Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Texas (-225) over LA Angels
Texas pitcher, Tommy Hunter has won 14 of the last 17 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 7-0 in all starts this season with an ERA of 2.09. Los Angeles has lost 8 of the last 11 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 6 of the last 8 games vs. Texas.
50* Play Tampa Bay (-150) over Cleveland
Cleveland pitcher, Justin Masterson has lost 16 of the last 21 games as an underdog of +100 to +150 and he has also lost 12 of the last 15 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. Justin Masterson has lost 6 of the last 8 games when playing on a Sunday and he is 0-1 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.56.
50* Play Atlanta (-140) over Florida
Florida pitcher, Chris Volstad has lost 10 of the last 11 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has also lost 21 of the last 32 home games. Chris Volstad has lost 13 of the last 16 games when playing on natural grass fields and he is 0-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.07.
100* Play New York (+5.5) over Atlanta
Atlanta has lost 9 of the last 10 games against the spread and they have also lost 12 of the last 16 games against the spread when playing 5 or more games in the last 14 days. Atlanta has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread coming off a loss and they have also lost 7 of the last 9 games vs. New York.
Platinum Plays 400K Grand Slam
SF
Totals 4 U Guaranteed Lock
Atlanta Over
MTI Sports
TB/Clev un-9 (1:05)
Sea +140 (4:10)
Bal +120 (1:35)
LAA +210 (8:05)
DWAYNE BRYANT
ST LOUIS
Asian Executive (idiot)
Arena 2-4
CFL 2-4
WNBA 4-2
MLB -3.30
World Cup 1-1
NL Lock of the Year - Philadelphia
Vegas Linesmaker Mistake of the Month - Cincinnati
WNBA Lock of the Millenium - Atlanta
Totals 4 U
Top Play
ATL OVER 8.5
REG Plays
TB OVER 9
NYY OVER 10
Cincy UNDER 8.5
SF UNDER 8.5
Wicked Good Wagers
Minnesota Twins PICK
Oakland Athletics PICK
Texas Rangers -1.5
Dave Cokin
NY Mets/LA Dodgers Under 7
Toronto Blue Jays
DAVID MALINSKY
4* N.Y. YANKEES/KANSAS CITY OVER
A hot day in the Bronx with the wind blowing towards that short right field porch opens up the chance for some big innings here, with one pitcher particularly vulnerable, and the other over-valued. So we are in play.
We think that Sean O’Sullivan is absolutely in the wrong place at the wrong time this afternoon. He was nothing special at all at AAA Salt Lake City, with a 5-5/4.75 in which he allowed 95 Hits and 31 W’s in 85 IP, but when the Angels called him up he appeared from this mound on Tuesday and checked the Yankees on two runs over six frames. So what is his reward for that sparkler? A trade to the Royals, which not only takes him out of the playoff hunt, but sends him right back to this mound again, a most rare setting (ever?) in which a top flight offense gets two cracks at a mediocre pitcher in their home digs within the span of a week. And having been embarrassed the first time around, as well as from yesterday’s result, the right focus will absolutely be there.
Meanwhile here is what we wrote about Phil Hughes, prior to cashing a First Half ticket at a big underdog price against him on the 4th of July - Phil Hughes hit an early peak that he could not sustain, and has been in a steady decline. A 10-2/3.58 bottom line provides the high price tag, but note that Hughes was sitting on 5-0/1.38 on May 5th. Since then it has been a 5.33 allowance over eight starts, and the recent trending is even worse. Over the last three starts it falls to 6.87, with 22 hits vs. 13 K’s, after he had been at 56 hits vs. 68 K’s prior to that. But making matters worse is that two of those starts were vs. the Astros and Mariners, offenses that are 27th and 29th in the Major Leagues in runs. And four starts back he had more than twice as many hits (9) as K’s (4) vs. lowly Baltimore, which is 28th in runs. Now he steps way up in class against a Toronto attack that leads the league in HR’s, and that is a matchup problem for a guy that brings one of the highest fly ball ratios of any starter in the Majors (if you are looking for yet another Hughes number that will regress, his ratio of HR’s per Fly Ball has been abnormally low).
Since that writeup Hughes has been roughed up to a 6.00 tune over three starts, with five HR’s allowed in those 18 IP, and that includes seven strong inning against feeble Seattle in Safeco field. From the time that it became summer on the calendar he has had five home starts, working to an awful 7.58, allowing nine HR’s in 29.2 IP, and that sub-set includes such offensive lightweights as the Mariners, (again), Astros and Mets (on current form). This one has a chance to be loose and free-flowing throughout, with both sides getting plenty of good swings.
Beatyoubookie
Play San Francisco (-145) over Arizona (POD)
Arizona is 10-27 vs. division opponents this season
Arizona is 4-11 when playing in a Sunday this season
Arizona is 9-18 as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season
Rocketman
5* Clev +140
4* SD -140
3* SF -139
ASA
3* Cincinnati Reds -120
NSA
20* Yankees -1.5
20* Giants -140
20* Rays -145
Mike Lineback
4* POD - Padres / Pirates Over 8.5
Warm day with wind blowing out 10+ in hitters friendly PNC Park. Pitt start Lincoln is hardly over-powering, and coming off a horrible start vs. Milwaukee, and two of his L3 starts overall (10.12 ERA, 13.1 IP, 23 hits, 15 runs). Pirates games are averaging 11.12 rpg in his starts this season; 12.67 rpg at home. San Diego start LeBlanc has a solid arm. However, team has given up 4+ runs in 4 of his L5 starts, and is giving up 3.53 rpg on season, and 4.43 rpg in his road starts. Padres continue to play "Playoff" baseball, have won 7 of L9 overall, including first two games of series. They scored 14 runs in first 2 games, and have averaged 6 rpg during recent winning streak. Plus, Andrew McCutchen expected back today for Pirates, which gives them some more punch and speed at top of lineup. Like the Over.
ATS LOCK CLUB
5 Units Cincinnati Reds -115
4 Units Minnesota Twins -125