Sam Clayton
30 dime - BOS/NYY Under 9.5
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While several people are calling for a offensive wake-up call tonight in the Bronx on national television, I'm definitely not discounting the fact that these two teams have combined for seven runs the past two games. The anemic Red Sox offense hasn't scored since Thursday night and they've plated only 12 runs their last five games. Boston is hitting .249 since June 30, Jason Bay is still M.I.A. and David Ortiz' power seems to have vanished in the midst of the latest doping rumors. In this highly coveted series, the under has cashed 7 of 12 times this season, but importantly, five of the last six times.
The calender now reads August and it's make-or-break time for postseason contenders. It's the time when experienced pitchers buckle down and contain the opposition. Outside of Thursday's Home Run Derby (with newly converted starter Joba Chamberlain and over-the-hill John Smoltz), the last two games have been pitching duels. Beckett, Burnett, Buchholz and Sabathia have brought their 'A' games to say the least and have risen to the occasion and met the challenge of shutting down their division rivals.
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Two seasoned southpaws get the call tonight and the second half has been very kind to both Jon Lester (1-1, 3.46 ERA, 1.30 WHIP) and Andy Pettitte (1-1, 2.36 ERA, 1.01 WHIP). And throughout their repsective careers, they've each had great success against their enemy as Lester is 3-0 with a 3.43 ERA lifetime against the Yanks and Pettitte posts a career 16-9, 3.76 marker against the Sawx. Both these pitchers have been around the block and they are incredible students of the game. They rarely make mistakes and you know they've spent hours upon hours watching and studying film trying to develop game plans to get out their opposing hitters.
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Low scoring affairs are nothing new to these two as the under has hit in 3 of 4 starts for Pettitte and 4 of 5 for Lester. Pettitte has thrown three one-run games his last four outings and Lester has allowed more than three runs only once his last his 12 starts. Also, six of the last eight Sunday Night Baseball broadcasts have sailed under the posted total as well. I'm extremely confident that Lester and Pettitte will be amped and ready to go tonight. Both are big game pitchers that aren't scared of the bright lights and I fully expect another low scoring contest given the added importance of tonight's game. These two starters have been here before and the ice water in their veins will come full circle on national television.
Play the UNDER.
STEPHEN NOVER
BILLS vs. RAVENS
Pick: OVER 31
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This is an extremely low total even for a preseason game. Both teams have the right strategy to go over this low over/under.
The Bills will be using a no-huddle offense much more this season. They're going to run a lot of no-huddle in this game thus ensuring more plays to be run. The Titans' defense took a major hit with Albert Haynesworth leaving.
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The Titans have a solid quarterback rotation going in this matchup with Kerry Collings, Vince Young and Patrick Ramsey. Young is expected to see most of the action. He can create problems for Buffalo's second and third-string defenses. So can Ramsey, who has looked strong enough in camp to actualy challenge Young for the No. 2 spot.
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The Titans can also run the ball. LenDale White has lost about 20 pounds. Word out of Tennessee is that Jeff Fisher is prepared to open his offense up knowing his defense won't be as dominant minus Haynesworth.
Evan Altemus
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Red Sox / Yankees Under
Ron Raymond
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Red Sox / Yankees Under
Tony George
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NY Yankees
Rocketman
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3* Buffalo Bills +3
Jack Jones
15* Buffalo Bills +3
The Bills will be anxious to test out their new offense with Terrell Owens now in the mix. Even if T.O. doesn't have a huge game, it should open up the passing lanes for some of the other receivers. I expect that both teams will throw the ball a lot tonight, and the Bills should have the advantage there.
15* Titans/Bills OVER 31.5
Look for both teams to test out their passing game tonight early and often. Defensively it takes teams some times to make adjustments early in the season and especially in the pre-season. Jump on the over in tonight's game.
Rob Homyak
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5 Units NY Yankees
Alatex
Superplay - Buffalo Bills
Anthony Redd
5 Dimes Tennessee
Street Rosenthal
*200 Buffalo Bills +3
The last 6 preseason's the bills are 4-2 with those 2 loses coming under 3 points each. The Titans are 3-3 in the same period. Buffalo has an 0-2 record all time in the Hall of Fame game. The Titans franchise is also 0-2 in Hall of Fame games.
Buffalo is under 5 hours away, and with the Hall of Fame inductions this weekend the atmosphere will be explosive for the Bills. In addition to two new Bills Hall of Famers, there will be an entire roster of current Bills in Canton on Hall of Fame weekend. Lots of motivation!
The Titans are wearing throw back jerseys for this game as well as number 9 McNair stickers on their helmets. Don't let this tempt you into thinking the Titans are fired up to win this weekend. Jeff Fisher is known for his home town heroics. The Titans will play a limited and scripted set of plays on Sunday. The defense will also be limited. Which could be difficult to cover the wide receivers that the Bills bring to the game.
Let's take a look at how this game will play out on Sunday.
The Titans will start Collins, which is by no means a superstar. After a couple of series, maybe even after one, Vince Young will come in and probably play into the 3rd quarter. I wouldn't expect much from Young this early in the season. The Bills starters will more than likely stay on the field a little longer than expected. Green and Owens need time to build chemistry
Dominic Rhodes will be the 3rd string running back for the Bills. This is going to be fun to watch as he will be playing against 3rd string Titans trying to find a spot on the team. Quinton Ganther will carry the ball for the Titans and not only is he unproven, but will receive limited playing time once the season starts. I smell Titan turnovers.
Run, run, run late in the Hall of Fame game. I would generally say the under is the best option here. However, late turnovers could swing things in this game. I lean strongly to the over in this game. However, the best bet for the Hall of Fame game is the Bills plus the points. It wouldn't amaze me if we see a straight up Bills victory.
The Bills have the motivation and the need to win this game.