Rob Vinciletti
5* Rockies / Pirates Over
This game fits a 100% MLB Totals system that averages 13 runs per game. What we want to do is play the over for certain road favorites off a home win of 5 or more runs in vs an opponent off a home loss of 5 or more runs. The Rockies knocked off SF on Wednesday and now take on a Pirates team that was beaten good at home by thew Reds. Four of the 6 have gone over here in the series. The Rockies are averaging over 6 runs per game on .312 hitting the past week. The Pirates have youngster J. McDonald on the mound and he has been dreadful with a 7.20 era over his last 3 starts. Colorado counters with J. Francis. Francis has a 4.59 road era and a 6.67 era vs the Pirates. Look for this game to go over the total.
Giants / Braves Over
This game has a huge system attached tonight. Play the over for road favorites of less than -140 if the total is 8 or less and they are off a road dog loss, scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits with 5 or more men left on base and are taking on an opponent off a home favored win where they scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits. With Lincecum pitching the total is low at 7. However the Giants have played over in 8 of his 10 starts and he did allow 4 runs in 5 innings here in Atlanta. The Braves have J. Jurjens on the mound and he has a 4.67 era this year as he tries to capture in pre injury form. The Giants are averaging over 5 runs per game on .280 hitting the past week, and this game should fly over the total.
Dave Cokin
Solid Gold - Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
JR O'Donnell
2* Seattle -120
Let's lay the small price here as King Felix is the right side tonight, The public will be all over the Nolan Ryan owned Rangers this price. We will ride the King Hernandez train as he looks to improve on 7-8 & 2.90 ERA. The Jr EXPRESS is fading Texas Rangers hurler Hunter, he is coming off a nice nice run but was bombed for 7 runs by the Los Angels last outing. The Vegas odds makers have love tonight for the M's and we will ride the sharp action tonight.
Power Play Wins
Arizona -130
ROCKETMAN
5* San Francisco -105
San Francisco is 10-2 this year when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season. San Francisco has won 10 of their last 12 games overall and 6 of their last 7. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.32 ERA overall this year. Tim Lincecum is 11-4 with a 3.10 ERA overall this year, 4-1 with a 3.14 ERA on the road and 1-0 his last 3 starts. Lincecum is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA overall vs Atlanta since 1997. We'll play San Francisco for 5 units tonight!
Paul Leiner
50* Mariners -115
25* Phi/Fla Over 8
BIG AL
LA Dodgers
KIKI SPORTS
3 Units Seattle -115
1 Unit San Fran/ Atlanta under 7
1 Unit Cleveland +180
DAVID MALINSKY
4* PHILADELPHIA/FLORIDA Under
Whereas the 0-3/7.20 of Roy Oswalt since the All Star break could be a sign of future struggles to some, we instead see opportunity. There is absolutely nothing wrong with his stuff (he went into the break off of back-to-back shutouts), and even in those three defeats it has been a 4:1 ratio of K’s to W’s. His own take on a sloppy outing in his first start as a Phillie was that he had a little too much adrenaline, and took time to settle into a flow, and tonight we expect to see the Oswalt that Philadelphia dealt for, a steady veteran that can have an impact in the pennant race, and one that has worked to a 2.97 on the road this season. But with questions about the offense behind him sans Ryan Howard, Chase Utley and Shane Victorino, we will let the total be our path.
Yes, the Phillies have scored 13 runs in the first two games of this series. But a big part of Tuesday’s output came from Marlin defensive miscues. A misplayed fly ball by Cody Ross in CF had to be ruled a hit, which made unearned runs show as earned; Dan Uggla committed multiple errors, but was only charged with one, because of that “you can not assume a double play” scoring rule; and Hector Luna had two different balls go off of his glove at 3B that were ruled hits. Last night the seven runs came via a lone extra base hit, with the Marlin pitching staff giving up seven W’s. So let’s grade the Phillies as who they are, a team that does not bring a lot of sock from the bottom of the order, and until Jimmy Rollins finds his game (still mired at .243), not all that much at the top either.
Chris Volstad has worked to a 3.65 at home this season, with his only start from this mound since the All Star break a solid outing vs. Atlanta, and he is one of those idea “value” fits, a guy that does not generate market excitement, which helps to keep those 8’s in play, but brings more than enough for our purposes.
TEDDY COVERS
Phillies
Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Tampa Bay (-150) over Minnesota
Tampa Bay has won 9 of the last 12 games when playing on a Thursday and they have also won 21 of the last 31 day games. Wade Davis has won 6 consecutive games vs. AL Central Division Opponents and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.11.
50* Play Boston (-200) over Cleveland
Cleveland has lost 19 of the last 25 road games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and they have also lost 9 of the last 12 games vs. Boston on the road. Boston pitcher, Daisuke Matsuzaka has won 11 of the last 13 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents and he has also won 6 consecutive games when playing in the month of August.
50* Play Seattle (-9.5) over Connecticut
Seattle has won 24 of the last 25 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points and they have also won 11 of the last 12 games coming off a road game. Connecticut has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread and they have also lost 22 of the last 32 games against the spread after allowing 80 points or more.
Pro Tech Sports
5* Angels Over 9
NSA
20* Philly -125
20* Giants -110
20* Dodgers -155
Michael Cannon
25 Dime SF Giants
Mike Lineback
Rangers/Mariners Over