Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Boston (-180) over Baltimore
Baltimore has lost 11 of the last 12 games and they have also lost 19 of the last 23 games as an underdog of +150 or higher. Jon Lester is 10-0 vs. Baltimore over his career with an ERA of 2.22 and he is also 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.82.
50* Play Tampa Bay (-130) over Texas
Tampa has won 21 of the last 27 road games and they have also won 37 of the last 54 games when playing in the month of June. James Shields has won 6 of the last 7 night games and he is 4-1 in road games this season with an ERA of 3.34.
Chuck O'Brien
25 Dime Red Sox -1.5
Bob Balfe
New York Mets -125
In a tight NL East race, home field advantage means everything. The Mets play great baseball at home, which is actually the biggest edge they have over Florida today. Look for New York to get the big home win. Take the Mets.
ATS Lock Club
5 Units Blue Jays +110
4 Units A's +115
4 Units Rockies
5 Units Iowa -1
4 Units Dallas -7.5
4 Units Arizona +3.5
Fox Sheets
Super Situations
BOS at BAL
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
85-64 over the last 5 seasons. ( 57.0% | 42.9 units )
7-9 this year. ( 43.8% | -0.1 units )
Situational Power Trends
BOS at BAL
BALTIMORE is 14-6 (+14.1 Units) against the money line after having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.8) , OPPONENT (4.8)
Got rid of the smileys for you norsemann
KIKI SPORTS
3 Units Cincinnati -130
1 Unit Colorado -125
1 Unit Atlanta/ LA UNDER 7.5
1 Unit Boston -1.5 -114
1 Unit Oakland +115
Billy Coleman
5* LA Angels +100
4* Mil-St.Louis Over 9.5
3* NY Yankees -135
3* Cincinnati -130
3* Dallas - 7.5 vs Bossier
3* LA + 3.5 vs Seattle
Super Sports Group
NY v. Toronto
PICK: Yankees ML -124 Game (9*) Best bet of the day #1
Florida v. NY
PICK: Marlins ML +113 Game (8*)
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game ev (7*)
Cincinnati v. Washington
PICK: Nationals ML +120 Game (6*)
PICK: UNDER 8.5 Game +105 (8*)
Boston v. Baltimore
PICK: Orioles RL (+1.5) +125 Game (9*) Best bet of the day #2
Cleveland v. Chicago
PICK: OVER 9 Game -110 (8*)
Andrew Bucciarelli
2* Cincy -135
1* Angels -130
1* Detroit -150
The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
DIAMOND CLUB BASEBALL ROAD WARRIOR WINNER
Colorado w/Chacin -115
BOB AKMENS
10* NY Mets
10* Oakland Athletics
Sports Brokers Guaranteed Selections
OFF SHORE BASEBALL LATE STEAM BOMB
NY Yankees w/Pettitte -118
BASEBALL LATE STEAM MAJOR WAGER
Philadelphia w/Moyer -132
BASEBALL INSIDER RUN LINE WINNER
Boston w/Lester -1.5 -121
Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections
HOME RUN BASEBALL DOMINATOR
NY Yankees w/Pettitte -120
GRAND SLAM BASEBALL DOMINATOR
St Louis w/Ottavino -145
NSA
20* Yanks -125
20* Red Sox -1.5 -120
20* Twins- 125
Scott Rickenbach
8* Toronto vs NY Yankees Over
Despite being 6-1 through 6 innings yesterday, last night’s game managed to stay under the total. We won’t hesitate to come right back with the over tonight. In the 7th, 8th, and top of the 9th last night there were a pair of leadoff doubles, one leadoff walk, and also a one-out walk. All that and still no scoring after the 6th inning and, keep in mind, the Yankees and Blue Jays bullpens both rank in the lower third of the league so far this season based on their relievers combined ERA. Even with the under last night, the Yankees are still 16-5 to the over in divisional games and they are 5-2 to the over when they are on the road and priced in the -100 to -125 range. In Saturday games this season the Yankees are 6-2 to the over and, on artificial turf the Bronx Bombers are 3-1 to the over. As for the Blue Jays, last night’s 6-1 win marked the 10th time in their last 13 games that they’ve scored at least 5 runs in their game. Keep in mind, with a total of just 8.5 on this game, we just need to get each team to four runs and then we’re guaranteed of a win here – game can’t end with a 4-4 score!
Andy Pettitte has been pitching very well for the Yankees this season but he will see mostly right-handed sticks today from this potent and powerful Blue Jays lineup. What’s the significance of that? Righties are hitting Pettitte 70 points higher than lefties are so far this season. Also, the southpaw Yankees hurler has given up 4 homers in his last 3 starts and he now faces the team that leads the majors in homers. The good news for Yankees fans is that the Yanks sticks should come back to life after being held quiet in yesterday’s loss. The Yanks will be facing Ricky Romero of the Blue Jays. The Toronto southpaw has a 5.94 ERA in his three career appearances against the Yankees. Also, he’s allowed three runs or more in four of his last seven starts. This includes getting clobbered by the Angels on May 25th. He’s been great at home this season but the problem for Romero is that the Yankees are a match-up issue for him. The Yankees are hitting .291 (and slugging .478) against southpaws this season and both of those marks are tops in the league. Play OVER the total in Toronto as an *8* Regular Play selection.
