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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday June 30, 2009

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(@biotrends)
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB Baseball
100* Play Philadelphia (+115)
over Atlanta (TOP MLB PLAY)
Philadelphia has won 9 of the last 11 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a Tuesday. Philadelphia has won 12 of the last 18 games as a road underdog of +100 to +150 and they have also won 16 of the last 23 road games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost 14 of the last 18 games vs. Philadelphia at home and Derek Lowe is 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 12.35.
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100* Play Toronto (+110) over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)
Tampa Bay has lost 9 of the last 12 games when playing on a Tuesday and they have also lost 15 of the last 21 road games when the line posted is between -100 and -150. Matt Garza has lost 11 of the last 13 games as a road favorite of -110 or higher and he has also lost 14 of the last 19 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Scott Richmond has won 4 of the last 5 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has an ERA of 3.64 in all starts this season.
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50* Play Arizona (-135) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Cincinnati has lost 9 of the last 10 home games coming off a win by 6 runs or more and they have also lost 9 of the last 11 games after allowing one run or less in the previous game. Bronson Arroyo has lost 27 of the last 38 games when pitching in the month of June and he is also 1-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 8.21.
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50* Play Florida (-165) over Washington (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Washington has lost 28 of the last 34 games vs. division opponents and they have also lost 18 of the last 21 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Washington has lost 7 consecutive games vs. Florida this season and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games when playing on a Tuesday. Craig Stammen has lost 4 consecutive games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs.
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WNBA
100* Play Minnesota (+4.5)
over Atlanta (TOP WNBA PLAY)
Atlanta has lost 11 of the last 14 games against the spread when playing their 3rd game in 5 days and they have also lost 9 of the last 11 games against the spread coming off a loss by 10 points or more. Minnesota has covered the spread in 13 of the last 17 games vs. Eastern Conference Opponents and they have also covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games coming off a win by 10 points or more.
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Posted : June 30, 2009 10:27 am
(@biotrends)
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1 OF WUNDERDOGS RUN LINE PLAYS
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Game: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Pittsburgh +1.5 runs -150 (runline)
Someone is not paying attention here, and it is the oddsmakers. Ohlendorf has led the Pirates to a 6-1 mark in his last seven home starts. Against a Cubs team that has just 15 road wins in 39 tries, and four of the 15 came by a single run, so they would of covered -1.5 on the road in just 11 of 39! Those are not the kind of numbers you want to hitch your cart to, especially against an under the radar Pirates team winning 21 of 36 at home, and recently unbeatable at home if given +1.5 runs, as they would be 15-2 in their last 17. I’m going with the Pirates on the runline.

Service Trends
Pitching Trends
Which Service Won the Most Underdog
http://www.thespread.com/forum/index.php?topic=64488.0
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Out of Premium Service Plays."
Thank You

 
Posted : June 30, 2009 11:11 am
(@blade)
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Robert Ferringo
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GOTM Take Boston (-125) over Baltimore
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Take Detroit (-120) over Oakland
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Take Minnesota (-135) over Kansas City
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Take Chicago Cubs (-130) over Pittsburgh
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Take L.A. Angels (+105) over Texas
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Today's Totals
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Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Boston at Baltimore
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Philadelphia at Atlanta
Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Chicago at Cleveland
Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Seattle at N.Y. Yankees
Take ‘Under’ 8.0 N.Y. Mets at Milwaukee
Take ‘Over’ 10.0 L.A. Angels at Texas
Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Washington at Florida
Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Arizona at Cincinnati
Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Chicago at Pittsburgh

 
Posted : June 30, 2009 11:32 am
(@blade)
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Tony Salinas
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24* Marlins -165 over Nationals
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26* La Angels +115 over Rangers
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25* Devilrays/Bluejays UNDER 8½

 
Posted : June 30, 2009 11:47 am
(@blade)
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Erin Rynning
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Florida Over
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Atlanta Over
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Toronto

 
Posted : June 30, 2009 11:57 am
(@biotrends)
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SMART MONEY
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#961 Giants Over
#601 Minnesota Over WNBA
#968 Yankees
#916 Orioles
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Posted : June 30, 2009 12:09 pm
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Wunderdog Sports
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Sport: WNBA Basketball
Lynx @ Dream
Pick: 5 unit(s) ATS: Atlanta Dream -5 (-110) (Game of the Month)

Atlanta has already won as many games as they did all of last season, and is one of the most improved teams in the WNBA. The same could be said for Minnesota, until Simeone Augustus went down with an injury. The Lynx scored against Phoenix, which everyone does, but they are clearly not as potent of a team without their star player. The Dream, has quietly scored 81 or more points in each of their five home games, and is a big threat on home hardwood. They are 3-2 at home with one of the losses in OT. The Lynx are struggling to get on a run, as they are now 4-11 ATS after a win, and the Dream is now 4-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. I'm going with Atlanta here.
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Handicapper: Wunderdog Sports
Sport: MLB Baseball
Diamondbacks @ Reds
Pick: 5 unit(s)
MONEYLINE: Cincinnati Reds +130 (Game of the Month)
Dan Haren has put up some exceptional numbers over his career, and has to be considered a top pitcher in MLB right now. He is 71-57 for his career with an ERA of 3.57. There is a caveat to all of that though, as Haren has never pitched behind a team with a particularly strong offense, and has had to fight and scratch for every win. That is certainly true on the road, where he has pitched his teams to just a 31-28 mark. Right now Arizona is struggling mightily, dropping five straight, eight of nine, and 17 of 24. The Reds are 9-3 in Arroyo's last 12 starts as a dog, and the D-Backs are just 3-13 in their last 16 against right-hand pitching.
I’m going with the Reds in this one.
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Posted : June 30, 2009 12:13 pm
(@blade)
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Scott Delaney

40 DIME RAYS
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This kid Matt Garza is real-deal Holyfield, and will emerge as one of the best pitchers in baseball over the next few years. Believe that. And with off-speed abilities, and the Rays’ recent surge, they will earn their season-high seventh straight win. The Rays have passed the Blue Jays in the American League East, they have their sights set on the Yankees, and they’re gunning for the Red Sox.

