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(@blade)
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INDIAN COWBOY

4 Unit Play. Take the New York Yankees -1.5 Runs (-111) over the Texas Rangers

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 11:55 am
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Charlie

Miami/Tampa Bay Under 37, Rams/Bengals Under 34 & Jacksonville +7'. (500* 3 team rd robin).
Dodgers +135 (30*)
Boston -125 (20*)
Kansas City +140 (20*)
SF Giants -140 (10*)
Baltimore -120 (10*) free play

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 11:57 am
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Mike Neri

St Louis w/Carpenter -1.5 -120
Risk 2 Units to make 1.66 Units

Seattle w/Fister -155
Risk 1 Unit to make .64 Units

LA Angels w/Santana -192
Risk 1 Unit to make .52 Units

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 11:58 am
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

50* Play Florida (-220) over NY Mets

New York has lost 7 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games as an underdog of +200 or higher. Tim Redding has lost 6 of the last 7 road games as an underdog of +150 to +250 and he is 0-1 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.11.

50* Play NY Yankees (-220) over Texas

New York has won 5 of the last 7 games and they have also won 28 of the last 37 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. AJ Burnett has won 6 consecutive games as a home favorite of -175 and -250 and he is 3-1 vs. Texas over his career with an ERA of 3.69.

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 12:20 pm
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TONY BRUNO WINS

100X EAGLES (highest rated play)

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 12:42 pm
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DAVE MALINSKY
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4* Tampa/Miami Over 35

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:37 pm
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Mr East
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Miami Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4 units: Miami Dolphins +2.5 POD
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The Miami Dolphins have won their first 2 NFLX games, both at home. We now head to week 3 where the starters make a dress rehersal for the regular season, and all get the most minutes they will get in any game of the NFLX. Some coaches view these games as meaningless, and don't care, Tony Sparano is not one of them, and has even been quoted as saying, if they keep score, I'm gonna try and win. He has done just that since taking over the helm with the Dolphins as his teams are 5-1 under his leadership in NFLX play. There is also a system I have that dates back 12 years that shows teams in the situation Miami is in here, have covered at a rate of 71% ATS in one system, 34-21 in another, 20-7 in another, 16-4 in another, and a perfect 13-0 in yet another. Tampa Bay fits a system that is just 43% winners over 200 games, over the last 12 years as well. Week 3 is when teams come to play, and teams that had a better record the year before, as an underdog in week 3 have historically covered 58% of the time. I will go with Miami in this one.

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:38 pm
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We Cover Spreads

1* Rams +2.5
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As many people know week 3 in preseason in considered a "dress rehearsal" for NFL teams and considered to be the closest pace to a regular season game. Bengals Coach Marvin Lewis has said he doesn't feel this is a "dress rehearsal" for his team and starting running back Cedric Benson agreed with his head coach. It shows because Lewis is just 1-4 ATS in "dress rehearsal" a.k.a. week 3 of preseason games. He said he's not one of these guys that says his starters have to play into the third quarter of the third preseason game, and it will be much more like the New England game as far as the rotation. We don't want to lay any points with a coach or players with that attitude coming into this game.
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Both Carson Palmer and Marc Bulger will be out in this game and we have to give the edge to the Rams as far as the QB rotation goes. The starters will play most of the first half in this game for the Bengals. J.T. O'Sullivan will get the start again at QB and Coach Lewis has said that Jordan Palmer will see increased playing time this week. The Rams will be play starters the whole first half and Spagnuolo says he may even play them in some of the second half depending on what the total plays are at that point in the game. Don't expect to see Steven Jackson get more than five carries and back up Kenneth Darby isn't expected to play. So we will see Antonio Pittman(51 yards 5.6 YPC) and Samkon Gado(105 yards 9.5 YPC 1 TD) to expect a lot of reps.
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J.T. O'Sullivan for the Bengals has had a solid preseason putting up 241 yards and 2 TD's so far. The Rams will let Kyle Boller get the start who played decent and was 9/16 for 91 yards last week filling in for Bulger. A slight edge here goes to O'Sullivan who has better play makers surrounding him but once the second half comes around it's a whole different story.
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The second half rotation edge is huge for the Rams in this game. Jordan Palmer has yet to lead his offense to put up any points in the preseason when he is under center. As a matter of fact the Bengals haven't scored any second half points in the preseason yet. Last week against the Patriots backups he was 2/7 for 45 yards passing. The Rams have two guys battling for the final QB roster spot in Keith Null and Brock Berlin who have both impressed us this preseason; Berlin 98 yds 1 TD/0 Int 68.7% and Keith Null 72 yds 1TD /1 INT 72.7% . They should be giving it their all this week to prove why they deserve a job as the 3rd string QB on this team.
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The 20-13 loss for St.Louis last week against Atlanta is a little deceiving. The Matt Ryan led Falcons first string offense looked in regular season form going on 2 long drives putting up an easy 14 points. Once the second and third string players came in for both squads the Rams outscored them 13-6; now keep in mind the Bengals 2nd and 3rd string players have yet to put up any points so far in preseason as we said earlier.
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The Rams have outscored opponents 24-16 in the 2nd half of preseason games while the Bengals have been outscored 10-0 in the final 30 minutes of their 2 preseason games. Also remember the Patriots who the Bengals beat last week 7-6 have a very shaky QB rotation once Brady is done.
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Given the fact when O'Sullivan comes out we can expect Spag to drop one safety low and play one high when Palmer comes in the game looking to force the Bengals to air it out rather then pound the rock. With Jordan Palmer in the game that's risky for the Bengals considering his abilities or lack thereof.
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*Note*: This line has pretty much stayed at 2.5 at all books, we've saw 3 at only a couple of books but was very quickly bet back down to 2.5. Since we are releasing this a day ahead of time you may want to wait closer to kick off to see if you can grab it at 3 if it jumps back up since most of the public money is pouring in on Cincy; but so far it's looking like it's going to stay put at 2.5.

