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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Thursday July 9,2009

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Chris Jordan

300♦ COLORADO ROCKIES (LIST Cook)
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Yesterday the Rockies delivered the entire package, the whole shi-bang. Behind pitcher Jorge De La Rosa, and an effective lineup, Colorado routed the Nationals, 10-4, to complete a three-game sweep and move out to 27-11 under Jim Tracy, who took over for Clint Hurdle.

The pitching has been there, as the rotation has been somewhat stifling the last five weeks, but it was the way the offense came around that has me impressed. And with a three-game win streak under their belts, the Rockies are going to make it four in a row with the Braves playing their seventh road game in as many days, not to mention their 10th game overall over the last 10 days.
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Meanwhile, the Rockies have been home since July 3 and are currently 4-2 on this home stand. And there’s no reason to believe they can’t finish off the first half with a sweep of these Braves, it could very well happen. Just look at this rotation: Jason Marquis is heading to the All-Star Game currently riding a 17-inning scoreless streak and leading the National League with 11 wins, Jason Hammel has won five of his last six decisions and today’s starter, Aaron Cook hasn't lost a decision since June 1.

Cook has won his last five decisions and sports a 1.98 ERA in his last six starts and is attempting to win his sixth consecutive decision - a personal and club record - tonight. He should be toeing the slab with plenty of confidence, as he tossed a four-hit shutout against the Braves at Turner Field back on May 21.
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Let’s play the Rockies today and list Cook for the win over Atlanta.

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 7:34 am
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igz1 sports
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3* Atlanta vs Colorado Under 9
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3* St. Louis -115

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 7:34 am
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PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS
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Toronto Blue Jays -Halladay -128
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Minnesota Twins - Liriano +115

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 8:37 am
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Rated Picks

MLB 07/09 Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies pick:
Philadelphia Phillies pts: -155 5 units

MLB 07/09 Washington Nationals at Houston Astros pick:
Houston Astros pts: -1.5 (+180) 3 units

MLB 07/09 Washington Nationals at Houston Astros pick:
Houston Astros pts: -120 2 units

MLB 07/09 Washington Nationals at Houston Astros pick:
under pts: 8.5 2 units

MLB 07/09 Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox pick:
Chicago White Sox pts: -1.5 (+165) 3 units

MLB 07/09 Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox pick:
Chicago White Sox pts: -130 3 units

MLB 07/09 Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox pick
Boston Red Sox pts: -190 2 units

MLB 07/09 Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox pick:
Boston Red Sox pts: -1.5 (+105) 2 units

Hottest Services Listed
Coldest Services Listed here
http://www.thespread.com/forum/index.php?topic=64640.0

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 8:47 am
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Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - COLORADO ROCKIES (Cook over Hanson)

30 DIMER - COLORADO ROCKIES (Cook over Hanson)
Yeah, the Braves took the last 2 played against the Cubs at Wrigley, but Chicago's offense has been puzzling at best this season. The same cannot be said for Colorado, as the Rockies offense has had no trouble of late mustering hits and runs, and tonight you watch them work the undefeated Tommy Hanson over, as they hand the youngster his first loss.Hanson has been solid, but his weakness is too many walks, and that is going to haunt him at Coors Field tonight.Aaron Cook is 8-3 for the year with a 3.76 ERA, and the Rockies latest winning streak is at 3 straight. The Rocks also went 3-1 at home last year against the Braves, and I see no reason they won't come through minus the small home wood this Thursday night.These teams have split 4 games this year, with Cook picking up one of the Colorado wins, as he went the distance without allowing an earned run.
Take Colorado as my 30 Dime Winner # 3 in a row!