The Blue Jays continue to show us the hot-and-cold streaks. On May 18, the Blue Jays were 3-1/2 games ahead of Boston after winning 27 of their first 41 games. The Rays on the other hand had clawed their way back to .500 (20-20) after losing 14 of their first 22. Ever since, Toronto has lost 23 of 37 while Tampa Bay has won 23 of 38 to move two games within the Blue Jays for third place in the East.
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This team is playing tremendous with its offense, as they’ve scored a major league-best 438 runs. And as we saw last night, Blue Jays' offense continued to struggle after a rough weekend against the defending champion Phillies. They were limited to no runs and two hits through the first six innings, and barely scratched their way into the game last night.
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Garza might be a mere 3-3 in six starts against the Blue Jays, but he has a stingy 1.99 ERA and is 3-0 when receiving at least one run of support. Take the Rays tonight, as they continue their torrid run.

 
Posted : June 30, 2009 12:48 pm
(@biotrends)
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Craig Davis
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25 Dime ---- PADRES
10 Dime ---- DIAMONDBACKS (With Haren as listed pitcher)
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Posted : June 30, 2009 12:56 pm
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Rocketman Sports
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3 Unit Play Mets Johan Santana - $1.35
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Posted : June 30, 2009 1:06 pm
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Paul Leiner
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100* Over 8.5 Atl/Phi
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50* Rangers -115
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25* Mets -140

 
Posted : June 30, 2009 1:21 pm
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Stu Feiner
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CHICAGO CUBS -130
1000 DIME SELECTION
CUBS GET TO 500 TONIGHT ON THE ARM OF LEFTY TED LILLY.
HE IS 7-5 ON THE YEAR BUT HIS TEAM HAS WON 10 OF HIS 15 STARTS.
ONE THING IS FOR SURE HE OWNS THE PIRATES.
3-0 LIFETIME AND HE WILL GET HIS FOURTH LIFETIME WIN
AGAINST THE PIRATES PITCHING A SHUTOUT.
CUBS WILL SHELL OHLENDORF AND PUT UP PLENTY OF RUN
SUPPORT FOR CUBS TED LILLY.

 
Posted : June 30, 2009 1:38 pm
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Jack Clayton
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4* (979) Tigers at Oakland A's: Detroit is moving up offensively, at 11th in MLB in runs scored after struggling early in the season. The first place Tigers just won 8 of 10 games, with Brandon Inge and Curtis Granderson tying for the team lead with 18 homers. The bullpen is solidified now with Fernando Rodney nailing 17th saves in 17 tries. The Tigers will need reliever Joel Zumaya to come up big in the seventh and eighth innings the rest of the year, if they hope to keep this thing rolling. Starter Armanado Galarraga is off a strong game, picking up his fourth win of the season. He finished with four runs in six innings while striking out five and walking one. He faces a terrible offensive team in Oakland. I'm not sold on young starter Gio Gonzalez (0-1, 8.03 ERA), who is not only hittable but has walked 9 batters in just 12 innings. The visitors hold all the cards. Play the Tigers.
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3* Astros at (964) Padres. A couple of bad teams meet here, but finding San Diego as a home dog to Mike Hampton should raise some eyebrows. Hampton has 4 wins and 5 losses and an ERA that's below average, though not terrible. On the other hand, his numbers are not good, walking too many (27 in 67 innings), and has allowed 97 base runners in those 67 IP. If you've seen the Houston reports all season, they've reported that Hampton has below average stuff and the only reason he's in the rotation is they have limited options. San Diego is actually decent at home with a good record, a winning one. San Diego starter Josh Banks (2.84) has been good and the Astros have never seen him before. Houston is 25th in the NL in runs scored. Have to back the home dog here. Play the Padres.
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5* (973) Red Sox at Orioles: The Red Sox are the best team in the AL, with great pitching, balance on offense and a deep, lights out pen. And the offense is even better with David Ortiz straightened out. Ortiz has 7 homers in 47 at-bats dating to June 6, and his third in four games. In his last 18 games (15 starts), Ortiz has slugged .796 and knocked in 14 runs. Starter John Smoltz may habe an ERA of nine, but that is a mirage, as he has only one start and had a bad first inning. The positive part is that he settled down to allow just one run on three hits over the following four innings, and he seems healthy. Baltimore lefty Rich Hill (6.03 ERA) walks too many batters (24 in 37 innings) and that will be a killer against this talented and patient Boston offense that loves to draw free passes. This is a cheap price on the top team that should see a one-sided game here. Play the Red Sox
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Posted : June 30, 2009 3:18 pm
(@biotrends)
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Rated Picks
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Chic Cubs -125
Texas Rangers -110
Chic WhiteSox/Cleve Indians OVER 8.5
Min Twins -135
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The Last 4 Days
Rated Picks had 3 Losses per day
Month ago
One of the Hottest Services
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Posted : June 30, 2009 3:54 pm
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The Hammer
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P. I. C. BASEBALL TOTALS PLAY OF THE MONTH
OVER 9.5 Seattle / NY Yankees 7:05 EST

 
Posted : June 30, 2009 3:58 pm
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