Chris Jordan
300♦ N.Y. YANKEES (LIST Chamberlain over Richmond) - The Yankees are the hottest team in baseball, they entered this series on a 31-10 run and quite frankly, I don’t know if the Jays stand a chance in this entire series. In sending Joba Chamberlain to the hill, the Yanks now begin with the same foursome that swept the Red Sox over the weekend. And Chamberlain is going to be out to avenge a so-so start against the Red Sox, who worked him for a 108 pitches over five innings. Of course he earned the victory thanks to the now infamous eight-run fourth inning that arguably sparked the sweep of the Sox.
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Chamberlain allowed four runs on six hits to Boston while walking a season-high seven as he appeared to be too strong for his own good, pitch off of extra rest. Now, on four days rest, he should be just right in making an attempt at his fifth consecutive win. The power right-hander, who hasn’t lost since June 18, has that extremely quick arm and comes straight over the top with the two- and four-seam fastballs that range from about 92 miles per hour and 97.
Since the All-Star break he is 4-0 with a 2.02 ERA in four starts, and he’s getting it done by keeping hitters off balance with that quick, late-biting slider that has tremendous depth, plus his tightly spun curveball.
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He’ll get plenty of run support, as Toronto’s Scott Richmond toes the slab for the first time since July 31, which was his first outing after a month-long stint on the disabled list with a sore right arm. In that return outing, against the A's, the 29-year-old rookie allowed six runs - four of them earned - on seven hits over just three innings. This isn’t exactly the best spot to come back either, as the red-hot Yankees will be looking to pound the ball. Lay the run line here.
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300♦ TWINS (LIST Blackburn over Davies) - While Nick Blackburn is 0-2 in his last three starts, all of which the Twins have lost, it’s hard to ignore the fact Kansas City starter Kyle Davies has a sky-high 14.29 ERA in his last three starts. It goes deeper than that, which I’ll get to in a minute, but the fact is he’s been horrible for the Royals and the Twins will take full advantage of the mismatch today.
Okay, so what exactly am I talking about when I say it goes deeper, well, Davies is 1-7 in his last eight starts. And while that stretches back to June because the right-hander spent some time at Triple-A Omaha, his return to the Royals wasn’t exactly what they hoped for. He lasted just 3-2/3 innings and allowed a season-high eight runs on eight hits. So while he was 4-2 with a 2.14 ERA in eight starts with Omaha, his season in the bigs has been a disaster.
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Davies is a flyball pitcher and that’s never a good thing inside the Homer Domer. All it will take is an early-inning surge by the Twins, because it’s no secret Davies doesn’t trust his stuff at times and will tend to run up his pitch counts.
Nah, I’m going to put my faith in the right-handed Blackburn, who made huge strides in the right direction after opening the second half with three sub-par outings in Oakland, in Anaheim and at home against the Angels. He had given up 17 earned runs in his previous three starts, which spanned 15-1/3 innings.
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Fast track to last Thursday, against the Indians, Blackburn looked as if he regained the dominating form he displayed in the first half, tossing 6-1/3 innings, giving up two runs on seven hits and striking out two. He should have plenty of confidence in this one, as Blackburn is 1-1 with a stifling 2.25 ERA in three career starts against Kansas City.
Love the Twins tonight, as they continue their drive in the Wild Card race and quite possibly the AL Central Division.
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300♦ ROCKIES (LIST Cook) - The Pirates hit the road for the first time since July 29, and have to start the trip in Denver, where the Rockies have declared war in the National League with fellow West Division member San Francisco for the Wild Card lead. And while the Giants are hosting NL-leading Los Angeles, the Rockies will see this as an opportunity to gain some ground.
The Pirates have lost eight straight – a skid that began with two losses to lowly Washington – and again, all of these losses came at home. Now they take on Aaron Cook, who left his last start - a 3-1 loss to the Phillies - after five innings and 73 pitches with a hyperextended right big toe. In that contest, Cook faced off against the Phillies' Cliff Lee, but threw two bad pitches that proved to be the difference. Fact is this will be a game the right-hander will be looking to dominate, while avenging that last outing.
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Confidence should abound at Coors Field, where Cook is 4-1 with a 4.35 ERA. Keep in mind, he’s a strike thrower, and he pounds the zone with a heavy sinker that ranges in the mid 90s. He’s talented enough to command it to both sides of the plate, and when you’re taking on a lethargic offense like this one, you tend to dominate by toying with hitters and setting them up easily. His curve is a decent out pitch, he has a solid change and the best thing about a guy like this, especially at Coors, is he keeps the ball in the park. Lay the run line tonight, as I love the Rockies to destroy Pittsburgh.
SportsOddsAndPicks
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FLORIDA -115 (with Volstad) over Houston
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Texas at Cleveland OVER 9.5 RUNS
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TAMPA BAY -115 (with Price) over LA Angels
Robert Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #915 L.A. Dodgers (-135) over San Francisco
2-Unit Play. Take #926 Minnesota (-1.5, -110) over Kansas City
2-Unit Play. Take #908 Milwaukee (-135) over San Diego
1.5-Unit Play. Take #922 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, -140) over Toronto
1.5-Unit Play. Take #929 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Seattle
1-Unit Play. Take #904 Atlanta (-1.5, +115) over Washington
1-Unit Play. Take #912 Colorado (-1.5, +100) over Pittsburgh
1-Unit Play. Take #910 St. Louis (-150) over Cincinnati
1-Unit Play. Take #917 Texas (+110) over Cleveland
Today's Totals
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Houston at Florida
0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Detroit at Boston
0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Toronto at N.Y. Yankees
0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Chicago White Sox at Seattle
0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Tampa Bay at L.A. Angels
Ron Raymond
oakland-baltimore over 9,5
MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY
Rays -110 (4 Units)
Red Sox/Tigers Over 10 (2 Units)
Ben Burns
Personal Favorite Cleveland Indians
HalfBets
Philadelphia v. Chicago 8pm
PICK: Phillies ML +120 (7*)
Number 1 Service
There Site is Called SSG
Charlie Sports
mlb. texas @ cleveland over 9' runs
dodgers-130 (500* 2 team parlay).