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 9:33 am
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SportsOddsAndPicks

OVER 10 RUNS Cleveland at Chicago
BOSTON -1.5 RUNS (+110) over Kansas City

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 9:35 am
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Tim Trushel

20* Tampa Bay Rays Under

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 9:37 am
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Stu Feiner

Stu's 100 Dime Baseball
NATIONALS @ ASTROS 8:05 ET
LANNAN IS HAVING AN EXCELLENT YEAR FOR A VERY POOR TEAM. HE IS 6-5 ON THE YEAR WITH AN ERA OF 3.45. HE HAS WON HIS ONLY START AGAINST HOUSTON THIS YEAR AND IS 3-0 LIFETIME. IN HIS LAST 21 INNINGS HE IS 2-0 WITH AN ERA OF 3.86. ORTIZ HAS NOT PITCHED WELL ALL YEAR. 3-4 WITH AN ERA OF 4.11. HE HAS LOST HIS LAST TWO STARTS WITH AN ERA OF 5.40. WASHINGTON GETS A RARE ROAD W.
WASHINGTON +110 FOR A 100 DIME SELECTION

Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #2
BRAVES @ ROCKIES 8:40 ET
HANSON HAS BEEN ALMOST PERFECT. 4-0 WITH AN ERA OF 2.25. HIS TEAM IS 5-1 IN HIS SIX STARTS AND IS 2-0 ON THE ROAD. IN HIS LAST 18 INNINGS HE IS 2-0 WITH AN ERA OF .50. ALTHOUGH COOK IS 8-3 FOR THE ROCKIES, HIS TEAM IS ONLY 8-9 IN HIS 17 STARTS. BRAVES WILL GET ROAD WIN HERE.
BRAVES +120 FOR A 100 DIME SELECTION

Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #3
PADRES @ GIANTS 10:15 ET
GIANTS PITCHER LINCECUM WILL AVENGE HIS EARLIER LOSE TO THE PADRES THIS YEAR. HE HAS BEEN UNHITTALBE THIS YEAR. 9-2 WITH AN ERA OF 2.23 AND 4-1 AT HOME. HIS LAST 25 INNINGS ARE AMAZING. 3-0 WITH AN ERA OF .36. GIANTS WILL BLOWOUT THE PADRES.
GIANTS ON A RUN LINE FOR A 100 DIME SELECTION

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 9:38 am
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Jefferson-sports

Toronto under 8.5

Sorry
about the Duplication.
Still asleep from Wednesday

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 9:43 am
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Doc's Sports

3-Unit Play Take # 901 St. Louis Cardinals -110
3-Unit Play Take # 920 Chicago White Sox -125
3-Unit Play Take #911 Florida Marlins -115

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 9:44 am
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Savannah Sports
3 (***) Cleveland +110

Ben Burns
under 8.5 Jays/Rays

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 10:01 am
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Play Toronto (-130) over Tampa Bay (TOP MLB PLAY)
Tampa Bay has lost 25 of the last 36 games when the line posted is between +150
to -150 and they have also lost 7 of the last 10 games coming off a game where
their bullpen blew a save. Tampa Bay has lost 9 of the last 13 games coming off
a combined score of 15 runs or more and David Price is 1-2 over the last 3
starts with an ERA of 9.01. Roy Halladay has won 16 of the last 24 day games
and he is 4-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.52.

100* Play LA Dodgers (-150) over NY Mets (TOP MLB PLAY)
Los Angeles has won 28 of the last 41 games when the total posted is between 8.5
and 10 runs and they have also won 21 of the last 30 games coming off a loss.
Los Angeles has won 8 of the last 10 games after batting .240 or worse over the
last 10 games and Randy Wolf is 11-5 vs. New York over his career with an ERA of
3.30. New York has lost 9 of the last 12 games and Livan Hernandez is 0-3 over
the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.35.

50* Play Seattle (-175) over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Seattle has won 15 of the last 20 home games coming off a loss and they have
also won 2 consecutive games as a home favorite of -175 to -200. Felix
Hernandez has won 12 of the last 16 games when the total posted is between 7 and
8.5 runs and he is also 8-3 this season with an ERA of 2.62.

