SEABASS
100* Bengals
THE PREZ
7* Nationals / Dodgers Under 8
A pitcher the Nationals were counting on heavily this season returns from disabled list a bit earlier than expected. No we are not referring to Stephen Strasburg but rather Jason Marquis. The veteran right-hander doesn't have impressive numbers in his five rehab starts (4.71 ERA in 21 innings) but this is all according to plan. Marquis has been doing nothing but getting his arm strength back and pounding the strikezone. During his minor league stint he has posted a solid 21:5 K:BB Ratio. Over the last 3 seasons Marquis has posted basically a league average ERA and WHIP while winning 38 games and is a great fit when pitching in Chavez Ravine, just like his counterpart today, Ted Lilly.
Lilly went seven innings in his last start and retired 20 consecutive batters in Los Angeles' 2-1 win over the Padres. This season Lilly's ERA is somewhat inflated at 3.57 as he has been the victim of a really poor LOB% at 71%. Lilly's ERA issues are a direct result of the ballpark he was pitching in, Wrigley and his FB% of over 51% cost him when pitching in Chicago. He had allowed 18 home runs before being traded to LA but expect his HR/9 IP ratio to drastically change throwing from the mound in LA.
Backing the UNDER on a team (Dodgers) that is batting .225 or less as a team over the last 10 games against a team (Washington) with a starter that has an ERA of 7.50 or more on the season coming off the disabled list when oddsmakers open the total between 7 and 8 runs has cashed at a remarkable 40-9 (81%) clip over the last 13 MLB campaigns.
Fantasy Sports Gametime
50* Play Milwaukee (-200) over Houston (Bonus)
Milwaukee has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 23 of the last 28 games when playing as a favorite of -200 or higher. Yovani Gallardo is 6-2 vs. Houston over his career with an ERA of 2.72 and he has an ERA of 2.71 in all starts this season.
50* Play Philadelphia (-200) over NY Mets (Bonus)
Philadelphia has won 13 consecutive home games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs and they have also won 13 of the last 16 games as a favorite of -200 or higher. Roy Halladay has won 7 of the last 8 games vs. division opponents and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.75.
50* Play LA Dodgers (-185) over Washington (Bonus)
Washington has lost 77 of the last 121 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 62 of the last 89 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Jason Marquis has won 26 of the last 44 games when pitching in the month of August and he is 0-3 in all starts this season with an ERA of 20.52.
Fade Alert The Asian Executive (idiot)
Thank you for purchasing my football service. I have access to information and formulas that would cause bookies and Las Vegas to rethink their lines. My clients are #1 and I hope my customer service is rated A. Football units are 1 to 12. 1 unit is the smallest and 12 units being the largest as a Game of the Year.
Hall of Fame Game 8/08/2010
8 units Dallas +2.5
Michael Cannon
20 Dime Oakland
10 Dime Cincinnati
5 Dime Dallas
KIKI SPORTS
2 Units Boston +124
1 Unit Arizona +140
1 Unit Dallas +3
Northcoast
Marquee Dal/Cin Over 32
MTi Sports
4* WSox
4* Oak
4* Mets Under 7
3* Cubs
ATS LOCK CLUB
3 Units Cincinnati Bengals -3
4 Units Oakland A's -115
4 Units Boston Red Sox +125
Matt Dennehy
2* Toronto +110 over Tampa Bay
Toronto should be the fave in this game. The lines makers are playing off the Tampa can't be swept b/c the game means to much angle here. Morrow is 2 different pitchers home and away. Morrow is 6-1 in Toronto and the Jays are 8-2 in his home starts. The Rays are in an funk right now. They put up 11 runs Sat with the help of wildness from Toronto pitchers. Since Pena went down, the Rays are hitting .214 as a team. they seem to be pressing a bit. Sonnanstine is spot starting and he may be asked to go pretty deep considering how short of an outing Shields had. Blue Jays get the sweep here.
2* Oakland -115 over Texas
1* Oakland -1.5 runs +180
Cahill is riding a streak of 26 straight starts where he has gone 5 inn and given up 6 hits or less. That is amazing consistency. There have only been 3 other pitchers since 1950 to do that. Vs Texas he has enjoyed his best # of any team. he is 2-0 with an 0.96 era this year and in his career he is 5-1 w/1.83 ERA. Oakland is 21-11 in game 3's of a series this year. Texas has really struggled offensively on this road trip. as a team they are hitting just .225 and are just 4-4 in the 1st 8 games. Lewis is 0-3 in his last 3 starts as the Rangers just don't support him when he is on the mound. He is getting less than 4 runs of support when he is out there.
1* Texas/Oakland Under 7
I will also toss a unit on here since the under is 9-3 in Lewis's road starts and 8-0-1 in Cahills home starts.
1* KC/Seattle Under 7.5
Vargas has been an under machine all year as he just doesn't get the respect he deserves. Today he does as the under is set at 7.5 but I still like the under here. KC has put up 9 runs so far on this 5 game game road trip. Seattle has score 20 runs in their last 8 games. Davies has pitched very well vs Mariners in his career. The ump Randazzo has a tidy 7.77 RPG allowed in his starts. Let's hope the triple 7's means a winner for us tonight.
BIG AL
Orioles
Padres
Reds
POWER PLAY WINS
Cincinnati Reds -136
Mike Lineback
4* POD Rockies/Pirates Over
Colorado start Rogers returns to the Majors after a three month stint in the Minors, and not without a few meltdowns. He has pitched well his L3 starts, hence, the start this afternoon. However, AAA not the same as facing McCutchen, and Pittsburgh's talented left-handed power bats, in hitters friendly PNC Park. Colorado have owned Maholm his last three starts vs. The "not so crafty lately" left-handed start, has allowed 20 runs, 30 hits, in his L3 starts vs. Rockies, spanning 16.2 innings, including 8 runs allowed at Colorado 10 days ago. Maholm is is Over this total in 5 of his L6 starts overall. In addition, Pirates games averaging 9.18 rpg on season, 11 rpg L3, 9.91 rpg at home, and 10.12 rpg in day starts for Maholm. Plus, and very important, the Pirates bullpen are struggling and overworked recently. Colorado's pen not in good shape either, after giving up walk-off 3-run shot last night.
Teddy Covers
Rockies/Pirates Over 8.5
SEABASS
100* Bengals
50* Col
50* Mil Under
50* Fla