8* Washington vs Cincinnati Over
We got totally burned with this over yesterday. As a result, we certainly won’t hesitate to come right back with it. There were 24 hits in yesterday’s game but the game still totaled just 6 runs. If you held a ticket on the over, it was one of the most painful games to ever have to watch. We don’t expect a repeat of such futility in scoring situations today. Keep in mind, before dropping each of their last two games, the Reds were on a 5-2 run where they averaged 7.4 runs per game. Cincinnati reached double digits in hits yesterday for the 6th time in their last nine game. The Nationals also hit the ball well yesterday and they are hitting a solid .289 in home games this season. Both teams should stay hot at the plate tonight.
Though the Reds Mike Leake shows a 2.45 ERA in the books, he has allowed 17 hits in his last 13.1 innings on the mound. Also, although his overall numbers have been very impressive, he has been hit 42 points higher in night games than in day games and his ERA is 1.15 runs higher under the lights! As for the Nationals, they are starting Luis Atilano in this game. Though he’s 5-1 on the season, note his 4.70 ERA. Atilano has been far from dominant so far this season. In fact, he’s been downright awful at home with a 7.47 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP that’s been impacted by his 10 walks in just 15.1 innings of work from his home mound. He’s simply overrated at this point in the season and he should get pounded here and, for the Reds, once Leake exits, you’re also talking about a Cincinnati bullpen that has struggled badly this season. Play OVER the total in Washington as an *8* Regular Play selection. .
8* LA Dodgers vs Atlanta Over
With yesterday’s over, the Braves have now stayed under the total in just 3 of their last 11 games. Atlanta had won nine straight games before yesterday’s loss. The Braves have averaged 9.7 hits per game in their last 9 games. Keep in mind, the opening number on tonight’s total is just a 7 and the Dodgers last 8 games have only resulted in two games that totaled less than 7 runs! There is a lot of value with this low total, especially with how hot each of these clubs has been. The Braves have been on a huge run after a slow start to the season and the same is true for the Dodgers. Atlanta’s games have totaled at least 7 runs in 10 of the last 11 games. While starting pitcher Tommy Hanson of the Braves has solid numbers so far this season, note that his May (5.09 ERA) was much different than his April (2.17 ERA). Also, the Braves right-hander got roughed up in his only career start against the Dodgers.
The Braves are 4-1 to the over when the total posted on their game is 7 or less this season. Also, the Dodgers are 22-16 to the over against right-handed starters this season. Los Angeles hopes to counter Hanson with Chad Billingsley of the Dodgers. However, the L.A. right-hander is likely to struggle here. He’s allowed 16 hits in his last 13.1 innings on the mound and gave up 3 homers in his most recent start at Dodger Stadium. Billingsley has a 4.68 ERA at home this season and, though he’s been dominant in day games this season, the righty has a 4.86 ERA and a .282 BAA in night games this year. Lefties have hit .292 against Billingsley this season and they’ve given him a lot of trouble in terms of walks allowed and that has resulted in a 1.83 WHIP versus lefties. The Braves roster of position players includes 5 left-handed bats plus 3 switch-hitters which means Billingsley is absolutely going to have his hands full tonight. Play OVER the total in the LA Dodgers game as an *8* Regular Play selection.
10* Texas vs Tampa Bay Over
Yesterday’s game totaled 15 runs and it was already a 9-4 game by the fourth inning. With game time temperatures expected to be near 100 degrees for this one, look for the hitting to stay just as hot as the weather in this match-up. Yes, we know that James Shields is a solid hurler. But, facing the Rangers in Texas is never easy. The Rangers are hitting .294 at home this season with a solid .470 slugging percentage. Note that Shields has been hit hard in three of his last five starts. In each of his last two road starts, though not all runs were earned, Shields allowed four runs in each outing. In fact, though he’s 4-1 on the road this season, the Rays right-hander has been charged 4 runs in three of his five road starts. Overall, Shields has been hit at a .292 clip on the road this season. Also, even though his last start was at home, the Tampa Bay right-hander allowed 7 earned runs on 11 hits in just 5.1 innings of work. Shields has a 5.79 ERA and has allowed 4 homers in his two career starts at Rangers Ballpark. In his career his ERA is 1.24 runs higher on the road compared to at home.
The Rangers hitting prowess at home is hard to ignore and it’s also hard to ignore how the Rays have suddenly turned things around at the plate again. Yesterday’s game marked the 6th time in their last 8 games that the Rays have scored at least 5 runs! Not surprisingly, they’ve gone 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games as their hot hitting continues. As for the Rangers, they’re also on a 5-1 run to the over. Sending Tommy Hunter to the mound should help continue this “over streak” for Texas. Hunter was dealing with a left oblique strain in spring training and ended up beginning his season with AAA Oklahoma City. The reason he’s being called up now is because Derek Holland got hurt. Note that Hunter has been hit at a .300 clip by left-handed hitters in his career and has nearly as many walks as strikeouts against them. The Rays lineup will be loaded with some big sticks stepping in on that side of the plate and Tampa Bay’s confidence has surged at the plate as they’ve averaged 10 hits per game in their last 6 games. The Rays are 12-6 to the over this season against teams with a winning record. The Rangers are 10-6 to the over this season facing teams with a winning record. Hunter has a career 5.20 ERA at the MLB level and we look for him to struggle in his first start at this level this season but his teammates’ sticks will do all they can to bail him out. Play OVER the total in Texas as a *10* Top Play selection.