50* Play Boston (-190) over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Kansas City has lost 5 of the last 6 games as an underdog of +175 to +200 and
they have also lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a Thursday. Kansas
City has lost 110 of the last 173 games when the total posted is between 9 and
9.5 runs and Luke Hochevar is 0-2 vs. Boston over his career with an ERA of
6.94. Boston has won 3 of the last 4 games and they have also won 18 of the
last 19 games coming off four or more consecutive home games.

WNBA Hoops
100* Play Seattle (-9)
over Sacramento (WNBA TOP PLAY)
Seattle has covered the spread in 6 consecutive home games when playing in the
month of July and they have also covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 home
games when playing their 2nd game in 5 days. Seattle has covered the spread in
11 of the last 13 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and they have also
covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 games when the total posted is between
140 and 149.5.

CFL Football
100* Take Montreal (-7)
over Edmonton (TOP CFL FOOTBALL PLAY)
Edmonton has lost 10 of the last 14 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
and they have also lost 14 of the last 20 road games. Edmonton has lost 6 of
the last 9 games coming off a win by 8 points or less and they have also lost 10
of the last 14 games vs. Montreal on the road.

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 10:04 am
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Discreat Cat

Thursday, July 9, 2009

No plays on Wednesday.
Hollywood - Race 1

#3 Octogarian (3/1 ml)
First-time starter by the freshman sire Rock Hard Ten has been working strongly for top 2yo trainer Doug O'Neill, most notably in company with stakes-winning barnmate Classical Slew. Looms a serious threat to the heavy favorite Mi Sueno.

Hollywood - Race 4
#3 She's Borracho (5/1 ml)
Consistent filly moves to the barn of Robert Troeger, who has only started 4 horses all year, but is 2-for-2 at the meet. Adds blinkers for the new outfit, and recently posted a bullet 6-furlong move. Figures dead-fit off the recent route effort, and could be rolling late here vs. a heavy favorite (#1A Stash) that's had some trouble finishing races. Should offer some value in this spot.

Hollywood - Race 5
#8 Over Andover (3/1 ml)
Drysdale maiden improved dramatically when stretched out to two turns and adding Lasix for her second career start, making sharp progress up the rail approaching the turn, but wound up absolutely buried behind a wall of horses into the lane and even had to be steadied by the rider. Continued on while waiting for room and finally was swung way out for room around the sixteenth pole and took off strongly, splitting horses in deep stretch to just miss at the wire while gaining quickly. Think this one may have a bit more speed than shown as she was shuffled back a bit early last time, and with the outside draw here and a decent run into the turn i think she can be sitting mid-pack while racing in the clear this time. A clear run with even the slightest bit of improvement figures to make her very tough.

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 10:07 am
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Craig Davis

75 Dime ---- GIANTS (With Lincecum) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over PADRES (With Geer)
10 Dime ---- MARINERS (With Hernandez) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over RANGERS (With Hunter)

