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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Wednesday, August 4,2010

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Evan Altemus

3 Units Houston +205

4 Units Twins / Rays Under 8

Tampa Bay hasn’t been a high scoring team for the most part of this season, especially lately. They will have problems scoring in this game‚ against Twins pitcher Scott Baker. He only gave up 1 run in 7 innings against the Rays a month ago, and he also strikeout 8 batters with no walks. Baker has been up and down all season but has posted a great strikeout to walk ratio throughout. I expect him to handle a Rays team that hasn’t been explosive lately. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay starter David Price has been absolutely dominant throughout the season while going deep in his starts. He also dominated the Twins this season just a few weeks ago. Both teams also have good bullpens which will limit the chance of late runs sending the game over the total. Be sure to shop around and get this total at 8 runs instead of 7.5 runs.

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 12:57 pm
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King Creole

1* Mets / Bravves Under 8.5

Three BIG-TIME 'Unders' on Wednesday night and why not? We'll be playing on THREE of the best 'Under' Umpires in all of Major League Baseball. All 3 of of our Men in Blue are ranked in the TOP SIX in overall low-scoring results... and All 3 have gone 'Under' at a YTD percentage of 67% or higher.

There's no other way to go in this game but UNDER the TOTAL. have you seen the YTD OU results in this series? The Braves and Mets have gone a PERFECT 0-10 O/U so far in the 2010 season... and 0-12 O/U dating back to last year. Avg OU line: 7.6 runs. Avg combined runs: only 4.5 RPG. Only ONCE have these two teams eclipsed MORE Than 6 runs in a game TY.

JAMES HOYE is the #2 Umpire in the League in terms of UNDERS TY. He comes in with a YTD record of 5-15 O/U with only 6.6 combined runs per game. Very nice numbers to be sure. But it's his recent form that has us excited. Hoye comes in on a superb current run of 0-7 O/U in his last 7 games (5.1 RPG)... and 1-9 O/U in his last 10 games. These results are right in line with Hoye's OU tendencies over the last few years (19-40-2 O/U LY / 7-19 O/U in NL games).

1* Rangers / Mariners Under 7

Currently tied with James Hoye is Umpire JIM WOLF, who is working the Rangers / Mariners game tonight. He comes in with a YTD record of 5-15 O/U as well... and he also allows only 6.6 RPG. He's done even better in AMERICAN LEAGUE action, as he has gone an almost-PERFECT 1-9 O/U on the season with only 5.8 rune per game. He's also gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U in all Ranger games in the last 2 seasons (0-3 O/U this year)... and is a PERFECT 0-3 O/U in all Mariner games in the same time frame (0-1 O/U this year).

We'll have the benefit of two starters in very good form. CJ Wilson has allowed 3 or less earned runs in 10 STRAIGHT starts, and his ERA is 1.77 in his last 3. He's gone 7-14 O/U on the year and only 2-6 O/U on the road. Doug Fister has allowed only 2, 2, and 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts and his home ERA s 2.58 on the season.

1* Padres / Dodgers Under 7

Our OU trifecta concludes with one of our favorite 'Under' Umpires in MIKE ESTABROOK. He comes in with a YTD record of 7-14 O/U on the year.... and is on a 8-22 O/U run dating back to last season. That includes a PERFECT 0-4 O/U in combined Dodger / Padre games in the last 2 years.

This is also a low-scoring series as of late. LA and San Diego have gone 3-7 O/U vs each other this year and 3-10 O/U dating back to the '09 season. Like the above game, both pitchers come in with a ton of Quality Starts under their belts. Vincente Padilla has allowed only 2, 1, 0, 0, 2, 1, and 2 earned runs in his last 7 starts. That's an ERA of only 1.60. Wade LeBlanc has an ERA of only 0.69 vs the Dodgers in the last 2 seasons. He faced LA back in May, and the final score of that game was only 1 to 0 as he allowed only TWO hits in 7 innings.

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 1:01 pm
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ASA

Chicago White Sox

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 1:36 pm
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Al DeMarco

10 Dime Florida

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 2:14 pm
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Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections

PREFERRED PLAYERS CLUB MLB RUN LINE WINNER

Boston w/Lester -1.5 -122

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 2:17 pm
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Dwayne Bryant

Atlanta

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 2:22 pm
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Bob Balfe

Chicago White Sox +100

Both teams are almost identical in runs, runs scored and overall record. Both pitchers tonight are not having fantastic years but, at this current point of the season, I believe the White Sox have a little bit more fire power behind their bats. Take Chicago.

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 3:02 pm
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KIKI SPORTS

2 Units Philly +135

1 Unit White Sox +100

1 Unit Minnesota +170

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 3:04 pm
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Power Play Wins

LA Angels

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 3:42 pm
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Executive

250% Tigers

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 3:43 pm
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Beat Your Bookie

10* Play Atlanta (-155) over NY Mets (POD)

Atlanta is 20-5 at home when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
Atlanta is 12-2 after having lost 3 of the last 4 games this season
Kris Melden is 5-0 in all starts this season with an ERA of 3.84

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 3:45 pm
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CRAIG DAVIS

100 DIME OAKLAND A's -1.5

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 3:45 pm
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The Duke's Sports

ChiSox Over (9) for 2 Units

The White Sox are an "over" up-trend (8-3 O/U) and should continue here. Newly acquired Edwin Jackson is on a 5-0 O/U run with Arizona and he should continue to give up runs vs a Tigers' lineup that can drive in runs at home. The Tigers have shown some run support with Galarraga after all, he is 5-2 O/U in his last 7 games; at the same time, Galarraga is not in the greatest of form and the bullpen has imploded to the tune of 6.26 ERA over the last few weeks. We'll look for a slug-fest tonight.

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 4:06 pm
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Mike Lineback

Marlins

Red Sox

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 4:17 pm
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Tony George

LA Angels -145

Taking Santana here against the Os who have a starter that is in bad form with a whopping 12.46 ERA his last 3 games and is 3-11 on the year. The Angels in all respects, even on the road are a far better team and I expect this line to be at least -160 today and probably will climb during the day no doubt so get on it early. Play 1 Unit on the Angels

 
Posted : August 4, 2010 4:35 pm
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