Freddy Wills
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Indians -117 (2u)
Reds -115 (2u)
Bal/LAA over 10.5 -115 (2u)
TB/Tex u10.5 +100 (2u)
Twins (3u)
KBHoops
5* Washington +101 **POD**
5* Seattle +202
5* Houston +185
5* Arizona +180
Chris James Sports
4* Game of the Week Cubs/Brewers Under 9
2* Atlanta Braves -114
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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Selection: 4* Game of the Week Brewers/Cubs Under 9
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I can't deny the numbers here. I couldn't feel more confident that we are on the right side of this today. The Brewers/Cubs square off in Game 3 of a 4 game set. The pitching matchup today features the Brewers Braden Looper who is 6-4 with a 4.90 ERA vs the Cubs Rich Harden who is 5-4 with a 4.57 ERA. Those numbers aren't great, but their numbers against each team are pretty overwhelming.
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Braden Looper has faced the Cubs 9 times in his career with a 2.37 ERA. In 8 of 9 starts, Looper has give up 2 Earned Runs or less, with the other start allowing 4 Earned Runs. In his most recent start against the Cubs on 4/10 he went 5 innings allowing 5 hits and 1 ER. As far as Milwaukee's bullpen goes, they have some quality relief pitchers. Trevor Hoffman has had a sensational year posting a 1.93 ERA. Mark DiFelice is right behind him with a 1.97 ERA followed by Mitch Stetter with a 2.28 and Todd Coffey at 2.77.
Rich Harden has faced the Brewers only 3 times in his career but they have all been quality starts. Harden boasts a 1.50 ERA in those 3 starts. Harden opposed Looper in that start on 4/10 and he went 6 innings allowing only 3 hits and 1 Earned Run. In fact, in all starts against the Brewers Harden has only allowed a single earned run per game. The Cubs bullpen doesn't have the shutdown pitchers like Hoffman and DiFelice but as a whole they aren't far behind the Brewers.
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The numbers at the plate really support this play. The Cubs are ranked 27th in the league for both Total Batting Average and Total Runs Scored. The Cubs are also ranked 27th in the league against Right-Handed Pitchers hitting only .246. The most shocking number of all is that the Cubs are only hitting .216, which is worst in the league, with runners in scoring position. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 24th in the league in Total Batting Average at .253. The Brewers are also hitting .253 on the year against Right Handers which is ranked 23rd in the league. The Brewers own the league's worst batting average during Day games this year at a pathetic .208. And while the Brewers aren't as bad as the Cubs with runners in scoring position, they aren't much better, ranked 24th in the league hitting .245.
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I can't help but notice that both of these teams haven't had a day off in what seems like forever. The Brewers last day off was June 22nd and the Cubs was a week earlier on June 15th. In the midst of this long run for the Cubs they had a 10 game road trip travelling between 4 different cities before this current home stand with the Brewers.
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Combining all of the information that I have present, I can't believe that this game goes over the posted total! Play the Under for our 4* MLB Game of the Week!
Belmont - Race
You Want Horse Racing ???
DiscreetCat is a very good premium service, Wunderdog can go in the comp one next time.
I Got it now
Taking a Lot of Notes
The Prez
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5* Braves
Destroy The Book Sports
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7*TORONTO -111
7*METS +130
5*PADRES +125
5*COLORADO RL
JEFFERSON-SPORTS
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METS +132
WASH +102
CINCI -121
YANKEES +105
ASA
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Tigers at Twins
Pick: Tigers +120
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Detroit is 16-9 against left-handed starters this season and the Tigers are hitting .279 against southpaws in the last ten games. Francisco Liriano has struggled this season with a 5.62 ERA and 42 walks allowed in 89 innings. The Twins have won four of his last five starts but he has been far from dominant, allowing 13 runs and 27 hits in those games, while never pitching more than seven innings. The Twins are 2-4 in Liriano?s home starts this season and Detroit has plenty of experience against Liriano.
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Edwin Jackson owns a modest 6-4 record by he has been one of the best pitchers in the American League this season. Jackson owns a 2.49 ERA and he allowed three or fewer earned runs in 14 of his 16 starts this season. Jackson has delivered incredible results on the road with a 2.12 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Opponents are hitting just .250 against the Tigers bullpen so that area has significantly improved for Detroit and there rarely is much need for relief when Jackson is on the mound.
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The Minnesota offense has gone cold with a .226 team batting average over the last ten games and only 3.8 runs per game scored in that span. The Twins have dropped the middle game of four of the last five series and although Minnesota is two games above .500 for the first time this season they have not been a team that has been able to sustain consistent success. Minnesota swept the last series these teams played so this is a critical series for the Tigers and they have their ideal pitching match-up set-up for game 2.
INDIANCOWBOY
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 the Pittsburgh Pirates @ Florida Marlins
Let's take the Under in Florida today as the Pirates come into town. Zach Duke, the Clifton, Texas native rolls for the Bucks today as he comes off a 1-3 loss to the Cubs at home where he pitched very well but still fell short in 7 innings giving up 3 runs. Duke, who although is 8-6, has a 3.13 era and has been stellar with his control throughout the season. He has put together 4 straight and 7 of 8 quality starts and I expect him to have another strong outing today as he comes off a loss. Andrew Miller, another lefty and Florida native at that, has been a solid bounce-back pitcher after a non-quality start. He gave up 5 runs in 6 innings at Tampa Bay in his last go around and lost 2-5 on the highway - which is similar to an outing that he had in Boston only to come back in his next game at Baltimore and give up 1 earned run in 7 innings. I look for both Miller and Duke to have a strong effort today as the Under is 8-1 for the Pirates as an Underdog and 6-0 for the Marlins following a loss - who are in the heat of a division race currently.
SquarePicks
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4* Milwaukee ML +148
4* LA Angels -1.5 +130
4* Minnesota ML -125
4* Cleveland ML -111
Brandon Lang
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15 Dime Run Line - Red Sox
5 Dime – Mets
5 Dime – Dodgers
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FREE - Rockies Run Line
Marc Lawrence
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CHICAGO WHITE SOX -130
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Nick Parsons
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CLEVELAND INDIANS
MINNESOTA TWINS
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Bob Balfe
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MINNESOTA TWINS
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Lenny Del Genio
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NEW YORK METS
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Opposite Action Plays
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MINNESOTA TWINS
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Tony George
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CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Parsons
bookiekiller - Twins
Vic Monte
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500* Syndicate LA Dodgers -140