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:39 pm
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10* Take Jacksonville (+7.5) over Philadelphia (NFL Power Play)
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• 4-0 ATS when playing in the last two weeks of the pre-season
• 6-1 ATS in pre-season coming off a loss by 6 points or less
• 9-1 ATS in pre-season road games when the total is between 35.5 and 38 points
• 3-0 ATS in pre-season when playing on a Thursday

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:40 pm
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ALF MUSKETA
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Jaguars at Eagles
Pick: Jaguars +7.5
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The Eagles have a serious issue at the Offensive Line position. In their last game against the Colts four of their starting five OL were OUT. For this game they get back Stacy Andrews, but still out are Pro Bowl linemen Shaun Andrews and left tackle Jason Peters. Key players indeed. The Eagles QB rotation is McNab for the first half and then Kolb followed by Micheal Vick probably in the 4th quarter only. Kolb has looked awful and how good can Vick be at this point??
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Jax will come to play and they are working on moving the ball down field. getting +7 in a pre-season game is like getting +14 in the regular season.
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Take the points.

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:40 pm
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Allen Eastman
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5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Chicago White Sox at Boston
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This is my Game of the Week and I see another low scoring game. John Danks has put together three really good starts for the White Sox and the lefty should have his good stuff tonight against the Red Sox. On the other side, Junichi Tazawa is coming off a really good start (six innings, no runs) and has put together two quality starts in his three starts this month. Tazawa will be facing the White Sox for the first time which will be an advantage for him. He keeps the ball down and against a team that relies on the home run ball for so much offense. The 'under' is 7-1 in Chicago's last eight games, 12-4 in their last 16 road games, and 10-4 in John Danks' last 14 starts. Boston is just 1-5-1 against the total in their last seven games against the White Sox and Boston is 16-41-5 against the total in Game 4's. I think this one stays under by several runs.

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:42 pm
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INDIAN COWBOY
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4 Unit Play.Take the Detroit Shock -3.5 over the Atlanta Dream
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I love my Atlanta Dream. I enjoy watching them play but this is a tough spot for them. The Dream come off a big 20 point win over the Sacramento Monarchs. We were on the over in that game and it worked out for us - in fact, it was just earlier this week. They have defeated the Shock trice this season already by 5, 3 and 10 points. On top of that, with such a big win at home, I suspect the Dream might not have the edge today that they might otherwise have. Besides the Sparks, Detroit is on my list of teams that are streaking. They have really brought it together over the past week or so. This team is 12-14 and might actually make the playoffs despite a dismal start. Over the past four games, they have accomplished wonders. They have done this thorugh solid rebounding (4th in the league in defensive and 2nd in the league in offensive rebounding) and have improved their defense to 6th in the league in opponents points and 2nd in the league in opponents field goal percentage. This team went on the road to defeat Chicago 76-67 in a big win for this squad against a foe that is also competing for a playoff spot. Then, this team does not have a let down and wins back to back games against San Antonio and on the road at Connecticut. In fact, they have done something they have not done in quite some time - score back to back games worth of 90 points. With the Shock's momentum, I see it as very difficult for them to lose 4 times this season to the Dream. If this Detroit team can defeat a foe in Connecticut by 20 on the road, certainly, they can get up at home to defeat a team they have lost to three times to already this season. They have defeated a couple of contenders for a playoff birth already and Atlanta is likely next on the list at home.

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:43 pm
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KBHoops
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5* Indians +100 **POD**
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3* Jaguars +7.5
2* Bengals ML -145

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:50 pm
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igz1 sports
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4* Jacksonville +7.5
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3* Cinncinnati -2.5

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:52 pm
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Vegas Informer
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3 Unit Play. Take LA Angels -1½ +105 over Oakland
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Angels pitcher Ervin Santana has been especially good this month, as he's won all four of his August starts and posted a very solid 3.33 ERA. The LA Angels have won six of nine meetings with Oakland thus far in 2009 and tonight we should see the same results. The Angels are 24-8 when playing a team with a losing record. The A’s are 1-5 in their last 6 meetings against the Angels.

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3 Unit Play. Take Los Angeles -3 ½ over Phoenix
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Phoenix has won both meetings with Los Angeles this season by an average of 12.0 points, but the Sparks haven’t been at full strength for either of the games. So tonight “Revenge” will be on the minds of the LA Sparks. The Sparks are 9-3 in August after winning their sixth straight and tonight they go for number 7. The LA Sparks are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games.

 
Posted : August 27, 2009 1:55 pm
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