Asian Executive
Waive the Rating Lock Total of the First Half Season
White Sox Under - Program says the final scores will be 2-1 Angels.
David Malinsky
4* CHICAGO WHITE SOX over ANGELS
The major gap in team form between these two is not being priced properly at all for this setting, and with a limited Angel offense taking the field without Bobby Abreu and Hideki Matsui, it is now go-time.
The Chicago run has now reached a sizzling 20-5, including a 3-0 in this series controlled by a dominating count of 18-5, and that continues with John Danks here. After a brief slump Danks found his groove again at Texas in his last outing, not getting a “W” despite holding a good offense to two runs on four hits over 6 IP in a hitter’s park, and that matches an unfortunate blemish that he suffered against the Angels here earlier, getting tagged with a loss despite allowing only two earned runs on three hits over 7.2 IP, with eight K’s. Pencil him in for a big outing against this lineup, and a hot Chicago bullpen with plenty of depth can handle the limited work that will be needed from them.
Meanwhile an afternoon game in this ballpark with the wind blowing out is not the ideal setting for Ervin Santanta, who has one of the highest fly out ratio’s of any starter in the Major Leagues, and has already been tagged for 15 HR’s this season. We also catch him at a vulnerable time, off of 116, 120 and 114 pitches in his last three outings, and over his last five it has been a 2-3/5.63, despite having four of those starts coming at home, and only one vs. a winning team. And the bullpen behind him gives up a lot to their Chicago counterparts, creating edges to the home team throughout in this one.
John Ryan
10* Indians / Rays Under 9
Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 9 runs will be scored in this game. Tampa Bay is in a series of strong roles for this play to play UNDER. Note that the Rays are a solid 14-5 UNDER (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season; 12-3 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season; 13-4 UNDER (+8.7 Units) in home games versus teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season; 15-6 UNDER (+8.1 Units) after a win by 2 runs or less this season. Cleveland is batting just 240 and scoring 4.1 RPG against RH starters; 247 with a 314 WHIP scoring 4 RPG in 45 road games. Bullpen has been solid recently, but still struggle in road games posting a 5.84 ERA and a 1.695 WHIP. Rays are not an offensive dominant team, but their pitching is outstanding. Their bullpen boasts a 3.19 ERA and a 1.117 WHIP on the season and a 2.95 ERA and a 1.031 WHIP over the past 7 games. Westbrook has found his top form allow ing just 3 ER in his last 2 starts spanning 6 innings each. Over his last 3 games he has posted a 3.71 ERA and a 1.294 WHIP. Davis has won since May 29th, but he has arguably one of the best bullpens behind him in this game. With Cleveland not a strong offensive team we see Davis working a minimum of 5 innings. The more innings he works past the 5th the greater the probabilities rise for the UNDER to win the money. Take the UNDER.
SEABASS
100* Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
50* LA Angels
50* St Louis Cardinals
Stephen Nover
20 Dime Reds
15 Dime Marlins
10 Dime Indians
NSA
20* Yanks -150
20* Giants +105
20* Rockies -145
3G Sports
5* San Fran
5* W Sox
4* Arizona
ANTHONY REDD
50 DIME Seattle Mariners
The Duke's Sports
Cincinnati (-105) for 1.5 Units *'
The Reds are firing on all cylinders while the Phillies continue to be mired in a slump. Cincinnati, which is on a 12-4 run, sports a 7-1 road mark vs teams with winning home records. We'll look for the high run producing Reds to jump on Kyle Kendrick, whom they roughed up on June 28th. Kendrick, who blew by the Pirates in a complete game finish in his last start, shouldn't be measured in performance on that start; after all, the Pirates' light hitting lineup is not a good barometer to measure pitching performance. The Phillies are just 2-6 with Kendrick in their last 8 vs a winning team. Reds the call.
Brett Vancise
Matchup: Cincinnati at Philadelphia
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) CUETO, J vs. (R) KENDRICK, K
Play: Cincinnati (ML -102)
Johnny Cueto has found his form for Cincinnati, as the Reds righty has given up just 2 earned runs in his last 4 starts. Philadelphia has lost 7 of their last 10 games and have hit just .231 against right handed pitchers throughout that stretch. Phillies starter Kyle Kendrick is 2-2 with a 6.62 ERA at home this season and faces a Reds lineup that knocked him around to the tune of 8 hits and 6 earned runs over 6.1 innings at the end of June. Cueto picked up the win in that contest, and has a bullpen behind him that has a 2.62 ERA in their last 3 games. Cincinnati is the play.
RICH GREEN
3* Philadelphia Phillies Over 9
Jeff Benton
20 Dime Toronto Blue Jays
After an ugly three-start interleague stretch in which he allowed 18 runs (16 earned) in 15 2/3 innings (9.19 ERA), Toronto southpaw Brett Cecil got back on track Friday with a performance at Yankee Stadium. Cecil limited New York’s poweaful lineup to one run on four hits over six innings, and though he did walk a season-high six, he pitched out every jam he put himself in and Toronto eventually prevailed 6-1 in 11 innings.
Over his last six starts against American League competition, Cecil is 5-0 (only non-decision was Friday against the Yankees) with a 1.49 ERA, allowing two earned runs or fewer in all six contests. And with Cecil starting against the A.L., the Blue Jays are 9-2.
Cecil has faced the Twins just once in his career, and that was last September at home and he yielded just two runs over six innings in a 3-2 victory. That night, Cecil had to face Twins sluggeers Justin Morneau and Delmon Young, two guys who are questionable tonight (both were injured last night in Toronto’s 6-5, come-from-behind win).
Two additional reasons to side with the Blue Jays in this one: 1) With yesterday’s victory, they’re now 16-5 in the last 21 meetings with Minnesota and 11-4 in the last 15 clashes north of the border; and 2) Twins starter Scott Baker has been atrocious on the road this year (1-5, 6.55 ERA), giving up 10 home runs in 45 1/3 innings (and Toronto has led baseball all season in home runs). In his last five roadies, Baker has given up 23 runs (eight homers) in 29 2/3 innings (6.98 ERA). Also, Baker is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA – including six home runs allowed – in his last three starts against the Blue Jays.
Throw in the fact the Blue Jays have won 20 of their last 26 games as a home favorite while the Twins are in slumps of 2-6 on the road, 15-37 on the road against left-handed starters, 25-53 against the A.L. East, 2-8 in the third game of a series, 0-5 on getaway Thursday and 4-13 when Baker goes as an underdog, and all signs point to a comfortable win for the home team.
Bob Balfe
New York Yankees -151
The Mariners are on a bad losing streak and just cannot score enough runs to hang with a team like New York. Petitte is having a great season and the Yankees are on a nice winning streak of their own. This is an easy win with a low risk...take New York.
Executive
250% Blue Jays
ASA
3* CLEV/TB OVER 9