Camden Yards are hardly impressive, going 3-3 with a beatable 4.14 ERA in 6 career starts there. Also, you cannot ignore the fact that Lackey threw 131 pitches in his last start, his most on the season by far... To expect another razor sharp outing after exhausting himself in his last start is a stretch at best (and a disaster for Angels-backers at worst).
Finally, there's Brian Matusz, who many are admittingly down on after allowing 5 runs in just 2 2/3 innings at Toronto in his last start. But before you go fading him, consider two things: A. Both of his starts this year have come in hostile territory, and he should benefit greatly from finally getting to pitch at home (as most rookie hurlers do). And B. Remember guys, this kid got drafted 4th overall in 2008. In other words, he's got the stuff, its just a matter of putting it together, and I believe he's going to come into this game more motivated than ever before. He was solid at the Tigers in his debut, and I believe the lefty will get back to attacking batters in this one. In the end, let's go grab that plus money with the O's, as they build off last night's explosion by downing another Angels righty Saturday night!
Take the Orioles behind Matusz over the LA Angels and Lackey as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Bears- Common sense tells us that a team playing their second preseason game is going to have an advantage over a team playing their first game of the entire season. However, that being said, this match up does not fall under that thinking, and here's why:
First and foremost, the trends do not favor the Bills in this spot. Did you know that Buffalo is 0-5 SUATS when favored over the L3 preseaons?! That trend right there should be sending up red flags to any informed bettor! Also, the Bills are just 1-6 ATS over their L7 preseason home games! Point is, based on past history, this is NOT a good spot for Buffalo, plain and simple.
Second, I like the Bears defensive rotation tremendously. All reports out of their camp is that their defense is stellar, with position battles happening all over the place (which is always good in a preseason game). Bills defense got shredded by the Titans (early on), and produced very little pressure throughout (just 1 sack). Not to mention, I expect the Bills troubles on 3rd down (3 of 11 in Hall of Fame Game) to once again be an issue against this Chicago stop unit.
Finally, there's public perception... The fact the public got to see the Bills in the Hall of Fame game, and are expecting a better performance in their second game of the preseason, only adds fuel to my argument. The guys in Vegas aren't stupid, and setting this number where its at, is a perfect trap for the average bettor. Note, neither QB rotation is particuarly scary (with the starters getting very little time), so this one comes down to defense, and the clear edge in talent and depth goes to Chicago, and that my friends is the difference in this one.
Take the Bears plus the points over the Bills in this NFL preseason match up.
BOB BALFE
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Bills -3 over Bears
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Buffalo's 2nd and 3rd string units impressed me as they battled back and dominated the Titans last week in the second half. Buffalo did lose the game, but it shows that their backups can play. The Bears have a horrible QB rotation and after Cutler have nobody that can do major damage. It always helps when a team is playing their second preseason game against a team in their first. I expect the Bills starters to play a little longer than the Bears. Take the Bills.
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Angels -150 over Orioles
Lackey/Matusz
Dave Cokin
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Bucs at Titans
Pick: Under 35
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The Titans already have a game under their belt, winning the Hall of Fame Game, 21-18, while this is the opener for a Tampa Bay team with new looks everywhere. The Bucs have a new coach in Raheem Morris. They have virtually no QB experience with rookie QB Josh Freeman, Josh Johnson, Byron Leftwich and Luke McCown. Talk about a shoddy rotation! Morris also said Luke McCown is slated to play 12 to 15 snaps as the starting quarterback in Nashville, with veteran Byron Leftwich receiving approximately the same amount of playing time. Rookie Josh Freeman and second-year pro Josh Johnson will each play in the second half against the Titans. WRs Antonio Bryant (knee), Michael Clayton (hamstring) and Kelly Campbell (quad) will be sidelined Saturday, along with center Jeff Faine (groin), linebacker Angelo Crowell (hamstring), kicker Matt Bryant (hamstring) and punter Josh Bidwell (hip). Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU/ATS the last 2 years in preseason, but that was under Jon Gruden (and with better QBs). Tennessee (1-0 SU, 0-1-1 ATS) pulled out all the stops in the first half Sunday against the Bills, with a 21-6 halftime lead. Then they got sloppy in the second half behind QBs Vince Young and Alex Mortensen. Veteran QBs Kerry Collins and Patrick Ramsey looked sharp. QB Young will play about two quarters against the Buccaneers after Collins handles the first two or three series, Coach Jeff Fisher said. Patrick Ramsey, who was signed to battle Young, will also see action. Tennessee loves the power running game for outstanding coach Jeff Fisher, but they didn't impress in the opener with only 73 yards rushing (2.4 ypc). There is great depth with RBs LenDale White, Chris Johnson, Chris Henry, rookie JeVon Ringer and Rafael Little behind a good offensive line. Although Pro Bowl center Kevin Mawae, his surgically-repaired right elbow still on the mend, is still on the sideline. Fisher is 30-24 SU, 27-24-3 overall in preseason, including 16-9 SU/13-10-2 ATS the last six+ pre-seasons. The first-team Tennessee defense played great in the opener and faces a Tampa Bay team with below-average QB talent (and no established starter). I see a tough night for the TB offense, but also don't expect anything but a very conservative Titans game plan, so the Under is the play in this game.
Robert Ferringo
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5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Toronto at Tampa Bay
This is my Total of the Week.
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2-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-120) over Atlanta
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2-Unit Play. Take L.A. Angels (-150) over Baltimore
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1.5-Unit Play. Take Tampa Bay (-1.5 +120) over Toronto
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1-Unit Play.Take Detroit (-1.5, -115) over Kansas City
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1-Unit Play.Take St. Louis (-1.5, -115) over San Diego
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1-Unit Play.Take Chicago White Sox (-110) over Oakland
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Today's Totals
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2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Kansas City at Detroit
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2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Chicago White Sox at Oakland
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1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Cleveland at Minnesota
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1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 L.A. Angels at Baltimore
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0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Colorado at Florida
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0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 San Diego at St. Louis
Mike Neri Sports
Chicago Cubs w/Gorzelanny -157
Risk 1 Unit to make .63 Units
LA Angels w/Lackey -145
Risk 1 Unit t o make .69 Units
NY Yankees w/Mitre -129
Risk 1 Unit t o make .79 Units
3* Detroit -3
3* Cleveland / Green Bay OVER 36