mlb. tampa bay-115(30*)
mlb. white sox-150 (20*)
mlb. boston-125 (20*)
mlb. st. louis-145 (10*)
mlb. milwaukee-135 (10*) free play
BIG AL
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Astros at Marlins
Pick: Astros +105
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At 7:10pm our selection is on the Houston Astros over the Florida Marlins. Despite being a mere shell of the teams they had four or five years ago, the Astros are still hovering right around the .500 mark and are only about six games out of the NL Central Division lead. And they've been hanging around without the services of arguably their most productive offensive player in first-baseman Lance Berkman, who's been out with a calf injury since shortly after the All-Star break. But Berkman says he's feeling better and he may in fact return for this game, which would be just fine with starter Roy Oswalt, himself coming off an injury to his back which caused him to leave his last start on July 8 after only 1 2/3 innings, although Oswalt did not go on the DL. Florida's Chris Volstad cruised into the All Star break with a complete game shutout on July 8 at San Francisco, but since the second half began, Volstad has not been very effective, giving up four earned runs in three of his five starts and winning just twice during that time. The Marlins really struggle when Volstad pitches at home as the team is just 4-7 in Volstad's 11 starts at Landshark Stadium. The opposite has been true for Oswalt when he pitches away from Houston lately as his team has been victorious in six of his last seven road starts. Take the 'Stros.
The Duke's Sports
Tampa Bay Over (10) [Price/Santana] for 2 Units **
Rays/Angels 10:05: This game has the making of an easy "over". Both of tonight's
starters are struggling in their respective roles; for example, Price has done well in
Tampa but on the road he is struggling (8.20 ERA). The Angels are patient hitters and
should light into the young southpaw; after all, LA is 22-6-1 O/U vs starters with a WHIP
greater than 1.30. And the Angels' Ervin Santana is having a disastrous season,
especially at home (12.38 ERA). Santana sports a bloated 6.04 ERA in 9 starts vs the
Rays. Also of note, the Angels are 17-5-1 O/U at home when the 'total' is set in this
range. "Over" the call.
Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Atlanta (-175) over Washington (MLB TOP PLAY)
Washington has lost 12 consecutive games after batting .333 or higher over the last five games and they have also lost 40 of the last 49 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Washington has lost 3 consecutive games vs. Atlanta on the road and they have also lost 23 of the last 28 games as a road underdog of +150 or higher. John Lannan has lost 18 of the last 23 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is also 3-7 in road games with an ERA of 5.62.
50* Play Baltimore (-160) over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Trevor Cahill has lost 6 of the last 7 road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he has also lost 5 of the last 6 games vs. AL East Division Opponents. Trevor Cahill has lost 5 of the last 7 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he is also 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 9.37.
50* Play Chicago White Sox (-130) over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Seattle has lost 40 of the last 68 games when playing on a Tuesday and they have also lost 20 of the last 31 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175.
WNBA HOOPS
50* Play Detroit (+3.5) over Washington (WNBA Hoops Play)
Washington has lost 9 consecutive games against the spread as a home favorite of 6 points or less and they have also lost 15 of the last 20 home games against the spread when the total posted is between 140 and 149.5 points. Washington has lost 10 consecutive games coming off three or more straight games with 45 or more rebounds and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread coming off a loss by 15 points or more.
Last Night
Fantasy Sports Gametime 3-0
100* Play Florida (-155) (MLB TOP PLAY)
50* Play St. Louis (-160) (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Arizona (-150)(MLB BONUS PLAY)
This is the Reason we List top 5 Services
Winning Units
Underdogs Listed
Bang for the Buck
This is Good
BUTT
Playing -160 to -180 Favorites
You have to win 75 % of the Time
There Record is 63.3 %
Donnie Black
Chi Cubs
RatedPicks
Florida Marlins: -1.5 (+190) 3 units
*BP*Florida Marlins: -115 5 units
Atlanta Braves: -185 3 units
Milwaukee Brewers: -145 3 units
Kelso
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Highrollers Baseball
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15 Units Brewers (-145) over Padres
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MILWAUKEE BREWERS (55-56) -145 over San Diego Padres (47-66) Pitching for Milwaukee: RH Braden Looper (10-5, 4.84) Pitching for San Diego: LH Clayton Richard (5-3, 4.49) Brewers Trend Profile: Last 10: 5-5, Streak: Lost 1, Home Record: 27-26, Against LHP: 15-13. Padres Trend Profile: Last 10: 6-4, Streak: Lost 1, Road Record: 17-36, Against RHP; 28-44. Starting Time: 8:05 TV: TV4 San Diego, Fox Sports Wisconsin Comments: Forgive me, but I’m not buying in to the recent winning performances of the San Diego Padres. They are a bad baseball team and my money says on this road trip it returns to earth and reverts to the team that opened July 4-20. Just my opinion, but I believe it. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.
Jonathon Stone:
Yankees RL
Twins RL