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (with Lincecum) -1 1/2 runs over SAN DIEGO (with Geer) --- I'm back with another fairly strong run line winner tonight, just two days after the biggest play (and win) of my career... a 100-dime winner on the Detroit Tigers. Tonight's play is not quite as strong, but I'm very confident the Giants will beat the Padres by at least two runs, giving us another big play winner.It's not often I bounce back from one big play only to release another one, but that's how confident I am in Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco Giants tonight, especially at home. Before I even get into the pitching matchup, let's just look at the two teams in question. First off, the San Diego Padres are dreadful, owning the cellar in the NL West with a 35-49 record... a full 18 games behind the Dodgers for first place. The Padres have very little starting pitching, shaky defense and an offense that's batting just .236 for the season. They are a dismal 12-28 on the road and are 19-43 in their last 62 games on the road, dating back to last year. San Diego was just swept in a three-game series in Arizona by the Diamondbacks, scoring just 10 runs in those three games. San Francisco, on the other hand, is 46-38 on the season, including an impressive 28-13 home record. They just finished off a nice series win over Florida, although they did flounder a bit in the final game of the series, getting shut out 7-0 because they couldn't figure out Chris Volstad. The last time the Giants were shut out (ironically it was to Florida back in June), they bounced back the following night to score 9 runs in a 9-4 win. Before that (in May), an 8-0 loss to the Dodgers turned into a 7-5 Giants the following night. Granted, it's a small sample size, but the Giants have twice proven how well they bounce back from being shut out the previous game.Now, to the pitchers. There's really no need to give Tim Lincecum an intro... you all know what he's capable of, especially recently. The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner is 9-2 on the season with a 2.36 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP, and that includes a 4-1 record at home. So, what's he done recently? Oh, only a 0.36 ERA and a 0.64 ERA in his last three starts, including two straight shut outs over Houston and St. Louis. Lincecum owns a 3-2 record in his career vs. San Diego, which also includes a 1.43 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP and an opponents' batting average against of .201. Though his results have been mixed vs. San Diego (all on the road) this year, he completely dominated them last year, shutting them out, 7-0, in September which was preceeded by a 5-0 shutout win in August. Bottom line: San Diego doesn't score much against Lincecum, especially on the road, and will be lucky to scratch across a single run tonight.Josh Geer counters for the Padres tonight, and just doesn't seem to get the best out of himself when he pitches on the road. Geer has 6 starts on the road in 2009, and has yet to win one of them, not to mention is 6.55 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. And I forgot to mention that opponents are hitting .305 vs. Geer when he pitches away from San Diego. He's allowed 10 ERs in his last two road outings and 15 in his last three, telling me all I need to know... he just can't get the job done as the visitor.
The Padres have actually taken 6 of 8 meetings with San Franciso so far this year, but all six of those wins were at home... the two losses, as expected, were on the road. The Giants are 10-4 in Lincecum's last 14 home starts and 40-18 in their last 58 as a favorite. I don't see Lincecum letting up right before the All Star break... I expect him to only get better. He may be only 5-foot, 10-inches tall and 170 pounds, but this guy is no lightweight. If he continues at this pace he could find himself with back-to-back Cy Young awards. Tonight I expect nothing short of another dominating performance, and that's why I'm making it my top play of the day.

SEATTLE (With Hernandez) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over TEXAS (With Hunter) The Seattle Mariners will get at least a two-run win over the Texas Rangers behind the arm of Felix Hernandez tonight at home. The Rangers are fresh off a thrashing of the L.A. Angels in which Andruw Jones smacked three home runs. The Rangers now own first place in the AL West Division and are a full 4 1/2 games in front of the Mariners, but they're going to have their hands full with Felix Hernandez tonight. Though Hernandez has lost his last five decisions to Texas (not to mention his 4-9 record and 4.35 ERA in 18 starts against them), you have to give him credit for his last outing in Texas... seven scoreless innings, allowing just four hits and one walk in an eventual 3-2 loss. Hernandez is 4-0 in his last 8 starts, including an ERA of just 1.20 and was named AL Pitcher of the month for June.
Seattle blew a 3-0 lead in the top of the 9th last night, falling to Baltimore 5-3 because of two costly errors by Jose Lopez. That can't sit well with Ichiro and the rest of the Mariners, and after failing to score in the final six innings of last night's loss, I imagine they are going to jump all over young Tommy Hunter tonight. I know he's been very solid since being called up, but this is a big spot on the road agaisnt an angry offense and a pitcher throwing his best right now. Seattle is 9-3 in their last 12 when listed as the favorite, 5-0 in Hernandez's last five starts and 6-1 in his last seven starts when listed as the favorite. It's not easy going from Anaheim to Seattle with no days' rest, but that's what Texas is going to attempt to do. Too much of a mismatch tonight in the favor of the home team.

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 10:10 am
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Matt Fargo

8* WNBA SUPREME ANNIHILATOR 67% RUN

NY Liberty

 
Posted : July 9, 2009 10:14 am
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